Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Back in February last year, the Aussie Treasurer <a href="https://www.legislation.gov.au/F2023N00026/asmade/text" target="_blank" rel="noopener">prohibited</a> Yuxiao Fund from buying an additional 9.92% in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/northern-minerals-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20445:1" rel="noopener">Northern Minerals (NTU AU)</a> which would have increased its stake to 19.9%.</li>
<li>On the <a href="https://announcements.asx.com.au/asxpdf/20231121/pdf/05xl2d4q74m61v.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">20th November 2023</a>, Yuxiao sought the removal of Nicholas Curtis as director of the rare-metal play at an EGM; however Curtis <a href="https://announcements.asx.com.au/asxpdf/20240527/pdf/063yqlgvx8zbll.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">resigned his post</a> and the EGM cancelled.</li>
<li>The Aussie Treasurer has <a href="https://www.legislation.gov.au/F2024N00475/latest/text" target="_blank" rel="noopener">now made orders</a> requiring Yuxiao and four (deemed) associated investors to sell their holdings (~10.4% all-in) within 60 days. </li>
</ul>


Back in February last year, the Aussie Treasurer prohibited Yuxiao Fund from buying an additional 9.92% in Northern Minerals (NTU AU) which would have increased its stake to 19.9%.
On the 20th November 2023, Yuxiao sought the removal of Nicholas Curtis as director of the rare-metal play at an EGM; however Curtis resigned his post and the EGM cancelled.
The Aussie Treasurer has now made orders requiring Yuxiao and four (deemed) associated investors to sell their holdings (~10.4% all-in) within 60 days. 


Northern Minerals (NMI AU): Chinese Investors Forced To Exit

Materials Analyst/Strategist, Janus Analysis

Gaius King

Materials Analyst/Strategist

Janus Analysis

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>We examine at what stage the current commodities Supercycle exists</li>
<li>Using BoC data, it appears that three of four commodity trends are declining</li>
<li>Last BoC commodity trend a lagging indicator that has historically confirmed peak demand</li>
<li>When base materials decline, gold usually comes to the fore</li>
<li>Chinese stimulus coming, good for iron ore but little else</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/gold-road-resources-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6698:1" rel="noopener">Gold Road Resources (GOR AU), </a><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lynas-corp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20374:1" rel="noopener">Lynas Corp Ltd (LYC AU), </a><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/wesfarmers-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1104:1" rel="noopener">Wesfarmers Ltd (WES AU), </a><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/glencore-plc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:764:1" rel="noopener">Glencore Plc (GLEN LN), </a><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/freeport-mcmoran-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12491:1" rel="noopener">Freeport Mcmoran (FCX US), </a><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mmg-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13961:1" rel="noopener">Mmg Ltd (1208 HK), </a><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/teck-resources-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25419:1" rel="noopener">Teck Resources (TECK/B CN), </a><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alumina-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:939:1" rel="noopener">Alumina Ltd (AWC AU), </a><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/coal-india-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9117:1" rel="noopener">Coal India Ltd (COAL IN), </a><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hindustan-zinc-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8688:1" rel="noopener">Hindustan Zinc (HZ IN), </a><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/southern-copper-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16279:1" rel="noopener">Southern Copper (SCCO US), </a><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/gold-fields-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25109:1" rel="noopener">Gold Fields Ltd (GFI SJ),</a> <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/maverix-metals-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28296" rel="noopener">Maverix Metals Inc (MMX CN)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/red-5-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7940:1" rel="noopener">Red 5 Ltd (RED AU), </a><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kidman-resources-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13917:1" rel="noopener">Kidman Resources (KDR AU), </a><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pensana-metals-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2106:1" rel="noopener">Pensana Metals (PM8 AU), </a><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/azumah-resources-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5124:1" rel="noopener">Azumah Resources (AZM AU), </a><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/goldphyre-resources-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1938:1" rel="noopener">Australian Potash (APC AU), </a><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/golden-rim-resources-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8395:1" rel="noopener">Golden Rim Resources (GMR AU), </a><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/neometals-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4946:1" rel="noopener">Neometals Ltd (NMT AU), </a><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/venus-metals-corp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10142:1" rel="noopener">Venus Metals Corp (VMC AU), </a><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s2-resources-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1139:1" rel="noopener">S2 Resources (S2R AU), </a><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/canyon-resources-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15927:1" rel="noopener">Canyon Resources (CAY AU), </a><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lucapa-diamond-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7068:1" rel="noopener">Lucapa Diamond (LOM AU),</a> Piedmont Lithium (ASX: PLL), <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lion-one-metals-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28159:1" rel="noopener">Lion One Metals Ltd (LLO AU), </a><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ausmex-mining-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11167:1" rel="noopener">Ausmex Mining Group (AMG AU),</a> <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bardoc-gold-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4833" rel="noopener">Bardoc Gold (BDC AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vango-mining-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19897:1" rel="noopener">Vango Mining (VAN AU), </a><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dateline-resources-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19564:1" rel="noopener">Dateline Resources (DTR AU),</a> Galena (ASX: G1A), <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zyl-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2971:1" rel="noopener">Hawkstone Mining (HWK AU),</a> <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ntm-gold-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19562" rel="noopener">NTM Gold (NTM AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/xanadu-mines-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1270:1" rel="noopener">Xanadu Mines (XAM AU),</a> <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alt-resources-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28297" rel="noopener">ALT Resources Ltd (ARS AU)</a> , <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/exore-resources-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16357" rel="noopener">Exore Resources (ERX AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/spectrum-metals-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2237" rel="noopener">Spectrum Metals (SPX AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/northern-minerals-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20445:1" rel="noopener">Northern Minerals (NTU AU),</a> <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bowen-coking-coal-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17492" rel="noopener">Bowen Coking Coal (BCB AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/syndicated-metals-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1219:1" rel="noopener">Syndicated Metals (SMD AU), </a><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/minotaur-exploration-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20909:1" rel="noopener">Minotaur Exploration (MEP AU), </a><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/oro-verde-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5298:1" rel="noopener">Oro Verde Ltd (OVL AU), </a><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/superior-lake-resources-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15163:1" rel="noopener">Superior Lake Resources (SUP AU)</a> </li>
</ul>


