Independent research on the U.S. markets, Baptista Research

Baptista Research

Independent research on the U.S. markets

Baptista Research is an independent financial research house focused on the U.S. markets. We provide equity research as well as credit research reports on the top-listed U.S. companies with most of our focus on technology, consumer goods and services, automobiles, industrials, oil and gas, pharma, and healthcare. Our research has served more than 3000 institutional investors including mutual funds, hedge funds, banks, family offices, and various buy-side firms. We operate a research subscription service where institutions, as well as retail investors, can have priority access to all our research. We also have a wide distribution of our research reports across some of the top global financial platforms. Apart from equity research and credit research, we also provide advisory services with respect to mergers & acquisitions (M&A), private equity/ venture capital fundraising, valuation reports, and investment management services for corporates.
Baptista Research is owned and managed by Ishan Majumdar, an ex-Venture Capitalist/ Investment Banker, a Chartered Accountant, and a Masters’ degree holder in Management from HEC Paris. Ishan has nearly a decade of experience in Mergers and Acquisitions, Leveraged Buyouts (LBOs), Venture Capital Investing, Corporate Strategy, and Valuation in front-office roles at the likes of BNP Paribas CIB, Credit Agricole CIB, Groupe Danone, and TIW Private Equity. He has worked on and closed multiple acquisition deals, leveraged buyouts, and start-up investment transactions.

Equity Bottom-Up

Palantir Technologies  / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Palantir's first quarter 2024 financial results reflect a robust growth trajectory, particularly in its U.S. commercial segment and strategic expansion in government contracts.</li><li>The company reported a substantial year-over-year revenue increase of 21%, amounting to $634 million.</li><li>This performance was bolstered by significant demand and rapid adoption of Artificial Intelligence Program (AIP), which played a critical role in customer acquisition and expansion.</li></ul>

Palantir's first quarter 2024 financial results reflect a robust growth trajectory, particularly in its U.S. commercial segment and strategic expansion in government contracts.The company reported a substantial year-over-year revenue increase of 21%, amounting to $634 million.This performance was bolstered by significant demand and rapid adoption of Artificial Intelligence Program (AIP), which played a critical role in customer acquisition and expansion.

Palantir Technologies: What Is The Expected Revenue Impact Given The Fervent Growth In AIP Adoption? - Major Drivers

TMT & Consumer Independent Equity Research Analyst, Obex Capital Research

Aaron Gabin

TMT & Consumer Independent Equity Research Analyst

TMT & Consumer Independent Equity Research

Obex Capital Research

“Obex” is Latin for Barriers to Entry. Obex Capital Management’s investment philosophy is driven by an intense focus on which business model’s Barriers to Entry are able to withstand the ever increasing competitive disruption in the TMT and Consumer Sectors.

<p>Palantir was up 11% on earnings. What is going on here?! Is no one paying attention?? 59% (!!) of the total contract value that Palantir signed this quarter came from companies that it has invested $250MM in…in the second quarter! Growth is forecast to decelerate from 49% to 33% QoQ...and it trades at 28x forward sales. And its CEO sold $391MM this past quarter. Biggest short in software.</p><div class="content-highlight"><p>Obex’s fundamental research process is focused on secular change in the TMT and Consumer sectors. We seek to differentiate between fundamental business analysis and security analysis. Before deciding if a security’s pricing and positioning merit a long or short position, we analyze the four pillars of business fundamentals (Secular Factors, TAM, Competitive Advantage, Business Model) in order to determine if this is a “good” or “not so good” opportunity.  </p></div>

Palantir was up 11% on earnings. What is going on here?! Is no one paying attention?? 59% (!!) of the total contract value that Palantir signed this quarter came from companies that it has invested $250MM in…in the second quarter! Growth is forecast to decelerate from 49% to 33% QoQ...and it trades at 28x forward sales. And its CEO sold $391MM this past quarter. Biggest short in software.Obex’s fundamental research process is focused on secular change in the TMT and Consumer sectors. We seek to differentiate between fundamental business analysis and security analysis. Before deciding if a security’s pricing and positioning merit a long or short position, we analyze the four pillars of business fundamentals (Secular Factors, TAM, Competitive Advantage, Business Model) in order to determine if this is a “good” or “not so good” opportunity.  

Palantir 2Q21 Earnings: Do You Buy The Growth?

<ul><li>Palantir, a leading developer of data analytics software, showcased strong results in the fourth quarter of 2023.</li><li>The firm reported $608 million in fourth-quarter revenue, which represents 20% YoY and 9% sequential growth.</li><li>The substantial contribution came from the commercial business which surpassed $1 billion in revenue over the last twelve months, marking this figure as a noteworthy milestone.</li></ul>

Palantir, a leading developer of data analytics software, showcased strong results in the fourth quarter of 2023.The firm reported $608 million in fourth-quarter revenue, which represents 20% YoY and 9% sequential growth.The substantial contribution came from the commercial business which surpassed $1 billion in revenue over the last twelve months, marking this figure as a noteworthy milestone.

