Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

Haitong International Securities Group / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>When <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/haitong-international-securities-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13153:1" rel="noopener">Haitong International Securities Group (665 HK)</a> was suspended on the 27 September, a punchy premium was expected if controlling shareholder <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/haitong-securities-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:166:1" rel="noopener">Haitong Securities Co (600837 CH)</a> was launching an Offer. </li>
<li>And that is what we got: a <a href="https://www1.hkexnews.hk/listedco/listconews/sehk/2023/1006/2023100601477.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">$1.52/share Offer</a>, by way of a Scheme, and a 114% premium to last close. Terms have been declared final.</li>
<li>This is a pre-conditional Offer, requiring approvals from approvals from Shanghai SASAC, CSRC, NDRC, and the Shanghai branch of the PBOC. </li>
</ul>


When Haitong International Securities Group (665 HK) was suspended on the 27 September, a punchy premium was expected if controlling shareholder Haitong Securities Co (600837 CH) was launching an Offer. 
And that is what we got: a $1.52/share Offer, by way of a Scheme, and a 114% premium to last close. Terms have been declared final.
This is a pre-conditional Offer, requiring approvals from approvals from Shanghai SASAC, CSRC, NDRC, and the Shanghai branch of the PBOC. 


Haitong Int'l Securities (665 HK): A 114% Offer Premium Should Do The Trick

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

<ul>
<li>The pre-condition relating to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/haitong-international-securities-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13153:1" rel="noopener">Haitong International Securities Group (665 HK)</a>’s privatisation offer from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/haitong-securities-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:166:1" rel="noopener">Haitong Securities Co Ltd (A) (600837 CH)</a> is satisfied. The offer is at HK$1.52 per share. </li>
<li>The key conditions are approval by at least 75% of independent shareholders (&lt;10% of independent shareholders rejection) and the headcount test. The high takeover premium facilitates approval. </li>
<li>This is a done deal. At the last close and for an estimated early February 2024 payment, the gross and annualised spread is 5.6% and 26.4%, respectively.</li>
</ul>


The pre-condition relating to Haitong International Securities Group (665 HK)’s privatisation offer from Haitong Securities Co Ltd (A) (600837 CH) is satisfied. The offer is at HK$1.52 per share. 
The key conditions are approval by at least 75% of independent shareholders (&lt;10% of independent shareholders rejection) and the headcount test. The high takeover premium facilitates approval. 
This is a done deal. At the last close and for an estimated early February 2024 payment, the gross and annualised spread is 5.6% and 26.4%, respectively.


Haitong International (665 HK): Pre-Condition Satisfied

<ul>
<li>We summarise the latest spreads and newsflow of merger arb situations we cover across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Thailand and Chinese ADRs.</li>
<li>Highest spreads - <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/111-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27412:1" rel="noopener">111 Inc (YI US)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/eoflow-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36100:1" rel="noopener">Eoflow (294090 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/benesse-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12877:1" rel="noopener">Benesse Holdings (9783 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hollysys-automation-technologies" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26078:1" rel="noopener">Hollysys Automation Technologies (HOLI US)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/irc-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20649:1" rel="noopener">Irc Ltd (1029 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ijtt-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19461:1" rel="noopener">IJTT Co., Ltd. (7315 JP)</a>. </li>
<li>Lowest spreads - <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/azure-minerals-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16538:1" rel="noopener">Azure Minerals (AZS AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pact-group-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:692:1" rel="noopener">Pact Group Holdings (PGH AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/t-k-toka-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18678:1" rel="noopener">T&amp;K Toka Co Ltd (4636 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tietto-minerals-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28006:1" rel="noopener">Tietto Minerals Ltd (TIE AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/chindata-group-holdings-adr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29274:1" rel="noopener">Chindata Group (CD US)</a>. </li>
</ul>


We summarise the latest spreads and newsflow of merger arb situations we cover across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Thailand and Chinese ADRs.
Highest spreads - 111 Inc (YI US), Eoflow (294090 KS), Benesse Holdings (9783 JP), Hollysys Automation Technologies (HOLI US), Irc Ltd (1029 HK), IJTT Co., Ltd. (7315 JP). 
Lowest spreads - Azure Minerals (AZS AU), Pact Group Holdings (PGH AU), T&amp;K Toka Co Ltd (4636 JP), Tietto Minerals Ltd (TIE AU), Chindata Group (CD US). 


