IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

Langham Hospitality Inv Ss / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/langham-hospitality-inv-ss" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:760:1" rel="noopener">Langham Hospitality Inv Ss (1270 HK)</a> received a notice from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/great-eagle-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:758:1" rel="noopener">Great Eagle Holdings (41 HK)</a>, the largest unitholder, that it intends to present a detailed proposal for scheme privatisation.</li>
<li>The privatisation interest is unsurprising, as the unit price has declined by 43% over the last twelve months. A tough 2023 did not help the declining sentiment.</li>
<li>Our methodology for triangulating the potential offer price results in a range of HK$0.63-1.76. Our best guess is an offer of around HK$0.85, a 47% premium to the last close.</li>
</ul>



Langham Hospitality Inv Ss (1270 HK) received a notice from Great Eagle Holdings (41 HK), the largest unitholder, that it intends to present a detailed proposal for scheme privatisation.
The privatisation interest is unsurprising, as the unit price has declined by 43% over the last twelve months. A tough 2023 did not help the declining sentiment.
Our methodology for triangulating the potential offer price results in a range of HK$0.63-1.76. Our best guess is an offer of around HK$0.85, a 47% premium to the last close.


Langham Hospitality Investments (1270 HK): Great Eagle (41 HK)’s Possible Scheme Privatisation

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/beijing-capital-grand-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18241:1" rel="noopener">Beijing Capital Grand (1329 HK)</a> disclosed a Cayman scheme privatisation offer from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/beijing-capital-land-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4543:1" rel="noopener">Beijing Capital Land Ltd H (2868 HK)</a> at HK$0.85 per share, a 46.6% premium to the undisturbed price. </li>
<li>The key condition will be approval by at least 75% of disinterested shareholders (&lt;10% of all disinterested shareholders rejection). The offer price is final.</li>
<li>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sino-ocean-group-holding-limited" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Sino-Ocean Group (3377 HK)</a> receivers, which hold a blocking stake, will support a liquidity event to exit, particularly as the offer is reasonable compared to historical trading ranges.  </li>
</ul>



Beijing Capital Grand (1329 HK) disclosed a Cayman scheme privatisation offer from Beijing Capital Land Ltd H (2868 HK) at HK$0.85 per share, a 46.6% premium to the undisturbed price. 
The key condition will be approval by at least 75% of disinterested shareholders (&lt;10% of all disinterested shareholders rejection). The offer price is final.
The Sino-Ocean Group (3377 HK) receivers, which hold a blocking stake, will support a liquidity event to exit, particularly as the offer is reasonable compared to historical trading ranges.  


Beijing Capital Grand (1329 HK): Capital Group’s Scheme Privatisation at HK$0.85

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/beijing-capital-grand-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18241:1" rel="noopener">Beijing Capital Grand (1329 HK)</a> entered a trading halt based on the Hong Kong Code on Takeovers and Mergers. </li>
<li>It is likely that <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/beijing-capital-land-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4543:1" rel="noopener">Beijing Capital Land Ltd H (2868 HK)</a>, the largest shareholder, is launching an offer primarily to acquire the stake from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sino-ocean-group-holding-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8898:1" rel="noopener">Sino-Ocean Group (3377 HK)</a> receivers. </li>
<li>As this is a forced sale, an offer of around HK$0.70-0.75, a 20%- 30% premium to the last close, would be sufficient to gain an irrevocable from the receivers. </li>
</ul>



Beijing Capital Grand (1329 HK) entered a trading halt based on the Hong Kong Code on Takeovers and Mergers. 
It is likely that Beijing Capital Land Ltd H (2868 HK), the largest shareholder, is launching an offer primarily to acquire the stake from Sino-Ocean Group (3377 HK) receivers. 
As this is a forced sale, an offer of around HK$0.70-0.75, a 20%- 30% premium to the last close, would be sufficient to gain an irrevocable from the receivers. 


Beijing Capital Grand (1329 HK): An Offer from Beijing Capital Land?

Lifestyle International Holdings / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lifestyle-international-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:112:1" rel="noopener">Lifestyle International Holdings (1212 HK)</a>’s vote on Mr Lau’s offer of HK$5.00 per share is at 10 am on Monday, 21 November. The wide spread of 6.6% reflects vote risk.</li>
<li>Key conditions include approval by at least 75% of independent shareholders (&lt;10% of independent shareholders rejection). No shareholder holds a blocking stake. </li>
<li>Ongoing weak Hong Kong retail sales and peers’ slightly de-rating should lower the vote risk. Headcount test not applicable. While light, we continue to expect the offer to succeed.</li>
</ul>



Lifestyle International Holdings (1212 HK)’s vote on Mr Lau’s offer of HK$5.00 per share is at 10 am on Monday, 21 November. The wide spread of 6.6% reflects vote risk.
Key conditions include approval by at least 75% of independent shareholders (&lt;10% of independent shareholders rejection). No shareholder holds a blocking stake. 
Ongoing weak Hong Kong retail sales and peers’ slightly de-rating should lower the vote risk. Headcount test not applicable. While light, we continue to expect the offer to succeed.


Lifestyle International (1212 HK)’s Wide Spread Heading into the 21 November Vote

China Vast Industrial Urban Development / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-vast-industrial-urban-development-company-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3212:1" rel="noopener">China Vast Industrial Urban Development (6166 HK)</a>'s scheme document is out with the court meeting scheduled for 23 November. The IFA considers the offer to be fair and reasonable. </li>
<li>Key conditions include approval by at least 75% of independent shareholders (&lt;10% rejection). Shareholders with blocking stakes either provided irrecovables or will likely support the offer.</li>
<li>The offer is not great but headcount test is not applicable. At last close and for the 14 December payment, the gross and annualised spread is 0.8% and 6.7%, respectively.</li>
</ul>



China Vast Industrial Urban Development (6166 HK)'s scheme document is out with the court meeting scheduled for 23 November. The IFA considers the offer to be fair and reasonable. 
Key conditions include approval by at least 75% of independent shareholders (&lt;10% rejection). Shareholders with blocking stakes either provided irrecovables or will likely support the offer.
The offer is not great but headcount test is not applicable. At last close and for the 14 December payment, the gross and annualised spread is 0.8% and 6.7%, respectively.


Hong Kong

Polytec Asset Holdings Limited invests in and trades securities.  The Company also invests in, develops, and trades properties.  In addition, Polytec Asset manufactures ice and provides cold storage and related services.

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Polytec Asset Holdings (208 HK)

Langham Hospitality Investments (1270 HK): Great Eagle (41 HK)’s Possible Scheme Privatisation

Our methodology for triangulating the potential offer price results in a range of HK$0.63-1.76. Our best guess is an offer of around HK$0.85, a 47%...

Arun George

Beijing Capital Grand (1329 HK): Capital Group’s Scheme Privatisation at HK$0.85

Shareholders with blocking stakes are likely to be supportive, mainly as the offer is reasonable compared to historical trading ranges. At the...

Arun George

Beijing Capital Grand (1329 HK): An Offer from Beijing Capital Land?

It is likely that Beijing Capital Land, the largest shareholder, is launching an offer primarily to acquire the stake from Sino-Ocean Group receivers.

Arun George

Lifestyle International (1212 HK)’s Wide Spread Heading into the 21 November Vote

Ongoing weak Hong Kong retail sales and peers’ slightly de-rating should lower the vote risk. Headcount test not applicable. While light, we...

Arun George

China VAST’s Vote on 23 November

The offer is not great but this is a done deal. At the last close and for the 14 December payment, the annualised spread is 6.7%.

Arun George

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