Research from Water Tower Research, Water Tower Research

Water Tower Research

Research from Water Tower Research

Water Tower Research is a leading equity research firm that provides research on micro, small and mid cap companies.

Water Tower Research was founded by Wall Street veterans after witnessing a fundamental shift in the investment research industry with the result being a declining knowledge base among investors, a lack of awareness and a shrinking pool of fundamental research being conducted on companies across the small-cap and micro-cap spectrum. The same issues are now increasingly occurring in the mid-cap space. This sea change within the investment community is impacting not only the companies themselves but also current shareholders and potential investors. With significantly less active sell-side sponsorship by Wall Street, a substantial information gap has developed between companies and various constituents in the financial community. The net result is fewer channels for insight and information to flow between companies and investors.

Equity Research Firm

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>We review last week’s biopharma news for meaningful clinical data, regulatory updates, research innovation, and M&amp;A.</li><li>Last week, PCVX had pneumococcal vaccine data that could seriously challenge PFE’s market leading Prevnar 20.</li><li>TVTX celebrated full FDA approval of its IgAN drug, just in time for new KDIGO guidelines. </li></ul>

We review last week’s biopharma news for meaningful clinical data, regulatory updates, research innovation, and M&amp;A.Last week, PCVX had pneumococcal vaccine data that could seriously challenge PFE’s market leading Prevnar 20.TVTX celebrated full FDA approval of its IgAN drug, just in time for new KDIGO guidelines. 

Biopharma Week in Review - September 9, 2024

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Our long-term outlook remains neutral on the S&amp;P 500 (SPX) as of our 8/6/24 Compass, after being bullish since early-November 2023.</li>
<li>Since late-July discussed expectations for a 1-to 4-month pullback/consolidation on SPX and QQQ; now it's likely to last closer to four months, and potentially 4- to 6-months from 7/17/24.</li>
<li>At that point the market will decide which way this consolidation resolves. Throughout this pullback we have said that this consolidation could end up being a significant topping pattern.</li>
</ul>


Our long-term outlook remains neutral on the S&amp;P 500 (SPX) as of our 8/6/24 Compass, after being bullish since early-November 2023.
Since late-July discussed expectations for a 1-to 4-month pullback/consolidation on SPX and QQQ; now it's likely to last closer to four months, and potentially 4- to 6-months from 7/17/24.
At that point the market will decide which way this consolidation resolves. Throughout this pullback we have said that this consolidation could end up being a significant topping pattern.


Upgrading Staples, Real Estate, and Health Care to Overweight; List of Concerns Continues to Grow

Covering IPOs, Healthcare and Technology Stocks

Andrei Zakharov

Equity Capital Markets

Bicara Therapeutics / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Bicara Therapeutics, a clinical-stage biotech company with focus on the treatment of patients with HPV-negative head and neck cancer, files for a $200M IPO.</li>
<li>The biotech firm was backed by Biocon Limited, India’s largest biopharmaceutical company, venture capital and investment firms, among others.  </li>
<li>I believe Bicara Therapeutics will succeed in its pivotal Phase 2/3 trial of their bifunctional antibody in combination with Keytruda (pembrolizumab) during 2025.</li>
</ul>


Bicara Therapeutics, a clinical-stage biotech company with focus on the treatment of patients with HPV-negative head and neck cancer, files for a $200M IPO.
The biotech firm was backed by Biocon Limited, India’s largest biopharmaceutical company, venture capital and investment firms, among others.  
I believe Bicara Therapeutics will succeed in its pivotal Phase 2/3 trial of their bifunctional antibody in combination with Keytruda (pembrolizumab) during 2025.


Bicara Therapeutics IPO: A Promising Combination with Merck’s Keytruda For Patients With HNSCC

<ul><li>We review last week’s biopharma news for meaningful clinical data, regulatory updates, research innovation, and M&amp;A.</li><li>Last week, Medicare posted the first negotiated prices for Part D drugs, an additional 11% discount by our estimate.</li><li>Mpox declared a global emergency, as the SIGA antipox treatment drug failed study, but mpox vaccine makers BVNRY and GOVX got a boost. </li></ul>

We review last week’s biopharma news for meaningful clinical data, regulatory updates, research innovation, and M&amp;A.Last week, Medicare posted the first negotiated prices for Part D drugs, an additional 11% discount by our estimate.Mpox declared a global emergency, as the SIGA antipox treatment drug failed study, but mpox vaccine makers BVNRY and GOVX got a boost. 

