Alpha-Centric ESG Research

Kyle Rudden

<p>Shortly after publishing <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/engine-versus-exxon-activist-hedge-fund-s-proxy-fight-win-reverberates-through-big-oil-boardrooms" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:52318" rel="noopener">Engine Versus Exxon: Activist Hedge Fund's Proxy Fight Win Reverberates Through "Big Oil" Boardrooms</a>, I decided that a follow-up report (such as this one) would be a good supplement. So, consider this an addendum of sorts to that first Insight.</p><p>Whereas "Engine Versus Exxon" was a mostly qualitative discussion of recent events for Exxon and six other supermajors, this is a more data-driven look of a much larger universe of oil stocks; 50 in total, representing 24 countries (mainly in the Americas, Asia Pacific, and Europe).</p><p>Together, they are a good proxy for the broader Energy sector – an aggregate market capitalisation of US$4.6 trillion, and responsible for an astounding 20.5 billion MtCO2e in emissions, about 65% of all energy-related greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions.</p><p>This is a relatively focused Insight, covering four related areas:</p><ol>
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<strong>Carbon Footprints:</strong> Scope 1, Scope 2, and Scope 3 emissions for each (ranked and sorted).</li>
<li>
<strong>Climate Policies:</strong> Where each stands vis-à-vis implementation of climate-related policies.</li>
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<strong>Emissions Targets:</strong> Which companies are claiming to go net-zero emissions, and by when.</li>
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<strong>Capital Investment:</strong> How future CapEx is (or is not) aligned with global warming targets.</li>
</ol>

Shortly after publishing Engine Versus Exxon: Activist Hedge Fund's Proxy Fight Win Reverberates Through "Big Oil" Boardrooms, I decided that a follow-up report (such as this one) would be a good supplement. So, consider this an addendum of sorts to that first Insight.Whereas "Engine Versus Exxon" was a mostly qualitative discussion of recent events for Exxon and six other supermajors, this is a more data-driven look of a much larger universe of oil stocks; 50 in total, representing 24 countries (mainly in the Americas, Asia Pacific, and Europe).Together, they are a good proxy for the broader Energy sector – an aggregate market capitalisation of US$4.6 trillion, and responsible for an astounding 20.5 billion MtCO2e in emissions, about 65% of all energy-related greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions.This is a relatively focused Insight, covering four related areas:

Carbon Footprints: Scope 1, Scope 2, and Scope 3 emissions for each (ranked and sorted).

Climate Policies: Where each stands vis-à-vis implementation of climate-related policies.

Emissions Targets: Which companies are claiming to go net-zero emissions, and by when.

Capital Investment: How future CapEx is (or is not) aligned with global warming targets.


Greenhouse Gas Emissions Profiles of 50 of the World's Largest Oil Companies

Equity L/S Analyst | Forensic Accounting | India, Yellowstone Equity

Ankit Agrawal, CFA

Equity L/S Analyst | Forensic Accounting | India

Equity Bottom-Up

<p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nesco-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13095:1" rel="noopener">Nesco Ltd (NSE IN)</a> is a commercial real estate company with a large land parcel located at a prime location in Mumbai. It earns a steady stream of revenues from leasing out its properties and has strong long-term growth prospects from development of unused land and lease rental growth. It is a niche asset, one that needs to be kept cozy to make attractive returns.</p>

Nesco Ltd (NSE IN) is a commercial real estate company with a large land parcel located at a prime location in Mumbai. It earns a steady stream of revenues from leasing out its properties and has strong long-term growth prospects from development of unused land and lease rental growth. It is a niche asset, one that needs to be kept cozy to make attractive returns.

Asia Consumer Research, Investory

Devi Subhakesan

Asia Consumer Research

ASIA CONSUMER: INSIGHTS AND INVESTMENT IDEAS

Investory

Investory is a Singapore-based boutique independent equity research firm founded in January 2017 with a primary focus on consumption themes across Asia-Pacific.

We aim to generate investible ideas based on consumption trends and outlook. We screen our ideas on several parameters - product potential, long-term growth and management commitment being the most critical.  We follow a fundamental analysis approach in our stock selection process and are not restricted by market cap.

