External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Equity Bottom-Up

<div><ul><li>In 9M22, Ping An’s OPAT grew 3.8% YoY to RMB123bn, translating into 2.8% YoY OPAT growth in 3Q22.</li><li>Life OPAT growth remained stable at 15% YoY, with VNB decline marginally narrowed to 20% YoY in 3Q22 from the 28.5% YoY decrease in 1H22.</li><li>P&amp;C OPAT declined 17% YoY in 3Q22 largely due to lower investment return. </li></ul></div><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

In 9M22, Ping An’s OPAT grew 3.8% YoY to RMB123bn, translating into 2.8% YoY OPAT growth in 3Q22.Life OPAT growth remained stable at 15% YoY, with VNB decline marginally narrowed to 20% YoY in 3Q22 from the 28.5% YoY decrease in 1H22.P&amp;C OPAT declined 17% YoY in 3Q22 largely due to lower investment return. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Ping An (2318 HK) – 3Q22 results in line

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Sunshine Insurance Group  Lt / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Sunshine Insurance Group (SIG), a life, health and P&amp;C insurance company, aims to raise up to US$1bn in its HK IPO.</li>
<li>SIG is an integrated insurance provider which offers both life and health (L&amp;H) and property and casualty (P&amp;C) insurance in China.</li>
<li>In this note, we talk about the not-so-positive aspects of the deal.</li>
</ul>


Sunshine Insurance Group (SIG), a life, health and P&amp;C insurance company, aims to raise up to US$1bn in its HK IPO.
SIG is an integrated insurance provider which offers both life and health (L&amp;H) and property and casualty (P&amp;C) insurance in China.
In this note, we talk about the not-so-positive aspects of the deal.


Sunshine Insurance Group Pre-IPO - The Negatives - Lacks Growth

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The selloff in the broader market has led to the A/H premium on PingAn blowing out to levels not seen in the last few years and outpacing the HSASP Index.</li>
<li>At a 24% premium, the risk/reward for a long <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ping-an-insurance-grp-co-of-china-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12880:1" rel="noopener">Ping An Insurance (H) (2318 HK)</a> / short <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ping-an-insurance-group-co-of-china" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24682:1" rel="noopener">Ping An Insurance Group (601318 CH)</a> trade has never been better.</li>
<li>The shift from A-shares to H-shares is already taking place - Southbound Stock Connect holdings have been increasing while the Northbound Stock Connect holdings have been decreasing.</li>
</ul>


The selloff in the broader market has led to the A/H premium on PingAn blowing out to levels not seen in the last few years and outpacing the HSASP Index.
At a 24% premium, the risk/reward for a long Ping An Insurance (H) (2318 HK) / short Ping An Insurance Group (601318 CH) trade has never been better.
The shift from A-shares to H-shares is already taking place - Southbound Stock Connect holdings have been increasing while the Northbound Stock Connect holdings have been decreasing.


Ping An A/H Premium: Outpacing the Market

<ul>
<li>Sunshine Insurance Group (SIG), a life, health and P&amp;C insurance company, aims to raise up to US$1bn in its HK IPO.</li>
<li>SIG is an integrated insurance provider which offers both life and health (L&amp;H) and property and casualty (P&amp;C) insurance in China.</li>
<li>In this note, we talk about the positive aspects of the deal.</li>
</ul>


Sunshine Insurance Group (SIG), a life, health and P&amp;C insurance company, aims to raise up to US$1bn in its HK IPO.
SIG is an integrated insurance provider which offers both life and health (L&amp;H) and property and casualty (P&amp;C) insurance in China.
In this note, we talk about the positive aspects of the deal.


Sunshine Insurance Group Pre-IPO - The Positives - Steady Headline Growth

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of October 21st.</li>
<li>We estimate the weekly outflows to be US$4,305.1 million, led by consumer staples, financials, and offset by energy, utilities.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for BOE, Moutai, Ping An, Yili,  China Tourism, Longi Green.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of October 21st.
We estimate the weekly outflows to be US$4,305.1 million, led by consumer staples, financials, and offset by energy, utilities.
We highlight flows for BOE, Moutai, Ping An, Yili,  China Tourism, Longi Green.


Northbound Flows (Oct 21st): BOE, Moutai, Ping An, Yili, China Tourism, Longi Green

China

Ping An Insurance (Group) Company of China Limited provides products and services through its five ecosystems in financial services, healthcare, auto services, real estate services and Smart City solutions. The Group's insurance business writes property, casualty, and life insurance products.

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Ping An Insurance Group of (601318 CH)

Ping An (2318 HK) – 3Q22 results in line

Life OPAT growth remained stable at 15% YoY, with VNB decline marginally narrowed to 20% YoY in 3Q22 from the 28.5% YoY decrease in 1H22.

CMB International

Sunshine Insurance Group Pre-IPO - The Negatives - Lacks Growth

Sunshine Insurance Group (SIG), a life, health and P&C insurance company, aims to raise up to US$1bn in its HK IPO. In this note, we talk about the...

Sumeet Singh

Ping An A/H Premium: Outpacing the Market

The A/H premium on Ping An has reached 24% and that has outpaced the increase in the HSAHP Index. We expect the premium to drop quickly once...

Brian Freitas

Sunshine Insurance Group Pre-IPO - The Positives - Steady Headline Growth

Sunshine Insurance Group (SIG), a life, health and P&C insurance company, aims to raise up to US$1bn in its HK IPO. In this note, we talk about the...

Sumeet Singh

Northbound Flows (Oct 21st): BOE, Moutai, Ping An, Yili, China Tourism, Longi Green

We analyzed northbound Shanghai/Shenzhen connect flows in the past week and highlight flows for BOE, Moutai, Ping An, Yili, China Tourism, Longi...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

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