Independent Sell Side Equity Research Analyst, ChartSmarter

Douglas Busch

Independent Sell Side Equity Research Analyst

ChartSmarter

ChartSmarter is a service dedicated to the art of technical analysis.

On a daily basis we write up actionable ideas on a specific, major S&P sector on both the long and short side, in an easy yet thorough way. In the notes we give precise entries and exits, while looking to capture the "meat" of a trend.

Technical Analysis.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Gold MONTHLY chart records back-to-back bearish shooting stars in April and May.</li>
<li>Steel stocks possibly bottoming on incessant tariff talks creating opportunity.</li>
<li>Silver looks technically better than gold and likely to outshine precious metal into year-end.</li>
</ul>


Gold MONTHLY chart records back-to-back bearish shooting stars in April and May.
Steel stocks possibly bottoming on incessant tariff talks creating opportunity.
Silver looks technically better than gold and likely to outshine precious metal into year-end.


Gold Feels Heavy. Uptrend Intact but Better Cost Basis in near Term

<ul>
<li>S&amp;P 5700 year end target remains intact after MONTHLY breakout. </li>
<li>Copper and silver rally to resume with dollar potentially falling.</li>
<li>Semis continue to lead tech and look for software to join.</li>
</ul>


S&amp;P 5700 year end target remains intact after MONTHLY breakout. 
Copper and silver rally to resume with dollar potentially falling.
Semis continue to lead tech and look for software to join.


India Equity Analyst - Fundamental & Thematic, Beat the Street

Sudarshan Bhandari

India Equity Analyst - Fundamental & Thematic

Beat the Street

Beat The Street was founded by Nimish Maheshwari and Sudarshan Bhandari, both of whom are Chartered Accountants by Profession, known for their expert analysis in the fields of Business, Sectoral analysis, and Corporate governance.

With a strong social media presence of 45,000+ Subscribers across various platforms, they are considered trusted voices in the industry. Their insights and analysis have been featured in some of India’s most prominent publications, including the Economic Times, Dalal Street Investment Journal, The Morning Context, and The Ken.

Their analysis on Bankrupt & Insolvent companies has been instrumental in saving investors from significant losses. They have a keen eye for identifying red flags and has identified exclusive redflags earlier in Vedanta, Nykaa, Dhani Services, Adani and many more.

Read Business Not Stock Prices

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Silver hits 11-year high amidst supply-demand dynamics and geo-political uncertainty.</li>
<li>Rising industrial demand, particularly in green tech, and tightening supply forecast a sustained rally.</li>
<li>Global deficit remains substantial, forecasted to continue, while mine production declines.</li>
</ul>


Silver hits 11-year high amidst supply-demand dynamics and geo-political uncertainty.
Rising industrial demand, particularly in green tech, and tightening supply forecast a sustained rally.
Global deficit remains substantial, forecasted to continue, while mine production declines.


Silver's Record-Breaking Rally: Insights and Analysis

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

<ul>
<li>Since mid-April we discussed how downside was limited on MSCI ACWI and EURO STOXX 50, and May 2nd discussed it was "quite possible" the lows were in.</li>
<li>Now, the MSCI ACWI, ACWI ex-US, EAFE, and EM indexes have all broken out to new multi-year highs. Our bullish outlook (since early-November 2023) remains intact; expect higher prices ahead.</li>
<li>China (MSCI China) continues to lead the EM turnaround, and we remain bullish on the space. We highlight many large-cap EM buys within Communications, Technology, Discretionary; we remain bullish miners.</li>
</ul>


Since mid-April we discussed how downside was limited on MSCI ACWI and EURO STOXX 50, and May 2nd discussed it was "quite possible" the lows were in.
Now, the MSCI ACWI, ACWI ex-US, EAFE, and EM indexes have all broken out to new multi-year highs. Our bullish outlook (since early-November 2023) remains intact; expect higher prices ahead.
China (MSCI China) continues to lead the EM turnaround, and we remain bullish on the space. We highlight many large-cap EM buys within Communications, Technology, Discretionary; we remain bullish miners.