We examine at what stage the current commodities Supercycle exists
Using BoC data, it appears that three of four commodity trends are declining
Last BoC commodity trend a lagging indicator that has historically confirmed peak demand
When base materials decline, gold usually comes to the fore
Chinese stimulus coming, good for iron ore but little else

Gold Road Resources (GOR AU), Lynas Corp Ltd (LYC AU), Wesfarmers Ltd (WES AU), Glencore Plc (GLEN LN), Freeport Mcmoran (FCX US), Mmg Ltd (1208 HK), Teck Resources (TECK/B CN), Alumina Ltd (AWC AU), Coal India Ltd (COAL IN), Hindustan Zinc (HZ IN), Southern Copper (SCCO US), Gold Fields Ltd (GFI SJ), Maverix Metals Inc (MMX CN), Red 5 Ltd (RED AU), Kidman Resources (KDR AU), Pensana Metals (PM8 AU), Azumah Resources (AZM AU), Australian Potash (APC AU), Golden Rim Resources (GMR AU), Neometals Ltd (NMT AU), Venus Metals Corp (VMC AU), S2 Resources (S2R AU), Canyon Resources (CAY AU), Lucapa Diamond (LOM AU), Piedmont Lithium (ASX: PLL), Lion One Metals Ltd (LLO AU), Ausmex Mining Group (AMG AU), Bardoc Gold (BDC AU), Vango Mining (VAN AU), Dateline Resources (DTR AU), Galena (ASX: G1A), Hawkstone Mining (HWK AU), NTM Gold (NTM AU), Xanadu Mines (XAM AU), ALT Resources Ltd (ARS AU) , Exore Resources (ERX AU), Spectrum Metals (SPX AU), Northern Minerals (NTU AU), Bowen Coking Coal (BCB AU), Syndicated Metals (SMD AU), Minotaur Exploration (MEP AU), Oro Verde Ltd (OVL AU), Superior Lake Resources (SUP AU) 


New J Hutton – Exploration Report (Weeks Ending 30/08/19)

Australia

Musgrave Minerals Ltd. explores for minerals in Australia.  The Company operates on the Musgrave Province in South Australia.

Dropsuite Limited operates a cloud based software platform. The Company owns commercialized cloud backup software that enables small and medium enterprises to  backup, recover, and protect their digital assets.