We aspire to grow into a leading source of unbiased research, free of conflict of interest, for investors yearning for independent and disciplined analysis. 

We also undertake bespoke research mandates to support our Institutional clients’ investment needs.

Our team comprises of professionals with extensive experience in the Asian equity markets, in areas ranging from research, servicing institutional clients and investment management.

Equity Capital Markets

Flipkart Online Services / Equity Capital Markets

<p>In this insight, we discuss (1) the likely catalysts triggering <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/flipkart-online-services-private-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31076:1" rel="noopener">Flipkart Online Services </a> (Flipkart) going public, (2) a quick primer on Flipkart and its multiple business verticals, (3) the listed players/peers that may potentially be impacted by Flipkart's listing. </p><p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/flipkart-online-services-private-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31076:1" rel="noopener">Flipkart Online Services (Flipkart)</a>'s upcoming IPO will offer investors an opportunity to take direct exposure in India's fast-growing eCommerce segment. Flipkart is a pureplay India eCommerce and related services (digital payments, logistics) company with a dominant presence across multiple verticals. Flipkart's listing could be a test of investor appetite and valuation potential for India based eComm players and may pave the way for other players to go public. </p>

In this insight, we discuss (1) the likely catalysts triggering Flipkart Online Services  (Flipkart) going public, (2) a quick primer on Flipkart and its multiple business verticals, (3) the listed players/peers that may potentially be impacted by Flipkart's listing. Flipkart Online Services (Flipkart)'s upcoming IPO will offer investors an opportunity to take direct exposure in India's fast-growing eCommerce segment. Flipkart is a pureplay India eCommerce and related services (digital payments, logistics) company with a dominant presence across multiple verticals. Flipkart's listing could be a test of investor appetite and valuation potential for India based eComm players and may pave the way for other players to go public. 

Flipkart's IPO in the Works - All You Need to Know for Now

Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist, Trudence Capital Advisors

Pranav Bhavsar

Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist

Trudence Capital Advisors

Trudence Capital Advisors Private Limited is a SEBI-registered Research Analyst, holding SEBI registration number INH000015747. Our firm is dedicated to providing independent and unbiased research on Indian mid to large-cap companies. Trudence Capital is known for its counter-consensus views, with a focus on forensic research and on-ground primary investigations. Our research approach is thorough, involving detailed analysis of accounting practices and governance, alongside extensive channel checks.

Independent & Unbiased Research

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<h2>About India Channel Insight</h2>
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<p>Our objective with India Channel Insight is to share snippets from our channel interactions that are part of our research process. These snippets can potentially be signals for larger themes/ideas emerging out of these interactions.  </p>
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<p>For this insight, we focus on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/easemytrip" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28897:1" rel="noopener">EaseMyTrip (0896537D IN)</a> with an objective to understand it's on-ground competitiveness; <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/matrimony-com" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22922:1" rel="noopener">Matrimony.com (MATRIM IN)</a> where Q3 is hinting at a change in stance compared to our earlier view and a sourcing channel of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/trent-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8410:1" rel="noopener">Trent Ltd (TRENT IN) </a>to understand the growth prospects ahead. </p>
</div>


About India Channel Insight


Our objective with India Channel Insight is to share snippets from our channel interactions that are part of our research process. These snippets can potentially be signals for larger themes/ideas emerging out of these interactions.  


For this insight, we focus on EaseMyTrip (0896537D IN) with an objective to understand it's on-ground competitiveness; Matrimony.com (MATRIM IN) where Q3 is hinting at a change in stance compared to our earlier view and a sourcing channel of Trent Ltd (TRENT IN) to understand the growth prospects ahead. 


India Channel Insight | Easemytrip, Matrimony.com, Trent

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning, Copley Fund Research

Steven Holden

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning

Copley Fund Research

Copley Fund Research provide research and data on asset allocation among Global and Emerging Market equity funds.  The analysis details absolute and relative positioning across countries, sectors and industries together with highly granular data on single stock and single fund allocations.  The data is updated monthly with time series going back to January 2011.

