Insight Provider, CrossASEAN Research

Nicolas Van Broekhoven

Insight Provider

CrossASEAN Research

At CrossASEAN Research we strive to produce unbiased and differentiated on the ground insights on companies across South East Asia. Our Research is produced for the most part after face to face meetings and conversations with company management to dig deep into the long term vision and strategy of the companies we cover. We seek to deliver investable and actionable themes on sectors and markets across SE Asia, often in collaboration with other Insight Providers across the region, pooling the vast experience of the analysts within the Smartkarma Ecosystem. We also offer bespoke work and tailor made trips for our clients. 

Insights across South East Asia

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>The 2023 vintage of "5 High Conviction Ideas" was commodity heavy with 4 of our 5 picks coming from this sector. Three out of five declined between 15-25%. </li>
<li>Our best performer was unloved <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mongolian-mining-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4382:1" rel="noopener">Mongolian Mining (975 HK)</a> which returned 234% even beating <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nvidia-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5891:1" rel="noopener">NVIDIA Corp (NVDA US)</a> YTD performance.  Miracles happen: Coal mining beats AI.</li>
<li>Our 2024 vintage of top ideas for the year will hopefully have a higher hit ratio. See below for more details which are our five high conviction ideas for 2024.</li>
</ul>


The 2023 vintage of "5 High Conviction Ideas" was commodity heavy with 4 of our 5 picks coming from this sector. Three out of five declined between 15-25%. 
Our best performer was unloved Mongolian Mining (975 HK) which returned 234% even beating NVIDIA Corp (NVDA US) YTD performance.  Miracles happen: Coal mining beats AI.
Our 2024 vintage of top ideas for the year will hopefully have a higher hit ratio. See below for more details which are our five high conviction ideas for 2024.


Overview of My Winners and Losers in 2023...and 5 High Conviction Ideas Going Into 2024

HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>The key for high growth in 2023/24Q1 lies in its assembly character toys with renowned IPs,which may not be sustainable or even collapse if Bloks fails to renew license agreements.</li>
<li>The advantages of Bloks in development prospects, self-developed IPs, brand stickiness are not obvious. The latest valuation reached RMB7.2 billion, but the founder has already cashed out before IPO. </li>
<li>Hong Kong stock market has been “lukewarm” to toy companies. Except Pop Mart, valuation/share price of peers are quite weak.How to gain investor/market’s recognition for Bloks is a question mark.</li>
</ul>


The key for high growth in 2023/24Q1 lies in its assembly character toys with renowned IPs,which may not be sustainable or even collapse if Bloks fails to renew license agreements.
The advantages of Bloks in development prospects, self-developed IPs, brand stickiness are not obvious. The latest valuation reached RMB7.2 billion, but the founder has already cashed out before IPO. 
Hong Kong stock market has been “lukewarm” to toy companies. Except Pop Mart, valuation/share price of peers are quite weak.How to gain investor/market’s recognition for Bloks is a question mark.


Pre-IPO Bloks Group - High Growth May Not Be Sustainable

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kayou" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40875:1" rel="noopener">Kayou</a> is looking to raise up to US$500m in its upcoming HK IPO.</li>
<li>Kayou is a Chinese pan-entertainment product retailer of toys, with trading cards in particular as its core product.</li>
<li>In this note, we talk about the not-so-positive aspects of the deal.</li>
</ul>



Kayou is looking to raise up to US$500m in its upcoming HK IPO.
Kayou is a Chinese pan-entertainment product retailer of toys, with trading cards in particular as its core product.
In this note, we talk about the not-so-positive aspects of the deal.


Kayou Pre-IPO - The Negatives - Unexplained 9M23 Slump

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kayou" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40875:1" rel="noopener">Kayou</a> is looking to raise up to US$500m in its upcoming HK IPO.</li>
<li>Kayou is a Chinese pan-entertainment product retailer of toys, with trading cards in particular as its core product.</li>
<li>In this note, we talk about the positive aspects of the deal.</li>
</ul>



Kayou is looking to raise up to US$500m in its upcoming HK IPO.
Kayou is a Chinese pan-entertainment product retailer of toys, with trading cards in particular as its core product.
In this note, we talk about the positive aspects of the deal.


Kayou Pre-IPO - The Positives - Strong FY22 Growth

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/playmates-toys-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2946:1" rel="noopener">Playmates Toys (869 HK)</a> reported strong 1H23 results on the back of initial demand for TMNT toys. Revenues were up 30% and operating profits increased 3x.</li>
<li>Management remains optimistic for 2H23 on the back of continued excitement for TMNT movie and follow-up series on Paramount+.</li>
<li>Playmates Toys trades at 5x FY23 P/E and &gt;1x P/E on an ex-cash basis. The company also declared another 2c interim dividend.</li>
</ul>



Playmates Toys (869 HK) reported strong 1H23 results on the back of initial demand for TMNT toys. Revenues were up 30% and operating profits increased 3x.
Management remains optimistic for 2H23 on the back of continued excitement for TMNT movie and follow-up series on Paramount+.
Playmates Toys trades at 5x FY23 P/E and &gt;1x P/E on an ex-cash basis. The company also declared another 2c interim dividend.


Playmates Toys: 1H23 Results Show Strong TMNT Potential

Hong Kong

Playmates Toys Limited design, develops, markets, and distributes toys. The Company's products include action figures, vehicles, dolls, plush, role play toys and interactive electronic toys.

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Playmates Toys (869 HK)

Overview of My Winners and Losers in 2023...and 5 High Conviction Ideas Going Into 2024

Our stand-out performer in FY23 was little loved Mongolia Mining. For FY24 we provide five new names which we think can perform strongly.

Nicolas Van Broekhoven

Pre-IPO Bloks Group - High Growth May Not Be Sustainable

High growth for Bloks in 2023/24Q1 hinges on assembly character toys with renowned IPs, but sustainability is uncertain due to potential license...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Kayou Pre-IPO - The Negatives - Unexplained 9M23 Slump

Kayou is looking to raise up to US$500m in its upcoming HK IPO. In this note, we talk about the not-so-positive aspects of the deal.

Sumeet Singh

Kayou Pre-IPO - The Positives - Strong FY22 Growth

Kayou is looking to raise up to US$500m in its upcoming HK IPO. In this note, we talk about the positive aspects of the deal.

Sumeet Singh

Playmates Toys: 1H23 Results Show Strong TMNT Potential

1H23 showed strong sales and sharply higher profits on the back of initial TMNT toy shipments. With a new TMNT movie likely and TMNT series coming...

Nicolas Van Broekhoven

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