External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Relaxation of demand-related policies continued with Beijing further optimizing mortgage loan requirement for divorced people and multiple cities removing the lower limit on mortgage rate for first-home buyers.</li><li>Around 35 cities joined the group of adopting “trade in old house for new” policies through 3 approaches (Figure 1).</li><li>These moves may not bring a surge in property sales but could prevent a sharp decline by marginally boosting demand in our view. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Relaxation of demand-related policies continued with Beijing further optimizing mortgage loan requirement for divorced people and multiple cities removing the lower limit on mortgage rate for first-home buyers.Around 35 cities joined the group of adopting “trade in old house for new” policies through 3 approaches (Figure 1).These moves may not bring a surge in property sales but could prevent a sharp decline by marginally boosting demand in our view. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Property - Weekly highlight: +ve progress on policy implementation, no remarkable recovery on sales

<ul><li>NBS property data in 1Q24 remained sluggish but was well expected by the market.</li><li>REI decline widened to 9.5% from -9.0% in 2M24 even though continued base adjustment lowered the number in 1Q23 by 6%. REI was at - 15% if excluding this impact.</li><li>The decline of property sales value narrowed a bit more than decline in sales volume, reflecting a 1.4% hike in ASP as more supply was from higher tier cities with higher ASP in Mar. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

NBS property data in 1Q24 remained sluggish but was well expected by the market.REI decline widened to 9.5% from -9.0% in 2M24 even though continued base adjustment lowered the number in 1Q23 by 6%. REI was at - 15% if excluding this impact.The decline of property sales value narrowed a bit more than decline in sales volume, reflecting a 1.4% hike in ASP as more supply was from higher tier cities with higher ASP in Mar. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Property - NBS 1Q24: Weakness Was Well Expected, Expecting More Financing-Side Policies

<ul><li>The State Council’s meeting held last Friday reiterated the crucial role of real estate industry for stabilizing the macro economy, which sparked another round of anticipation for more supporting policies among investors.</li><li>Share prices of quality names in the sector inched up 2-3% yesterday in response.</li><li>We think it is possible to see more relaxation in tier-1 cities while the effect on property sales could be limited as residents’ future income expectation has not yet recovered and developers are still deeply mired in debt crisis. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

The State Council’s meeting held last Friday reiterated the crucial role of real estate industry for stabilizing the macro economy, which sparked another round of anticipation for more supporting policies among investors.Share prices of quality names in the sector inched up 2-3% yesterday in response.We think it is possible to see more relaxation in tier-1 cities while the effect on property sales could be limited as residents’ future income expectation has not yet recovered and developers are still deeply mired in debt crisis. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Property - Weekly highlight: Tier-1 cities showed WoW recovery, YoY decline remains deep

<ul><li>YY’s Asia reported that 12 national banks are planning to provide RMB 80bn syndicate loan for Vanke to repay its future maturing debt, and several banks have confirmed this news.</li><li>We think this confirms our previous statement that “regulators have reached a consensus on Vanke’s position as a systematically important developer”, showing a clear attitude to provide financial assistance to Vanke.</li><li>This would bring more confidence to the market during the debt repayment peak.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

YY’s Asia reported that 12 national banks are planning to provide RMB 80bn syndicate loan for Vanke to repay its future maturing debt, and several banks have confirmed this news.We think this confirms our previous statement that “regulators have reached a consensus on Vanke’s position as a systematically important developer”, showing a clear attitude to provide financial assistance to Vanke.This would bring more confidence to the market during the debt repayment peak.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Property - Sales Show Recovery Sign, Banks May Help Semi-SOE

<ul><li>The NBS (National Bureau of Statistics) property data was in-line in December 2023, the full year property sales value/property investment decline narrowed to -6.5%/-9.6% YoY (-12.5/-16.5% excluding base adjustment impact) from -26.7/- 10% in 2022，still in bottoming process.</li><li>Looking into 2024, we believe the recovery in new home market will still take time.</li><li>Sales and investments may show a continuous fall at -4/-9% YoY in our view, considering the diminishing policy effect, developers’ debt issue which may squeeze purchase demand to secondary market, low land acquisition in 2023 which may result in a lower level of quality saleable resource, and higher affordable housing supply which may lead to less demand for commercial housing. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

The NBS (National Bureau of Statistics) property data was in-line in December 2023, the full year property sales value/property investment decline narrowed to -6.5%/-9.6% YoY (-12.5/-16.5% excluding base adjustment impact) from -26.7/- 10% in 2022，still in bottoming process.Looking into 2024, we believe the recovery in new home market will still take time.Sales and investments may show a continuous fall at -4/-9% YoY in our view, considering the diminishing policy effect, developers’ debt issue which may squeeze purchase demand to secondary market, low land acquisition in 2023 which may result in a lower level of quality saleable resource, and higher affordable housing supply which may lead to less demand for commercial housing. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Property Sector – NBS Dec data in line, still in bottoming process

China

Yuexiu Property Company Ltd., through its subsidiaries, develops, manages and invests in properties. The Company also invests in a Real Estate Investment Trusts.

