TMT & Consumer Independent Equity Research Analyst, Obex Capital Research

Aaron Gabin

TMT & Consumer Independent Equity Research Analyst

TMT & Consumer Independent Equity Research

Obex Capital Research

“Obex” is Latin for Barriers to Entry. Obex Capital Management’s investment philosophy is driven by an intense focus on which business model’s Barriers to Entry are able to withstand the ever increasing competitive disruption in the TMT and Consumer Sectors.

Equity Bottom-Up

Palantir Technologies  / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Revenue growth ex-SPAC decelerated to 19% this quarter, 11% below consensus.</li>
<li>1Q22 20% operating margins vs. consensus 27% margins as the company invests to reaccelerate growth in 2H from rising government contracts due to war.</li>
<li>Alex Karp warns that nuclear war in Ukraine is being dramatically underestimated.</li>
</ul>


Revenue growth ex-SPAC decelerated to 19% this quarter, 11% below consensus.
1Q22 20% operating margins vs. consensus 27% margins as the company invests to reaccelerate growth in 2H from rising government contracts due to war.
Alex Karp warns that nuclear war in Ukraine is being dramatically underestimated.


Palantir 1Q22 Earnings: War Supposedly Good for Business?

Japan/Asia Long-Short, LightStream Research

Mio Kato

Japan/Asia Long-Short

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

<ul>
<li>We last wrote on Palantir over a year ago when we suggested stepping away given expiring lock-ups. </li>
<li>The stock is down 58% since that call as it has sold off together with other unprofitable, high-growth names. </li>
<li>However, we remain of the view that there is something to Palantir unlike many of its compatriots and Ark is now out...</li>
</ul>


We last wrote on Palantir over a year ago when we suggested stepping away given expiring lock-ups. 
The stock is down 58% since that call as it has sold off together with other unprofitable, high-growth names. 
However, we remain of the view that there is something to Palantir unlike many of its compatriots and Ark is now out...


Palantir – Little Early But Getting Interesting Again

<ul>
<li>Palantir's ongoing SPAC investment strategy is driving an increasing bifurcation between reported and underlying results... which continues to be ignored by sell side and retail investors. </li>
<li>Revenue growth missed ex-SPAC, while Billings Growth collapsed 31% YoY ex-SPAC investments...unheard of for a software company.</li>
<li>Margin guidance for 1Q22 well below consensus as sales headcount continues to ramp. Stay short.</li>
</ul>


Palantir's ongoing SPAC investment strategy is driving an increasing bifurcation between reported and underlying results... which continues to be ignored by sell side and retail investors. 
Revenue growth missed ex-SPAC, while Billings Growth collapsed 31% YoY ex-SPAC investments...unheard of for a software company.
Margin guidance for 1Q22 well below consensus as sales headcount continues to ramp. Stay short.


Palantir 4Q21 Earnings: Declining Bookings, Shrinking Margins, Eccentric CEO

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Clarence Chu

APAC IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Qingdao Ainnovation Technology Group / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/qingdao-ainnovation-technology-group-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35405:1" rel="noopener">Qingdao Ainnovation Technology Group Co Ltd (1853807D CH)</a> raised around US$151m after pricing its IPO at HKD26.3/share, at the bottom end of its IPO price range.</li>
<li>Qingdao AInnovation Technology Group is an AI solutions provider offering full-stack AI-based products and solutions.</li>
<li>In this note, we will look at the trading dynamics and current valuation.</li>
</ul>



Qingdao Ainnovation Technology Group Co Ltd (1853807D CH) raised around US$151m after pricing its IPO at HKD26.3/share, at the bottom end of its IPO price range.
Qingdao AInnovation Technology Group is an AI solutions provider offering full-stack AI-based products and solutions.
In this note, we will look at the trading dynamics and current valuation.


Qingdao AInnovation Technology Group IPO Trading - Lukewarm Subscription Rates, Peers Have Corrected

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/qingdao-ainnovation-technology-group-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35405:1" rel="noopener">Qingdao Ainnovation Technology Group Co Ltd (1853807D CH)</a> is looking to raise up to US$157m in its Hong Kong IPO.</li>
<li>Qingdao AInnovation Technology Group is an AI solutions provider offering full-stack AI-based products and solutions. </li>
<li>While we don’t have a fundamental issue with the listing, at asking valuations, the firm appears to be fairly valued with limited upside on its FY23 numbers. </li>
</ul>



Qingdao Ainnovation Technology Group Co Ltd (1853807D CH) is looking to raise up to US$157m in its Hong Kong IPO.
Qingdao AInnovation Technology Group is an AI solutions provider offering full-stack AI-based products and solutions. 
While we don’t have a fundamental issue with the listing, at asking valuations, the firm appears to be fairly valued with limited upside on its FY23 numbers. 


Qingdao AInnovation Technology Group IPO - Fairly Valued with Mediocre Cornerstones

United States

Palantir Technologies Inc. develops software to analyze information. The Company offers solutions support many kinds of data including structured, unstructured, relational, temporal, and geospatial. Palantir Technologies serves customers worldwide.

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Palantir Technologies (PLTR US)

Palantir 1Q22 Earnings: War Supposedly Good for Business?

Decelerating growth continues and margins continue to decline. But war is good for Palantir (supposedly), and growth should reaccelerate in 2H22...

Aaron Gabin

Palantir – Little Early But Getting Interesting Again

We last wrote on Palantir over a year ago suggested stepping away given expiring lock-ups but we believe there is something to Palantir unlike many...

Mio Kato

Palantir 4Q21 Earnings: Declining Bookings, Shrinking Margins, Eccentric CEO

Palantir remains one of our top short ideas. SPAC investments continue to account for any upside vs. consensus expectations, while billings growth...

Aaron Gabin

Qingdao AInnovation Technology Group IPO Trading - Lukewarm Subscription Rates, Peers Have Corrected

Qingdao Ainnovation Technology Group Co Ltd (1853807D CH) raised around US$151m after pricing its IPO at HKD26.3/share, at the bottom end of its...

Clarence Chu

Qingdao AInnovation Technology Group IPO - Fairly Valued with Mediocre Cornerstones

Qingdao Ainnovation Technology Group Co Ltd (1853807D CH) is looking to raise up to US$157m in its Hong Kong IPO. It is an AI solutions provider...

Clarence Chu

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