Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

Event-Driven

<h2>Event overview</h2><p>We have another stock swap event in Korea. SK Inc (SK Holdings) merges with SK Materials. SK Inc will be a surviving entity, and SK Materials will be dissolved. <strong>So yes, this is a nearly pure arb opportunity. I need to stress the word "Nearly" here, meaning that it isn't a 100% risk-free arb. But the only risk here is cancellation, which will be triggered by the stock purchase ceiling amount of ₩800.0B.</strong></p><table class="table table-striped">
<colgroup>
<col width="200">
<col width="200">
</colgroup>
<tbody>
<tr><td colspan="2" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Swap overview"}'>Swap overview</td></tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Type"}'>Type</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Stock swap"}'>Stock swap</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Acquirer"}'>Acquirer</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"SK Inc"}' data-sheets-formula='=googlefinance(R[1]C[0], "name")'><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sk-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:393:1" rel="noopener">SK Inc (034730 KS)</a></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Target company"}'>Target company</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"SK Materials Co Ltd"}' data-sheets-formula='=googlefinance(R[1]C[0], "name")'><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/oci-materials-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19390:1" rel="noopener">SK Materials (036490 KS)</a></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Swap price for SK Inc"}' data-sheets-formula='="Swap price for "&amp;R[-6]C[1]'><strong>Swap price for SK Inc</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":264076}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"[$₩-412]#,##0","3":1}'><strong>₩264,076</strong></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Swap price for SK Materials Co Ltd"}' data-sheets-formula='="Swap price for "&amp;R[-4]C[1]'><strong>Swap price for SK Materials</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":416670}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"[$₩-412]#,##0","3":1}'><strong>₩416,670</strong></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Swap ratio"}'><strong>Swap ratio</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":1.5778412}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"#,##0.0000000","3":1}'><strong>1.5778412</strong></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":" - Amount"}'><strong>Stock purchase ceiling amount</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":800}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"₩#,##0.0B"}'><strong>₩0.80T</strong></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Exercise price - SK Inc"}' data-sheets-formula='="Exercise price - "&amp;R[-11]C[1]'>Exercise price - SK Inc</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"N/A"}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"[$₩-412]#,##0","3":1}'>N/A</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Exercise price - SK Materials Co Ltd"}' data-sheets-formula='="Exercise price - "&amp;R[-9]C[1]'><strong>Exercise price - SK Materials</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":415751}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"[$₩-412]#,##0","3":1}'><strong>₩415,751</strong></td>
</tr>
<tr><td colspan="2" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Source: DART"}'>Source: DART</td></tr>
</tbody>
</table><p>Below are the swap price calculations for both companies, giving a swap ratio of 1 to 1.5778412. That is, <strong>SK Materials shareholders will receive 1.5778412 shares of SK Inc for each of their SK Materials share.</strong></p><table class="table table-striped">
<colgroup>
<col width="300">
<col width="100">
<col width="100">
<col width="100">
</colgroup>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Swap prices"}'>Swap prices</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"SK Inc"}' data-sheets-formula="=Terms!R[2]C[0]">SK Inc</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"SK Materials Co Ltd"}' data-sheets-formula="=Terms!R[5]C[-1]">SK Materials</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Note"}'>Note</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"1-month VWAP (July 20~August 19, 2021)"}'>1-month VWAP (July 20~August 19, 2021)</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":270513}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,2,"[$₩-412]#,##0",1]'>₩270,513</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":425992}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,2,"[$₩-412]#,##0",1]'>₩425,992</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"A"}'>A</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"1-week VWAP (August 13~19, 2021)"}'>1-week VWAP (August 13~19, 2021)</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":262714}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,2,"[$₩-412]#,##0",1]'>₩262,714</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":420319}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,2,"[$₩-412]#,##0",1]'>₩420,319</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"B"}'>B</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"1-day close (August 19, 2021)"}'>1-day close (August 19, 2021)</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":259000}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,2,"[$₩-412]#,##0",1]'>₩259,000</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":403700}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,2,"[$₩-412]#,##0",1]'>₩403,700</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"C"}'>C</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Swap price"}'><strong>Swap price</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":264075.6666666667}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,2,"[$₩-412]#,##0",1]' data-sheets-formula="=sum(R[-3]C[0]:R[-1]C[0])/3"><strong>₩264,076</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":416670.3333333333}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,2,"[$₩-412]#,##0",1]' data-sheets-formula="=sum(R[-3]C[0]:R[-1]C[0])/3"><strong>₩416,670</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"(A+B+C)/3"}'><strong>(A+B+C)/3</strong></td>
</tr>
<tr><td colspan="4" rowspan="1" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Source: DART &amp; KRX"}'>Source: DART &amp; KRX</td></tr>
</tbody>
</table><p><strong>This event qualified as a small-scale merger.</strong> It means that the number of newly issued shares being transferred in a merger is less than the 10% threshold of the total issued shares.</p><table class="table table-striped">
<colgroup>
<col width="200">
<col width="200">
</colgroup>
<tbody>
<tr><td colspan="2" rowspan="1" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Small scale merger qualification"}'>Small scale merger qualification</td></tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"NPS + Minority shareholders"}'><strong>SK Materials target shares: NPS + Minority shareholders</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.3581000000000001}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":3,"2":"0.00%","3":1}' data-sheets-formula="=sum(R[-8]C[1]:R[-7]C[1])"><strong>35.81%</strong></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Number of shares to swap"}'>Number of shares to swap</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":3776936}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"#,##0","3":1}' data-sheets-formula="=R[-35]C[0]-5179535-1202-1590000">3,776,936</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Swap ratio"}'>Swap ratio</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":1.5778412}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"#,##0.0000000","3":1}' data-sheets-formula="=R[-33]C[0]">1.5778412</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Number of shares to be issued"}'><strong>Number of shares to be issued by SK Inc</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":5962879}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"#,##0","3":1}'><strong>5,962,879</strong></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":" - % of SK Inc SO"}'><strong>- % of SK Inc SO</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.08474778041371826}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":3,"2":"0.00%","3":1}' data-sheets-formula="=R[-1]C[0]/R[-41]C[0]"><strong>8.47% (less than the 10% threshold)</strong></td>