Global Research - Analysis of 165 prominent Global equity funds, combined AUM $335bn
GEM Research - Analysis of 127 prominent global EM equity funds, combined AUM $250bn

Asset Allocation - Global and GEM Equity

Quantitative Analysis

<p>EM Energy allocations are at record lows.  A big exodus in the first half of 2020 pushed allocations to their lowest levels since our records start in 2008.   The aggressive scaling back of positioning had a dramatic effect on prices, with the MSCI EM Energy sector suffering one of the worst 12 month periods of underperformance in nearly 2 decades.  But the ownership picture is beginning to stabilize.  </p><p>On a stock level, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lukoil-pjsc-2bfe0130-461e-4ff3-af12-93bec12e6325" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27148:1" rel="noopener">LUKOIL (LKOH RM)</a> appears to be the GOAT, with its backing of almost half of the funds in our analysis, well spread across the style spectrum in addition to being a net overweight.  <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/reliance-industries-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:198:1" rel="noopener"> Reliance Industries (RIL IN)</a> is also a high conviction stock, held by fewer funds than Lukoil but in greater size.  It also represents a significant underweight to many EM investors.  The most depressed stock of the larger holdings is <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cnooc-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:175:1" rel="noopener">CNOOC Ltd (883 HK)</a> , once held by over 60% of the funds in our analysis, now by just 24%.</p><p><em>Analysis taken from our EM research, covering the collective allocations of 242 Global Emerging Market active funds, with combined AUM of $460bn</em></p>

EM Energy allocations are at record lows.  A big exodus in the first half of 2020 pushed allocations to their lowest levels since our records start in 2008.   The aggressive scaling back of positioning had a dramatic effect on prices, with the MSCI EM Energy sector suffering one of the worst 12 month periods of underperformance in nearly 2 decades.  But the ownership picture is beginning to stabilize.  On a stock level, LUKOIL (LKOH RM) appears to be the GOAT, with its backing of almost half of the funds in our analysis, well spread across the style spectrum in addition to being a net overweight.   Reliance Industries (RIL IN) is also a high conviction stock, held by fewer funds than Lukoil but in greater size.  It also represents a significant underweight to many EM investors.  The most depressed stock of the larger holdings is CNOOC Ltd (883 HK) , once held by over 60% of the funds in our analysis, now by just 24%.Analysis taken from our EM research, covering the collective allocations of 242 Global Emerging Market active funds, with combined AUM of $460bn

EM Energy: Big Underperformance - Positioning at Record Lows, but Stabilizing.

India

Reliance Industries Ltd. manufactures petrochemicals, synthetic fibers, fiber intermediates, textiles, blended yarn and polyester staple fiber. The Company also owns a petroleum refinery cum petrochemicals complex in Jamnagar, India that produces a wide range of products such as gasoline, superior kerosene oil and liquefied petroleum gas.

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Reliance Industries (RIL IN)

Greenhouse Gas Emissions Profiles of 50 of the World's Largest Oil Companies

A quick overview of the carbon footprints and climate policies of 50 of the world's largest oil stocks (mainly Asia Pacific, Americas, and Europe...

Kyle Rudden

Nesco Limited: An Asset to Keep Cozy

Nesco Ltd (NSE IN) is a commercial real estate company with a large land parcel located at a prime location in Mumbai. It is a niche asset, one...

Ankit Agrawal, CFA

Flipkart's IPO in the Works - All You Need to Know for Now

Read for Likely catalysts triggering Flipkart's IPO, a quick primer on Flipkart and its multiple business verticals, the listed players/peers that...

Devi Subhakesan

India Channel Insight | Easemytrip, Matrimony.com, Trent

Our objective with India Channel Insight is to share snippets from our channel interactions that are part of our research process. For this insight...

Pranav Bhavsar

EM Energy: Big Underperformance - Positioning at Record Lows, but Stabilizing.

EM Energy exodus drives worst performance of EM Energy sector in over 15 years. EM active funds are now at their lowest ever exposure to EM Energy...

Steven Holden

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