Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>There were a bunch of rebalances across different index families that were implemented at the close of trading on Friday.</li>
<li>The coming week is quieter though there are a couple of ad hoc rebalances for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/korea-stock-exchange-kospi-200-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26021:1" rel="noopener">Korea Stock Exchange Kospi 200 Index (KOSPI2 INDEX)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kosdaq-150-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31077:1" rel="noopener">KOSDAQ 150 Index (KOSDQ150 INDEX)</a>. </li>
<li>Yet another week of inflows to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tracker-fund-of-hong-kong-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29257:1" rel="noopener">Tracker Fund of Hong Kong Ltd (2800 HK)</a> as the number of units outstanding is nearly the highest over the last couple of years.</li>
</ul>


There were a bunch of rebalances across different index families that were implemented at the close of trading on Friday.
The coming week is quieter though there are a couple of ad hoc rebalances for the Korea Stock Exchange Kospi 200 Index (KOSPI2 INDEX) and KOSDAQ 150 Index (KOSDQ150 INDEX). 
Yet another week of inflows to Tracker Fund of Hong Kong Ltd (2800 HK) as the number of units outstanding is nearly the highest over the last couple of years.


Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: HSCEI, HSTECH, STAR50, KOSDAQ150, CPSE/CNXBANK, Kenedix Merger

<ul>
<li>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cpse-etf" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28191:1" rel="noopener">CPSE ETF (CPSEBE IN)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nifty-bank-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26811:1" rel="noopener">Nifty Bank Index (NSEBANK INDEX)</a> will have its quarterly rebalancing at the close on 29 June.</li>
<li>There are no constituent changes for the indices in June but there will be capping and float changes for the stocks and there is a reasonable impact on many stocks.</li>
<li>Both indices have performed well over the recent past and active investors can take advantage of the passive flows to increase or decrease existing positions.</li>
</ul>


The CPSE ETF (CPSEBE IN) and Nifty Bank Index (NSEBANK INDEX) will have its quarterly rebalancing at the close on 29 June.
There are no constituent changes for the indices in June but there will be capping and float changes for the stocks and there is a reasonable impact on many stocks.
Both indices have performed well over the recent past and active investors can take advantage of the passive flows to increase or decrease existing positions.


CPSE / CNXBANK Index Rebalance Preview: Capping Changes in June

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Alibaba Group Holding  / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.</li>
<li>In the IPO space, Indonesia appears to be the only market where sizeable deals are being done as Growatt and Olam Agri  laucnhes got pushed back.</li>
<li>On the placement front, there were only a few smaller deals that were lauched, apart from the selldown in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/coal-india-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9117:1" rel="noopener">Coal India Ltd (COAL IN)</a>. </li>
</ul>


Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.
In the IPO space, Indonesia appears to be the only market where sizeable deals are being done as Growatt and Olam Agri  laucnhes got pushed back.
On the placement front, there were only a few smaller deals that were lauched, apart from the selldown in Coal India Ltd (COAL IN). 


ECM Weekly (4th June 2023) - JD Ind, Alibaba, Growatt, Olam Agri, Coal India, Adani, Patanjali

<ul>
<li>The Government of India is looking to raise up to US$540m via selling around 3% of Coal India.</li>
<li>This will be the third divestment by the Government since 2015 and the past two deals didn’t end up doing much.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the placement and run the deal through our ECM framework.</li>
</ul>


The Government of India is looking to raise up to US$540m via selling around 3% of Coal India.
This will be the third divestment by the Government since 2015 and the past two deals didn’t end up doing much.
In this note, we will talk about the placement and run the deal through our ECM framework.


Coal India Follow-On - Recent Momentum Is Strong but past Deals Haven’t Done Much

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), HDFC Securities

HDFC Securities

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

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Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>ONGC: We maintain our ADD rating on ONGC with a target price of INR 168, based on oil and gas production growth at 5/8% CAGR over FY23-25E, attractive valuations of 3.7x FY24 EPS—an ~31% discount to 5-year average P/E of 5.4x, 0.6x FY24 P/Bv with RoE of ~18% and a dividend yield of ~7%</li><li>However, this is offset by limited earnings potential, owing to the levy of a windfall tax on crude oil prices and a decline in the price of domestically produced APM gas</li><li>Q4FY23 EBITDA was at INR 163bn, coming in below our estimate, owing to higher-than-expected other expenses however, higher exploratory costs and an exceptional item resulted in a quarterly loss of INR 2.5bn</li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

ONGC: We maintain our ADD rating on ONGC with a target price of INR 168, based on oil and gas production growth at 5/8% CAGR over FY23-25E, attractive valuations of 3.7x FY24 EPS—an ~31% discount to 5-year average P/E of 5.4x, 0.6x FY24 P/Bv with RoE of ~18% and a dividend yield of ~7%However, this is offset by limited earnings potential, owing to the levy of a windfall tax on crude oil prices and a decline in the price of domestically produced APM gasQ4FY23 EBITDA was at INR 163bn, coming in below our estimate, owing to higher-than-expected other expenses however, higher exploratory costs and an exceptional item resulted in a quarterly loss of INR 2.5bnContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HSIE Results Daily: ONGC, Balkrishna Industries, NCC, Sobha, Greenlam Industries

India

Oil and Natural Gas Corporation Limited specializes in the exploration and production of crude oil and gas. The Company has joint ventures in oil fields in Vietnam, Norway, Egypt, Tunisia, Iran and Australia. The Group's other activities include deep sea explorations on the east and west coasts of India, and the exploration of coal bed methane.

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Oil & Natural Gas Corp (ONGC IN)

Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: HSCEI, HSTECH, STAR50, KOSDAQ150, CPSE/CNXBANK, Kenedix Merger

This recap highlights Insights covering Asian index rebalances (announcements/ forecasts/ IPO Fast Entry/ M&A driven changes). We also highlight...

Brian Freitas

CPSE / CNXBANK Index Rebalance Preview: Capping Changes in June

There are no constituent changes for the indices but there are capping and float changes that will lead to large impact flows on quite a few...

Brian Freitas

ECM Weekly (4th June 2023) - JD Ind, Alibaba, Growatt, Olam Agri, Coal India, Adani, Patanjali

Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.

Sumeet Singh

Coal India Follow-On - Recent Momentum Is Strong but past Deals Haven’t Done Much

The Government of India is looking to raise up to US$540m via selling around 3% of Coal India. The stock has performed well recently but the past...

Sumeet Singh

HSIE Results Daily: ONGC, Balkrishna Industries, NCC, Sobha, Greenlam Industries

We maintain our ADD rating on ONGC with a target price of INR 168, based on oil and gas production growth at 5/8% CAGR over FY23-25E, attractive...

HDFC Securities

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