Biopharma Week in Review - August 19, 2024

<ul><li>Last week, IONS matched Ultragenyx’s Angelman benefit, with maybe better safety.</li><li>PFE and SGMO had approvable gene therapy results in hemophilia A, but durability remains a question.</li><li>BIIB had a bad week, as SAGE-partnered essential tumor trial failed and ESAIY-partnered lecanemab in Alzheimer’s hit an EU regulatory wall. </li></ul>

Last week, IONS matched Ultragenyx’s Angelman benefit, with maybe better safety.PFE and SGMO had approvable gene therapy results in hemophilia A, but durability remains a question.BIIB had a bad week, as SAGE-partnered essential tumor trial failed and ESAIY-partnered lecanemab in Alzheimer’s hit an EU regulatory wall. 

United States

Pfizer Inc. is a research-based, global pharmaceutical company that discovers, develops, manufactures, and markets medicines for humans and animals.  The Company's products include prescription pharmaceuticals, non-prescription self-medications, and animal health products such as anti-infective medicines and vaccines.

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Pfizer Inc (PFE US)

Biopharma Week in Review - September 9, 2024

Last week, PCVX had pneumococcal vaccine data that could seriously challenge PFE’s market leading Prevnar 20. TVTX celebrated full FDA approval of...

Water Tower Research

Upgrading Staples, Real Estate, and Health Care to Overweight; List of Concerns Continues to Grow

Upgrading Staples $XLP, Real Estate $XLRE, Health Care $XLV to Overweight; List of Concerns Continues to Grow; Dow $DJI, Equal-Weight S&P 500 $RSP,...

Vermilion Research

Bicara Therapeutics IPO: A Promising Combination with Merck’s Keytruda For Patients With HNSCC

Bicara Therapeutics, backed by Biocon Limited, files for a $200M IPO in the United States. Their bifunctional antibody in combination with...

Andrei Zakharov

Biopharma Week in Review - August 19, 2024

PFE/BNTX COVID-flu vaccine missed on one endpoint, extending MRNA’s lead and allowing SNY/NVAX to catch up. SYRS ended up futile on AML.

Water Tower Research

Biopharma Week in Review - Jul 29, 2024

Last week, IONS matched Ultragenyx’s Angelman benefit, with maybe better safety. PFE and SGMO had approvable gene therapy results in hemophilia A,...

Water Tower Research

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Biopharma Week in Review - September 9, 2024

Last week, PCVX had pneumococcal vaccine data that could seriously challenge PFE’s market leading Prevnar 20. TVTX celebrated full FDA approval of...

Water Tower Research

Upgrading Staples, Real Estate, and Health Care to Overweight; List of Concerns Continues to Grow

Upgrading Staples $XLP, Real Estate $XLRE, Health Care $XLV to Overweight; List of Concerns Continues to Grow; Dow $DJI, Equal-Weight S&P 500 $RSP,...

Vermilion Research

Bicara Therapeutics IPO: A Promising Combination with Merck’s Keytruda For Patients With HNSCC

​Bicara Therapeutics, backed by Biocon Limited, files for a $200M IPO in the United States. Their bifunctional antibody in combination with...

Andrei Zakharov

Biopharma Week in Review - August 19, 2024

PFE/BNTX COVID-flu vaccine missed on one endpoint, extending MRNA’s lead and allowing SNY/NVAX to catch up. SYRS ended up futile on AML.

Water Tower Research

Biopharma Week in Review - Jul 29, 2024

Last week, IONS matched Ultragenyx’s Angelman benefit, with maybe better safety. PFE and SGMO had approvable gene therapy results in hemophilia A,...

Water Tower Research

Bicara Therapeutics, backed by Biocon Limited, files for a $200M IPO in the United States. Their bifunctional antibody in combination with...