Seazen Holdings Co., Ltd. operates as a real estate development company. The Company develops residential buildings, office buildings, commercial buildings, infrastructure facilities, and more. Seazen Holdings also provides market research, information consulting, and other services.

Shanghai Lujiazui Finance & Trade Zone Development Co., Ltd. operates in land development, property management, and infrastructure facilities construction within the Lujiazui Finance and Trade Zone.  The Company also undertakes building and renovation projects.

Shanghai Lujiazui Finance & Trade Zone (600663 CH)

Country Garden Services Holdings Company Limited provides real estate development services. The Company develops residential apartments, multi-functional complex buildings, government and public facilities, industrial parks, highway service stations, and schools. Country Garden Services Holdings serves clients in China.

Poly Property Services Co., Ltd. provides property services. The Company offers property management, property projects pre-consultation, post-delivery evaluation and analysis, professional equipment and facilities maintenance, housekeeping, and other services. Poly Property Services provides services in China.

Shoucheng Holdings Limited operates as an investment management company. The Company provides car parking asset operation and management and urban renewal oriented fund management services. Shoucheng Holdings mainly conducts businesses in Hong Kong.

Red Star Macalline Group Corporation Ltd. operates home decoration and furniture stores. The Company engages in leasing floor areas, providing consultation and management services, sales of merchandise, strategy consultation, home design consultation, and construction service. Red Star Macalline Group Corporation conducts businesses in China.

Midea Real Estate Holding Limited operates as a holding company. The Company, through its subsidiaries, provides property management, property sales, property development, and other services.

Shanghai Shibei Hi-Tech Co.,Ltd. operates real estate businesses. The Company provides housing renovation, housing loans, real estate brokerage, property management, and other services. Shanghai Shibei Hi-Tech also operates investment management, enterprise management, and other businesses.

Beijing North Star Company Limited develops, leases, and invests in properties. The Company operates shopping centers, hotels, restaurants, and recreation businesses.  The Company also provides property management.

Cushman & Wakefield plc operates as a commercial real estate company. The Company develops commercial properties, as well as provides property leasing, facilities management, tenant representation, and valuation services. Cushman & Wakefield serves clients worldwide.

The Howard Hughes Corporation develops real estate. The Company manages master planned communities, shopping malls, and mixed-use developments throughout the United States.

Aroundtown SA operates as a real estate company. The Company manages and invests in commercial and residential real estate assets from strong fundamentals and growth prospects. Aroundtown serves customers in Europe.

Land and Houses Public Company Limited develops real estate projects including single-detached homes, townhouses, and condominiums. The Company builds single and attached homes, primarily on land that it develops and improves. Land and Houses also operates its own architectural, engineering, design and construction teams for customer's specific designs and orders.

Forestar Group Inc. operates as a residential lot development company. The Company acquires entitled real estate and develops it into finished residential lots for sale to homebuilders with a strategic focus on asset turns. Forestar Group serves customers in the United States.

Swire Pacific Limited operates as a holding company. The Company, through its subsidiaries, focuses on real estate, aviation, beverage, industrial, marine services, trading, and industrial businesses. Swire Pacific operates worldwide.

Vincom Retail Joint Stock Company owns and develops shopping malls. The Company offers dining, apparel, gaming, theme park, and entertainment facilities. Vincom Retail serves customers in Vietnam.

Novaland Investment Group Corporation operates as a real estate development and investment company. The Company provides urban, tourism, and industrial real estate development and management services. Novaland Investment Group serves customers in Vietnam.

KATITAS Co., Ltd. provides real estate services. The Company mainly offers second-hand house management, marketing, brokerage, and other related services. KATITAS provides services throughout Japan.

Anywhere Real Estate Inc. operates as a holding company. The Company through its subsidiaries, provides real estate, franchising, brokerage, relocation, and title and settlement services. Anywhere Real Estate offers its services worldwide.

Onewo Inc. operates as a property management service provider. The Company operates and manages residential communities, workspaces, public premises, and others. Onewo provides its services throughout Hong Kong.

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Onewo (2602 HK)

Property - Weekly highlight: +ve progress on policy implementation, no remarkable recovery on sales

These moves may not bring a surge in property sales but could prevent a sharp decline by marginally boosting demand in our view.

CMB International

Property - NBS 1Q24: Weakness Was Well Expected, Expecting More Financing-Side Policies

REI decline widened to 9.5% from -9.0% in 2M24 even though continued base adjustment lowered the number in 1Q23 by 6%. REI was at - 15% if...

CMB International

Property - Weekly highlight: Tier-1 cities showed WoW recovery, YoY decline remains deep

The State Council’s meeting held last Friday reiterated the crucial role of real estate industry for stabilizing the macro economy

CMB International

Property - Sales Show Recovery Sign, Banks May Help Semi-SOE

Yesterday, the developers surged 8% due to the Vanke’s news mentioned above. We believe news related to developers debt repayment will continue to...

CMB International

China Property Sector – NBS Dec data in line, still in bottoming process

The NBS (National Bureau of Statistics) property data was in-line in December 2023, the full year property sales value/property investment decline...

CMB International

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