Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the monthly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine.</li>
<li>Northbound connected recorded inflow of USD 2.7bn in May, led by financisl, utilities and energy sector.</li>
<li>We highlight inflows into CMB, Yangtze Power, Yili, Longi, and Industrial bank, as well as outflows from CATL, Conch, Haitian, Zijin and Tinci. </li>
</ul>


We analyze the monthly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine.
Northbound connected recorded inflow of USD 2.7bn in May, led by financisl, utilities and energy sector.
We highlight inflows into CMB, Yangtze Power, Yili, Longi, and Industrial bank, as well as outflows from CATL, Conch, Haitian, Zijin and Tinci. 


Northbound Flows Monthly (May): CMB, Yangtze Power, Yili

Research on Tech Companies

Evelyn Zhang

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>The competition between Alibaba and JD has been heating up after Alibaba abandoned its "exclusivity requirement”, JD sale GMV increased by 28.4% vs Alibaba only increased by 8.4% YoY.  </li>
<li>Live streaming has become a mainstream sales channel, Douyin and Kuaishou both achieved more than 200% sales increase YoY.  </li>
<li>Influencers and brands are fighting over price setting power. Many brands have opened their own official livestreaming channels this year.</li>
</ul>


The competition between Alibaba and JD has been heating up after Alibaba abandoned its "exclusivity requirement”, JD sale GMV increased by 28.4% vs Alibaba only increased by 8.4% YoY.  
Live streaming has become a mainstream sales channel, Douyin and Kuaishou both achieved more than 200% sales increase YoY.  
Influencers and brands are fighting over price setting power. Many brands have opened their own official livestreaming channels this year.


IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

FSN E-Commerce Ventures (Nykaa) / Equity Capital Markets

<div><p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/fsn-e-commerce-ventures-nykaa" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33796:1" rel="noopener">FSN E-Commerce Ventures (Nykaa) (1003622D IN)</a> provides e-retailing of beauty and fashion products through two verticals Nykaa (beauty and personal care) and Nykaa Fashion (apparel and accessories). Nykaa is the largest speciality beauty and personal care platform in India as measured by the value of products sold in the FY21 and in 5MFY22 (five months ending August), according to RedSeer.   </p></div><div>
<p>Nykaa will launch its IPO on 28 October. The IPO comprises a primary raise of Rs6,300 million ($84 million) with the remainder 42.0 million secondary shares. At the indicative price range of Rs1,085-1,125 per share, the gross proceeds are Rs51.8-53.2 billion ($691-714 million). An anchor placement of up to Rs23.4 billion ($312 million) will open on 27 October, and the IPO will close on 1 November. </p>
<p>In <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/nykaa-ipo-initiation-beauty-parade" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:58791" rel="noopener">Nykaa IPO Initiation: Beauty Parade</a>, we stated that Nykaa has a strong positioning in India’s e-commerce beauty products industry, underpinned by the strong brand recognition of the ‘Nykaa’ brand. The financial performance is solid with strong growth, rising margins and cash generation. These characteristics should enable Nykaa to hold its own against intensifying competition. We concluded that Nykaa has attractive fundamentals.</p>
</div><div><div class="content-highlight"><p>In <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/nykaa-ipo-on-trend" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:59407" rel="noopener">Nykaa IPO: On Trend</a>, we stated that the recent results from the updated prospectus reinforce our view that Nykaa has the ability to deliver strong profitable growth. Our valuation analysis suggests that the IPO price range is attractive.</p></div></div>

FSN E-Commerce Ventures (Nykaa) (1003622D IN) provides e-retailing of beauty and fashion products through two verticals Nykaa (beauty and personal care) and Nykaa Fashion (apparel and accessories). Nykaa is the largest speciality beauty and personal care platform in India as measured by the value of products sold in the FY21 and in 5MFY22 (five months ending August), according to RedSeer.   
Nykaa will launch its IPO on 28 October. The IPO comprises a primary raise of Rs6,300 million ($84 million) with the remainder 42.0 million secondary shares. At the indicative price range of Rs1,085-1,125 per share, the gross proceeds are Rs51.8-53.2 billion ($691-714 million). An anchor placement of up to Rs23.4 billion ($312 million) will open on 27 October, and the IPO will close on 1 November. 
In Nykaa IPO Initiation: Beauty Parade, we stated that Nykaa has a strong positioning in India’s e-commerce beauty products industry, underpinned by the strong brand recognition of the ‘Nykaa’ brand. The financial performance is solid with strong growth, rising margins and cash generation. These characteristics should enable Nykaa to hold its own against intensifying competition. We concluded that Nykaa has attractive fundamentals.
In Nykaa IPO: On Trend, we stated that the recent results from the updated prospectus reinforce our view that Nykaa has the ability to deliver strong profitable growth. Our valuation analysis suggests that the IPO price range is attractive.

