Taiwan Tech Focused Senior Analyst

Patrick Liao

Equity Bottom-Up

King Yuan Electronics Co, Ltd. / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>It is usually the low season in the 1st quarter, and we expect the revenue/GM is about NT$8.55bn/25.5% in 1Q22 respectively.    </li>
<li>KYEC’s main clients are MediaTek, NVDA, XLNX and etc., and some demands in Automotive also rising up quickly.</li>
<li>In real terms, the shareholder might receive the same dividend amount of about NT$2.5+ for 2021. We think it likely targets a 5% dividend yield.</li>
</ul>


It is usually the low season in the 1st quarter, and we expect the revenue/GM is about NT$8.55bn/25.5% in 1Q22 respectively.    
KYEC’s main clients are MediaTek, NVDA, XLNX and etc., and some demands in Automotive also rising up quickly.
In real terms, the shareholder might receive the same dividend amount of about NT$2.5+ for 2021. We think it likely targets a 5% dividend yield.


KYEC (2449.TT): A Slow 1Q22 Is Likely to Occur, Which Could Present an Entry Point.

Founder/CEO of ROK Advisory, ROK Advisory LLC

Ken S. Kim

Founder/CEO of ROK Advisory

ROK Advisory LLC

ROK is an independent research advisory firm. We guide you to minimize the information gap between foreign and local investors in Northeast Asia with a focus in Korea, Taiwan and Japan.

Independent Research Advisory Firm

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/samsung-electronics-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:191:1" rel="noopener">Samsung Electronics (005930 KS)</a> goal to be the #1 semi player in the world in danger</li>
<li>An internal business audit being performed which is an indication of what to do with strategy</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/taiwan-semiconductor-manufacturing-company" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11230:1" rel="noopener">TSMC (2330 TT)</a> has always been the benchmark; does the focus change ?</li>
</ul>



Samsung Electronics (005930 KS) goal to be the #1 semi player in the world in danger
An internal business audit being performed which is an indication of what to do with strategy

TSMC (2330 TT) has always been the benchmark; does the focus change ?


The Conundrum for Samsung - What to Do Foundry?

Telco/Internet specialist

Kirk Boodry

Redex Research

<ul>
<li>The ARM sale to Nvidia has been cancelled but Softbank is charging full speed ahead on an IPO</li>
<li>That is unlikely to surface the value of a straight sale whilst the monetization rate at 15-20% would also be much lower</li>
<li>We remain cautious even with a 50% discount as NAV depends on volatile tech valuations but today's report provides some reassurance on ARM at least</li>
</ul>


The ARM sale to Nvidia has been cancelled but Softbank is charging full speed ahead on an IPO
That is unlikely to surface the value of a straight sale whilst the monetization rate at 15-20% would also be much lower
We remain cautious even with a 50% discount as NAV depends on volatile tech valuations but today's report provides some reassurance on ARM at least


Softbank Group - Q3 21 Results Reaction: ARM IPO Pivot Is the Big Reveal

Research from Water Tower Research, Water Tower Research

Water Tower Research

Research from Water Tower Research

Water Tower Research is a leading equity research firm that provides research on micro, small and mid cap companies.

Water Tower Research was founded by Wall Street veterans after witnessing a fundamental shift in the investment research industry with the result being a declining knowledge base among investors, a lack of awareness and a shrinking pool of fundamental research being conducted on companies across the small-cap and micro-cap spectrum. The same issues are now increasingly occurring in the mid-cap space. This sea change within the investment community is impacting not only the companies themselves but also current shareholders and potential investors. With significantly less active sell-side sponsorship by Wall Street, a substantial information gap has developed between companies and various constituents in the financial community. The net result is fewer channels for insight and information to flow between companies and investors.

Equity Research Firm

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

LiDAR Technology Leader with Proven Technology, Tier 1 Partners, and a Capital-Light Business Model

<ul>
<li>Nvidia is reportedly close to throwing in the towel on the acquisition of ARM (although markets have assumed that outcome for awhile)</li>
<li>Softbank can still monetize the asset through an IPO but most likely at a lower valuation and with much fewer proceeds</li>
<li>We believe ARM was the primary source of buyback funds and with VF down $13bn QTD prospects for meaningful buybacks have been pushed out</li>
</ul>


Nvidia is reportedly close to throwing in the towel on the acquisition of ARM (although markets have assumed that outcome for awhile)
Softbank can still monetize the asset through an IPO but most likely at a lower valuation and with much fewer proceeds
We believe ARM was the primary source of buyback funds and with VF down $13bn QTD prospects for meaningful buybacks have been pushed out


Softbank Group - ARM News, Vision Fund Weakness Highlight That Share Buyback Will Be Back Loaded

United States

NVIDIA Corporation designs, develops, and markets three dimensional (3D) graphics processors and related software.  The Company's products provide interactive 3D graphics to the mainstream personal computer market.

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NVIDIA Corp (NVDA US)

KYEC (2449.TT): A Slow 1Q22 Is Likely to Occur, Which Could Present an Entry Point.

We expect the revenue/GM is about NT$8.55bn/26% in 1Q22 respectively. The shareholder might receive the same paying amount for ~NT$2.5+ for 2021....

Patrick Liao

The Conundrum for Samsung - What to Do Foundry?

Samsung Electronics' believes that foundry will be a key point of future diversification and growth but it seems they have run into a problem. ...

Ken S. Kim

Softbank Group - Q3 21 Results Reaction: ARM IPO Pivot Is the Big Reveal

SBG will pivot to an ARM IPO after confirmation the NVDA sale was off. It continues to invest aggressively at VF2 with little to spare for...

Kirk Boodry

LiDAR Technology Leader with Proven Technology, Tier 1 Partners, and a Capital-Light Business Model

KEY POINTS AEye is the global leader in adaptive, high-performance LiDAR solutions. Its software-driven LiDAR platform (4Sight Foundation), and...

Water Tower Research

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KYEC (2449.TT): A Slow 1Q22 Is Likely to Occur, Which Could Present an Entry Point.

We expect the revenue/GM is about NT$8.55bn/26% in 1Q22 respectively. The shareholder might receive the same paying amount for ~NT$2.5+ for 2021....

Patrick Liao

The Conundrum for Samsung - What to Do Foundry?

Samsung Electronics' believes that foundry will be a key point of future diversification and growth but it seems they have run into a problem. ...

Ken S. Kim

Softbank Group - Q3 21 Results Reaction: ARM IPO Pivot Is the Big Reveal

SBG will pivot to an ARM IPO after confirmation the NVDA sale was off. It continues to invest aggressively at VF2 with little to spare for...

Kirk Boodry

LiDAR Technology Leader with Proven Technology, Tier 1 Partners, and a Capital-Light Business Model

KEY POINTS AEye is the global leader in adaptive, high-performance LiDAR solutions. Its software-driven LiDAR platform (4Sight Foundation), and...

Water Tower Research

Softbank Group - ARM News, Vision Fund Weakness Highlight That Share Buyback Will Be Back Loaded

Shares never captured Nvidia upside so the collapse of the ARM sale is not surprising but it also removes the primary source of funds for the share...

Kirk Boodry