External broker reports(aggregated public sources), HDFC Securities

HDFC Securities

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

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Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Equity Bottom-Up

Oil & Natural Gas Corp / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Oil and Natural Gas Corporation (ONGC) stock rallied 40% and outperformed the Sensex by 21% in CY23YTD, as Brent crude price increased from USD 81/bbl at the beginning of CY23 to a high USD 96/bbl seen in Octoer 2023</li><li>However, going ahead we see limited upside to ONGC’s crude price realisation in the current environment of windfall tax (which has not allowed ONGC to earn more than USD 75/bbl since the levy of the tax on 1 July 2022), slowing global oil demand, strong non-OPEC+ oil production growth and increasing spare OPEC oil capacity</li><li>ONGC’s gas price realisation too is unlikely to change significantly, as APM gas price is frozen till March 2025 and 95% of ONGC’s gas sales fall under APM.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Oil and Natural Gas Corporation (ONGC) stock rallied 40% and outperformed the Sensex by 21% in CY23YTD, as Brent crude price increased from USD 81/bbl at the beginning of CY23 to a high USD 96/bbl seen in Octoer 2023However, going ahead we see limited upside to ONGC’s crude price realisation in the current environment of windfall tax (which has not allowed ONGC to earn more than USD 75/bbl since the levy of the tax on 1 July 2022), slowing global oil demand, strong non-OPEC+ oil production growth and increasing spare OPEC oil capacityONGC’s gas price realisation too is unlikely to change significantly, as APM gas price is frozen till March 2025 and 95% of ONGC’s gas sales fall under APM.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

ONGC: Limited Earnings Growth Prospects. Downgrade to REDUCE

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mankind-pharma-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36389:1" rel="noopener">Mankind Pharma</a> is looking to raise about US$1bn in its upcoming India IPO.</li>
<li>MP is a pharmaceutical company engaged in developing, manufacturing and marketing a range of pharmaceutical formulations across various acute and chronic therapeutic areas, as well as several consumer healthcare products.</li>
<li>In this note, we will undertake a peer comparison with some of the India listed and domestically focussed pharmaceutical firms.</li>
</ul>



Mankind Pharma is looking to raise about US$1bn in its upcoming India IPO.
MP is a pharmaceutical company engaged in developing, manufacturing and marketing a range of pharmaceutical formulations across various acute and chronic therapeutic areas, as well as several consumer healthcare products.
In this note, we will undertake a peer comparison with some of the India listed and domestically focussed pharmaceutical firms.


Mankind Pharma Pre-IPO - Peer Comparison - One of the Largest, with Better Growth and Margins

Alibaba Group Holding  / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>2022 marked our seventh year covering Equity Capital Markets (ECM) in Asia Pacific. 2022 was rather quiet ending with us covering one of the lowest number of IPOs and placements.</li>
<li>We ended 2022 with an accuracy rate of 74.6% across 55 IPOs that we covered and 70.5% across 78 placements. </li>
<li>For those not familiar with our coverage, we aim to cover all IPOs and placements with a minimum deal size of US$100m across Asia-Pacific, including China ADRs.</li>
</ul>


2022 marked our seventh year covering Equity Capital Markets (ECM) in Asia Pacific. 2022 was rather quiet ending with us covering one of the lowest number of IPOs and placements.
We ended 2022 with an accuracy rate of 74.6% across 55 IPOs that we covered and 70.5% across 78 placements. 
For those not familiar with our coverage, we aim to cover all IPOs and placements with a minimum deal size of US$100m across Asia-Pacific, including China ADRs.


Aequitas 2022 IPOs and Placements Performance Review - From the Busiest Year to the Slowest Year

India Equity Analyst - Fundamental & Thematic, Beat the Street

Sudarshan Bhandari

India Equity Analyst - Fundamental & Thematic

Beat the Street

Beat The Street was founded by Nimish Maheshwari and Sudarshan Bhandari, both of whom are Chartered Accountants by Profession, known for their expert analysis in the fields of Business, Sectoral analysis, and Corporate governance.

With a strong social media presence of 45,000+ Subscribers across various platforms, they are considered trusted voices in the industry. Their insights and analysis have been featured in some of India’s most prominent publications, including the Economic Times, Dalal Street Investment Journal, The Morning Context, and The Ken.

Their analysis on Bankrupt & Insolvent companies has been instrumental in saving investors from significant losses. They have a keen eye for identifying red flags and has identified exclusive redflags earlier in Vedanta, Nykaa, Dhani Services, Adani and many more.

Read Business Not Stock Prices

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>ONGC, Oil India to Price New Gas at 20% Premium over the APM price.</li>
<li>JSW Steel buys a 66.67% stake in M Res NSW for $120 million.</li>
<li>Adani Green Energy aims for a 30% CAGR in renewable capacity.</li>
</ul>


ONGC, Oil India to Price New Gas at 20% Premium over the APM price.
JSW Steel buys a 66.67% stake in M Res NSW for $120 million.
Adani Green Energy aims for a 30% CAGR in renewable capacity.


