Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The review period for the March rebalance of the KOSPI Size Indices ends 28 February. The results will be announced early March and implemented at the close on 9 March.</li>
<li>We see 5 migrations between MidCap and LargeCap, 8 migrations from SmallCap to MidCap, 3 new adds to MidCap, and 11 migrations from MidCap to SmallCap.</li>
<li>Stocks migrating from SmallCap to MidCap have outperformed stocks that are migrating between other categories.</li>
</ul>


The review period for the March rebalance of the KOSPI Size Indices ends 28 February. The results will be announced early March and implemented at the close on 9 March.
We see 5 migrations between MidCap and LargeCap, 8 migrations from SmallCap to MidCap, 3 new adds to MidCap, and 11 migrations from MidCap to SmallCap.
Stocks migrating from SmallCap to MidCap have outperformed stocks that are migrating between other categories.


KOSPI Size Indices - Potential Changes in March

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we discuss a list of 60 stocks in Korea where NPS recently added or reduced 1% or more stake (27 adds and 33 reduce). </li>
<li>Among the stocks NPS increased its stake, many of them are clear beneficiaries of the end of zero COVID policies in China including Hotel Shilla, Amorepacific Corp, and GKL. </li>
<li>Among the top market cap stocks where the NPS decreased its stake by 1% or more, they include Lg Innotek, Hyundai E&amp;C, Hyundai Mipo, and Posco International. </li>
</ul>


In this insight, we discuss a list of 60 stocks in Korea where NPS recently added or reduced 1% or more stake (27 adds and 33 reduce). 
Among the stocks NPS increased its stake, many of them are clear beneficiaries of the end of zero COVID policies in China including Hotel Shilla, Amorepacific Corp, and GKL. 
Among the top market cap stocks where the NPS decreased its stake by 1% or more, they include Lg Innotek, Hyundai E&amp;C, Hyundai Mipo, and Posco International. 


Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

<ul>
<li>To MID migrants: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/amorepacific-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12179:1" rel="noopener">Amorepacific Group (002790 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/e-mart-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6993:1" rel="noopener">E Mart (139480 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/iljin-materials-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7709:1" rel="noopener">Iljin Materials (020150 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hanjin-kal-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19086:1" rel="noopener">Hanjin KAL (180640 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/oci-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1904:1" rel="noopener">OCI (010060 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lx-semicon-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20670:1" rel="noopener">LX Semicon (108320 KS)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/socar-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29693:1" rel="noopener">SOCAR (403550 KS)</a>
</li>
<li>To LARGE migrants: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hyundai-rotem-company" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1554:1" rel="noopener">Hyundai Rotem (064350 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hotel-shilla-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:107:1" rel="noopener">Hotel Shilla (008770 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/gs-retail-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3867:1" rel="noopener">GS Retail (007070 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cs-wind-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4883:1" rel="noopener">CS Wind (112610 KS)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/posco-international-corporation" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5954:1" rel="noopener">Posco International (047050 KS)</a> </li>
<li>This time, the degree of predictability is high as the MC gap widened from an early point. So, we should consider building our position in phases from early next month.</li>
</ul>


To MID migrants: Amorepacific Group (002790 KS), E Mart (139480 KS), Iljin Materials (020150 KS), Hanjin KAL (180640 KS), OCI (010060 KS), LX Semicon (108320 KS), and SOCAR (403550 KS)

To LARGE migrants: Hyundai Rotem (064350 KS), Hotel Shilla (008770 KS), GS Retail (007070 KS), CS Wind (112610 KS), and Posco International (047050 KS) 
This time, the degree of predictability is high as the MC gap widened from an early point. So, we should consider building our position in phases from early next month.


KOSPI Size Index: Early Preview at One Fourth into Screening Period

Posco International Corporation / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>On 12 August, Posco International stated that it plans to merge with one of POSCO Holdings' energy affiliate called POSCO Energy which is a major LNG provider in Korea.</li>
<li>We believe the merger between POSCO International and POSCO Energy is  value enhancing. The shareholders of POSCO International are getting a sweet deal in POSCO Energy at attractive valuations.</li>
<li>This M&amp;A deal is likely to boost the market cap of the combined companies and raise the rank of POSCO International in important indices such as KOSPI200. </li>
</ul>


On 12 August, Posco International stated that it plans to merge with one of POSCO Holdings' energy affiliate called POSCO Energy which is a major LNG provider in Korea.
We believe the merger between POSCO International and POSCO Energy is  value enhancing. The shareholders of POSCO International are getting a sweet deal in POSCO Energy at attractive valuations.
This M&amp;A deal is likely to boost the market cap of the combined companies and raise the rank of POSCO International in important indices such as KOSPI200. 


POSCO International + POSCO Energy = A Value Enhancing M&A Deal

<ul>
<li>We still have the chance to become eligible. We will still receive the rights if we buy Posco International next Tuesday. But we will exercise them at ₩20,590, NOT ₩27,801.</li>
<li>Given that there is little cancellation risk, we can capitalize on the price falling below the appraisal price by opening both Long and Short at the same price.</li>
<li>We close Short if the price goes under ₩20,590 and fix the arb spread by exercising the rights with Long.</li>
</ul>


We still have the chance to become eligible. We will still receive the rights if we buy Posco International next Tuesday. But we will exercise them at ₩20,590, NOT ₩27,801.
Given that there is little cancellation risk, we can capitalize on the price falling below the appraisal price by opening both Long and Short at the same price.
We close Short if the price goes under ₩20,590 and fix the arb spread by exercising the rights with Long.


Posco International Merger: Deal Structure & Arbitrage Dynamics

South Korea

LX International is a commodity trading and mining company.  The Company develops and trades coal, oil, gas, non-ferrous metals, palm oil, and renewable energy. LG International also trades IT related component/equipment, petrochemical and steel product.

