External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>PDD Holdings (PDD) announced (21 Nov) 3Q24 results: revenue was up 44.3% YoY (3Q23: 93.9%; 2Q24: 85.7%) to RMB99.4bn, 3% shy of Bloomberg consensus estimates, mainly owing to the 6% miss on transaction services fees which we attribute to the impact from enhancement of merchant support.</li><li>NonGAAP net profit increased by 61.3% YoY to RMB27.5bn, 6% short of consensus, due to the miss in revenue generation.</li><li>We lower our 2024-2026E revenue forecast by 4-9% and non-GAAP net profit by 9-16% to factor in the greater-than-expected impact of PDD’s move to enhance merchant support, as well as PDD’s effort to provide home appliances products at prices similar to its peers’ level against the backdrop of nationwide home appliance trade-in program. </li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

PDD Holdings (PDD) announced (21 Nov) 3Q24 results: revenue was up 44.3% YoY (3Q23: 93.9%; 2Q24: 85.7%) to RMB99.4bn, 3% shy of Bloomberg consensus estimates, mainly owing to the 6% miss on transaction services fees which we attribute to the impact from enhancement of merchant support.NonGAAP net profit increased by 61.3% YoY to RMB27.5bn, 6% short of consensus, due to the miss in revenue generation.We lower our 2024-2026E revenue forecast by 4-9% and non-GAAP net profit by 9-16% to factor in the greater-than-expected impact of PDD’s move to enhance merchant support, as well as PDD’s effort to provide home appliances products at prices similar to its peers’ level against the backdrop of nationwide home appliance trade-in program. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

PDD Holdings (PDD US) - Impact from Enhancement of Merchant Support Stared to Emerge

Overseas Chinese Equities, Aequitas Research

Ming Lu

Overseas Chinese Equities

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

<ul>
<li>In 3Q24, PDD released strong revenue growth, but a flat margin.</li>
<li>We believe, in 2025, PDD will continue to focus on growth rather than profit.</li>
<li>We conclude an upside of 43% and a price target of US$167 for 2025. Buy.</li>
</ul>


In 3Q24, PDD released strong revenue growth, but a flat margin.
We believe, in 2025, PDD will continue to focus on growth rather than profit.
We conclude an upside of 43% and a price target of US$167 for 2025. Buy.


PDD (PDD US): 3Q24, Focuses on Growth, But Not Profit Margin

Greater China Equity Long/Short Analyst

Eric Chen

<ul>
<li>We compared similar growth stage of Alibaba to Pinduoduo, when GMV of both platforms increase from RMB1 trillion to RMB4 trillion, to facilitate better understanding of efficiency edge of Pinduoduo.</li>
<li>Contrary to consensus, Pinduoduo didn’t do better than Alibaba on OPEX (advertising expenditure in particular), but it did extract much greater value from the ecosystem via significantly higher take-rate.</li>
<li>The findings highlight how Pinduoduo aggregate user traffic at surprisingly high cost to beef up merchant competition in terms of cost optimization and user acquisition, with Pinduoduo  reaping greatest value.</li>
</ul>


We compared similar growth stage of Alibaba to Pinduoduo, when GMV of both platforms increase from RMB1 trillion to RMB4 trillion, to facilitate better understanding of efficiency edge of Pinduoduo.
Contrary to consensus, Pinduoduo didn’t do better than Alibaba on OPEX (advertising expenditure in particular), but it did extract much greater value from the ecosystem via significantly higher take-rate.
The findings highlight how Pinduoduo aggregate user traffic at surprisingly high cost to beef up merchant competition in terms of cost optimization and user acquisition, with Pinduoduo  reaping greatest value.


<ul>
<li>Temu as a subsidiary of PDD becomes the second largest global e-commerce website.</li>
<li>Meituan merges departments into fewer business units to cut expenses further.</li>
<li>Mercedes-Benz left the joint venture with BYD, as its high end products are not as popular as Tesla models.</li>
</ul>


Temu as a subsidiary of PDD becomes the second largest global e-commerce website.
Meituan merges departments into fewer business units to cut expenses further.
Mercedes-Benz left the joint venture with BYD, as its high end products are not as popular as Tesla models.


China Consumption Weekly (30 Sep 2024): PDD, Meituan, BYD, Benz, Miniso, Yonghui

Investment Research - Asia Consumer Sector, Investory

Devi Subhakesan

Investment Research - Asia Consumer Sector

ASIA CONSUMER: INSIGHTS AND INVESTMENT IDEAS

Investory

Investory is a Singapore-based boutique independent equity research firm founded in January 2017 with a primary focus on consumption themes across Asia-Pacific.

We aim to generate investible ideas based on consumption trends and outlook. We screen our ideas on several parameters - product potential, long-term growth and management commitment being the most critical.  We follow a fundamental analysis approach in our stock selection process and are not restricted by market cap.

We aspire to grow into a leading source of unbiased research, free of conflict of interest, for investors yearning for independent and disciplined analysis. 

We also undertake bespoke research mandates to support our Institutional clients’ investment needs.

Our team comprises of professionals with extensive experience in the Asian equity markets, in areas ranging from research, servicing institutional clients and investment management.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pdd-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27250:1" rel="noopener">PDD Holdings (PDD US)</a> stock price nosedived 28.5% yesterday wiping away more than USD55 billion in market cap following Management's call with investors.</li>
<li>During the call, the management guided towards weakening profits in the next quarters and stated that high revenue growth was unsustainable in the long term.</li>
<li>Investors however seemed to be spooked not by negative guidance on profitability/growth but by comments on impact of non-business factors and need to adapt to changing times etc.</li>
</ul>



PDD Holdings (PDD US) stock price nosedived 28.5% yesterday wiping away more than USD55 billion in market cap following Management's call with investors.
During the call, the management guided towards weakening profits in the next quarters and stated that high revenue growth was unsustainable in the long term.
Investors however seemed to be spooked not by negative guidance on profitability/growth but by comments on impact of non-business factors and need to adapt to changing times etc.


PDD Holdings (PDD US): Earnings Call Spooks Investors. Is There More than Meets the Eye?

China

PDD Holdings Inc. is a multinational commerce group that owns and operates a portfolio of businesses. The Company focuses on digital economy so that local communities and small businesses can benefit from the increased productivity and new opportunities. PDD Holdings has built a network of sourcing, logistics, and fulfillment capabilities for its underlying businesses.

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PDD Holdings (PDD US)