Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>In the past year, four KOSPI transfer listings showed similar patterns, with pre-listing price increases and substantial corrections in the first five trading days post-listing.</li>
<li>ChatGPTAmid a sideways market and a 54.2% YoY growth in the local ETF market last year, the impact of passive flow imbalances may have been more significant than before.</li>
<li>A key factor is the short-selling ban. Posco DX's SSFs showed significant backwardation pre-KOSPI listing, concentrating proactive short positions, requiring caution in adjusting pre-listing short position costs.</li>
</ul>


In the past year, four KOSPI transfer listings showed similar patterns, with pre-listing price increases and substantial corrections in the first five trading days post-listing.
ChatGPTAmid a sideways market and a 54.2% YoY growth in the local ETF market last year, the impact of passive flow imbalances may have been more significant than before.
A key factor is the short-selling ban. Posco DX's SSFs showed significant backwardation pre-KOSPI listing, concentrating proactive short positions, requiring caution in adjusting pre-listing short position costs.


Event Trading on KOSPI Transfer Listings: Notable Post-Listing Price Patterns

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/posco-dx-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5198:1" rel="noopener">Posco DX (022100 KS)</a> continues to drop following its section transfer from the KOSDAQ market to the KOSPI market. Short interest in the stock nearly halved in December.</li>
<li>There were big net inflows to China ETFs with creations in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-shenzhen-csi-300-inde" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22906:1" rel="noopener">CSI 300 Index</a> ETFs and redemptions in ETFs tracking the CSI 500 Index and CSI 1000 Index.</li>
<li>Creations continued in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ishares-msci-emerging-markets-223f5da3-7054-4e4f-bc55-b7f0852c2581" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31998:1" rel="noopener">iShares Emerging Markets ex China (EMXC US)</a> ETF with units outstanding reaching a new high.</li>
</ul>



Posco DX (022100 KS) continues to drop following its section transfer from the KOSDAQ market to the KOSPI market. Short interest in the stock nearly halved in December.
There were big net inflows to China ETFs with creations in CSI 300 Index ETFs and redemptions in ETFs tracking the CSI 500 Index and CSI 1000 Index.
Creations continued in the iShares Emerging Markets ex China (EMXC US) ETF with units outstanding reaching a new high.


Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: HSCEI, HSCI, KRX New Deal, NIFTY50, NEXT50, CNXBANK

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

<ul>
<li>On 27 December, Kum Yang announced that its shares will be listed on the US stock market in the form of DRs, resulting in its shares rising by 11.7%.</li>
<li>The listing of Kum Yang ADRs is likely to have a short-term positive impact on its share price as this is likely to reduce free float of local common shares.</li>
<li>Nonetheless, over the next 6-12 months, we expect Kum Yang's share price to trade much lower (30% or more) as its shares are highly overvalued. </li>
</ul>


On 27 December, Kum Yang announced that its shares will be listed on the US stock market in the form of DRs, resulting in its shares rising by 11.7%.
The listing of Kum Yang ADRs is likely to have a short-term positive impact on its share price as this is likely to reduce free float of local common shares.
Nonetheless, over the next 6-12 months, we expect Kum Yang's share price to trade much lower (30% or more) as its shares are highly overvalued. 


Kum Yang: Announces Its Shares Will Be Listed on the US Stock Market Through ADRs

<ul>
<li>The adhoc <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kosdaq-150-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31077:1" rel="noopener">KOSDAQ 150 Index</a> rebalance and the regular Nifty200 Momentum30 Index rebalance will be implemented on Thursday and the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/stock-exchange-of-thailand-set-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31493:1" rel="noopener">SET 50 Index</a> rebalance will be implemented on Friday.</li>
<li>The review cutoff period for a whole bunch of indices ends on 29 December and the announcement of the results and implementation will take place early next year.</li>
<li>There were big inflows to China ETFs and to Emerging Market ETFs including <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ishares-core-msci-emerging-mar" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32967:1" rel="noopener">iShares Core Emerging Mar (IEMG US)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vanguard-ftse-emerging-markets-etf" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:778:1" rel="noopener">Vanguard Emerging Markets (VWO US)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ishares-msci-emerging-markets-223f5da3-7054-4e4f-bc55-b7f0852c2581" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31998:1" rel="noopener">iShares Emerging Markets (EMXC US)</a>. </li>
</ul>


