Japan/Asia Long-Short, LightStream Research

Mio Kato

Japan/Asia Long-Short

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

Event-Driven

Following the appointment of Lisa Su as CEO in 2014, AMD has staged a stunning turnaround headlined by its Ryzen series of consumer-focused processors. Its recent announcement on Zen 3 cements this and raises questions for both Intel and Nividia as the (formerly?) dominant players in their respective markets. It also has implications for the Arm acquisition, which was on shaky ground already, and that is before even considering what a Xilinx acquisition could mean for the industry.

Following the appointment of Lisa Su as CEO in 2014, AMD has staged a stunning turnaround headlined by its Ryzen series of consumer-focused processors. Its recent announcement on Zen 3 cements this and raises questions for both Intel and Nividia as the (formerly?) dominant players in their respective markets. It also has implications for the Arm acquisition, which was on shaky ground already, and that is before even considering what a Xilinx acquisition could mean for the industry.

Softbank – How Does AMD’s Resurgence and Xilinx Deal Impact the Nvidia-Arm Deal?

President

Thomas Coughlin

Coughlin Associates

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

NVIDIA leads in market share of GPUs with its data center GPU business now almost as big as its gaming PC business.  The company is introducing its BlueField-2 Data Processing Units (DPUs), based upon technology from its Mellanox acquisition, in combination with open source management software, to create demand for another important data center domain specific processor that could generate revenue matching or exceeding that from NVIDIA's GPUs.

NVIDIA leads in market share of GPUs with its data center GPU business now almost as big as its gaming PC business.  The company is introducing its BlueField-2 Data Processing Units (DPUs), based upon technology from its Mellanox acquisition, in combination with open source management software, to create demand for another important data center domain specific processor that could generate revenue matching or exceeding that from NVIDIA's GPUs.

NVIDIA to Increase Its Data Center Business with DPUs

Founder & Head of Research, Fortress Hill Advisors

Alex Ng

Founder & Head of Research

Fortress Hill Advisors

Founded in Hong Kong in 2019, Fortress Hill Advisor seeks to provide premium economic and financial researches.

Premium Economic & Investment Research

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>The Magnificent Seven has increased by a whopping 111.6% in 2024, outpacing the return of S&amp;P500 at 26.3% during the same period.</li>
<li>The average return of the "Magnificent Seven" over the past month is approximately 3.61% whereas that for S&amp;P500 is approximately 2.33%.</li>
<li>However the Magnificent Seven are quite away from their peak now as the peak-to-present return range from -9.48% to -4.17%.</li>
</ul>


The Magnificent Seven has increased by a whopping 111.6% in 2024, outpacing the return of S&amp;P500 at 26.3% during the same period.
The average return of the "Magnificent Seven" over the past month is approximately 3.61% whereas that for S&amp;P500 is approximately 2.33%.
However the Magnificent Seven are quite away from their peak now as the peak-to-present return range from -9.48% to -4.17%.


When Will the Magnificent Seven Break New High Again?

Semiconductors, Memory and SSDs Specialist, Objective Analysis

Jim Handy

Semiconductors, Memory and SSDs Specialist

Objective Analysis

Objective Analysis offers third-party independent market research and data for the semiconductor industry and investors in the semiconductor industry.

Semiconductors, Memory and SSDs

The World Semiconductor Trade Statistics for August have just been released, and revenues increased for the second sequential month, a positive sign in a puzzling year.  All in all, it appears that the semiconductor sector is faring well despite the pandemic.  It's far too soon to call this growth a trend, though, but it currently appears that the industry is poised to grow at its historical 3.9% annual average rate.

The World Semiconductor Trade Statistics for August have just been released, and revenues increased for the second sequential month, a positive sign in a puzzling year.  All in all, it appears that the semiconductor sector is faring well despite the pandemic.  It's far too soon to call this growth a trend, though, but it currently appears that the industry is poised to grow at its historical 3.9% annual average rate.

