Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>KRX announced special changes to KOSDAQ 150. Since STCube (052020 KS) has been designated as "administrative issue," the Korea Exchange will exclude it from KOSDAQ 150 on 26 March 2024. </li>
<li>PSK Holdings Inc (031980 KS) will be new addition to KOSDAQ 150 index, replacing ST Cube.</li>
<li>PSK Holdings' core business is providing process technology, source, and hardware for semiconductor packaging equipment.</li>
</ul>


KRX announced special changes to KOSDAQ 150. Since STCube (052020 KS) has been designated as "administrative issue," the Korea Exchange will exclude it from KOSDAQ 150 on 26 March 2024. 
PSK Holdings Inc (031980 KS) will be new addition to KOSDAQ 150 index, replacing ST Cube.
PSK Holdings' core business is providing process technology, source, and hardware for semiconductor packaging equipment.


Special Changes in KOSDAQ 150: Deletion - STCube (052020) And Addition - PSK Holdings (031980)

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>HPSP is getting ready for an IPO in Korea in July. This semiconductor equipment Korean company is an IPO with the best fundamentals for a so far in 2022.</li>
<li>The IPO base deal size is from $55 million to $60 million. Crescendo Equity Partners (backed by Peter Thiel) is the controlling shareholder of HPSP.</li>
<li>HPSP had revenue of 91.8 billion won (up 50% YoY) and operating profit of 45.2 billion won (up 82.3% YoY) in 2021. Its sales and profits surged higher in 1Q22.</li>
</ul>


HPSP is getting ready for an IPO in Korea in July. This semiconductor equipment Korean company is an IPO with the best fundamentals for a so far in 2022.
The IPO base deal size is from $55 million to $60 million. Crescendo Equity Partners (backed by Peter Thiel) is the controlling shareholder of HPSP.
HPSP had revenue of 91.8 billion won (up 50% YoY) and operating profit of 45.2 billion won (up 82.3% YoY) in 2021. Its sales and profits surged higher in 1Q22.


HPSP Preview: A Korean IPO With Best Fundamentals So Far in 2022

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

<ul>
<li>The review period for a global index commenced last week and will run through this week as well.</li>
<li>The announcement of the changes for the LQ45 Index should be announced in the coming week and will be implemented at the close on 31 January.</li>
<li>Huge inflows to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-shenzhen-csi-300-inde" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22906:1" rel="noopener">CSI 300 Index</a> trackers during the week while there was a big outflow from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tracker-fund-of-hong-kong-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29257:1" rel="noopener">Tracker Fund of Hong Kong (2800 HK)</a>. </li>
</ul>


The review period for a global index commenced last week and will run through this week as well.
The announcement of the changes for the LQ45 Index should be announced in the coming week and will be implemented at the close on 31 January.
Huge inflows to CSI 300 Index trackers during the week while there was a big outflow from Tracker Fund of Hong Kong (2800 HK). 


Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: ASX, KS200, KQ150, HSIII, STTF, L&F, Costa Group, Japan, Bud APAC

<ul>
<li>With over 40% of the review period complete, there could be 15 changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kosdaq-150-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31077:1" rel="noopener">KOSDAQ 150 Index (KOSDQ150 INDEX)</a> at the June rebalance.</li>
<li>There could be two changes before that if <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/l-f-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14300:1" rel="noopener">L&amp;F Co Ltd (066970 KS)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hlb-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16969:1" rel="noopener">HLB Inc (028300 KS)</a> complete their transfer from the KOSDAQ market to the KOSPI market.</li>
<li>The adds have outperformed the deletes and the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kosdaq-150-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31077:1" rel="noopener">KOSDAQ 150 Index</a> since the start of the review period. The ban on short selling could lead to another leg up.</li>
</ul>


With over 40% of the review period complete, there could be 15 changes for the KOSDAQ 150 Index (KOSDQ150 INDEX) at the June rebalance.
There could be two changes before that if L&amp;F Co Ltd (066970 KS) and HLB Inc (028300 KS) complete their transfer from the KOSDAQ market to the KOSPI market.
The adds have outperformed the deletes and the KOSDAQ 150 Index since the start of the review period. The ban on short selling could lead to another leg up.


KOSDAQ150 Index Rebalance Preview: Potential Adds Soaring; Short Sell Ban Not Helping

<ul>
<li>Our base case valuation of HPSP is implied market cap of 810 billion won or target price of 38,228 won per share.</li>
<li>This is 53% higher than the high end of the IPO price range of 25,000 won.  Given the solid upside, we have a POSITIVE view of the HPSP IPO.</li>
<li>Our base case valuation uses our estimated net profit of 79.8 billion won in 2022 and P/E of 10.2x which is the median valuation multiple of its peers. </li>
</ul>


Our base case valuation of HPSP is implied market cap of 810 billion won or target price of 38,228 won per share.
This is 53% higher than the high end of the IPO price range of 25,000 won.  Given the solid upside, we have a POSITIVE view of the HPSP IPO.
Our base case valuation uses our estimated net profit of 79.8 billion won in 2022 and P/E of 10.2x which is the median valuation multiple of its peers. 


South Korea

Psk Holdings Inc specializes in manufacturing semiconductor fabrication and liquid crystal display (LCD) manufacturing equipment.  The Company's products include dual chamber ashers and microwave ashers used in photo resist stripping and etching and multi-etchers used in LCD processes.

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PSK Holdings Inc (031980 KS)

Special Changes in KOSDAQ 150: Deletion - STCube (052020) And Addition - PSK Holdings (031980)

KRX announced special changes to KOSDAQ 150. ST Cube will be excluded and PSK Holdings will be included in KOSDAQ 150 as of 26 March.

Douglas Kim

HPSP Preview: A Korean IPO With Best Fundamentals So Far in 2022

The local media mentioned today that Crescendo Equity Partners is planning to sell its 39.59% controlling stake in HPSP (403870 KS), whose market...

Douglas Kim

Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: ASX, KS200, KQ150, HSIII, STTF, L&F, Costa Group, Japan, Bud APAC

This recap highlights Insights covering Asian index rebalances (announcements/ forecasts/ IPO Fast Entry/ M&A driven changes). We also highlight...

Brian Freitas

KOSDAQ150 Index Rebalance Preview: Potential Adds Soaring; Short Sell Ban Not Helping

There could be 15 changes for the KOSDAQ150 Index in June. The potential adds have outperformed the deletes and the index since the start of the...

Brian Freitas

HPSP IPO Valuation Analysis

Our base case valuation of HPSP is implied market cap of 810 billion won or target price of 38,228 won per share, which represents 53% higher than...

Douglas Kim

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