Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Fund manager <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/saratoga-investama-sedaya-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13714:1" rel="noopener">Saratoga Investama Sedaya (SRTG IJ)</a> is up 107% yoy, buoyed by its investment holdings in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/merdeka-copper-gold-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28447:1" rel="noopener">Merdeka Copper Gold (MDKA IJ)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/adaro-energy-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6061:1" rel="noopener">Adaro Energy (ADRO IJ)</a>.</li>
<li>The discount to NAV is ~31% against a one-year average of 37%.</li>
<li>Potential large divestments, such as its holding in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tower-bersama-infrastructure" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3537:1" rel="noopener">Tower Bersama Infrastructure (TBIG IJ)</a>, could causer investors to substantially narrow the NAV discount. </li>
</ul>


Fund manager Saratoga Investama Sedaya (SRTG IJ) is up 107% yoy, buoyed by its investment holdings in Merdeka Copper Gold (MDKA IJ) and Adaro Energy (ADRO IJ).
The discount to NAV is ~31% against a one-year average of 37%.
Potential large divestments, such as its holding in Tower Bersama Infrastructure (TBIG IJ), could causer investors to substantially narrow the NAV discount. 


Unlocking Saratoga Investama (SRTG IJ)'s Holdco

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Bottom-Up

Saratoga Investama Sedaya / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/saratoga-investama-sedaya-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13714:1" rel="noopener">Saratoga Investama Sedaya (SRTG IJ)</a> is an active Indonesian investment firm with an exceptional track record of profitable investments across sectors. </li>
<li>The current NAV discount of 34% should continue to narrow as SRTG continues to burnish its ESG credentials and deliver significant realization of divestment gains. </li>
<li>Our SOTP valuation assumes a 25% NAV discount implying a 14% upside to the last close price. We are buyers.</li>
</ul>



Saratoga Investama Sedaya (SRTG IJ) is an active Indonesian investment firm with an exceptional track record of profitable investments across sectors. 
The current NAV discount of 34% should continue to narrow as SRTG continues to burnish its ESG credentials and deliver significant realization of divestment gains. 
Our SOTP valuation assumes a 25% NAV discount implying a 14% upside to the last close price. We are buyers.


Saratoga Investama Sedaya (SRTG IJ): A Track Record to Narrow the NAV Discount

Co-founder & Managing Director, Marketnomix 

Rajan Govil

Co-founder & Managing Director

Marketnomix 

Macroeconomics

While the ongoing slowdown in China and concerns about the global economy are expected to continue to weigh on Indonesia’s exports, gradually improving domestic demand is likely to see non-oil imports growth move back into positive territory. The four rate cuts that Bank Indonesia has undertaken since the start of 2016 is expected to provide a lift to domestic demand in the economy.On a 3 month moving average (3mma) basis, exports declined 8.8% y-o-y in June compared to a decline of 11.9% in…

While the ongoing slowdown in China and concerns about the global economy are expected to continue to weigh on Indonesia’s exports, gradually improving domestic demand is likely to see non-oil imports growth move back into positive territory. The four rate cuts that Bank Indonesia has undertaken since the start of 2016 is expected to provide a lift to domestic demand in the economy.On a 3 month moving average (3mma) basis, exports declined 8.8% y-o-y in June compared to a decline of 11.9% in…

Indonesia: Non-Oil Imports Growth Likely to Turn Positive on Gradually Improving Domestic Demand

The recent rate cut by Bank Indonesia at its policy meeting on 16th June is expected to provide some support to domestic demand in the months ahead. The benchmark rate now stands at 6.50%. With inflation expected to stay within Bank Indonesia’s target range of 3% to 5% in the near term, having edged lower to 3.3% y-o-y in May, growth concerns were clearly the dominant driver for the recent move.Credit growth in Indonesia has continued to slow, with lending by commercial banks having risen 8.0%…

The recent rate cut by Bank Indonesia at its policy meeting on 16th June is expected to provide some support to domestic demand in the months ahead. The benchmark rate now stands at 6.50%. With inflation expected to stay within Bank Indonesia’s target range of 3% to 5% in the near term, having edged lower to 3.3% y-o-y in May, growth concerns were clearly the dominant driver for the recent move.Credit growth in Indonesia has continued to slow, with lending by commercial banks having risen 8.0%…

Indonesia: Bank Indonesia May Have Room to Cut Rates Further

Bespoke Research on China and neighbouring regions, Bixmoor

Bixmoor

Bespoke Research on China and neighbouring regions

Bixmoor specialises in providing bespoke research to business, governments and the financial community on China and neighbouring regions. We seek to build long-term relationships with our clients, based on our expertise, our reliability and our determination to find the right solution.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

Foreign direct investment into Indonesia continues to arrive, but there are issues in relation to radical Islam, labor constraints and corruption. If the new government of President Widodo can resolve some of these, even larger capital inflows can be expected.

Foreign direct investment into Indonesia continues to arrive, but there are issues in relation to radical Islam, labor constraints and corruption. If the new government of President Widodo can resolve some of these, even larger capital inflows can be expected.

FDI into Indonesia on a Roll, but Reforms Needed

Indonesia

PT Nusa Raya Cipta Tbk operates as a construction company. The Company builds projects with the quality product in commercial, industrial, residential, and civil works sectors. NRC serves customers throughout Indonesia.

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Nusa Raya Cipta (NRCA IJ)

Unlocking Saratoga Investama (SRTG IJ)'s Holdco

I'd be inclined to buy Saratoga outright. Or hedge against index futures. I think Tower Bersama is a possible privatisation play.

David Blennerhassett

Saratoga Investama Sedaya (SRTG IJ): A Track Record to Narrow the NAV Discount

The NAV discount has narrowed from around 70% in July and August 2020 to the current 34%. Our SOTP valuation assumes a 25% NAV discount implying a...

Arun George

Indonesia: Non-Oil Imports Growth Likely to Turn Positive on Gradually Improving Domestic Demand

While the ongoing slowdown in China and concerns about the global economy are expected to continue to weigh on Indonesia’s exports, gradually...

Rajan Govil

Indonesia: Bank Indonesia May Have Room to Cut Rates Further

The recent rate cut by Bank Indonesia at its policy meeting on 16th June is expected to provide some support to domestic demand in the months...

Rajan Govil

FDI into Indonesia on a Roll, but Reforms Needed

Foreign direct investment into Indonesia continues to arrive, but there are issues in relation to radical Islam, labor constraints and corruption....

Bixmoor

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