St. Barbara Limited is a gold exploration and production company.  The Company's exploration projects include its Southern Cross and Leonora Operations which are located in Western Australia.

Tribune Resources Ltd. acquires, explores for and produces minerals and gold in the Mount Celia and Kundana Joint Ventures and the 7 Mile Hill mine in Western Australia.

Bougainville Copper Limited operated a large open pit mine and processing facility at Panguna on Bougainville Island in the North Solomons Province, Papua New Guinea. Production included quantities of copper, gold and silver. Operations halted in 1989 due to militant activity. The mines are managed on a contracted services basis until production can be resumed.

Bisalloy Steel Group Limited imports, distributes and processes specialty steels and metals in Australia and New Zealand.  The Company's products include stainless steels, engineering steels, quenched and tempered steel plate, flat rolled aluminium, carbon tube, pipe and fittings. Bisalloy also provides heat treating, cutting, slitting, blanking and polishing services.

Aeris Resources Limited is a mining and exploration company. The Company explores, develops, mines, and produces copper. Aeris Resources conducts its business operations in Australia.

Core Lithium Ltd operates as a mineral exploration company. The Company explores and mines finniss lithium resources. Core Lithium serves customers in Australia.

Talga Resources Limited is a technology materials company that develops graphene and graphite supply from its wholly-owned Swedish projects. The Company has unique ore that allows graphite and graphene to be liberated at an atomic level in a cost effective way.

Red Hawk Mining Limited is an iron ore exploration and development company.  The Company focuses on iron ore in the Pilbara region of Western Australia. Red Hawk Mining also explores for diamond and phosphate in South Australia and the Northern Territory.

PT Krakatau Steel Persero Tbk is the iron and steel producer in Indonesia. The Company is a  state-owned enterprise and located in Cilegon, Indonesia. Krakatau Steel consists of production plants that produce hot rolled coils, plates and sheets.

China Daye Non-Ferrous Metals Mining Ltd., through its subsidiaries, currently possesses various wolfram mines and a molybdenum mine in the Republic of Mongolia along with a number of silver and copper mines in Xinjiang Province, the PRC.

China Daye Non Ferrous Metals Mining (661 HK)

Da Ming International Holdings Ltd. processes stainless steel.  The Company purchases stainless steel coils and plates and offers coil cutting, coil slitting, surface polishing, plate cutting and forming services.

Ann Joo Resources Berhad is an investment holding company which trades, retails, and supplies building and construction materials and steel and iron products. Ann Joo also trades hardware and steel materials and is involved in property management.

Gandhi Special Tubes Ltd manufactures steel tube products consisting of seamless and welded tubes. The Company also manufactures cold forged nuts. Gandhi Special Tubes caters to the automobile and general engineering industry, its customers include Tata Motors, BHEL, Voltas, Samsung and LG.

Ningbo Fubang Jingye Group Co., Ltd. manufactures and markets aluminum sheets, and other aluminum materials.  The Company also trades and distributes construction materials, metal materials, chemical materials, as well as rubber products.

Ningbo Fubang Jingye Group Co, Ltd. (600768 CH)

United Alloy-Tech Company Ltd produces bicycle components, computer components, forging parts, and materials.

PA Resources Bhd. specializes in the production of aluminum billets, extrusion profiles, and downstream aluminum product-related services.

Tokyo Rope Manufacturing Co Ltd manufactures wires and ropes.  The Company's products are used for automobile tires, ski lifts, bridges, cranes, mattresses, and elevators.

Steelcast Limited manufactures steel.  The Company produces carbon, low alloy, high alloy and hadfield manganese steel and other grades of wear and abrasion resistant castings produced by the sand molding and shell molding processes.

Northern Minerals Limited is a mineral exploration company. The Company is primarily focused on Uranium and Rare Earth exploration and development in Western Australia and the Northern Territory.

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Northern Minerals (NTU AU)

Northern Minerals (NMI AU): Chinese Investors Forced To Exit

I don't have a strong conviction either way on Northern Minerals here; but the expulsion of Yuxiao, an agitating presence, removes an overhang....

David Blennerhassett

New J Hutton – Exploration Report (Weeks Ending 30/08/19)

We examine at what stage the current commodities Supercycle exists Using BoC data, it appears that three of four commodity trends are...

Gaius King

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