Palantir Technologies: Outstanding Bookings and High-Retention Rate Resulting In The Share Price Skyrocketing? - Major Drivers

<p>This week we take a look at Palantir's gold purchases, Intel's proposed capex spending, and Amazon's entrance into the Department store space...basically alot of short ideas.</p><div class="content-highlight"><p>Obex’s fundamental research process is focused on secular change in the TMT and Consumer sectors. We seek to differentiate between fundamental business analysis and security analysis. Before deciding if a security’s pricing and positioning merit a long or short position, we analyze the four pillars of business fundamentals (Secular Factors, TAM, Competitive Advantage, Business Model) in order to determine if this is a “good” or “not so good” opportunity.</p></div>

This week we take a look at Palantir's gold purchases, Intel's proposed capex spending, and Amazon's entrance into the Department store space...basically alot of short ideas.Obex’s fundamental research process is focused on secular change in the TMT and Consumer sectors. We seek to differentiate between fundamental business analysis and security analysis. Before deciding if a security’s pricing and positioning merit a long or short position, we analyze the four pillars of business fundamentals (Secular Factors, TAM, Competitive Advantage, Business Model) in order to determine if this is a “good” or “not so good” opportunity.

TMT Weekly: 3 Things that Stood Out the Week of August 20, 2021

US-EU Index Rebalances / Quantitative Researcher, Ortex

Dimitris Ioannidis

US-EU Index Rebalances / Quantitative Researcher

Global Financial Data and Analytics Platform

Ortex

ORTEX is a global financial data and analytics platform providing real-time securities lending and short interest data, index rebalance data, holdings and insider transactions, trading signals, corporate actions and news,  stock machine learning and factor scores and other analytics. The majority of the data are downloadable and accessible through APIs.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dell-technologies-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32189:1" rel="noopener">Dell Technologies (DELL US)</a> is the main candidate for addition-transition with uncertainty arising from the 'Multiple Share Classes' criterion. Forecasted demand is ~$7bn and ~4 ADV.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/williams-sonoma-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11383:1" rel="noopener">Williams Sonoma (WSM US)</a> is one of the top candidates for addition-migration with uncertainty due to the migrations' inconsistent market cap selection pattern. Forecasted demand is $840m and ~2.6 ADV.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/american-airlines-group-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3663:1" rel="noopener">American Airlines Group (AAL US)</a> is one of the main candidates for deletion with uncertainty due to price hence ranking fluctuations until cut-off. Forecasted supply is $290m and ~0.8 ADV.</li>
</ul>



Dell Technologies (DELL US) is the main candidate for addition-transition with uncertainty arising from the 'Multiple Share Classes' criterion. Forecasted demand is ~$7bn and ~4 ADV.

Williams Sonoma (WSM US) is one of the top candidates for addition-migration with uncertainty due to the migrations' inconsistent market cap selection pattern. Forecasted demand is $840m and ~2.6 ADV.

American Airlines Group (AAL US) is one of the main candidates for deletion with uncertainty due to price hence ranking fluctuations until cut-off. Forecasted supply is $290m and ~0.8 ADV.


S&P 500 September Forecasts: Saved by the Dell?

United States

Palantir Technologies Inc. develops software to analyze information. The Company offers solutions support many kinds of data including structured, unstructured, relational, temporal, and geospatial. Palantir Technologies serves customers worldwide.

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Palantir Technologies (PLTR US)

Palantir Technologies: What Is The Expected Revenue Impact Given The Fervent Growth In AIP Adoption? - Major Drivers

Palantir's first quarter 2024 financial results reflect a robust growth trajectory, particularly in its U.S. commercial segment and strategic...

Baptista Research

Palantir 2Q21 Earnings: Do You Buy The Growth?

Palantir was up 11% on earnings. 59% of the total contract value that Palantir signed this quarter came from companies that it invested $250MM...

Aaron Gabin

TMT Weekly: 3 Things that Stood Out the Week of August 20, 2021

This week we take a look at Palantir's gold purchases, Intel's proposed capex spending, and Amazon's entrance into the Department store...

Aaron Gabin

S&P 500 September Forecasts: Saved by the Dell?

Dell Technologies is the biggest candidate for inclusion in the S&P 500 with forecasted demand of ~$7bn and ~4 days of volume. Uncertainty arises...

Dimitris Ioannidis

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

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Palantir Technologies: What Is The Expected Revenue Impact Given The Fervent Growth In AIP Adoption? - Major Drivers

Palantir's first quarter 2024 financial results reflect a robust growth trajectory, particularly in its U.S. commercial segment and strategic...

Baptista Research

Palantir 2Q21 Earnings: Do You Buy The Growth?

Palantir was up 11% on earnings. 59% of the total contract value that Palantir signed this quarter came from companies that it invested $250MM...

Aaron Gabin

Palantir Technologies: Outstanding Bookings and High-Retention Rate Resulting In The Share Price Skyrocketing? - Major Drivers

Palantir, a leading developer of data analytics software, showcased strong results in the fourth quarter of 2023. The firm reported $608 million...

Baptista Research

TMT Weekly: 3 Things that Stood Out the Week of August 20, 2021

This week we take a look at Palantir's gold purchases, Intel's proposed capex spending, and Amazon's entrance into the Department store...

Aaron Gabin

S&P 500 September Forecasts: Saved by the Dell?

​Dell Technologies is the biggest candidate for inclusion in the S&P 500 with forecasted demand of ~$7bn and ~4 days of volume. Uncertainty arises...

Dimitris Ioannidis

Dell Technologies is the biggest candidate for inclusion in the S&P 500 with forecasted demand of ~$7bn and ~4 days of volume. Uncertainty arises...