Taiwan Tech Focused Senior Analyst

Patrick Liao

Equity Bottom-Up

United Microelectronics Corp / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>The outlook for 4Q24 appears somewhat bearish at the moment, though it has not been fully defined before the end of October.</li>
<li>Taiwanese companies such as MediaTek Inc (2454 TT), Novatek Microelectronics Corp (3034 TT) and Realtek Semiconductor (2379 TT) continue to be the main drivers of demand for UMC.</li>
<li>On a positive note, there are warnings against overly relying on chips from Chinese manufacturers due to US sanctions.</li>
</ul>


The outlook for 4Q24 appears somewhat bearish at the moment, though it has not been fully defined before the end of October.
Taiwanese companies such as MediaTek Inc (2454 TT), Novatek Microelectronics Corp (3034 TT) and Realtek Semiconductor (2379 TT) continue to be the main drivers of demand for UMC.
On a positive note, there are warnings against overly relying on chips from Chinese manufacturers due to US sanctions.


UMC (2303.TT; UMC US): The Outlook for 4Q24 Is Somewhat Bearish.

Tracking developments across tech supply chains, Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Tracking developments across tech supply chains

<ul><li>Gold Apollo denies involvement in Lebanon pager explosions, while Taiwan's MOEA confirms pager assembly happening in Taiwan.</li><li>Taiwan's wafer foundry industry set to grow in 3Q 2024; can new orders and cost reductions drive Intel's recovery?</li><li>E Ink Prism technology revolutionizing automotive and consumer electronics;CATL looking to expand in solar-storage market.</li></ul>

Gold Apollo denies involvement in Lebanon pager explosions, while Taiwan's MOEA confirms pager assembly happening in Taiwan.Taiwan's wafer foundry industry set to grow in 3Q 2024; can new orders and cost reductions drive Intel's recovery?E Ink Prism technology revolutionizing automotive and consumer electronics;CATL looking to expand in solar-storage market.

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (19-Sep-2024): Gold Apollo denies Lebanon pager explosions; MOEA confirms Taiwan assembly.

Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Zero One

Founded in 2015, Zero One produces independent investment research and provides corporate finance advisory services with a focus on both listed and private technology companies. Founder Vincent Fernando has over 20 years of experience in US and Asia capital markets.

Independent Investment Research

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) - ADR / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>TSMC's U.S. Production Strategy Achieves Major Milestone - Begins Production of Apple A16 Chips in Arizona</li>
<li>Reports of Apple's Disappointing Initial iPhone 16 Sales Data; Key Taiwan Suppliers Top Losers Recently</li>
<li>Samsung Falling Behind TSMC - New Report of Low Yields Continuing to Plague Samsung's 3nm AI Processors</li>
</ul>


TSMC's U.S. Production Strategy Achieves Major Milestone - Begins Production of Apple A16 Chips in Arizona
Reports of Apple's Disappointing Initial iPhone 16 Sales Data; Key Taiwan Suppliers Top Losers Recently
Samsung Falling Behind TSMC - New Report of Low Yields Continuing to Plague Samsung's 3nm AI Processors


Taiwan Tech Weekly: TSMC Apple Arizona Production Milestone, Samsung 3nm Yield Still Weak Vs. TSMC

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of Sep 13th which has an aggregated holding worth USD938.6bn.</li>
<li>We estimate that foreign flows to be outflows of USD1,475mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.</li>
<li>We highlight changes of foreign holdings in Quanta Computer, TSMC, Ctbc Financial, Hon Hai Precision Industry.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of Sep 13th which has an aggregated holding worth USD938.6bn.
We estimate that foreign flows to be outflows of USD1,475mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.
We highlight changes of foreign holdings in Quanta Computer, TSMC, Ctbc Financial, Hon Hai Precision Industry.


TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Sep 13th): Quanta Computer, TSMC, Ctbc Financial

<ul>
<li>TSMC Extends Global Foundry Dominance Amid 33% Sales Surge – A Buy on Weakness Despite Market Concerns</li>
<li>Apple 'Glowtime' AI Announcements: Mixed Analyst and Media Reactions May Overlook Key Advantage — Apple Is Best Positioned to Seamlessly Integrate AI Into Your Smartphone Experience</li>
<li>Taiwan Market Gainers &amp; Losers: Consumer Electronics &amp; Memory Names Some of the Hardest Hit</li>
</ul>


TSMC Extends Global Foundry Dominance Amid 33% Sales Surge – A Buy on Weakness Despite Market Concerns
Apple 'Glowtime' AI Announcements: Mixed Analyst and Media Reactions May Overlook Key Advantage — Apple Is Best Positioned to Seamlessly Integrate AI Into Your Smartphone Experience
Taiwan Market Gainers &amp; Losers: Consumer Electronics &amp; Memory Names Some of the Hardest Hit


Taiwan Tech Weekly: TSMC Becoming More Dominant; Apple's AI Opportunity; Taiwan Market Hammered

Taiwan

Realtek Semiconductor Corp. designs, tests, and distributes integrated circuits which are used in consumer electronics, computer systems and peripherals, and communication network hardware.  The Company also provides technical counseling and systems software services.

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Realtek Semiconductor (2379 TT)

UMC (2303.TT; UMC US): The Outlook for 4Q24 Is Somewhat Bearish.

4Q24 outlook is bearish, MediaTek, Novatek and Realtek continue to be the main drivers of demand for UMC, caution against Chinese chips due to US...

Patrick Liao

Taiwan Tech Weekly: TSMC Apple Arizona Production Milestone, Samsung 3nm Yield Still Weak Vs. TSMC

TSMC's U.S. production milestone with Apple A16 chips in Arizona. Reports of Apple's disappointing iPhone 16 sales. Samsung is still struggling...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Sep 13th): Quanta Computer, TSMC, Ctbc Financial

We analyzed TWSE foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in Quanta Computer, TSMC, Ctbc Financial, Hon Hai...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Taiwan Tech Weekly: TSMC Becoming More Dominant; Apple's AI Opportunity; Taiwan Market Hammered

TSMC extending its lead in global foundry with Intel and Samsung needing help. Apple best positioned deliver the AI phone 'dream'. Taiwan market...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

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UMC (2303.TT; UMC US): The Outlook for 4Q24 Is Somewhat Bearish.

​4Q24 outlook is bearish, MediaTek, Novatek and Realtek continue to be the main drivers of demand for UMC, caution against Chinese chips due to US...

Patrick Liao

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (19-Sep-2024): Gold Apollo denies Lebanon pager explosions; MOEA confirms Taiwan assembly.

Gold Apollo denies role in Lebanon pager blasts; Taiwan's MOEA confirms pager assembly in Taiwan; Taiwan's wafer foundry industry growth in 3Q...

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Taiwan Tech Weekly: TSMC Apple Arizona Production Milestone, Samsung 3nm Yield Still Weak Vs. TSMC

​TSMC's U.S. production milestone with Apple A16 chips in Arizona. Reports of Apple's disappointing iPhone 16 sales. Samsung is still struggling...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Sep 13th): Quanta Computer, TSMC, Ctbc Financial

We analyzed TWSE foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in Quanta Computer, TSMC, Ctbc Financial, Hon Hai...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Taiwan Tech Weekly: TSMC Becoming More Dominant; Apple's AI Opportunity; Taiwan Market Hammered

​TSMC extending its lead in global foundry with Intel and Samsung needing help. Apple best positioned deliver the AI phone 'dream'. Taiwan market...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

4Q24 outlook is bearish, MediaTek, Novatek and Realtek continue to be the main drivers of demand for UMC, caution against Chinese chips due to US...

TSMC's U.S. production milestone with Apple A16 chips in Arizona. Reports of Apple's disappointing iPhone 16 sales. Samsung is still struggling...

TSMC extending its lead in global foundry with Intel and Samsung needing help. Apple best positioned deliver the AI phone 'dream'. Taiwan market...