Podcast On the Business of Semiconductors, The Circuit

The Circuit

Podcast On the Business of Semiconductors

A Podcast On the Business of Semiconductors. With Jay Goldberg and Ben Bajarin

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Technological advancements are leading to a tectonic shift in computing</li><li>Companies are currently over investing in infrastructure build out for future potential</li><li>There are concerns about the long-term monetization and financial implications of these investments</li></ul>This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

Technological advancements are leading to a tectonic shift in computingCompanies are currently over investing in infrastructure build out for future potentialThere are concerns about the long-term monetization and financial implications of these investmentsThis content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

Episode 80: Viewing AI Compute Demands as a Tectonic Shift for Semiconductor Design

Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Zero One

Founded in 2015, Zero One produces independent investment research and provides corporate finance advisory services with a focus on both listed and private technology companies. Founder Vincent Fernando has over 20 years of experience in US and Asia capital markets.

Independent Investment Research

Equity Bottom-Up

Hon Hai Precision Industry / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Hon Hai's Latest Key Take Aways -- No Slowdown for AI Server or Mobile Demand Indicated</li>
<li>Zhen Ding -- Delivers Higher Than Expected 2Q24 Growth; No Indication of AI Server or Mobile Slowdown</li>
<li>Taiwan AI Supply Chain Names Have Lagged Nvidia's Massive Rebound Since August 9th</li>
</ul>


Hon Hai's Latest Key Take Aways -- No Slowdown for AI Server or Mobile Demand Indicated
Zhen Ding -- Delivers Higher Than Expected 2Q24 Growth; No Indication of AI Server or Mobile Slowdown
Taiwan AI Supply Chain Names Have Lagged Nvidia's Massive Rebound Since August 9th


Hon Hai & Zhen Ding Show No Major AI Slowdown; Taiwan AI Supply Chain Names Lag Nvidia's Rebound

<ul><li>Lots of inquiries and discussions about the semiconductor market this week, stock market movements relatively flat</li><li>Nvidia up 11%, AMD up 7%, Microsoft up 4% last week</li><li>Market experiencing a dialing back of hype, some names still overvalued, but overall growth dynamics in semiconductors still intact</li></ul>This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

Lots of inquiries and discussions about the semiconductor market this week, stock market movements relatively flatNvidia up 11%, AMD up 7%, Microsoft up 4% last weekMarket experiencing a dialing back of hype, some names still overvalued, but overall growth dynamics in semiconductors still intactThis content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

Episode 79: Not Your Grandfathers Data Center

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/berkshire-hathaway-inc-cl-b" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8635:1" rel="noopener">Berkshire Hathaway Inc Cl B (BRK/B US)</a> held over 5% of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/apple-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:666:1" rel="noopener">Apple (AAPL US)</a>. Nearly half of that was sold in the June quarter to take the holding to 2.63%. </li>
<li>Berkshire's selling should result in an increase in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/apple-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:666:1" rel="noopener">Apple (AAPL US)</a>'s free float in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-500-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22886:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P 500 INDEX (SPX INDEX)</a> and other related indices.</li>
<li>There will also be large buying in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/apple-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:666:1" rel="noopener">Apple (AAPL US)</a> from the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/technology-select-sector-spdr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27543:1" rel="noopener">Technology Select Sector SPDR (XLK US)</a> ETF if the proposals in the market consultation are implemented.</li>
</ul>



Berkshire Hathaway Inc Cl B (BRK/B US) held over 5% of Apple (AAPL US). Nearly half of that was sold in the June quarter to take the holding to 2.63%. 
Berkshire's selling should result in an increase in Apple (AAPL US)'s free float in the S&amp;P 500 INDEX (SPX INDEX) and other related indices.
There will also be large buying in Apple (AAPL US) from the Technology Select Sector SPDR (XLK US) ETF if the proposals in the market consultation are implemented.


Apple Inc (AAPL US): $43bn Passive Buying Driven by Berkshire Selling & Market Consultation

Global Emerging Market Equities, Propitious Research

Wium Malan, CFA

Global Emerging Market Equities

Independent, Fundamental Quantitative Research

Propitious Research

Fully independent, fundamental and quantitative equity research, focused on companies in the Telecommunication, Media, Technology, Internet and Healthcare sectors in the Global Emerging Markets. Idea generation focused on Quality stocks, trading below their intrinsic Value, with sound Corporate Governance.

