CEO, A. Stotz Investment Research

Dr. Andrew Stotz, CFA

Quantamental Investing to beat Benchmarks

A. Stotz Investment Research

We pick stocks. We construct portfolios. All our effort is focused on how to better pick stocks and construct portfolios. We serve fund management companies, family offices, and high net worth individuals.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>We highlight 14 stocks in ASEAN that look interesting to us based on our FVMR Methodology</li>
<li>Six stocks remain, and eight stocks added to our portfolio</li>
<li>Since its inception, the portfolio has generated a before-fee total return of 177% versus MSCI ASEAN’s 25%</li>
</ul>


We highlight 14 stocks in ASEAN that look interesting to us based on our FVMR Methodology
Six stocks remain, and eight stocks added to our portfolio
Since its inception, the portfolio has generated a before-fee total return of 177% versus MSCI ASEAN’s 25%


IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/singapore-medical-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7441:1" rel="noopener">Singapore Medical (SMG SP)</a> received a voluntary conditional offer from management (chairman, CEO, exec director). The offer is cash (S$0.37) or scrip (1 new share in the offeror per share).</li>
<li>The key condition is a 90% minimum acceptance condition. Irrevocables, which will take the scrip option, represent 51.67% of outstanding shares.</li>
<li>The offer is light, but the offeror reserves the right to reduce the acceptance condition to a lower level (above 50%). Therefore, this offer will likely turn unconditional. </li>
</ul>



Singapore Medical (SMG SP) received a voluntary conditional offer from management (chairman, CEO, exec director). The offer is cash (S$0.37) or scrip (1 new share in the offeror per share).
The key condition is a 90% minimum acceptance condition. Irrevocables, which will take the scrip option, represent 51.67% of outstanding shares.
The offer is light, but the offeror reserves the right to reduce the acceptance condition to a lower level (above 50%). Therefore, this offer will likely turn unconditional. 


Singapore Medical’s Light VGO Offer from Top Management

<ul>
<li>KKR cannot improve the terms of its offer but left the door open by stating that a deal can be quickly closed if the Board is willing to reset expectations.</li>
<li>The transaction is stuck in an impasse as <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ramsay-health-care-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:673:1" rel="noopener">Ramsay Health Care (RHC AU)</a> will not recommend KKR’s offer until it is improved, and KKR says it cannot improve terms.</li>
<li>The peers’ shares have been, on average, flat since the undisturbed date. The shares are trading slightly below the undisturbed price and are attractive on fundamentals.</li>
</ul>


KKR cannot improve the terms of its offer but left the door open by stating that a deal can be quickly closed if the Board is willing to reset expectations.
The transaction is stuck in an impasse as Ramsay Health Care (RHC AU) will not recommend KKR’s offer until it is improved, and KKR says it cannot improve terms.
The peers’ shares have been, on average, flat since the undisturbed date. The shares are trading slightly below the undisturbed price and are attractive on fundamentals.


Ramsay’s Bait-And-Switch KKR Offer Heads for the Exit

<ul>
<li>We highlight 14 stocks in ASEAN that look interesting to us based on our FVMR Methodology</li>
<li>Portfolio changes: Six stocks remain, and eight stocks added to the portfolio</li>
<li>Since its inception, the portfolio has generated a before-fee total return of 184% versus MSCI ASEAN’s 24%</li>
</ul>


We highlight 14 stocks in ASEAN that look interesting to us based on our FVMR Methodology
Portfolio changes: Six stocks remain, and eight stocks added to the portfolio
Since its inception, the portfolio has generated a before-fee total return of 184% versus MSCI ASEAN’s 24%


<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ramsay-health-care-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:673:1" rel="noopener">Ramsay Health Care (RHC AU)</a> disclosed that the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kkr-co-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27333:1" rel="noopener">KKR &amp; Co Inc (KKR US)</a> consortium withdrew its indicative proposal but remains committed to the alternative proposal, which the Board earlier rejected. </li>
<li>The alternative proposal, while inferior to the indicative proposal, is still attractive and better than the status quo of no deal. The Board will engage for an improved offer. </li>
<li>The value gap between the parties is not huge, and a deal is possible. The upside (20% to alternative proposal) vs downside (-9% to undisturbed price) is worth a punt. </li>
</ul>



Ramsay Health Care (RHC AU) disclosed that the KKR &amp; Co Inc (KKR US) consortium withdrew its indicative proposal but remains committed to the alternative proposal, which the Board earlier rejected. 
The alternative proposal, while inferior to the indicative proposal, is still attractive and better than the status quo of no deal. The Board will engage for an improved offer. 
The value gap between the parties is not huge, and a deal is possible. The upside (20% to alternative proposal) vs downside (-9% to undisturbed price) is worth a punt. 


Singapore

Talkmed Group Limited provides medical oncology services to patients.

Q & M Dental Group (Singapore) Limited operates dental clinics. The Company offers aesthetic, children's and general dentistry; fits crowns, dentures and braces; and offers bleeding gum treatment, gum surgery and oral surgery; and treats snoring and teeth grinding.

Healthway Medical Corp. Ltd. provides outpatient medical services in Singapore. The Company offers care in the areas of family medicine, specialists care, dental and oral care and medical aesthetics.

ISEC Healthcare Ltd. provides eyecare (ophthalmology) services in Malaysia and Singapore. The Company provides clinical care, research and educational services. ISEC Healthcare operates across Malaysia and Singapore.

