Breaking Down the Mining News of the Day, Money of Mine

Money of Mine

Breaking Down the Mining News of the Day

An ex-underground miner, an ex-investment banker, and an ex-equity research guy breaking down the mining news of the day. It's a bit of entertainment, information, and occasionally some alpha.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>WA government announces $150 million package for lithium miners, including waiving government fees for two years</li><li>Package also includes a $50 million loan facility for interest-free loans to sustain operations</li><li>While the news did not significantly impact stock prices, it provides some relief and support for struggling lithium companies</li></ul>This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

WA government announces $150 million package for lithium miners, including waiving government fees for two yearsPackage also includes a $50 million loan facility for interest-free loans to sustain operationsWhile the news did not significantly impact stock prices, it provides some relief and support for struggling lithium companiesThis content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

Matt Warder & Koala Unpack Peabody’s $3B+ Coal Deal

External reports (aggregated public sources), Value Investors Club

Value Investors Club

External reports (aggregated public sources)

<ul><li>Peabody is a global coal company operating in the US and Australia, offering exposure to both thermal and metallurgical coals</li><li>Despite recent success and a positive recommendation, the stock has lagged behind other coal companies</li><li>With a current share price of $23.40, market cap of $2.9bn, and strong FCF yield of around 30%, Peabody presents a promising risk/reward opportunity in the current market environment</li></ul>This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.

Peabody is a global coal company operating in the US and Australia, offering exposure to both thermal and metallurgical coalsDespite recent success and a positive recommendation, the stock has lagged behind other coal companiesWith a current share price of $23.40, market cap of $2.9bn, and strong FCF yield of around 30%, Peabody presents a promising risk/reward opportunity in the current market environmentThis content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.

Peabody Energy Corp (BTU) - Thursday, Jul 4, 2024

Cross-Asset Strategist & Quantitative Analyst, Pennock Idea Hub

Cam Hui

Cross-Asset Strategist & Quantitative Analyst

Pennock Idea Hub

We are creators of independent equity research. The Pennock Idea Hub team are veterans of the investment industry. Much of our team has spent their careers at Merrill Lynch, Deutsche Bank, RBC Capital Markets and Wood Gundy. We have taken every aspect of research back to the studs and returned to first principles. The Pennock Idea Hub marries the interests of the sell and buy side. 

We offer the best research for institutional investors by:

-Only publishing research from veteran analysts
-Eliminate the inherent conflicts of the traditional sell and buy side relationship
-Ensure our team is always accessible; collaboration with clients nurtures our collective success

Cross-Asset & Quantitative Research

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>The stock market is likely to advance during the Santa Claus rally window, which began on December 24 and ends January 3.</li>
<li>But the rally is attributed to an oversold bounce and marked by narrow leadership. Either the rebound fizzles in January or broadens into lagging issues.</li>
<li>We identified selected contrarian value opportunities for bulls among Santa’s discards for potential outperformance into January and beyond.</li>
</ul>


The stock market is likely to advance during the Santa Claus rally window, which began on December 24 and ends January 3.
But the rally is attributed to an oversold bounce and marked by narrow leadership. Either the rebound fizzles in January or broadens into lagging issues.
We identified selected contrarian value opportunities for bulls among Santa’s discards for potential outperformance into January and beyond.


Contrarian Bargains Among Santa's Discards

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

iShares Russell 2000 ETF / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>We continue to see the current environment as a bear market rally with the potential for it turn into something more following bullish breadth thrust signals.</li>
<li>The SPX and NDX have been treading water for a week (bull flags?), but the Russell 2000, DAX, Hang Seng, MSCI China (MCHI), and KWEB have continued to move higher.</li>
<li>We are also seeing major bullish reversals on Europe's STOXX 50 and Japan's Nikkei 225, topside 6- and 9-month downtrends, respectively. These are far from bearish signs.</li>
</ul>


We continue to see the current environment as a bear market rally with the potential for it turn into something more following bullish breadth thrust signals.
The SPX and NDX have been treading water for a week (bull flags?), but the Russell 2000, DAX, Hang Seng, MSCI China (MCHI), and KWEB have continued to move higher.
We are also seeing major bullish reversals on Europe's STOXX 50 and Japan's Nikkei 225, topside 6- and 9-month downtrends, respectively. These are far from bearish signs.


Small-Caps Starting to Lead; Short-Term Flag Patterns on Major Indexes; Ideas in Energy & Materials

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/yancoal-australia-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4145:1" rel="noopener">Yancoal Australia (YAL AU)</a>’s independent board committee unanimously concluded that <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/yankuang-energy-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:384:1" rel="noopener">Yankuang Energy Group (1171 HK)</a>’s H-Share CBs offer is not in the best interests of Yancoal’s minority shareholders. </li>
<li>Yankuang is open to continuing its discussions with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/yancoal-australia" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8427:1" rel="noopener">Yancoal Australia (3668 HK)</a> but maintains that the offer was based on long-term factors including expectations of future coal prices.</li>
<li>Overall, the wording of Yankuang’s response suggests that it is more inclined to bide its time rather than return with a better offer. Required FIRB approval remains an overhang.</li>
</ul>



Yancoal Australia (YAL AU)’s independent board committee unanimously concluded that Yankuang Energy Group (1171 HK)’s H-Share CBs offer is not in the best interests of Yancoal’s minority shareholders. 
Yankuang is open to continuing its discussions with Yancoal Australia (3668 HK) but maintains that the offer was based on long-term factors including expectations of future coal prices.
Overall, the wording of Yankuang’s response suggests that it is more inclined to bide its time rather than return with a better offer. Required FIRB approval remains an overhang.


Yankuang’s Response Suggests that It Rather Wait than Improve Its Offer for Yancoal

United States

Peabody Energy Corporation mines and markets low sulfur coal, primarily for use by electric utilities. The Company also trades coal and emission allowances. Peabody owns and operates mines in Arizona, Colorado, New Mexico and Wyoming, Illinois, Indiana, and Australia.

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Peabody Energy (BTU US)

Matt Warder & Koala Unpack Peabody’s $3B+ Coal Deal

The Western Australian government has introduced a $150 million package aimed at supporting struggling lithium miners through waiving fees,...

Money of Mine

Peabody Energy Corp (BTU) - Thursday, Jul 4, 2024

Peabody is a global coal company operating in the US and Australia, offering exposure to both thermal and metallurgical coals

Value Investors Club

Contrarian Bargains Among Santa's Discards

We identified selected contrarian value opportunities for bulls among Santa’s discards for potential outperformance into January and beyond.

Cam Hui

Small-Caps Starting to Lead; Short-Term Flag Patterns on Major Indexes; Ideas in Energy & Materials

We still see this as a bear market rally with the potential for it turn into something more following bullish breadth thrust signals in recent...

Vermilion Research

Yankuang’s Response Suggests that It Rather Wait than Improve Its Offer for Yancoal

Yancoal unsurprisingly batted away Yankuang's low-ball offer. The wording in Yankuang's response suggests that it is unlikely to offer improved...

Arun George

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