Asia and Global Semiconductor and Tech Research

Andrew Lu

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Y/Y improvement for LCD, PMIC, GaAs RF, gaming card, cooling system, semi equipment&amp;material, semi fab construction, memory, and foundry vendors but more y/y deterioration for WiFi and CMOS sensor vendors</li>
<li>After 6 vendors beating consensus, we might see AI server supply chain, large panel LCD driver, WiFi/networking, and NAND flash vendors in US to report a better than expected 1Q24.</li>
<li>We might see 8"/12" raw wafer (like Shin Etsu, SUMCO , National Silicon Industry, Siltronic AG) vendors in Japan, China, and Germany to report a worse than expected 1Q24.</li>
</ul>


Y/Y improvement for LCD, PMIC, GaAs RF, gaming card, cooling system, semi equipment&amp;material, semi fab construction, memory, and foundry vendors but more y/y deterioration for WiFi and CMOS sensor vendors
After 6 vendors beating consensus, we might see AI server supply chain, large panel LCD driver, WiFi/networking, and NAND flash vendors in US to report a better than expected 1Q24.
We might see 8"/12" raw wafer (like Shin Etsu, SUMCO , National Silicon Industry, Siltronic AG) vendors in Japan, China, and Germany to report a worse than expected 1Q24.


Early Signs from the Reported March/1Q24 Taiwan Semi/Tech Sales

Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Zero One

Founded in 2015, Zero One produces independent investment research and provides corporate finance advisory services with a focus on both listed and private technology companies. Founder Vincent Fernando has over 20 years of experience in US and Asia capital markets.

Independent Investment Research

Equity Bottom-Up

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) - ADR / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>TSMC (2330.TT; TSM.US): US$6.6bn from US CHIPS Act; the Earthquake Impact and the 2nd Japanese Fab. </li>
<li>Memory Monitor: Nanya's Results to Provide Latest Color on DRAM Post Earthquake; Short Int Rising </li>
<li>UMC (2303.TT; UMC.US): Some Rush Orders Coming in and 2Q24F Could Post Positive QoQ. </li>
</ul>


TSMC (2330.TT; TSM.US): US$6.6bn from US CHIPS Act; the Earthquake Impact and the 2nd Japanese Fab. 
Memory Monitor: Nanya's Results to Provide Latest Color on DRAM Post Earthquake; Short Int Rising 
UMC (2303.TT; UMC.US): Some Rush Orders Coming in and 2Q24F Could Post Positive QoQ. 


Taiwan Tech Weekly: TSMC Wins Major U.S. Support; Nanya Results; UMC Rush Orders

<ul>
<li>Key Taiwan Server Names Soar; Delta Electronics Major Winner of Nvidia's Conference</li>
<li>TSMC (2330.TT; TSM.US): Raising Growth Target to 25%+ YoY in 2024F</li>
<li>Memory Monitor: Micron Leapfrogging Into HBM3E for AI; Nanya Lagging Peers But Poised to Benefit </li>
</ul>


Key Taiwan Server Names Soar; Delta Electronics Major Winner of Nvidia's Conference
TSMC (2330.TT; TSM.US): Raising Growth Target to 25%+ YoY in 2024F
Memory Monitor: Micron Leapfrogging Into HBM3E for AI; Nanya Lagging Peers But Poised to Benefit 


Taiwan Tech Weekly: Key Taiwan Server Names Soar; Raising TSMC Growth Target; Memory Rally

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Nvidia GTC Conference This Week Likely to Create Newsflow for Many Tech Names</li>
<li>Samsung Could Hike NAND Flash Prices by 20%; Silicon Motion for Exposure</li>
<li>TSMC Reportedly Placing Orders for Additional Advanced Packaging Capacity, Likely In Response to Demand Strength</li>
</ul>


Nvidia GTC Conference This Week Likely to Create Newsflow for Many Tech Names
Samsung Could Hike NAND Flash Prices by 20%; Silicon Motion for Exposure
TSMC Reportedly Placing Orders for Additional Advanced Packaging Capacity, Likely In Response to Demand Strength


Taiwan Tech Weekly: Nvidia Conference; Samsung to Hike NAND Prices; TSMC Adding Capex Due to Demand

