Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>SOUTHBOUND gross trading activity dropped sharply but net SOUTHBOUND buying remains very strong and very broad-based. </li>
<li>The trend continues to be net buying of tech though Friday saw a lot of profits taken in Tech names by SOUTHBOUND holders.</li>
<li>I expect HK-listed tech to continue getting bought. Alibaba, Tencent, Xiaomi, etc are safe havens against Trump tariffs as they don't compete in the US. Still. </li>
</ul>


SOUTHBOUND gross trading activity dropped sharply but net SOUTHBOUND buying remains very strong and very broad-based. 
The trend continues to be net buying of tech though Friday saw a lot of profits taken in Tech names by SOUTHBOUND holders.
I expect HK-listed tech to continue getting bought. Alibaba, Tencent, Xiaomi, etc are safe havens against Trump tariffs as they don't compete in the US. Still. 


HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 22 Nov 2024); Volumes Much Lower But Broad-Based Buying Continues

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of November 22nd.</li>
<li>The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for Tencent, Alibaba, Meituan, Ping An Insurance, Xiaomi.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of November 22nd.
The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.
We highlight flows for Tencent, Alibaba, Meituan, Ping An Insurance, Xiaomi.


Hong Kong Connect Flows (Nov 22nd): Tencent, Alibaba, Meituan, Ping An Insurance, Xiaomi

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Nov 15th.</li>
<li>Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period. </li>
<li>We highlight short changes in Tencent, CCB, China Mobile, AIA.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Nov 15th.
Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period. 
We highlight short changes in Tencent, CCB, China Mobile, AIA.


HK Short Interest Weekly: Tencent, CCB, China Mobile, AIA

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ping-an-insurance-group-co-of-c2975d60-47cd-4246-a7a6-25297586242b" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24682:1" rel="noopener">Ping An Insurance (601318 CH)</a> trades at a 40% premium to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ping-an-insurance-grp-co-of-china-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12880:1" rel="noopener">Ping An Insurance (2318 HK)</a>. The premium has blown out the last week and there could be a reversal.</li>
<li>The difference in Ping An's AH premium versus the HSAHP Index has shrunk to its narrowest level in the last 10 years.</li>
<li>Shareholding in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ping-an-insurance-group-co-of-c2975d60-47cd-4246-a7a6-25297586242b" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24682:1" rel="noopener">Ping An Insurance Group of (601318 CH)</a> via Northbound Connect has dropped and shareholding in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ping-an-insurance-grp-co-of-china-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12880:1" rel="noopener">Ping An Insurance (H) (2318 HK)</a> via Southbound Connect has increased steadily.</li>
</ul>



Ping An Insurance (601318 CH) trades at a 40% premium to Ping An Insurance (2318 HK). The premium has blown out the last week and there could be a reversal.
The difference in Ping An's AH premium versus the HSAHP Index has shrunk to its narrowest level in the last 10 years.
Shareholding in Ping An Insurance Group of (601318 CH) via Northbound Connect has dropped and shareholding in Ping An Insurance (H) (2318 HK) via Southbound Connect has increased steadily.


Ping An A/​H Premium: Blow Out Could Lead to Sharp Reversal

Equity Derivatives and Volatility Specialist, Clifton Derivatives

John Ley

Equity Derivatives and Volatility Specialist

Clifton Derivatives

Independent derivative and volatility research firm focusing on events/catalysts, earnings, relative value and cross asset volatility strategies.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hong-kong-hang-seng-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22899" rel="noopener">Hang Seng Index (HSI INDEX)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-shenzhen-csi-300-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22906" rel="noopener">Shanghai Shenzhen CSI 300 Index (SHSZ300 INDEX EQUITY)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nikkei-225" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22909" rel="noopener">Nikkei 225 (NKY INDEX)</a> all have elevated implied vols vs their peers and vs historical observations for October.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nifty-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23617" rel="noopener">NIFTY Index (NIFTY INDEX)</a> , <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-500-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22886" rel="noopener">S&amp;P 500 INDEX (SPX INDEX)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-asx-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22901" rel="noopener">S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX)</a>  implied vols are on the low end of what is typically realized in October.</li>
<li>Most markets see price weakness in the 3rd week of the month with realized volatility underperforming over the back half of the month.</li>
</ul>



Hang Seng Index (HSI INDEX), Shanghai Shenzhen CSI 300 Index (SHSZ300 INDEX EQUITY) and Nikkei 225 (NKY INDEX) all have elevated implied vols vs their peers and vs historical observations for October.

NIFTY Index (NIFTY INDEX) , S&amp;P 500 INDEX (SPX INDEX) and S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX)  implied vols are on the low end of what is typically realized in October.
Most markets see price weakness in the 3rd week of the month with realized volatility underperforming over the back half of the month.


EQD | Asia Monthly Vol Roadmap: Elevated IV's in CSI300 and Hang Seng Present Tactical Opportunity

China

Ping An Insurance (Group) Company of China Limited provides a variety of insurance service in China.  The Company writes property, casualty, and life insurance.  Ping An Insurance also offers financial services.

Price Gauge
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Ping An Insurance (H) (2318 HK)

HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 22 Nov 2024); Volumes Much Lower But Broad-Based Buying Continues

SOUTHBOUND flows dropped sharply on a gross basis to their lowest level in a few months but net buying continued. Tech continues to be flavour of...

Travis Lundy

Hong Kong Connect Flows (Nov 22nd): Tencent, Alibaba, Meituan, Ping An Insurance, Xiaomi

We analyzed southbound Hong Kong connect flows in the past week and highlighted flows for Tencent, Alibaba, Meituan, Ping An Insurance, Xiaomi.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HK Short Interest Weekly: Tencent, CCB, China Mobile, AIA

We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Nov 15th and highlight short interest changes in Tencent, CCB, China...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Ping An A/H Premium: Blow Out Could Lead to Sharp Reversal

The Ping An AH premium has dropped from the highs of 40% mid last week. There should be a further drop in the AH premium, but it could be a bumpy...

Brian Freitas

EQD | Asia Monthly Vol Roadmap: Elevated IV's in CSI300 and Hang Seng Present Tactical Opportunity

Implied volatility levels across key Asian indices present several tactical opportunities this month for outright or pairs trades...

John Ley

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 22 Nov 2024); Volumes Much Lower But Broad-Based Buying Continues

SOUTHBOUND flows dropped sharply on a gross basis to their lowest level in a few months but net buying continued. Tech continues to be flavour of...

Travis Lundy

Hong Kong Connect Flows (Nov 22nd): Tencent, Alibaba, Meituan, Ping An Insurance, Xiaomi

We analyzed southbound Hong Kong connect flows in the past week and highlighted flows for Tencent, Alibaba, Meituan, Ping An Insurance, Xiaomi.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HK Short Interest Weekly: Tencent, CCB, China Mobile, AIA

We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Nov 15th and highlight short interest changes in Tencent, CCB, China...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Ping An A/​H Premium: Blow Out Could Lead to Sharp Reversal

The Ping An AH premium has dropped from the highs of 40% mid last week. There should be a further drop in the AH premium, but it could be a bumpy...

Brian Freitas

EQD | Asia Monthly Vol Roadmap: Elevated IV's in CSI300 and Hang Seng Present Tactical Opportunity

​Implied volatility levels across key Asian indices present several tactical opportunities this month for outright or pairs trades...

John Ley

Ping An A/H Premium: Blow Out Could Lead to Sharp Reversal

Implied volatility levels across key Asian indices present several tactical opportunities this month for outright or pairs trades...