Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>To look at the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/rakuten-bank-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35638:1" rel="noopener">Rakuten Bank (5838 JP)</a> IPO and how trading and pricing may occur, some are looking at <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sbi-sumishin-net-bank" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34572:1" rel="noopener">SBI Sumishin Net Bank (7163 JP)</a>. </li>
<li>To understand the movements of SBI Sumishin Net Bank, it may help to look at other IPOs in Japan and how they trade post-IPO.</li>
<li>I looked at the last 200+ IPOs in Japan to understand volume decay and price evolution. It leads to suggestions for investors regarding Rakuten Bank.</li>
</ul>


To look at the Rakuten Bank (5838 JP) IPO and how trading and pricing may occur, some are looking at SBI Sumishin Net Bank (7163 JP). 
To understand the movements of SBI Sumishin Net Bank, it may help to look at other IPOs in Japan and how they trade post-IPO.
I looked at the last 200+ IPOs in Japan to understand volume decay and price evolution. It leads to suggestions for investors regarding Rakuten Bank.


Rakuten Bank (5838) IPO - Post-IPO Trading Volume Decay and RB's Place Among Banks (Part 3)

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/rakuten-bank-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35638:1" rel="noopener">Rakuten Bank (5838 JP)</a>, the online banking arm of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/rakuten-group-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31:1" rel="noopener">Rakuten (4755 JP)</a>, raised around US$630m in its Japan IPO.</li>
<li>RB is the largest internet bank in Japan, by number of accounts. As of Dec 22, it had 13.3m deposit accounts with a total deposit base of JPY8.8tn.</li>
<li>In our earlier notes, we have looked at various aspects of the deal. In this note, we talk about the deal dynamics and trading updates.</li>
</ul>



Rakuten Bank (5838 JP), the online banking arm of Rakuten (4755 JP), raised around US$630m in its Japan IPO.
RB is the largest internet bank in Japan, by number of accounts. As of Dec 22, it had 13.3m deposit accounts with a total deposit base of JPY8.8tn.
In our earlier notes, we have looked at various aspects of the deal. In this note, we talk about the deal dynamics and trading updates.


IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/rakuten-bank-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35638:1" rel="noopener">Rakuten Bank (5838 JP)</a> priced its IPO at JPY1,400 per share to raise gross proceeds of US$620 million. The shares will start trading on 21 April.</li>
<li>We previously discussed the IPO in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/rakuten-bank-ipo-the-investment-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:98721" rel="noopener">Rakuten Bank IPO: The Investment Case</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/rakuten-bank-vs-sbi-sumishin-net-bank" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:98866" rel="noopener">Rakuten Bank Vs SBI Sumishin Net Bank</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/rakuten-bank-ipo-new-price-range-is-a-steal" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:99581" rel="noopener">Rakuten Bank IPO: New Price Range Is a Steal</a>. </li>
<li>Peers have re-rated and our valuation analysis points to a fair value of around JPY1,900 per share, 36% above the IPO price. Therefore, the IPO price remains attractive.</li>
</ul>



Rakuten Bank (5838 JP) priced its IPO at JPY1,400 per share to raise gross proceeds of US$620 million. The shares will start trading on 21 April.
We previously discussed the IPO in Rakuten Bank IPO: The Investment Case, Rakuten Bank Vs SBI Sumishin Net Bank and Rakuten Bank IPO: New Price Range Is a Steal. 
Peers have re-rated and our valuation analysis points to a fair value of around JPY1,900 per share, 36% above the IPO price. Therefore, the IPO price remains attractive.