Bullish Outlook Intact; EM and China Continue to Bottom; Buys in Comms, Tech, Discretionary, Miners

Muyuan Foodstuff Co Ltd A / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>A pullback in global equities is underway following steep uptrend violations on MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US) and EURO STOXX 50. Both are 4-5% off their highs; further downside may be limited.</li>
<li>Several 5%-10% pullbacks are to be expected in any given year, particularly after the historic 5-month rallies, so we view this as healthy and normal within the ongoing bull market.</li>
<li>ACWI-US is currently testing important support at $105; if this area were to break, next major supports are $102 and $99; this is where we would be buying.</li>
</ul>


A pullback in global equities is underway following steep uptrend violations on MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US) and EURO STOXX 50. Both are 4-5% off their highs; further downside may be limited.
Several 5%-10% pullbacks are to be expected in any given year, particularly after the historic 5-month rallies, so we view this as healthy and normal within the ongoing bull market.
ACWI-US is currently testing important support at $105; if this area were to break, next major supports are $102 and $99; this is where we would be buying.


Pullback Underway; Further Downside Limited?; Buys in Defensives and Commodity-Related Sectors

Canada

Alamos Gold Inc. is an intermediate gold producer. The Company acquires, explores and produces gold from mines located in Canada, Mexico and the United States.

Lundin Mining Corporation is a diversified base metals mining company with operations in Chile, Portugal, Sweden, Spain and the United States, producing copper, zinc, lead and nickel. The Company holds interest in the Tenke Fungurume copper/cobalt mine in the Democratic Republic of Congo and a cobalt refinery located in Kokkola, Finland.

Yamana Gold Inc. is an intermediate gold producer with production, development stage, and exploration properties throughout Brazil.  The Company also holds gold exploration properties in Argentina.

B2Gold Corporation is a gold exploration and production company. The Company is a Vancouver based gold producer with mines in Nicaragua and a portfolio of development and exploration assets in Nicaragua, Colombia and Uruguay.

Osisko Gold Royalties Ltd operates as a precious metal royalty and stream company. The Company holds royalties and streams in base metals, gold, and silver mines. Osisko Gold Royalties serves customers in Canada.

Lundin Gold Inc. is a Canadian mining company. The Company owns and operates gold projects located in southeast Ecuador.

Hudbay Minerals Inc. operates as a mining company. The Company mines and produces zinc, copper, gold, and silver. Hudbay Minerals offers its services across the Americas .

IAMGOLD Corporation is a mid-tier gold mining company. The Company is focused in West Africa, the Guiana Shield of South America and in Quebec where it has a pipeline of development and exploration projects.

First Majestic Silver Corp. is a silver producing mining company.  The Company's presently owns and operates producing silver mines in Mexico; the La Parrilla Silver Mine, the San Martin Silver Mine, the La Encantada Silver Mine, the La Guitarra Silver Mine, and Del Toro Silver Mine.

Sandstorm Gold Ltd. acquires gold purchase agreements with companies that have advanced stage development projects or operating mines.  The Company makes an upfront cash payment to its partners and receives the right to purchase a percentage of the gold produced, for the life of the mine, at a fixed price per ounce.

United States Steel Corporation operates as an integrated steel producer. The Company manufactures flat-rolled and tubular products with production operations in North America and Europe. United States Steel serves the automotive, appliance, container, industrial machinery, construction, and oil and gas industries.

BlueScope Steel Limited supplies steel products and solutions. The Company manufactures steel slabs, plates, hot and cold rolled coils, and coated and painted strip products for building and construction, automotive, whitegoods, and manufacturing applications. BlueScope Steel serves customers in Asia, Australia, New Zealand, and the United States.

Kobe Steel, Ltd. is a steelmaker, as well as a supplier of aluminum and copper products.  The products include steel plates and steel rods.  The Company also operates other businesses such as welding consumables, urban infrastructure, plant engineering, and industrial & construction machinery.  Kobe Steel has operating offices in the US, Europe, and Asia.

