Derivatives and Quantitative Strategist

Gaudenz Schneider

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nikkei-225" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22909:1" rel="noopener">Nikkei 225 (NKY INDEX)</a> volatility is trading at historically high levels, and the skew is steep.</li>
<li>National, regional and global catalysts provide the potential for further near-term market turbulence. Downside risk persists.</li>
<li>The current vol environment lends itself to tactical option trades, such as put spreads or risk reversals.</li>
</ul>



Nikkei 225 (NKY INDEX) volatility is trading at historically high levels, and the skew is steep.
National, regional and global catalysts provide the potential for further near-term market turbulence. Downside risk persists.
The current vol environment lends itself to tactical option trades, such as put spreads or risk reversals.


EQD | Nikkei 225 - Persistent Volatility Amid Election Uncertainty: Tactical Opportunities Explored

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tokyo-metro-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40930:1" rel="noopener">Tokyo Metro (9023 JP)</a>'s  shareholders aim to raise up to US$2.3bn in its upcoming Japan IPO. </li>
<li>Tokyo Metro (TKM) is one of the two metro network operators in the Tokyo region. It operates nine subway lines with a total of 180 stations.</li>
<li>In this note, we talk about the positive aspects of the deal.</li>
</ul>



Tokyo Metro (9023 JP)'s  shareholders aim to raise up to US$2.3bn in its upcoming Japan IPO. 
Tokyo Metro (TKM) is one of the two metro network operators in the Tokyo region. It operates nine subway lines with a total of 180 stations.
In this note, we talk about the positive aspects of the deal.


Tokyo Metro IPO - The Positives - Quasi-Monopoly Status

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tokyo-metro" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40930:1" rel="noopener">Tokyo Metro (TKYMETRO JP)</a>’s shareholders, the Japanese and Tokyo Metropolitan Governments, could look to raise up to US$2bn by selling half of their stake via an IPO.</li>
<li>Tokyo Metro is one of the two metro network operators in the Tokyo region. It operates nine subway lines.</li>
<li>In this note, we take an early look at the possible listing.</li>
</ul>



Tokyo Metro (TKYMETRO JP)’s shareholders, the Japanese and Tokyo Metropolitan Governments, could look to raise up to US$2bn by selling half of their stake via an IPO.
Tokyo Metro is one of the two metro network operators in the Tokyo region. It operates nine subway lines.
In this note, we take an early look at the possible listing.


Tokyo Metro IPO Early Look - Could Raise Around US$2bn While Still Recovering from COVID

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/trial-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36821:1" rel="noopener">Trial Holdings (5882 JP)</a> raised around US$259m in Mar 2024. Its IPO lockup is set to expire soon.</li>
<li>TH operates a network of retail stores in Japan that offer one-stop shopping under its everyday low price (EDLP) model.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the lockup dynamics and possible placement.</li>
</ul>



Trial Holdings (5882 JP) raised around US$259m in Mar 2024. Its IPO lockup is set to expire soon.
TH operates a network of retail stores in Japan that offer one-stop shopping under its everyday low price (EDLP) model.
In this note, we will talk about the lockup dynamics and possible placement.


Trial Holdings IPO Lockup - Large Number of Small Holders Hold Around US$400m of Stock

Equity Analyst, LightStream Research

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

Equity Analyst

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

<ul>
<li>Timee began trading on 26th July and share price has surged 47% since its debut where the company priced the IPO at top of the indicative price range.</li>
<li>Though <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/timee-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:43690:1" rel="noopener">Timee Inc (215A JP)</a> is in early stages, the company has proven that its business model is successful and continue to dominate a market that is underpenetrated.</li>
<li>Though we think there is further upside, if you have already bought shares at the IPO, we would suggest taking profits and wait for a dip to make a re-entry.</li>
</ul>


Timee began trading on 26th July and share price has surged 47% since its debut where the company priced the IPO at top of the indicative price range.
Though Timee Inc (215A JP) is in early stages, the company has proven that its business model is successful and continue to dominate a market that is underpenetrated.
Though we think there is further upside, if you have already bought shares at the IPO, we would suggest taking profits and wait for a dip to make a re-entry.


Japan

Recruit Holdings Co. Ltd. operates information providing services in human resource, housing, bridal, travel, restaurants, beauty, automobiles, and education and more. The company also operate staffing services and advertising business.

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Recruit Holdings (6098 JP)

EQD | Nikkei 225 - Persistent Volatility Amid Election Uncertainty: Tactical Opportunities Explored

Nikkei 225 volatility is high with steep skew. Potential for more turbulence due to various catalysts. Tactical option trades recommended.

Gaudenz Schneider

Tokyo Metro IPO - The Positives - Quasi-Monopoly Status

Tokyo Metro (9023 JP)'s shareholders aim to raise up to US$2.3bn in its upcoming Japan IPO. In this note, we talk about the positive aspects of...

Sumeet Singh

Tokyo Metro IPO Early Look - Could Raise Around US$2bn While Still Recovering from COVID

The company has now officially filed to raise around US$2.3bn in its IPO next month, which will make it the largest IPO in Japan since 2018.

Sumeet Singh

Trial Holdings IPO Lockup - Large Number of Small Holders Hold Around US$400m of Stock

Trial Holdings (5882 JP) raised around US$259m in Mar 2024. Its IPO lockup is set to expire soon which will release a large number of small...

Sumeet Singh

Timee IPO: Trading Update

Timee had a strong debut where shares have surged 47% compared to IPO price. Timee deserves to trade at a premium given the proven business model...

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

EQD | Nikkei 225 - Persistent Volatility Amid Election Uncertainty: Tactical Opportunities Explored

​Nikkei 225 volatility is high with steep skew. Potential for more turbulence due to various catalysts. Tactical option trades recommended.

Gaudenz Schneider

Tokyo Metro IPO - The Positives - Quasi-Monopoly Status

Tokyo Metro (9023 JP)'s shareholders aim to raise up to US$2.3bn in its upcoming Japan IPO. In this note, we talk about the positive aspects of...

Sumeet Singh

Tokyo Metro IPO Early Look - Could Raise Around US$2bn While Still Recovering from COVID

The company has now officially filed to raise around US$2.3bn in its IPO next month, which will make it the largest IPO in Japan since 2018.

Sumeet Singh

Trial Holdings IPO Lockup - Large Number of Small Holders Hold Around US$400m of Stock

Trial Holdings (5882 JP) raised around US$259m in Mar 2024. Its IPO lockup is set to expire soon which will release a large number of small...

Sumeet Singh

Timee IPO: Trading Update

Timee had a strong debut where shares have surged 47% compared to IPO price. Timee deserves to trade at a premium given the proven business model...

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

Nikkei 225 volatility is high with steep skew. Potential for more turbulence due to various catalysts. Tactical option trades recommended.