Equity Analyst, LightStream Research

Oshadhi Kumarasiri

Equity Analyst

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

<ul>
<li>It appears that <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/rakuten-bank-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35638:1" rel="noopener">Rakuten Bank (5838 JP)</a> received a significant number of subscriptions at the revised offer range, leading the company to set the IPO price at ¥1,400 per share.</li>
<li>The grey market trading suggests that shares are currently trading close to the lower end of the previous IPO price range, indicating a potential upside of 20% on the debut.</li>
<li>The IPO has potential to rise beyond 20% on debut. However, in the event that it does not pop more than 100%, we would looking to buy more shares.</li>
</ul>


It appears that Rakuten Bank (5838 JP) received a significant number of subscriptions at the revised offer range, leading the company to set the IPO price at ¥1,400 per share.
The grey market trading suggests that shares are currently trading close to the lower end of the previous IPO price range, indicating a potential upside of 20% on the debut.
The IPO has potential to rise beyond 20% on debut. However, in the event that it does not pop more than 100%, we would looking to buy more shares.


<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sbi-sumishin-net-bank" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34572:1" rel="noopener">SBI Sumishin Net Bank (7163 JP)</a> lowered its listing price vs what were already lowered expectations from a year prior. Then <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/rakuten-bank-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35638:1" rel="noopener">Rakuten Bank (5838 JP)</a> lowered its IPO range. </li>
<li>SBI Sumishin dilly-dallied around IPO price for three days then went nuts, rising 40% as of Friday morning. Rakuten Bank's IPO looks dirt cheap now. </li>
<li>But it is worthwhile comparing it on a spectrum of OTHER Japanese banks and neobanks. </li>
</ul>



SBI Sumishin Net Bank (7163 JP) lowered its listing price vs what were already lowered expectations from a year prior. Then Rakuten Bank (5838 JP) lowered its IPO range. 
SBI Sumishin dilly-dallied around IPO price for three days then went nuts, rising 40% as of Friday morning. Rakuten Bank's IPO looks dirt cheap now. 
But it is worthwhile comparing it on a spectrum of OTHER Japanese banks and neobanks. 


Rakuten Bank (5838) IPO - Let's Go! (Part 2)

Japan

Mebuki Financial Group Inc. is a holding company established through the merger of Joyo Bank and Ashikaga Bank. As a financial group, the Company offers deposits, Loans, foreign exchange transactions, commercial and trust banking. Mebuki Financial Group also provides financial services such as letter of credit, credit cards and consulting.

SBI Shinsei Bank, Ltd. provides banking services including deposits, loans, and foreign exchange transaction, as well as investment trust service and issuance of long-term bonds.

The Hachijuni Bank, Ltd. is a regional bank based in Nagano Prefecture. The Bank provides banking services such as deposits, loans, foreign exchange transactions, and trust accounts. The Bank also provides financial services such as leasing, credit cards, credit guarantee, debt recovery, trading, and venture capital and operates branches overseas.

The Bank of Kyoto, Ltd. is a regional bank in Kyoto.  The Bank provides banking services including deposits, savings, loans, foreign exchange transactions, and securities investments.  The Bank of Kyoto also provides financial services such as letter of credit, leasing, loans, and credit cards.

The Gunma Bank, Ltd. is a regional bank based in Gunma Prefecture.  The Bank provides banking services such as deposits, loans, and foreign exchange transaction.  The Gunma Bank also provides financial services such as leasing, credit cards, letter of credit, and investment advisory, and develops information systems.

Yamaguchi Financial Group, Inc. is a holding company established through the merger of Yamaguchi Bank and Momiji Holdings. The Group provides variety of financial services such as deposits, loans, foreign exchange transactions, leasing and credit cards.

Kyushu Financial Group, Inc. is a holding company established through the merger of Higo Bank and Kagoshima Bank.  The Bank provides banking services such as deposits, loans, and exchange transactions.  Kyushu Financial Group also provides other financial services including security brokerage, credit cards, leasing, and letters of credit.

Aozora Bank, Ltd. provides banking services including deposits, savings, loans, foreign exchange transactions, and securities investments. Aozora Bank also provides services such as trust account, resolution and collection, and venture capital.

The 77 Bank, Ltd. is a regional bank in Tohoku area.  The Bank provides general banking services including deposits, loans, and exchange transactions. The Bank also provides others financial services such as securities brokerage, trust banking, letter of credit, leasing, credit cards, and computer services.

