Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

Oil & Natural Gas Corp / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>MSCI EM (EEM-US) continues to show signs of bottoming as it has held above our $37-$37.50 line-in-the-sand. </li>
<li>Major 1+ year resistance on the EEM-US is at $42, and a breakout would mean the bottom is in (and would be a buy signal).</li>
<li>Favor EM over EAFE due to 2.5-year downtrend reversal in the EAFE vs. EM ratio. Top Overweights: Taiwan, India, Greece; Attractive EM Sectors: Energy, Technology, Consumer Discretionary, Financials</li>
</ul>


MSCI EM (EEM-US) continues to show signs of bottoming as it has held above our $37-$37.50 line-in-the-sand. 
Major 1+ year resistance on the EEM-US is at $42, and a breakout would mean the bottom is in (and would be a buy signal).
Favor EM over EAFE due to 2.5-year downtrend reversal in the EAFE vs. EM ratio. Top Overweights: Taiwan, India, Greece; Attractive EM Sectors: Energy, Technology, Consumer Discretionary, Financials


MSCI Emerging Market Index Testing 1+ Year Resistance; Favor EM over EAFE; Top EM Buys Highlighted

Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Equity Bottom-Up

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Wave of earnings this week -- AMD, Qualcomm, Apple internationally... and Delta, Advantech, Innolux, Winbond, Realtek, plus others in Taiwan.</li>
<li>We visited Micron’s A3 fab in Taiwan; SK Hynix gives strongest comments yet on Memory turn-around; Long Nanya Tech on DRAM turn-around.</li>
<li>Intel results readthrough: PC cycle improving and could be accelerated by AI-demand... We continue to see Elan Micro as a laggard play on rallying PC names.</li>
</ul>


Wave of earnings this week -- AMD, Qualcomm, Apple internationally... and Delta, Advantech, Innolux, Winbond, Realtek, plus others in Taiwan.
We visited Micron’s A3 fab in Taiwan; SK Hynix gives strongest comments yet on Memory turn-around; Long Nanya Tech on DRAM turn-around.
Intel results readthrough: PC cycle improving and could be accelerated by AI-demand... We continue to see Elan Micro as a laggard play on rallying PC names.


Taiwan Tech Weekly: Wave of Taiwan Earnings Plus AMD & Apple; AI Accelerating DRAM & PC Recovery

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) - ADR / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Hon Hai shares have broken out to near-term highs after news flow regarding its investment agreement in Lordstown Motors.</li>
<li>PC makers Acer &amp; Asustek's share prices remain subdued since Nvidia results despite AI's potential to accelerate the PC upgrade cycle.</li>
<li>TSMC's ADR premium went even higher just today; Also, Realtek is suing Mediatek in the U.S., adding to our Long/Short watchlists.</li>
</ul>


Hon Hai shares have broken out to near-term highs after news flow regarding its investment agreement in Lordstown Motors.
PC makers Acer &amp; Asustek's share prices remain subdued since Nvidia results despite AI's potential to accelerate the PC upgrade cycle.
TSMC's ADR premium went even higher just today; Also, Realtek is suing Mediatek in the U.S., adding to our Long/Short watchlists.


Taiwan Tech Weekly: Hon Hai Breaking Out of Range; Acer/Asustek Subdued Despite PC Upgrade Potential

Global Emerging Market Equities, Propitious Research

Wium Malan, CFA

Global Emerging Market Equities

Independent, Fundamental Quantitative Research

Propitious Research

Fully independent, fundamental and quantitative equity research, focused on companies in the Telecommunication, Media, Technology, Internet and Healthcare sectors in the Global Emerging Markets. Idea generation focused on Quality stocks, trading below their intrinsic Value, with sound Corporate Governance.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>The Global Emerging Markets Weekly provides a summary of the key news and related developments impacting the largest countries and constituents of the Global Emerging Markets equity indices.</li>
<li>
 Macro data points:Chinese foreign trade and inflation data, Taiwan exports</li>
<li>
 Companies mentioned:<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/taiwan-semiconductor-manufacturing-company" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11230:1" rel="noopener">Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) (2330 TT)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/realtek-semiconductor-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7326:1" rel="noopener">Realtek Semiconductor (2379 TT)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mediatek-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:772:1" rel="noopener">Mediatek Inc (2454 TT)</a>
</li>
</ul>


The Global Emerging Markets Weekly provides a summary of the key news and related developments impacting the largest countries and constituents of the Global Emerging Markets equity indices.

 Macro data points:Chinese foreign trade and inflation data, Taiwan exports

 Companies mentioned:Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) (2330 TT), Realtek Semiconductor (2379 TT), Mediatek Inc (2454 TT)



GEM Weekly (9 Jun 2023): China and Taiwan Trade, Inflation; TSMC, Realtek, MediaTek

<ul>
<li>We analyze increase in institutional ownership across our Taiwan Tech universe.</li>
<li>Realtek, Nuvoton, Powerchip, Faraday Technology stand out as stocks that have had rising institutional ownership but have traded flat over the same period. Realtek will have earnings April 21st.</li>
<li>Advanced Energy has fallen in price even as institutions appear to have accumulated the stock.</li>
</ul>


We analyze increase in institutional ownership across our Taiwan Tech universe.
Realtek, Nuvoton, Powerchip, Faraday Technology stand out as stocks that have had rising institutional ownership but have traded flat over the same period. Realtek will have earnings April 21st.
Advanced Energy has fallen in price even as institutions appear to have accumulated the stock.


Ten Taiwan Tech Stocks With Largest Rising Institutional Ownership

Taiwan

Realtek Semiconductor Corp. designs, tests, and distributes integrated circuits which are used in consumer electronics, computer systems and peripherals, and communication network hardware.  The Company also provides technical counseling and systems software services.

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Realtek Semiconductor (2379 TT)

MSCI Emerging Market Index Testing 1+ Year Resistance; Favor EM over EAFE; Top EM Buys Highlighted

MSCI EM Index $EEM Testing 1+ Year Resistance; Favor EM over EAFE $EFA. Top EM Country Overweights: Taiwan, India, Greece; Attractive EM Sectors:...

Vermilion Research

Taiwan Tech Weekly: Wave of Taiwan Earnings Plus AMD & Apple; AI Accelerating DRAM & PC Recovery

Wave of Taiwan earnings this week with Delta, Advantech, Innolux, Winbond, Realtek, Elan, ChipMOS plus others in Taiwan. Also -- We visited...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Taiwan Tech Weekly: Hon Hai Breaking Out of Range; Acer/Asustek Subdued Despite PC Upgrade Potential

TSMC's ADR premium went even higher just today; Also, Realtek is suing Mediatek in the U.S., adding to our Long/Short watchlists.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

GEM Weekly (9 Jun 2023): China and Taiwan Trade, Inflation; TSMC, Realtek, MediaTek

The Global Emerging Markets Weekly provides a summary of the key news and related developments impacting the largest countries and constituents of...

Wium Malan, CFA

Ten Taiwan Tech Stocks With Largest Rising Institutional Ownership

Realtek, Nuvoton, Powerchip, Faraday Technology stand out as stocks that have had rising institutional ownership but have traded flat over the same...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

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