Merger Arb Mondays (13 Nov) - Benesse, JSR, IJTT, Shidax, Cybernet, CMIC, IRC, Hollysys, Healius

<ul>
<li>The Korean Financial Services Commission and the Financial Supervisory Service held a press briefing, unveiling the comprehensive prohibition of short selling from the 6th November, until June 30th next year.</li>
<li>Recco or Ascendant for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hollysys-automation-technologies" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26078:1" rel="noopener">Hollysys (HOLI US)</a>? Ascendant could easily get &gt;50% of shares out, and spill the board. Recco, with no shares held, looks to have a weaker hand. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sankyo-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12385:1" rel="noopener">Sankyo (6417 JP)</a> is cheap. It will never trade at 20x expected PER because of the nature of the business; right now, on an ex-cash basis, it trades 1.6x ex-cash PER.</li>
</ul>


The Korean Financial Services Commission and the Financial Supervisory Service held a press briefing, unveiling the comprehensive prohibition of short selling from the 6th November, until June 30th next year.
Recco or Ascendant for Hollysys (HOLI US)? Ascendant could easily get &gt;50% of shares out, and spill the board. Recco, with no shares held, looks to have a weaker hand. 

Sankyo (6417 JP) is cheap. It will never trade at 20x expected PER because of the nature of the business; right now, on an ex-cash basis, it trades 1.6x ex-cash PER.


Last Week in Event SPACE: Korea's Short Selling, Hollysys, Sankyo, Descente

<ul>
<li>I tally 41 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. Inside is a timetable of upcoming key events for each deal.</li>
<li>Four new deals were discussed on Smartkarma this week: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shidax-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7754" rel="noopener">Shidax (4837 JP)</a>'s and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cmic-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15558:1" rel="noopener">CMIC (2309 JP)</a>'s low-balled Offers; <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/benesse-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12877" rel="noopener">Benesse (9783 JP)</a>'s MBO/EQT Offer; and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/irc-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20649:1" rel="noopener">IRC (1029 HK)</a>'s MBO MGO.</li>
<li>Key updates took place for: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/allkem-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3572:1" rel="noopener">Allkem Ltd (AKE AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/orecorp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8120:1" rel="noopener">Orecorp Ltd (ORR AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/southern-cross-media-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10374:1" rel="noopener">Southern Cros</a><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/southern-cross-media-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10374:1" rel="noopener">s Media (SXL AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/eoflow-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36100:1" rel="noopener">EOFlow (294090 KS)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hollysys-automation-technologies" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26078:1" rel="noopener">Hollysys Automation Technologies (HOLI US)</a> </li>
</ul>


I tally 41 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. Inside is a timetable of upcoming key events for each deal.
Four new deals were discussed on Smartkarma this week: Shidax (4837 JP)'s and CMIC (2309 JP)'s low-balled Offers; Benesse (9783 JP)'s MBO/EQT Offer; and IRC (1029 HK)'s MBO MGO.
Key updates took place for: Allkem Ltd (AKE AU), Orecorp Ltd (ORR AU), Southern Cross Media (SXL AU), EOFlow (294090 KS), and Hollysys Automation Technologies (HOLI US) 


(Mostly) Asia-Pac Weekly Risk Arb Wrap: CMIC, IRC, Allkem, Benesse, Southern Cross, EOFlow, Shidax

Hong Kong

NWS Holdings Limited operates businesses under three main divisions: Service, Infrastructure, and Ports. Its Service division comprises facilities, contracting, transport, financial, and environmental. The Infrastructure portfolio includes roads and bridges, energy, and water treatment and waste management. Its port division includes container handling, logistics, and warehousing.

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Nws Holdings (659 HK)

Haitong Int'l Securities (665 HK): A 114% Offer Premium Should Do The Trick

Pre-cons fulfilled. Now for the Scheme Doc. The despatch date had previously been pushed out to 29 December. That's now disproportionate. Perhaps...

David Blennerhassett

Haitong International (665 HK): Pre-Condition Satisfied

This is a done deal. At the last close and for an estimated early February 2024 payment, the gross and annualised spread is 5.6% and 26.4%,...

Arun George

Merger Arb Mondays (13 Nov) - Benesse, JSR, IJTT, Shidax, Cybernet, CMIC, IRC, Hollysys, Healius

This week, the highest gross spreads are 111 (59.5%), Eoflow (38.2%), Benesse (36.3%), Hollysys (19.2%), IRC (19.2%), IJTT (16.0%), Healius...

Arun George

Last Week in Event SPACE: Korea's Short Selling, Hollysys, Sankyo, Descente

The weekend is here! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed...

David Blennerhassett

(Mostly) Asia-Pac Weekly Risk Arb Wrap: CMIC, IRC, Allkem, Benesse, Southern Cross, EOFlow, Shidax

This insight provides a summary of gross/annualised spreads (on deals discussed on Smartkarma) across Asia-Pacific as at the last trading date, and...

David Blennerhassett

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