</tr>
<tr><td colspan="2" rowspan="1" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Source: DART"}'>Source: DART</td></tr>
</tbody>
</table><div><div class="content-highlight">
<p><strong>Here are the benefits of a small-scale merger:</strong></p>
<ul>
<li>An acquiring entity (SK Inc) doesn't need shareholder approval, meaning that SK Inc shareholders won't be granted appraisal rights.</li>
<li>Only an acquired entity (SK Materials) needs shareholder approval, meaning that SK Materials shareholders get appraisal rights.</li>
<li>But SK Inc shareholders still get a right to oppose to this merger. If more than 20% of the shareholders oppose, an acquiring company should cancel the merger.</li>
</ul>
</div></div><p>This is the appraisal rights exercise price for SK Materials. As mentioned right above, SK Inc shareholders are not granted stock purchase rights.</p><table class="table table-striped">
<colgroup>
<col width="300">
<col width="100">
<col width="100">
<col width="100">
</colgroup>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Stock purchase rights"}'>Stock purchase rights</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"SK Inc"}' data-sheets-formula="=Terms!R[-5]C[0]">SK Inc</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"SK Materials Co Ltd"}' data-sheets-formula="=Terms!R[-2]C[-1]">SK Materials</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Note"}'>Note</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"2-month VWAP (June 20~August 19, 2021)"}'>2-month VWAP (June 20~August 19, 2021)</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"-"}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,2,"[$₩-412]#,##0",1]'>-</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":400942}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,2,"[$₩-412]#,##0",1]' data-sheets-formula="=(R[3]C[0]*3)-sum(R[1]C[0]:R[2]C[0])">₩400,942</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"A"}'>A</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"1-month VWAP (July 20~August 19, 2021)"}'>1-month VWAP (July 20~August 19, 2021)</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"-"}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,2,"[$₩-412]#,##0",1]'>-</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":425992}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,2,"[$₩-412]#,##0",1]'>₩425,992</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"B"}'>B</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"1-week VWAP (August 13~19, 2021)"}'>1-week VWAP (August 13~19, 2021)</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"-"}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,2,"[$₩-412]#,##0",1]'>-</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":420319}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,2,"[$₩-412]#,##0",1]'>₩420,319</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"C"}'>C</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Exercise price"}'><strong>Exercise price</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"-"}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,2,"[$₩-412]#,##0",1]'><strong>-</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":415751}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,2,"[$₩-412]#,##0",1]'><strong>₩415,751</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"(A+B+C)/3"}'><strong>(A+B+C)/3</strong></td>
</tr>
<tr><td colspan="4" rowspan="1" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Source: DART &amp; KRX"}'>Source: DART &amp; KRX</td></tr>
</tbody>
</table><p><strong>Below is the schedule. And the most important part is that we need to buy SK Materials shares until next Monday (August 23) to become eligible to exercise appraisal rights.</strong> It is important to note that the ex-rights date isn't the deadline for the stock purchase rights eligibility. The ex-rights date in this event is the deadline to become eligible to oppose to the merger.</p><table class="table table-striped">
<colgroup>
<col width="200">
<col width="200">
<col width="200">
</colgroup>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Schedule"}' data-sheets-note="Sang Hyun Park: We have to buy shares until BOD+1 to be eligible to receive stock purchase rights. We then have to notify our dissenting opinion until the end of dissenting opinion notice period.">Schedule</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"SK Inc"}' data-sheets-formula="=R[-15]C[0]">SK Inc</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"SK Materials Co Ltd"}' data-sheets-formula="=R[-12]C[-1]">SK Materials</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Last day to own stock purchase rights"}'><strong>Last day to own stock purchase rights</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"N/A"}'><strong>N/A</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":44066}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":5,"2":"yyyy. mm. dd","3":1}'><strong>2020. 08. 23</strong></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Ex-rights date"}'><strong>Ex-rights date</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":44442}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":5,"2":"yyyy. mm. dd","3":1}'><strong>2021. 09. 03</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":44442}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":5,"2":"yyyy. mm. dd","3":1}'><strong>2021. 09. 03</strong></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Record date of shareholder register"}'>Record date of shareholder register</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":44445}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":5,"2":"yyyy. mm. dd","3":1}'>2021. 09. 06</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":44445}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":5,"2":"yyyy. mm. dd","3":1}'>2021. 09. 06</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Dissenting opinion notice"}'><strong>Dissenting opinion notice</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"2021. 09. 06 ~ 09. 23"}'><strong>2021. 09. 06 ~ 09. 23</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"2021. 10. 14 ~ 10. 28"}'><strong>2021. 10. 14 ~ 10. 28</strong></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Shareholder meeting"}'>Shareholder meeting</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"N/A"}'>N/A</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":44498}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":5,"2":"yyyy. mm. dd","3":1}'>2021. 10. 29</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Stock purchase right exercise"}'><strong>Stock purchase right exercise</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"N/A"}'><strong>N/A</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"2021. 10. 29 ~ 11. 18"}'><strong>2021. 10. 29 ~ 11. 18</strong></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Trade suspension"}'>Trade suspension</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"N/A"}'>N/A</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"2021. 11. 29 ~ 12. 24"}'>2021. 11. 29 ~ 12. 24</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Listing"}'>Listing</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"N/A"}'>N/A</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":44557}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":5,"2":"yyyy. mm. dd","3":1}'>2021. 12. 27</td>
</tr>
<tr><td colspan="3" rowspan="1" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Source: DART"}'>Source: DART</td></tr>
</tbody>
</table>