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/taiwan-semiconductor-manufacturing-company" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11230:1" rel="noopener">Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) (2330 TT)</a> has significantly outperformed this year, driven by a global AI-driven tailwind resulting in substantial revenue growth acceleration and a significant earnings upgrade cycle.</li>
<li>Record levels of FCF generation have supported dividend increases, and whilst future DPS expectations seem conservative, the current dividend yield suggests future increases have been priced in.</li>
<li>TSMC trades just above its 5-year historic average trading levels and at a premium to its key competitors, other smaller listed foundries, its main customers, and large suppliers.</li>
</ul>



Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) (2330 TT) has significantly outperformed this year, driven by a global AI-driven tailwind resulting in substantial revenue growth acceleration and a significant earnings upgrade cycle.
Record levels of FCF generation have supported dividend increases, and whilst future DPS expectations seem conservative, the current dividend yield suggests future increases have been priced in.
TSMC trades just above its 5-year historic average trading levels and at a premium to its key competitors, other smaller listed foundries, its main customers, and large suppliers.


TSMC (2330-TT): Revisiting Previous Bullish Themes Following Outperformance

United States

NVIDIA Corporation designs, develops, and markets three dimensional (3D) graphics processors and related software.  The Company's products provide interactive 3D graphics to the mainstream personal computer market.

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NVIDIA Corp (NVDA US)

Episode 80: Viewing AI Compute Demands as a Tectonic Shift for Semiconductor Design

The industry is undergoing a tectonic shift driven by AI, leading to infrastructure build-out and financial concerns, with winners and losers yet...

The Circuit

Hon Hai & Zhen Ding Show No Major AI Slowdown; Taiwan AI Supply Chain Names Lag Nvidia's Rebound

Hon Hai and Zhen Ding report strong growth with no signs of slowdown in AI server or mobile demand, while Taiwan AI supply chain names have not...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Episode 79: Not Your Grandfathers Data Center

Conversations focused on the performance of semiconductor stocks, including Nvidia up 11%, AMD up 7%, and Microsoft up 4%, with questions arising...

The Circuit

Apple Inc (AAPL US): $43bn Passive Buying Driven by Berkshire Selling & Market Consultation

Berkshire selling increases Apple's float. Market consultation for the Select Sector indices increases Apple's weight in the XLK ETF. Together,...

Brian Freitas

TSMC (2330-TT): Revisiting Previous Bullish Themes Following Outperformance

In this insight, we revisit our bullish outlook for TSMC by analysing its revenue growth and margin prospects, Free Cash Flow generation outlook,...

Wium Malan, CFA

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Episode 80: Viewing AI Compute Demands as a Tectonic Shift for Semiconductor Design

The industry is undergoing a tectonic shift driven by AI, leading to infrastructure build-out and financial concerns, with winners and losers yet...

The Circuit

Hon Hai & Zhen Ding Show No Major AI Slowdown; Taiwan AI Supply Chain Names Lag Nvidia's Rebound

​Hon Hai and Zhen Ding report strong growth with no signs of slowdown in AI server or mobile demand, while Taiwan AI supply chain names have not...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Episode 79: Not Your Grandfathers Data Center

Conversations focused on the performance of semiconductor stocks, including Nvidia up 11%, AMD up 7%, and Microsoft up 4%, with questions arising...

The Circuit

Apple Inc (AAPL US): $43bn Passive Buying Driven by Berkshire Selling & Market Consultation

Berkshire selling increases Apple's float. Market consultation for the Select Sector indices increases Apple's weight in the XLK ETF. Together,...

Brian Freitas

TSMC (2330-TT): Revisiting Previous Bullish Themes Following Outperformance

In this insight, we revisit our bullish outlook for TSMC by analysing its revenue growth and margin prospects, Free Cash Flow generation outlook,...

Wium Malan, CFA

Hon Hai and Zhen Ding report strong growth with no signs of slowdown in AI server or mobile demand, while Taiwan AI supply chain names have not...