Semiconductor & Technology Specialist, Ingenuity

William Keating

Semiconductor & Technology Specialist

Ingenuity

Our focus is exclusively on in-depth research & consulting in the broader semiconductor industry. We focus on the key players, namely Intel, Micron, Qualcomm, Apple, Samsung, NVIDIA, AMD, TSMC & Global Foundries - as well as some of the lesser known, but nonetheless critical, companies such as ASML (for EUV), Mellanox, Cavium, Xilinx etc. We specialise in their products, roadmaps, process technologies, competitive advantages & threats etc. We also help our clients understand the implications of new and emerging technologies, e.g. 3D X-Point, 3D NAND, Carbon Nanotubes, Autonomous Driving, Graphene, Silicon Photonics, Wafer-Level Optics, Artificial Intelligence, FPGA, GPU, ASIC etc. 

Semiconductor Analysis & Research

The spread of the global pandemic has resulted in the strongest two consecutive quarters on record for server sales and led to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/intel-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16764:1" rel="noopener">Intel</a> beating its second quarter forecast by nearly one billion dollars. This strength in server has spilled over to the DRAM and NAND segments with both staging robust recoveries from the protracted down cycle experienced in 2019. That situation may be coming to an abrupt end however. A key leading indicator suggests that server sales will fall sharply in the coming months. We also expect both DRAM and NAND prices to follow suit. Here's why.

The spread of the global pandemic has resulted in the strongest two consecutive quarters on record for server sales and led to Intel beating its second quarter forecast by nearly one billion dollars. This strength in server has spilled over to the DRAM and NAND segments with both staging robust recoveries from the protracted down cycle experienced in 2019. That situation may be coming to an abrupt end however. A key leading indicator suggests that server sales will fall sharply in the coming months. We also expect both DRAM and NAND prices to follow suit. Here's why.   

Server CPU, DRAM, NAND Sales Heading For A Significant Decline As Inventory Digestion Commences.

United States

NVIDIA Corporation designs, develops, and markets three dimensional (3D) graphics processors and related software.  The Company's products provide interactive 3D graphics to the mainstream personal computer market.

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NVIDIA Corp (NVDA US)

Softbank – How Does AMD’s Resurgence and Xilinx Deal Impact the Nvidia-Arm Deal?

We consider the implications of AMD's latest CPU and GPU developments, as well as its move to acquire Xilinx on other competitors such as Nvidia...

Mio Kato

NVIDIA to Increase Its Data Center Business with DPUs

NVIDIA leads in mar

Thomas Coughlin

When Will the Magnificent Seven Break New High Again?

The Magnificent Seven outperform S&P500 in 2023 with a 111.6% increase, but are now below peak levels. Whether they can break new high again...

Alex Ng

August Semiconductor Sales Increase

The World Semiconductor Trade Statistics for August have just been released, and revenue

Jim Handy

Server CPU, DRAM, NAND Sales Heading For A Significant Decline As Inventory Digestion Commences.

A leading indicator for server sales

William Keating

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Softbank – How Does AMD’s Resurgence and Xilinx Deal Impact the Nvidia-Arm Deal?

We consider the implications of AMD's latest CPU and GPU developments, as well as its move to acquire Xilinx on other competitors such as Nvidia...

Mio Kato

NVIDIA to Increase Its Data Center Business with DPUs

NVIDIA leads in mar

Thomas Coughlin

When Will the Magnificent Seven Break New High Again?

​The Magnificent Seven outperform S&P500 in 2023 with a 111.6% increase, but are now below peak levels. Whether they can break new high again...

Alex Ng

August Semiconductor Sales Increase

The World Semiconductor Trade Statistics for August have just been released, and revenue

Jim Handy

Server CPU, DRAM, NAND Sales Heading For A Significant Decline As Inventory Digestion Commences.

A leading indicator for server sales

William Keating

The Magnificent Seven outperform S&P500 in 2023 with a 111.6% increase, but are now below peak levels. Whether they can break new high again...