<p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/fsn-e-commerce-ventures-nykaa" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33796:1" rel="noopener">FSN E-Commerce Ventures (Nykaa) (1003622D IN)</a> provides e-retailing of beauty and fashion products through two verticals Nykaa (beauty and personal care) and Nykaa Fashion (apparel and accessories). Nykaa is the largest speciality beauty and personal care platform in India as measured by the value of products sold in the FY21 and in 5MFY22 (five months ending August), according to RedSeer. </p><p>Nykaa will launch its IPO on 28 October. The IPO comprises a primary raise of Rs6,300 million ($84 million) with the remainder 42.0 million secondary shares. At the indicative price range of Rs1,085-1,125 per share, the gross proceeds are Rs51.8-53.2 billion ($691-714 million). The secondary sellers include promoters Falguni Nayar and Sanjay Nayar (through Sanjay Nayar Family Trust), TPG and Lighthouse.</p><p>In <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/nykaa-ipo-initiation-beauty-parade" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:58791" rel="noopener">Nykaa IPO Initiation: Beauty Parade</a>, we stated that Nykaa has a strong positioning in India’s e-commerce beauty products industry, underpinned by the strong brand recognition of the ‘Nykaa’ brand. It has been able to retain a large customer base, leading to repeat orders such that existing consumers accounted for 70% of GMV in FY21. Nykaa also has relationships with 2,476 brands but with no dependence on any brand or product. The financial performance is solid with strong growth, rising margins and cash generation. These characteristics should enable Nykaa to hold its own against intensifying competition. We concluded that Nykaa has attractive fundamentals.</p><div class="content-highlight"><p>In this note, we look at the updated prospectus which outlines the 1QFY22 results (for the quarter ending June) and KPIs for 5MFY22 (five months ending August). Overall, the recent results reinforce our view that Nykaa has the ability to deliver strong profitable growth. We will discuss valuation in our next note.  </p></div>

FSN E-Commerce Ventures (Nykaa) (1003622D IN) provides e-retailing of beauty and fashion products through two verticals Nykaa (beauty and personal care) and Nykaa Fashion (apparel and accessories). Nykaa is the largest speciality beauty and personal care platform in India as measured by the value of products sold in the FY21 and in 5MFY22 (five months ending August), according to RedSeer. Nykaa will launch its IPO on 28 October. The IPO comprises a primary raise of Rs6,300 million ($84 million) with the remainder 42.0 million secondary shares. At the indicative price range of Rs1,085-1,125 per share, the gross proceeds are Rs51.8-53.2 billion ($691-714 million). The secondary sellers include promoters Falguni Nayar and Sanjay Nayar (through Sanjay Nayar Family Trust), TPG and Lighthouse.In Nykaa IPO Initiation: Beauty Parade, we stated that Nykaa has a strong positioning in India’s e-commerce beauty products industry, underpinned by the strong brand recognition of the ‘Nykaa’ brand. It has been able to retain a large customer base, leading to repeat orders such that existing consumers accounted for 70% of GMV in FY21. Nykaa also has relationships with 2,476 brands but with no dependence on any brand or product. The financial performance is solid with strong growth, rising margins and cash generation. These characteristics should enable Nykaa to hold its own against intensifying competition. We concluded that Nykaa has attractive fundamentals.In this note, we look at the updated prospectus which outlines the 1QFY22 results (for the quarter ending June) and KPIs for 5MFY22 (five months ending August). Overall, the recent results reinforce our view that Nykaa has the ability to deliver strong profitable growth. We will discuss valuation in our next note.  

HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Equity Bottom-Up

Yunnan Botanee Bio-Technology / Equity Bottom-Up

<p>On August 10, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/yunnan-botanee-bio-technology" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33954:1" rel="noopener">Yunnan Botanee Bio-Technology (300957 CH)</a> released its 2021/1H financial results. In the first half of 2021, Botanee achieved revenue of RMB1.412 billion, up 49.94% YoY. Net profit attributed to shareholders was RMB265 million, up 65.28% YoY. Net profit after deducting non-recurring gains and losses was RMB253 million, up 68.46% YoY. The performance was outstanding, but the market seemed to have very modest response. Botanee’s share price was just up 1.02% on August 11 and 3.98% on August 12 but down 5.35% on August 13. So, how is this Company? What are the concerns behind positive financial results?</p>

On August 10, Yunnan Botanee Bio-Technology (300957 CH) released its 2021/1H financial results. In the first half of 2021, Botanee achieved revenue of RMB1.412 billion, up 49.94% YoY. Net profit attributed to shareholders was RMB265 million, up 65.28% YoY. Net profit after deducting non-recurring gains and losses was RMB253 million, up 68.46% YoY. The performance was outstanding, but the market seemed to have very modest response. Botanee’s share price was just up 1.02% on August 11 and 3.98% on August 12 but down 5.35% on August 13. So, how is this Company? What are the concerns behind positive financial results?

Botanee Bio-Technology (300957.CH)-The Success of WINONA Cannot Cover up the Concerns on the Outlook

China

Proya Cosmetics Co., Ltd. operates as a cosmetics products manufacturing company. The Company researches and markets skin care products, make up, body wash, and other related products. Proya Cosmetics markets its products throughout China.

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Proya Cosmetics (603605 CH)

Northbound Flows Monthly (May): CMB, Yangtze Power, Yili

Northbound stock connect recorded inflows of $2.7bn in May. We highlight inflows into CMB, Yangtze Power, Yili, Longi, Industrial bank, as well as...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

A Quiet Single Day

Another year another Single's Day, but the pandemic has put a damper on this year's shopping bonanza. Faced with a shrinking pie, a new player is...

Evelyn Zhang

Nykaa IPO: Valuation Insights

Nykaa will launch its IPO on 28 October to raise gross proceeds of $691-714 million. Our valuation analysis suggests that the IPO price range is...

Arun George

Nykaa IPO: On Trend

In this note, we look at the updated prospectus which outlines 1QFY22 results and KPIs for 5MFY22. The recent results reinforce our view that Nykaa...

Arun George

Botanee Bio-Technology (300957.CH)-The Success of WINONA Cannot Cover up the Concerns on the Outlook

The article analyzed a popular skin care product company Botanee in terms of the market potential, 2021H1 performance, strength, comparison with...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

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