The adhoc KOSDAQ 150 Index rebalance and the regular Nifty200 Momentum30 Index rebalance will be implemented on Thursday and the SET 50 Index rebalance will be implemented on Friday.
The review cutoff period for a whole bunch of indices ends on 29 December and the announcement of the results and implementation will take place early next year.
There were big inflows to China ETFs and to Emerging Market ETFs including iShares Core Emerging Mar (IEMG US), Vanguard Emerging Markets (VWO US) and iShares Emerging Markets (EMXC US). 


Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: STAR50, SET50, AMFI, KOSDAQ150

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/posco-dx-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5198:1" rel="noopener">Posco DX (022100 KS)</a> will move from the KOSDAQ Market to the KOSPI Market on 2 January. That means <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kosdaq-150-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31077:1" rel="noopener">KOSDAQ150 Index (KOSDQ150 INDEX)</a> deletion at the close on 28 December.</li>
<li>In line with our forecast, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/temc-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36608:1" rel="noopener">Temc (425040 KS)</a> will be added to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kosdaq-150-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31077:1" rel="noopener">KOSDAQ 150 Index (KOSDQ150 INDEX)</a> as a replacement.</li>
<li>Short interest increased in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/posco-dx-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5198:1" rel="noopener">Posco DX (022100 KS)</a> following its inclusion in a global index and there should continue to be unwinding over the next week.</li>
</ul>



Posco DX (022100 KS) will move from the KOSDAQ Market to the KOSPI Market on 2 January. That means KOSDAQ150 Index (KOSDQ150 INDEX) deletion at the close on 28 December.
In line with our forecast, Temc (425040 KS) will be added to the KOSDAQ 150 Index (KOSDQ150 INDEX) as a replacement.
Short interest increased in Posco DX (022100 KS) following its inclusion in a global index and there should continue to be unwinding over the next week.


KOSDAQ150 Adhoc Index Rebalance: TEMC Added; Short Covering Expected in PoscoDX

South Korea

Posco DX Company Ltd. provides information and technology services. The Company provides computer systems design, computer and server merchant wholesale, computer and office machine repair and maintenance services. Posco DX also offers eic engineering, smart factory, wireless networking equipment, steel manufacturing, and digital video recorder manufacturing services.

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Posco DX (022100 KS)

Event Trading on KOSPI Transfer Listings: Notable Post-Listing Price Patterns

This post delves into significant post-listing price patterns observed in KOSPI transfer listings, aiming to provide insights for event-driven...

Sanghyun Park

Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: HSCEI, HSCI, KRX New Deal, NIFTY50, NEXT50, CNXBANK

This recap highlights Insights covering Asian index rebalances (announcements/ forecasts/ IPO Fast Entry/ M&A driven changes). We also highlight...

Brian Freitas

Kum Yang: Announces Its Shares Will Be Listed on the US Stock Market Through ADRs

On 27 December, Kum Yang announced that its shares will be listed on the US stock market in the form of DRs, resulting in its shares rising by 11.7%.

Douglas Kim

Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: STAR50, SET50, AMFI, KOSDAQ150

This recap highlights Insights covering Asian index rebalances (announcements/ forecasts/ IPO Fast Entry/ M&A driven changes). We also highlight...

Brian Freitas

KOSDAQ150 Adhoc Index Rebalance: TEMC Added; Short Covering Expected in PoscoDX

As expected, TEMC will replace PoscoDX in the KOSDAQ150 at the close on 28 Dec. Short covering has commenced in PoscoDX and could continue over the...

Brian Freitas

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