External broker reports(aggregated public sources), HDFC Securities

HDFC Securities

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

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Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>ONGC: We maintain our BUY recommendation on ONGC with a target price of INR 178, based on (1) increase in crude price realisation and (2) improvement in domestic gas price realisation</li><li>Q1FY23 revenue/EBITDA/APAT stood at INR 423/259/152bn, below our estimates, owing to higher other expenses, depreciation and interest cost, partially offset by higher-than-expected other income</li><li>Crude oil and gas production were broadly in line, but total crude oil sales, including JV share, came below estimates. Trent: Trent reported a stellar Q1 print</li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

ONGC: We maintain our BUY recommendation on ONGC with a target price of INR 178, based on (1) increase in crude price realisation and (2) improvement in domestic gas price realisationQ1FY23 revenue/EBITDA/APAT stood at INR 423/259/152bn, below our estimates, owing to higher other expenses, depreciation and interest cost, partially offset by higher-than-expected other incomeCrude oil and gas production were broadly in line, but total crude oil sales, including JV share, came below estimates. Trent: Trent reported a stellar Q1 printContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HSIE Results Daily: ONGC, Trent, Phoenix Mills, Fine Organic Industries

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/life-insurance-corp-of-india-lic" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28829:1" rel="noopener">Life Insurance Corp of India (LIC) (LICI IN)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tata-power-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15618:1" rel="noopener">Tata Power (TPWR IN)</a> will be added to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nifty-100-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36051:1" rel="noopener">Nifty 100 Index (NSE100 INDEX)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nifty-next-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36053:1" rel="noopener">Nifty Next 50 Index (NIFTYJR INDEX)</a>. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nmdc-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2016:1" rel="noopener">Nmdc Ltd (NMDC IN)</a> will be deleted from the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cpse-etf" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28191:1" rel="noopener">CPSE ETF (CPSEBE IN)</a> and there will be no replacement in the index.</li>
<li>The NMDC deletion along with capping changes means that there is decent volume (and ADV) to buy on quite a few names in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cpse-etf" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28191:1" rel="noopener">CPSE ETF (CPSEBE IN)</a>.</li>
</ul>



Life Insurance Corp of India (LIC) (LICI IN) and Tata Power (TPWR IN) will be added to the Nifty 100 Index (NSE100 INDEX) and Nifty Next 50 Index (NIFTYJR INDEX). 

Nmdc Ltd (NMDC IN) will be deleted from the CPSE ETF (CPSEBE IN) and there will be no replacement in the index.
The NMDC deletion along with capping changes means that there is decent volume (and ADV) to buy on quite a few names in the CPSE ETF (CPSEBE IN).


NIFTY100 & CPSE Index Rebalance: Some Big Changes in 3 Weeks

<div><div><div><ul><li>Imposition of a SAED of INR 6/ltr (USD 12/bbl) on exports of petrol and ATF <span style="font-size: var(--content-font-size);">and INR 13/ltr (USD 27/bbl) on exports of diesel.</span></li></ul></div></div><div><div><div><div><ul><li>Levy of a SAED of INR 23,250/mt (USD 40/bbl) on domestically produced <span style="font-size: var(--content-font-size);">crude oil. </span></li><li><span style="font-size: var(--content-font-size);">However, no cess will be imposed on the quantity of crude that is </span><span style="font-size: var(--content-font-size);">produced in excess of FY22 production.</span></li></ul></div></div></div></div></div><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

Imposition of a SAED of INR 6/ltr (USD 12/bbl) on exports of petrol and ATF and INR 13/ltr (USD 27/bbl) on exports of diesel.Levy of a SAED of INR 23,250/mt (USD 40/bbl) on domestically produced crude oil. However, no cess will be imposed on the quantity of crude that is produced in excess of FY22 production.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Indian Oil and Gas Sector - Subsidy Overhang to Reduce

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Sona Blw Precision Forgings Lt / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Sona Comstar (Sona) raised around US$761m in its Indian IPO in Jun 2021. </li>
<li>The shares are now trading well above the IPO price and its largest PE investor, Blackstone, will be released from its lockup soon.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the lock-up dynamics and updates since our last note.</li>
</ul>


Sona Comstar (Sona) raised around US$761m in its Indian IPO in Jun 2021. 
The shares are now trading well above the IPO price and its largest PE investor, Blackstone, will be released from its lockup soon.
In this note, we will talk about the lock-up dynamics and updates since our last note.


Sona Comstar Lock-Up - Blackstone up 17x, Sold Half in the IPO with over US$1bn Left

<ul>
<li>GoAir (Go First) is looking to raise up to US$500m in its upcoming India IPO. The company is owned by the Wadia family, who also own Britannia.</li>
<li>Go Air is an ultra-low-cost carrier (ULCC) primarily operating in India. It had a market share of 10.8% in FY20 in the domestic market.</li>
<li>In this note, we talk about the not so positive aspects of the deal.</li>
</ul>


GoAir (Go First) is looking to raise up to US$500m in its upcoming India IPO. The company is owned by the Wadia family, who also own Britannia.
Go Air is an ultra-low-cost carrier (ULCC) primarily operating in India. It had a market share of 10.8% in FY20 in the domestic market.
In this note, we talk about the not so positive aspects of the deal.


Go Air (Go First) Pre-IPO - The Negatives - Competition Is About to Pick-Up Again

India

Oil and Natural Gas Corporation Limited specializes in the exploration and production of crude oil and gas. The Company has joint ventures in oil fields in Vietnam, Norway, Egypt, Tunisia, Iran and Australia. The Group's other activities include deep sea explorations on the east and west coasts of India, and the exploration of coal bed methane.

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Oil & Natural Gas Corp (ONGC IN)

HSIE Results Daily: ONGC, Trent, Phoenix Mills, Fine Organic Industries

Crude oil and gas production were broadly in line, but total crude oil sales, including JV share, came below estimates. Trent: Trent reported a...

HDFC Securities

NIFTY100 & CPSE Index Rebalance: Some Big Changes in 3 Weeks

LIC and Tata Power will be added to the NIFTY100 Index at the close on 5 August. NMDC is being deleted from the NIFTY100 & CPSE indices. There is a...

Brian Freitas

Indian Oil and Gas Sector - Subsidy Overhang to Reduce

Reliance Industries (RIL), ONGC and Oil India (OIL) stocks declined 7-15% on 1st Jul-22 as investors took a dim view of the new levies applied on...

HDFC Securities

Sona Comstar Lock-Up - Blackstone up 17x, Sold Half in the IPO with over US$1bn Left

Sona Comstar (Sona) raised around US$761m in its Indian IPO in Jun 2021. The shares are trading well above the IPO price. Blackstone still owns...

Sumeet Singh

Go Air (Go First) Pre-IPO - The Negatives - Competition Is About to Pick-Up Again

GoAir (Go First) is looking to raise up to US$500m in its upcoming India IPO. In this note, we talk about the not so positive aspects of the deal.

Sumeet Singh

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