Japan/Asia Long-Short, LightStream Research

Mio Kato

Japan/Asia Long-Short

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Qingci Games saw revenue jump from RMB43m in 2019 to RMB1,082m in 2020 on the back of a single title. </li>
<li>Ordinarily we would be inherently sceptical of an IPO following such potentially flash-in-the-pan performance. </li>
<li>However, when that comes off the back of a title delightfully named the Marvelous Snail we are inclined to look deeper.</li>
</ul>


Qingci Games saw revenue jump from RMB43m in 2019 to RMB1,082m in 2020 on the back of a single title. 
Ordinarily we would be inherently sceptical of an IPO following such potentially flash-in-the-pan performance. 
However, when that comes off the back of a title delightfully named the Marvelous Snail we are inclined to look deeper.


Qingci Games IPO – A Marvelous Snail Indeed

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/qingci-games" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35240:1" rel="noopener">Qingci Games (6633 HK)</a> is a mobile game developer and publisher in China. It aims to raise net proceeds of US$125.5 million at the mid-point of the IPO price range.</li>
<li>The past is perfect and characterised by exponential growth and rising margins. However, the future is tense with a material decline in profitability flagged for 2H21.  </li>
<li>It is uncertain if the declining trends in the key title can be offset by a new blockbuster title. We discuss valuation in our next note. </li>
</ul>



Qingci Games (6633 HK) is a mobile game developer and publisher in China. It aims to raise net proceeds of US$125.5 million at the mid-point of the IPO price range.
The past is perfect and characterised by exponential growth and rising margins. However, the future is tense with a material decline in profitability flagged for 2H21.  
It is uncertain if the declining trends in the key title can be offset by a new blockbuster title. We discuss valuation in our next note. 


Qingci Games IPO: Future, Imperfect and Tense

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/qingci-games" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35240:1" rel="noopener">Qingci Games (6633 HK)</a> (QCG) is looking to raise up to US$153m in its Hong Kong IPO.</li>
<li>Qingci Games (QCG) is a mobile game developer and publisher in China. The company is currently just riding on the success of one game, The Marvelous Snail.</li>
<li>Despite its problems, its valuation is still expensive compared to similar size gaming companies.</li>
</ul>



Qingci Games (6633 HK) (QCG) is looking to raise up to US$153m in its Hong Kong IPO.
Qingci Games (QCG) is a mobile game developer and publisher in China. The company is currently just riding on the success of one game, The Marvelous Snail.
Despite its problems, its valuation is still expensive compared to similar size gaming companies.


Qingci Games (青瓷游戏) IPO - Replicating past Success Won’t Be Easy

<ul>
<li><strong>Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that have been covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs. </strong></li>
<li>Hong Kong ECM took yet another hit with China Tourism Group deciding to delay its H-Share listing citing poor market condition</li>
<li>On 2nd Dec 2021, SEC issued the final amendments for implementation of HFCAA which will China ADRs going forward. </li>
</ul>


Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that have been covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs. 
Hong Kong ECM took yet another hit with China Tourism Group deciding to delay its H-Share listing citing poor market condition
On 2nd Dec 2021, SEC issued the final amendments for implementation of HFCAA which will China ADRs going forward. 


ECM Weekly (5th December 2021) - Weibo, Asymchem, Grab, Yonghe, Gushengtang, Siam Makro, SF Intra

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/qingci-games" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35240:1" rel="noopener">Qingci Games (QCG HK)</a> is looking to raise US$150m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO.</li>
<li>The company is currently just riding on the success of one game, The Marvelous Snail, which accounted for 95% and 68% of FY20 and 1H21 revenue, respectively.</li>
<li>The problem is further accentuated by the fact that QCG doesn’t have much of a track record and its pipeline games don’t seem impressive.</li>
</ul>



Qingci Games (QCG HK) is looking to raise US$150m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO.
The company is currently just riding on the success of one game, The Marvelous Snail, which accounted for 95% and 68% of FY20 and 1H21 revenue, respectively.
The problem is further accentuated by the fact that QCG doesn’t have much of a track record and its pipeline games don’t seem impressive.


Qingci Games (青瓷游戏) Pre-IPO - One-Hit Wonder

China

Qingci Games Inc. operates a leading mobile game developer and publisher. The Company produces casual games, idle games, and other products. Qingci Games provides its services throughout Hong Kong.

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Qingci Games (6633 HK)

Qingci Games IPO – A Marvelous Snail Indeed

Qingci Games could look like a one hit wonder at risk of a significant revenue decline but we believe the company gets games and that exactly the...

Mio Kato

Qingci Games IPO: Future, Imperfect and Tense

Qingci aims to raise net proceeds of US$125.5 million at the mid-point of the IPO price range. Overall, we believe the negatives outweigh the...

Arun George

Qingci Games (青瓷游戏) IPO - Replicating past Success Won’t Be Easy

Qingci Games (QCG) is a mobile game developer and publisher in China. The company is currently just riding on the success of one game, The...

Sumeet Singh

ECM Weekly (5th December 2021) - Weibo, Asymchem, Grab, Yonghe, Gushengtang, Siam Makro, SF Intra

Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that have been covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.

Sumeet Singh

Qingci Games (青瓷游戏) Pre-IPO - One-Hit Wonder

Qingci Games (QCG HK) is looking to raise US$150m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO. The company is currently just riding on the success of one game,...

Sumeet Singh

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