JFE Holdings, Inc. is a holding company which was established through the merger of NKK Corp and Kawasaki Steel Corp.  The Company manages and conducts its subsidiaries' business, which is steel production and integrated engineering services.

China Steel Corporation manufactures and markets a variety of steel products. The main products are hot rolled coils and sheets, cold rolled coils and sheets, wire rods, steel plates, and steel bars.

OZ Minerals Ltd. is an Australian based mining company with a focus on copper. The Company owns and operates the Prominent Hill copper-gold mine and the Carrapateena copper-gold project located in South Australia and has a number of equity interests in listed resource companies.

NMDC Limited explores for minerals. The Company is exploring for iron ore, copper, rock phosphate, lime stone, dolomite, gypsum, bentonite, magnesite, diamond, tin, tungsten, graphite, and beach sands.

Yunnan Aluminium Co., Ltd. primarily manufactures and markets aluminum products. The Company's products include aluminum ingots, aluminum rolls, and aluminum alloys.

Jinduicheng Molybdenum Co.,Ltd. is involved in molybdenum mining, dressing, smelting, processing, research and trade in Asia.

Jinduicheng Molybdenum Co, Ltd. (601958 CH)

Huaibei Mining Holdings Co.,Ltd. operates coal businesses. The Company mines, processes, and distributes coal, cokes, coal chemical products, and other products. Huaibei Mining Holdings also produces methanol, crude benzene, ammonium sulfate, and other products.

Pan American Silver Corporation is a primary silver producer.   The Company has seven operating mines in Mexico,  Peru, Argentina and Bolivia and several development projects in USA,  Mexico, Peru and Argentina.

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Pan American Silver (PAAS CN)

Gold Feels Heavy. Uptrend Intact but Better Cost Basis in near Term

Gold and Silver are likely to resume uptrends in the second half and with strength in other areas of materials the group is poised for a year-end...

Douglas Busch

Commodity Comeback

S&P 5700 year-end target remains intact after breakout, copper and silver rally expected as dollar falls, semis leading tech with software to follow.

Douglas Busch

Silver's Record-Breaking Rally: Insights and Analysis

Silver, soaring to an 11-year high, rides a wave of global demand fueled by supply deficits, geopolitical tensions, and surging industrial usage.

Sudarshan Bhandari

Bullish Outlook Intact; EM and China Continue to Bottom; Buys in Comms, Tech, Discretionary, Miners

Bullish Outlook Intact $ACWI; EM and China Continue to Lead; U.S. Dollar (DXY), WTI Crude Oil, and Gasoline Prices Rolling Over; Buys in: Comms,...

Vermilion Research

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Gold Feels Heavy. Uptrend Intact but Better Cost Basis in near Term

​Gold and Silver are likely to resume uptrends in the second half and with strength in other areas of materials the group is poised for a year-end...

Douglas Busch

Commodity Comeback

​S&P 5700 year-end target remains intact after breakout, copper and silver rally expected as dollar falls, semis leading tech with software to follow.

Douglas Busch

Silver's Record-Breaking Rally: Insights and Analysis

Silver, soaring to an 11-year high, rides a wave of global demand fueled by supply deficits, geopolitical tensions, and surging industrial usage.

Sudarshan Bhandari

Bullish Outlook Intact; EM and China Continue to Bottom; Buys in Comms, Tech, Discretionary, Miners

Bullish Outlook Intact $ACWI; EM and China Continue to Lead; U.S. Dollar (DXY), WTI Crude Oil, and Gasoline Prices Rolling Over; Buys in: Comms,...

Vermilion Research

Pullback Underway; Further Downside Limited?; Buys in Defensives and Commodity-Related Sectors

Pullback Underway; Further Downside Limited?; Commodities Testing Resistance; Buys in Global Defensives (Staples, Utilities, Telecomm), Commodity...

Vermilion Research

Gold and Silver are likely to resume uptrends in the second half and with strength in other areas of materials the group is poised for a year-end...

S&P 5700 year-end target remains intact after breakout, copper and silver rally expected as dollar falls, semis leading tech with software to follow.