Seven Bank, Ltd. provides banking services mainly through Automated Teller Machine (ATM) across Japan. The bank cooperates with affiliated financial institutions to establish the nationwide ATM network and provide remote banking services, including deposits and loans.

AMMB Holdings Berhad is an investment holding company.  The Company, through its subsidiaries, provides merchant and commercial banking, retail financing, stock and futures broking, and investment advisory. AMMB also underwrites general insurance, provides asset and unit trust management, and nominees services.

Atlantic Union Bankshares Corporation provides banking services. The Bank checking accounts, lending, credit cards, online and mobile banking, and wealth and treasury management services. Atlantic Union Bankshares serves customers in the United States.

Community Bank System, Inc. is a holding company for Community Bank, N.A.  The Bank offers a range of commercial and retail banking services in each of its market areas to business, individual, agricultural, and governmental customers. Community Bank operates in northern New York to the southern tier, west to Lake Erie, and in northeastern Pennsylvania.

International Bancshares Corporation, through its bank subsidiaries, provides commercial and retail banking services through offices in south and southeast Texas.  The Bank accepts deposits from the general public and uses those funds to make a variety of loans.

Cathay General Bancorp is the holding company for Cathay Bank.  The Bank accepts deposits and originates various loans, and offers trade financing, spot and forward contracts, internet banking, global investment services, and other services.  Cathay Bank operates in California, New York, Texas, Washington, and Massachusetts.

Fulton Financial Corporation is a multi-bank holding company. The Banks offer a full range of general retail and commercial banking services, including deposits, loans, equipment leasing and financing, and credit cards. Fulton operates in Pennsylvania, Maryland, Delaware, and New Jersey.

The Bank of East Asia, Limited and its subsidiaries provide general banking, related financial, business corporate, and investor services.

Huishang Bank Corporation Limited is a commercial bank. The Bank provides banking services including loans, money market operations, treasury business, investment and trading services, and valet transactions.

Taichung Commercial Bank conducts commercial banking and trust business.  The Bank accepts deposits, offers loans, as well as  invests in bonds and stocks. Taichung Commercial Banks provides bills and notes discounting, draft endorsement, domestic remittance, guarantee, and securities underwriting and brokerage services.

Ameris Bancorp is a multi-bank holding company. The Banks provide a broad range of retail and commercial banking services to its customers, including checking and savings deposits, commercial and consumer loans, trust services, discount brokerage services, and electronic funds transfer services. Ameris Bancorp operates in Georgia, Florida, and Alabama.

Rakuten Bank, Ltd. operates as an Internet based bank. The Company provides banking services including deposits, loans, exchange transactions, and other services. Rakuten Bank also provides financial services including investment trusts, securities, credit and cash cards, lottery tickets, and others.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Rakuten Bank (5838 JP)

Rakuten Bank (5838) IPO - Post-IPO Trading Volume Decay and RB's Place Among Banks (Part 3)

Rakuten Bank lists tomorrow. Gray is trading up nearly 30%. That's probably still OK to buy as it would not be overly rich to peers, especially...

Travis Lundy

Rakuten Bank IPO Trading - Ample Upside

Rakuten Bank (5838 JP), the online banking arm of Rakuten (4755 JP), raised around US$630m in its Japan IPO. In this note, we talk about the...

Sumeet Singh

Rakuten Bank IPO: Trading Debut

Peers have re-rated and our valuation analysis points to a fair value of around JPY1,900 per share, 36% above the IPO price. Therefore, the IPO...

Arun George

Rakuten Bank IPO: First Day Trading

Based on valuation trends and Japan's hot IPO streak, We expect Rakuten Bank to generate significant gains on its first day of trading and beyond.

Oshadhi Kumarasiri

Rakuten Bank (5838) IPO - Let's Go! (Part 2)

Rakuten Bank is nearing its IPO. The IPO price puts it at the cheapest of the three (including Rakuten Bank) listed neobanks. The gray market is...

Travis Lundy

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)