OUE Lippo Healthcare Limited ("OUELH") is a subsidiary company of OUE Limited ("OUE") and is listed on the Catalist Board of Singapore Exchange Securities Trading Limited.

OUELH provides high-quality and sustainable healthcare solutions through the acquisition, development, management, and operations of healthcare facilities across Asia. Leveraging on the strategic partnerships it has, OUELH continually seeks to expand its portfolio across the region.

Established in May 2001, Cordlife Group Limited ("Cordlife", together with its subsidiaries, the "Group") is a leading company dedicated to safeguarding the well-being of mother and child. The Group is listed on the Mainboard of the Singapore Exchange since 2012 and is a pioneer in private cord blood banking in Asia.

Cordlife owns the largest network of cord blood banks in Asia with full stem cell banking facilities in six key markets, namely Singapore, Hong Kong, Indonesia, India, Malaysia and the Philippines. In Singapore, Hong Kong, the Philippines and Indonesia, Cordlife operates the largest private cord blood banks and it is amongst the top three market leaders in India and Malaysia. In January 2018, Cordlife became the market leader in Hong Kong with the acquisition of the largest private cord blood bank, Healthbaby Biotech (Hong Kong) Co., Limited. Through its majority-owned subsidiary in Malaysia, Stemlife Berhad, Cordlife holds an indirect stake in Thailand's largest private cord blood bank, Thai Stemlife. Cordlife has also established its presence in Myanmar, Vietnam, Macau, Brunei and Bangladesh.

Beyond cord blood, cord lining and cord tissue banking, Cordlife offers a comprehensive suite of diagnostics services for the family including non-invasive prenatal testing, paediatric vision screening, newborn metabolic screening and family genetic screening services.  Quality and customer focus are amongst some of the cornerstones of Cordlife.

HC Surgical Specialists Limited operates as a medical services group. The Company focuses on the provision of endoscopic procedures, including gastroscopies and colonoscopies, and general surgery services with a focus on colorectal procedures. HC Surgical Specialists serves customers in Singapore.

AsiaMedic Limited is a healthcare provider that focuses on the management of clinical services in the fields of disease prevention, early illness detection, and advanced diagnostics. The Company provides clinical and management services in Singapore and Internationally.

Religare Health Trust is structured as a business trust and invests in medical and healthcare assets and services in Asia, Australasia and emerging markets.

Bangkok Chain Hospital Public Company Limited operates a chain of hospitals in Thailand serving both the cash and managed care markets.

SHIP HEALTHCARE HOLDINGS, INC. mainly distributes medical equipment and physics & chemistry equipment.  The Company also sells equipment used for medical facility and office automation.  Ship Healthcare provides integrated consultation as well as maintenance services.

AS ONE CORPORATION wholesales laboratory equipment, scientific equipment, and related products.  The Company sells its products through catalogs and provides quick delivery by using the on-line ordering system.

Teladoc Health, Inc. provides healthcare services. The Company diagnoses, recommends treatment, and prescribes medication for routine medical issues through phone and video consultations. Teladoc operates in the United States.

Sigma Healthcare Limited wholesales and distributes pharmaceutical products. The Company offers prescription, over-the-counter, and generic drugs. Sigma Healthcare serves customers in Australia.

Tibet Rhodiola Pharmaceutical Holding Co. develops, manufactures, and markets Tibet medicines.  The Company's products include Rhodiola capsules, Rhodiola pellets, and other related medicines.

Brookdale Senior Living Inc. operates senior living facilities in the United States.  The Company offers its residents access to a full continuum of services across all sectors of the senior living industry.  Brookdale Senior operates independent living facilities, assisted living facilities, continuing care retirement communities, and a skilled nursing facility.

U.S. Physical Therapy, Inc. develops, owns, and operates outpatient physical therapy clinics in partnership with physical therapists. The Company and its partners operate freestanding outpatient clinics throughout the United States.

Spire Healthcare Group PLC provides private healthcare throughout the United Kingdom.

AEVIS VICTORIA SA operates as an investment company. The Company focuses on investments in healthcare, lifestyle, and infrastructure sectors. AEVIS VICTORIA investments includes private clinics in medical residences, ambulatory centers, and medical real estate and infrastructures.

Raffles Medical Group Limited is a health care provider.  The Company operates medical clinics, imaging centers, and medical laboratories.  Raffles provides general and specialized medical, medical evacuation, medical advisory, and dental treatment services.

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Raffles Medical Group (RFMD SP)

The Stocks to Own in ASEAN – Vol. 41

We highlight 14 stocks in ASEAN that look interesting to us based on our FVMR Methodology. Portfolio changes: Six stocks remain, eight stocks added.

A. Stotz Investment Research

Singapore Medical’s Light VGO Offer from Top Management

The offer is light, but the offeror reserves the right to reduce the acceptance condition to a lower level (above 50%). At the last close, the...

Arun George

Ramsay’s Bait-And-Switch KKR Offer Heads for the Exit

The peers’ shares have been, on average, flat since the undisturbed date. The shares are below the undisturbed price and are attractive on...

Arun George

The Stocks to Own in ASEAN – Vol. 40

We highlight 14 stocks in ASEAN that look interesting to us based on our FVMR Methodology. Portfolio changes: Six stocks remain, and eight stocks...

A. Stotz Investment Research

Ramsay and KKR’s Game of Cat and Mouse

The value gap between the parties is not huge, and a deal remains possible. The upside (20% to the alternative proposal) vs downside (-9% to...

Arun George

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