SK Networks Co., Ltd. is a general trading company.  The Company trades general merchandise, such as steel, oil, timber, petrochemical, household appliances, clothing, textile products, and information technology equipment.  SK Networks provides insurance and financial services through subsidiaries.

Hyundai Corporation is a trading company.  The Company exports Hyundai Group's products, such as steel, ships, plants, automobiles, semiconductors, and machinery.  Hyundai Corporation also imports machinery and raw materials.

iMarketKorea Inc. provides procurement services and MRO goods.  The Company operates in North America, South America, Asia, and Europe.

GS Global Corporation is a general trading company which exports heavy industrial products.  The Company's exports include steel, machinery, electronic chemical products, coal, and oil.  GS Global exports its merchandise mainly to the U.S., Japan, and China.

Sam Yung Trading Co., Ltd. imports and exports chemicals, such as monomer and solvent.  The Company also exports plastic ophthalmic lenses to Japan, China, Hong Kong, Britain, Germany, and other countries.

Hydro Lithium Inc manufactures and distributes full scale lithium products. The Company produces battery grade lithium hydroxide and other related products. Hydro Lithium also offers structural metal products, bridge, tunnel, and railway construction services.

STX Corporation is an investment holding company.  The Company, through its subsidiaries, manufactures medium-sized diesel engines for ships, generators, trains, and tanks.

AJ Networks Co., Ltd. is a holdings company that is engaged in various industries including auto rentals, general rentals, logistics/distribution, and finance.  The Company's subsidiaries include AJ Rentacar, AJ Total, AJ Park, and AJ Capital Partners.

Samsung Heavy Industries Co., Ltd. manufactures crude oil tankers, container vessels, bulk carriers, cruisers, and passenger ferries.  The Company also produces steel and bridge structures, and material handling equipment.  In addition, Samsung Heavy Industries provides civil engineering, architectural, and plant construction services.

Air Lease Corporation is an aircraft leasing company. The Company is principally  engaged in purchasing commercial aircraft and leasing to airlines around the world. Air Lease operates on a global basis, providing aircraft to airline customers in regions that include Asia, the Pacific Rim, Latin America, the Middle East and Eastern Europe.

Beacon Roofing Supply, Inc. distributes residential and non-residential roofing materials in the United States and Canada.  The Company also distributes other complementary building materials, including siding, windows, specialty lumber products, and waterproofing systems, for residential and non-residential building exteriors.

WESCO International, Inc. distributes electrical products and other industrial maintenance, repair, and operating supplies.  The Company also provides integrated supply services.  WESCO operates branches and distribution centers in the United States, Canada, Puerto Rico, Guam, Mexico, the United Kingdom, and Singapore, which serve customers worldwide.

GATX Corporation leases, operates, manages, and remarkets long-lived, widely used assets, primarily in the rail and marine markets. The Company leases tank and freight cars and locomotives in North America, Europe, and India. GATX also actively manages transportation and other leased assets on behalf of third parties.

Sojitz Corporation is a general trading company.  The Company has business divisions such as Machinery & Aerospace, Energy & Mineral Resources, Chemicals & Plastics, Real Estate Development & Forest Products, Consumer Lifestyle Business, and New Business Development Group.  Sojitz was formed through the business integration between Nichimen and Nissho Iwai.

MISUMI Group Inc. distributes precision machinery parts by mail order. The products include a variety of components such as press die, plastic mold, automated machinery, pc & network, and wiring.  The Company also sells supplies for factories, hospitals, and restaurants and semi-conductors by mail order.

MonotaRO Co., Ltd. mainly sells machine tools, engine parts, and factory consumable goods on the web site.

Univar Inc. distributes industrial and specialty chemical products. The Company offers solvents, resins, pigments, acids, bases, surfactants, glycols, inorganic compounds, and alcohols. Univar supplies its products to the coatings and adhesives, food, oil and gas, personal care, and pharmaceutical industries worldwide.

Applied Industrial Technologies, Inc. distributes bearings and seals, power transmission and fluid power components, hydraulic and pneumatic components, industrial rubber products, linear components, and general maintenance items. The Company also provides engineering design and systems integration services, as well as mechanical, fabricated rubber, and fluid power shop services.

IMCD Group NV sells specialty chemicals and food ingredients. The Company supplies detergent surfactants, builders, rheology modifiers, solubilizers, and functional additives. IMCD serves customers worldwide.

Posco International Corporation is a general trading company.  The Company exports and imports steel, cement, crude oil, heavy machinery, automobile parts, and textiles.  Daewoo also manufactures synthetic fabrics for footwear, garments, and car seats, and operates a department store in Masan.

Posco International Corporation (047050 KS)

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Posco International Corporation (047050 KS)

KOSPI Size Indices - Potential Changes in March

The review period for the March rebal of the KOSPI Size Indices ends on 28 February. We see quite a lot of potential migrations. Some stocks could...

Brian Freitas

What Is NPS Buying & Selling?

In this insight, we discuss a list of 60 stocks in Korea where NPS recently added or reduced 1% or more stake (27 adds and 33 reduce).

Douglas Kim

KOSPI Size Index: Early Preview at One Fourth into Screening Period

This post screens migrant candidates of the KOSPI Size Index Series, scheduled for rebalancing in March, as we are one-fourth into the screening...

Sanghyun Park

POSCO International + POSCO Energy = A Value Enhancing M&A Deal

We believe the merger between POSCO International and POSCO Energy is value enhancing. The shareholders of POSCO International are getting a sweet...

Douglas Kim

Posco International Merger: Deal Structure & Arbitrage Dynamics

This post investigates Posco International's merger with Posco Energy, officially announced last Friday, and explores arbitrage opportunities...

Sanghyun Park

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