Event overviewWe have another stock swap event in Korea. SK Inc (SK Holdings) merges with SK Materials. SK Inc will be a surviving entity, and SK Materials will be dissolved. So yes, this is a nearly pure arb opportunity. I need to stress the word "Nearly" here, meaning that it isn't a 100% risk-free arb. But the only risk here is cancellation, which will be triggered by the stock purchase ceiling amount of ₩800.0B.





Swap overview

Type
Stock swap


Acquirer
SK Inc (034730 KS)


Target company
SK Materials (036490 KS)


Swap price for SK Inc
₩264,076


Swap price for SK Materials
₩416,670


Swap ratio
1.5778412


Stock purchase ceiling amount
₩0.80T


Exercise price - SK Inc
N/A


Exercise price - SK Materials
₩415,751

Source: DART

Below are the swap price calculations for both companies, giving a swap ratio of 1 to 1.5778412. That is, SK Materials shareholders will receive 1.5778412 shares of SK Inc for each of their SK Materials share.








Swap prices
SK Inc
SK Materials
Note


1-month VWAP (July 20~August 19, 2021)
₩270,513
₩425,992
A


1-week VWAP (August 13~19, 2021)
₩262,714
₩420,319
B


1-day close (August 19, 2021)
₩259,000
₩403,700
C


Swap price
₩264,076
₩416,670
(A+B+C)/3

Source: DART &amp; KRX

This event qualified as a small-scale merger. It means that the number of newly issued shares being transferred in a merger is less than the 10% threshold of the total issued shares.