Hon Hai Precision Industry / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Hon Hai's 4Q23 profit beat consensus and management has become more bullish on 2024E revenue thanks to demand for AI servers.</li>
<li>Guided 40% YoY growth expected for AI servers; Separately, Hon Hai reportedly could have won a major AI server order from HP Enterprise according to Digitimes.</li>
<li>Hon Hai shares are finally moving; We see room for continued upside based on re-rating of the company's valuation. Positive news flow potential through Nvidia's GTC conference next week.</li>
</ul>


Hon Hai's 4Q23 profit beat consensus and management has become more bullish on 2024E revenue thanks to demand for AI servers.
Guided 40% YoY growth expected for AI servers; Separately, Hon Hai reportedly could have won a major AI server order from HP Enterprise according to Digitimes.
Hon Hai shares are finally moving; We see room for continued upside based on re-rating of the company's valuation. Positive news flow potential through Nvidia's GTC conference next week.


Hon Hai: Beat & Raise; Further Valuation Upside; AI Server Product Announcements Next Week

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NVIDIA Corporation designs, develops, and markets three dimensional (3D) graphics processors and related software.  The Company's products provide interactive 3D graphics to the mainstream personal computer market.

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Early Signs from the Reported March/1Q24 Taiwan Semi/Tech Sales

Early Signs from the Reported March/1Q24 Taiwan Semi/Tech Sales; we might see AI server, WiFi/networking, and NAND vendors in US to beat 1Q24 but...

Andrew Lu

Taiwan Tech Weekly: TSMC Wins Major U.S. Support; Nanya Results; UMC Rush Orders

TSMC receives $6.6bn from US CHIPS Act; also plans for 2nd Japanese fab; Nanya's results to shed light on DRAM post-earthquake; UMC sees rush...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Taiwan Tech Weekly: Key Taiwan Server Names Soar; Raising TSMC Growth Target; Memory Rally

The market was generally positive after Nvidia's GTC conference last week with key Taiwan server and other AI-linked names rising substantially....

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Taiwan Tech Weekly: Nvidia Conference; Samsung to Hike NAND Prices; TSMC Adding Capex Due to Demand

Many Taiwanese companies participating at Nvidia's GTC conference this week. Local reports say Samsung to hike NAND flash prices by 20%. Also,...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Hon Hai: Beat & Raise; Further Valuation Upside; AI Server Product Announcements Next Week

Hon Hai's delivers strong 4Q23 profit and bullish outlook on 2024 revenue driven by demand for AI servers. Potential major order from HP...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Early Signs from the Reported March/1Q24 Taiwan Semi/Tech Sales

Early Signs from the Reported March/1Q24 Taiwan Semi/Tech Sales; we might see AI server, WiFi/networking, and NAND vendors in US to beat 1Q24 but...

Andrew Lu

Taiwan Tech Weekly: TSMC Wins Major U.S. Support; Nanya Results; UMC Rush Orders

​TSMC receives $6.6bn from US CHIPS Act; also plans for 2nd Japanese fab; Nanya's results to shed light on DRAM post-earthquake; UMC sees rush...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Taiwan Tech Weekly: Key Taiwan Server Names Soar; Raising TSMC Growth Target; Memory Rally

The market was generally positive after Nvidia's GTC conference last week with key Taiwan server and other AI-linked names rising substantially....

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Taiwan Tech Weekly: Nvidia Conference; Samsung to Hike NAND Prices; TSMC Adding Capex Due to Demand

​Many Taiwanese companies participating at Nvidia's GTC conference this week. Local reports say Samsung to hike NAND flash prices by 20%. Also,...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Hon Hai: Beat & Raise; Further Valuation Upside; AI Server Product Announcements Next Week

​Hon Hai's delivers strong 4Q23 profit and bullish outlook on 2024 revenue driven by demand for AI servers. Potential major order from HP...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

TSMC receives $6.6bn from US CHIPS Act; also plans for 2nd Japanese fab; Nanya's results to shed light on DRAM post-earthquake; UMC sees rush...

Many Taiwanese companies participating at Nvidia's GTC conference this week. Local reports say Samsung to hike NAND flash prices by 20%. Also,...

Hon Hai's delivers strong 4Q23 profit and bullish outlook on 2024 revenue driven by demand for AI servers. Potential major order from HP...