Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/posco-dx-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5198:1" rel="noopener">Posco DX (022100)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kum-yang-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10364:1" rel="noopener">Kum Yang (001570)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sk-telecom-co-ltd-bbccd86c-474d-4a4d-946d-10e911a225a2" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:395:1" rel="noopener">SK Telecom (017670)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lotte-energy-materials-corporation" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7709:1" rel="noopener">Lotte Energy Materials (020150)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kakao-games-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26730:1" rel="noopener">Kakao Games (293490)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pan-ocean-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5279:1" rel="noopener">Pan Ocean (028670)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bgf-retail-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26731:1" rel="noopener">BGF retail (282330)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/netmarble-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22839:1" rel="noopener">Netmarble (251270)</a> have been on investors/traders radars recently.</li>
<li>There could be liquidity events in some of the stocks next month as passive index trackers look to buy/sell the stocks.</li>
<li>Foreign investors have sold <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lotte-energy-materials-corporation" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7709:1" rel="noopener">Lotte Energy Materials (020150 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kakao-games-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26730:1" rel="noopener">Kakao Games (293490 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pan-ocean-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5279:1" rel="noopener">Pan Ocean (028670 KS)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/netmarble-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22839:1" rel="noopener">Netmarble (251270 KS)</a> while buying <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bgf-retail-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26731:1" rel="noopener">BGF retail (282330 KS)</a>. </li>
</ul>



Posco DX (022100), Kum Yang (001570), SK Telecom (017670), Lotte Energy Materials (020150), Kakao Games (293490), Pan Ocean (028670), BGF retail (282330), Netmarble (251270) have been on investors/traders radars recently.
There could be liquidity events in some of the stocks next month as passive index trackers look to buy/sell the stocks.
Foreign investors have sold Lotte Energy Materials (020150 KS), Kakao Games (293490 KS), Pan Ocean (028670 KS) and Netmarble (251270 KS) while buying BGF retail (282330 KS). 


Korea - Positioning in Stocks That Could Have Global Passive Flows

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

<ul>
<li>Posco DX's KOSPI 200 fast entry effective date will likely coincide with the December regular rebalancing date.</li>
<li>We should focus on the ad-hoc change deletion as we can expect more pronounced price impact near the effective date due to lower chances of premature exposure than regular reviews.</li>
<li>The following three candidates are screened: K Car, Daesang Corporation, and Shinsegae International. They are all likely to exhibit a significant passive impact (x ADTV).</li>
</ul>


Posco DX's KOSPI 200 fast entry effective date will likely coincide with the December regular rebalancing date.
We should focus on the ad-hoc change deletion as we can expect more pronounced price impact near the effective date due to lower chances of premature exposure than regular reviews.
The following three candidates are screened: K Car, Daesang Corporation, and Shinsegae International. They are all likely to exhibit a significant passive impact (x ADTV).


Prime Target for Flow Trading Due to Low Pre-Exposure in December KOSPI 200 Rebalancing

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Ethan Aw

APAC IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

EcoPro Materials / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ecopro-materials" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36806:1" rel="noopener">EcoPro Materials (ECO123 KS)</a> is looking to raise up to US$500m in its Korean IPO.</li>
<li>Ecopro Materials (EPM) manufactures and sells high-nickel precursors, one of the key materials for high-nickel cathode materials for secondary (rechargeable) batteries.</li>
<li>In our previous note, we covered the company’s performance. In this note, we will undertake a  peer comparison.</li>
</ul>



EcoPro Materials (ECO123 KS) is looking to raise up to US$500m in its Korean IPO.
Ecopro Materials (EPM) manufactures and sells high-nickel precursors, one of the key materials for high-nickel cathode materials for secondary (rechargeable) batteries.
In our previous note, we covered the company’s performance. In this note, we will undertake a  peer comparison.


Ecopro Materials IPO - Peer Comparison - Doesn't Particularly Stand Out

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we discuss the potential inclusion and exclusion candidates for the KOSDAQ 150 rebalance in December 2023. </li>
<li>The 8 lowest market cap stocks in KOSDAQ 150 are among the main candidates to be excluded from the KOSDAQ 150 rebalance in December 2023.</li>
<li>Potential inclusions for KOSDAQ 150 rebalance in December 2023 include Fadu, GigaVis, Jeio, PhilEnergy, and Manyo Factory.</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we discuss the potential inclusion and exclusion candidates for the KOSDAQ 150 rebalance in December 2023. 
The 8 lowest market cap stocks in KOSDAQ 150 are among the main candidates to be excluded from the KOSDAQ 150 rebalance in December 2023.
Potential inclusions for KOSDAQ 150 rebalance in December 2023 include Fadu, GigaVis, Jeio, PhilEnergy, and Manyo Factory.


KOSDAQ 150 Rebalance Candidates in December 2023

<ul>
<li>Korea Exchange is planning to change the criteria for rebalancing stocks in the KOSPI 200 index. </li>
<li>The purpose of this change is to prevent stocks that surge ahead of the actual KOSPI 200 inclusion but fall significantly after the inclusion announcement.</li>
<li>We think there is a 70-80%+ probability that POSCO DX and L&amp;F Co will be included in KOSPI 200 index in December 2023.</li>
</ul>


Korea Exchange is planning to change the criteria for rebalancing stocks in the KOSPI 200 index. 
The purpose of this change is to prevent stocks that surge ahead of the actual KOSPI 200 inclusion but fall significantly after the inclusion announcement.
We think there is a 70-80%+ probability that POSCO DX and L&amp;F Co will be included in KOSPI 200 index in December 2023.


KOSPI 200 Rebalance Candidates in December 2023 & Changes to the KOSPI 200 Rebalance Process

South Korea

Posco DX Company Ltd. provides information and technology services. The Company provides computer systems design, computer and server merchant wholesale, computer and office machine repair and maintenance services. Posco DX also offers eic engineering, smart factory, wireless networking equipment, steel manufacturing, and digital video recorder manufacturing services.

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Posco DX (022100 KS)

Korea - Positioning in Stocks That Could Have Global Passive Flows

There could be a big reshuffle in Korean passive portfolios in November as stocks are added/deleted. Shorts have increased on a lot of stocks and...

Brian Freitas

Prime Target for Flow Trading Due to Low Pre-Exposure in December KOSPI 200 Rebalancing

This post explores the schedule for Posco DX's inclusion in the KOSPI 200 and how we should target the resulting deletion after its transfer...

Sanghyun Park

Ecopro Materials IPO - Peer Comparison - Doesn't Particularly Stand Out

EcoPro Materials (ECO123 KS) is looking to raise up to US$500m in its Korean IPO. In our previous note, we covered the company’s performance. In...

Ethan Aw

KOSDAQ 150 Rebalance Candidates in December 2023

In this insight, we discuss the potential inclusion and exclusion candidates for the KOSDAQ 150 rebalance in December 2023.

Douglas Kim

KOSPI 200 Rebalance Candidates in December 2023 & Changes to the KOSPI 200 Rebalance Process

We believe there is a 70-80%+ probability that POSCO DX and L&F Co will be included in KOSPI 200 index in December 2023.

Douglas Kim

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