Small scale merger qualification

SK Materials target shares: NPS + Minority shareholders
35.81%


Number of shares to swap
3,776,936


Swap ratio
1.5778412


Number of shares to be issued by SK Inc
5,962,879


- % of SK Inc SO
8.47% (less than the 10% threshold)

Source: DART


Here are the benefits of a small-scale merger:

An acquiring entity (SK Inc) doesn't need shareholder approval, meaning that SK Inc shareholders won't be granted appraisal rights.
Only an acquired entity (SK Materials) needs shareholder approval, meaning that SK Materials shareholders get appraisal rights.
But SK Inc shareholders still get a right to oppose to this merger. If more than 20% of the shareholders oppose, an acquiring company should cancel the merger.

This is the appraisal rights exercise price for SK Materials. As mentioned right above, SK Inc shareholders are not granted stock purchase rights.








Stock purchase rights
SK Inc
SK Materials
Note


2-month VWAP (June 20~August 19, 2021)
-
₩400,942
A


1-month VWAP (July 20~August 19, 2021)
-
₩425,992
B


1-week VWAP (August 13~19, 2021)
-
₩420,319
C


Exercise price
-
₩415,751
(A+B+C)/3

Source: DART &amp; KRX

Below is the schedule. And the most important part is that we need to buy SK Materials shares until next Monday (August 23) to become eligible to exercise appraisal rights. It is important to note that the ex-rights date isn't the deadline for the stock purchase rights eligibility. The ex-rights date in this event is the deadline to become eligible to oppose to the merger.







Schedule
SK Inc
SK Materials


Last day to own stock purchase rights
N/A
2020. 08. 23


Ex-rights date
2021. 09. 03
2021. 09. 03


Record date of shareholder register
2021. 09. 06
2021. 09. 06


Dissenting opinion notice
2021. 09. 06 ~ 09. 23
2021. 10. 14 ~ 10. 28


Shareholder meeting
N/A
2021. 10. 29


Stock purchase right exercise
N/A
2021. 10. 29 ~ 11. 18


Trade suspension
N/A
2021. 11. 29 ~ 12. 24


Listing
N/A
2021. 12. 27

Source: DART



A "Nearly" Pure Arb Opportunity: SK Holdings & SK Materials Stock Swap

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

<div class="content-highlight">
<p>In this insight, we provide an updated sum-of-the parts (SoTP) valuation on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sk-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:393:1" rel="noopener">SK Holdings (034730 KS)</a>. There are many moving parts of SK Holdings and it helps to review the main factors that have been impacting its share price. <strong>Our base case valuation of SK Holdings is 448,850 won, which represents a 54% upside from current levels. </strong></p>
<p>We believe that the<strong> 6 MOST IMPORTANT FACTORS</strong> impacting the share price of SK Holdings are currently as follows:</p>
<p>I. A Big Investment ($1.5 Billion) in Plug Power</p>
<p>II. SK IE Technology IPO</p>
<p>III. Sale of SK Lubricants</p>
<p>IV. SK Telecom's Higher Share Price Trend</p>
<p>V. Changing values of SK Siltron, SK E&amp;S and other private companies</p>
<p>VI. Changing values of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sk-biopharmaceuticals-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28966:1" rel="noopener">SK Biopharmaceuticals (326030 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/oci-materials-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19390:1" rel="noopener">Sk Materials (036490 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/skc-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3970:1" rel="noopener">SKC Co Ltd (011790 KS)</a>, and other public companies</p>
</div>


In this insight, we provide an updated sum-of-the parts (SoTP) valuation on SK Holdings (034730 KS). There are many moving parts of SK Holdings and it helps to review the main factors that have been impacting its share price. Our base case valuation of SK Holdings is 448,850 won, which represents a 54% upside from current levels. 
We believe that the 6 MOST IMPORTANT FACTORS impacting the share price of SK Holdings are currently as follows:
I. A Big Investment ($1.5 Billion) in Plug Power
II. SK IE Technology IPO
III. Sale of SK Lubricants
IV. SK Telecom's Higher Share Price Trend
V. Changing values of SK Siltron, SK E&amp;S and other private companies
VI. Changing values of SK Biopharmaceuticals (326030 KS), Sk Materials (036490 KS), SKC Co Ltd (011790 KS), and other public companies


SK Holdings: Sum-Of-The Parts Valuation Analysis & Key Catalysts

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

MSCI Emerging Markets Index / Technical Analysis

<p>The MSCI EM index (local currency) remains in an uptrend and is testing all-time highs set in January 2018 near 65,800; as long as the index is above 60,000 we are constructive from a price perspective.  China (<strong>CSI 300, MSCI China</strong>) continues to offer many attractive setups and accounts for the vast majority of today’s recommendations. Taiwan (<strong>TAIEX</strong>) continues to be worthy of an overweight within the EM universe, while South Korea (<strong>KOSPI</strong>) and India (<strong>SENSEX</strong>) display improving price and RS trends -- add exposure.</p>

The MSCI EM index (local currency) remains in an uptrend and is testing all-time highs set in January 2018 near 65,800; as long as the index is above 60,000 we are constructive from a price perspective.  China (CSI 300, MSCI China) continues to offer many attractive setups and accounts for the vast majority of today’s recommendations. Taiwan (TAIEX) continues to be worthy of an overweight within the EM universe, while South Korea (KOSPI) and India (SENSEX) display improving price and RS trends -- add exposure.