# 45 India Insight: ONGC, Oil India Price Premium, JSW Steel Acquisition, Adani Green RE Target

<ul><li>ONGC: We maintain our REDUCE rating on ONGC, with a target price of INR 286, given: (1) limited upside potential for ONGC’s crude price realisation in the current environment with a levy of windfall tax, (2) gas price realisation too unlikely to change significantly, as APM gas price is frozen until March 2025 and 95% of ONGC’s gas sales fall under APM and (3) slower ramp-up in oil &amp; gas production</li><li>In Q1FY25, reported EBITDA stood at INR 186bn (-4% YoY, +7% QoQ), coming in above our estimate owing to lower-than-expected statutory levies</li><li>PAT at INR 89bn (-11% YoY, -9% QoQ) was below our estimate, mainly driven by higher-than-expected depreciation and depletion costs</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

ONGC: We maintain our REDUCE rating on ONGC, with a target price of INR 286, given: (1) limited upside potential for ONGC’s crude price realisation in the current environment with a levy of windfall tax, (2) gas price realisation too unlikely to change significantly, as APM gas price is frozen until March 2025 and 95% of ONGC’s gas sales fall under APM and (3) slower ramp-up in oil &amp; gas productionIn Q1FY25, reported EBITDA stood at INR 186bn (-4% YoY, +7% QoQ), coming in above our estimate owing to lower-than-expected statutory leviesPAT at INR 89bn (-11% YoY, -9% QoQ) was below our estimate, mainly driven by higher-than-expected depreciation and depletion costsContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HSIE Results Daily: ONGC, TVS Motor, NCC, Bajaj Electricals, Symphony

India

Oil and Natural Gas Corporation Limited specializes in the exploration and production of crude oil and gas. The Company has joint ventures in oil fields in Vietnam, Norway, Egypt, Tunisia, Iran and Australia. The Group's other activities include deep sea explorations on the east and west coasts of India, and the exploration of coal bed methane.

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Oil & Natural Gas Corp (ONGC IN)

ONGC: Limited Earnings Growth Prospects. Downgrade to REDUCE

ONGC’s gas price realisation too is unlikely to change significantly, as APM gas price is frozen till March 2025 and 95% of ONGC’s gas sales fall...

HDFC Securities

Mankind Pharma Pre-IPO - Peer Comparison - One of the Largest, with Better Growth and Margins

Mankind Pharma is looking to raise about US$1bn in its upcoming India IPO. In this note, we will undertake a peer comparison.

Sumeet Singh

Aequitas 2022 IPOs and Placements Performance Review - From the Busiest Year to the Slowest Year

2022 marked our seventh year covering Equity Capital Markets (ECM) in Asia Pacific. 2022 was rather quiet ending with us covering one of the lowest...

Sumeet Singh

# 45 India Insight: ONGC, Oil India Price Premium, JSW Steel Acquisition, Adani Green RE Target

ONGC and Oil India set new gas prices at 20% premium, JSW Steel acquires majority stake in M Res NSW for $120 million, Adani Green Energy targets...

Sudarshan Bhandari

HSIE Results Daily: ONGC, TVS Motor, NCC, Bajaj Electricals, Symphony

We maintain our REDUCE rating on ONGC, with a target price of INR 286, given: (1) limited upside potential for ONGC’s crude price realisation in...

HDFC Securities

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

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ONGC: Limited Earnings Growth Prospects. Downgrade to REDUCE

ONGC’s gas price realisation too is unlikely to change significantly, as APM gas price is frozen till March 2025 and 95% of ONGC’s gas sales fall...

HDFC Securities

Mankind Pharma Pre-IPO - Peer Comparison - One of the Largest, with Better Growth and Margins

Mankind Pharma is looking to raise about US$1bn in its upcoming India IPO. In this note, we will undertake a peer comparison.

Sumeet Singh

Aequitas 2022 IPOs and Placements Performance Review - From the Busiest Year to the Slowest Year

2022 marked our seventh year covering Equity Capital Markets (ECM) in Asia Pacific. 2022 was rather quiet ending with us covering one of the lowest...

Sumeet Singh

# 45 India Insight: ONGC, Oil India Price Premium, JSW Steel Acquisition, Adani Green RE Target

​ONGC and Oil India set new gas prices at 20% premium, JSW Steel acquires majority stake in M Res NSW for $120 million, Adani Green Energy targets...

Sudarshan Bhandari

HSIE Results Daily: ONGC, TVS Motor, NCC, Bajaj Electricals, Symphony

We maintain our REDUCE rating on ONGC, with a target price of INR 286, given: (1) limited upside potential for ONGC’s crude price realisation in...

HDFC Securities

ONGC and Oil India set new gas prices at 20% premium, JSW Steel acquires majority stake in M Res NSW for $120 million, Adani Green Energy targets...