Equity Bottom-Up

<p><strong>Two big drivers of the Korean stock market this year (especially since the lows in March 2020) have been the huge participation by local retail investors and the other major factor has been a big jump in the number of companies conducting share buybacks. In this insight, we discuss in detail the latter factor. </strong></p><p>As of 17 July 2020, there were 552 listed companies that have repurchased their shares or have announced that they will buy back shares since the beginning of the year. This represents a big jump of 4.2x as compared to the same period on a YoY basis.</p><p>In this insight, we have identified <strong>179 companies</strong> that have reported share buybacks from 1 June to 23 July 2020. </p>

Two big drivers of the Korean stock market this year (especially since the lows in March 2020) have been the huge participation by local retail investors and the other major factor has been a big jump in the number of companies conducting share buybacks. In this insight, we discuss in detail the latter factor. As of 17 July 2020, there were 552 listed companies that have repurchased their shares or have announced that they will buy back shares since the beginning of the year. This represents a big jump of 4.2x as compared to the same period on a YoY basis.In this insight, we have identified 179 companies that have reported share buybacks from 1 June to 23 July 2020. 

Number of Companies Conducting Share Buybacks in Korea in 2020 YTD - A Big Jump of 4.2x YoY

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Last Week In Event SPACE: ESR/Sabana REITs, Vedanta, Leyou, Alpha, Metlifecare, Melco, Neles

South Korea

SK Materials Co Ltd. specializes in producing and distributing specialty gas.  The Company's main products include NF3 (Nitrogen Trifluoride) for semiconductor and LCD, SiH4 (Monosilane) for solar cells, WF6 (Tungsten Hexafluoride) and DCS (Dichlorosilane).

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SK Materials (036490 KS)

A "Nearly" Pure Arb Opportunity: SK Holdings & SK Materials Stock Swap

This post explains why the SK Inc/SK Materials stock swap event, which was announced last Friday, can become a "nearly" pure arb trade opportunity.

Sanghyun Park

SK Holdings: Sum-Of-The Parts Valuation Analysis & Key Catalysts

In this insight, we provide an updated sum-of-the parts valuation on SK Holdings (034730 KS). Our base case valuation of SK Holdings is 448,850...

Douglas Kim

Remain Overweight EM Relative To EAFE

The MSCI EM index (local currency) remains in an uptrend and is testing all-time highs set in January 2018 near 65,800; as long as the index is...

Vermilion Research

Last Week In Event SPACE: ESR/Sabana REITs, Vedanta, Leyou, Alpha, Metlifecare, Melco, Neles

Last Week in Event SPACE ... The parade of S-REIT mergers continues with ESR-REIT (EREIT SP)finally taking Sabana Shari’ah Compliant REIT...

David Blennerhassett

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

A "Nearly" Pure Arb Opportunity: SK Holdings & SK Materials Stock Swap

This post explains why the SK Inc/SK Materials stock swap event, which was announced last Friday, can become a "nearly" pure arb trade opportunity.

Sanghyun Park

SK Holdings: Sum-Of-The Parts Valuation Analysis & Key Catalysts

In this insight, we provide an updated sum-of-the parts valuation on SK Holdings (034730 KS). Our base case valuation of SK Holdings is 448,850...

Douglas Kim

Remain Overweight EM Relative To EAFE

The MSCI EM index (local currency) remains in an uptrend and is testing all-time highs set in January 2018 near 65,800; as long as the index is...

Vermilion Research

Number of Companies Conducting Share Buybacks in Korea in 2020 YTD - A Big Jump of 4.2x YoY

Two big drivers of the Korean stock market this year (especially since the lows in March 2020) have been the huge participation by local retail...

Douglas Kim

Last Week In Event SPACE: ESR/Sabana REITs, Vedanta, Leyou, Alpha, Metlifecare, Melco, Neles

Last Week in Event SPACE ... The parade of S-REIT mergers continues with ESR-REIT (EREIT SP)finally taking Sabana Shari’ah Compliant REIT...

David Blennerhassett