Equity Analyst, LightStream Research

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

Equity Analyst

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

Equity Capital Markets

China Resources Beverage / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>The Chinese drinking water and beverage maker, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-resources-beverage" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:41984:1" rel="noopener">China Resources Beverage (CRB HK)</a> has filed for an IPO on the HKEx to raise around US$1.0bn.</li>
<li>The company’s operations are heavily concentrated towards drinking water products where the market competition is intensifying leading into a price war.</li>
<li>CR Beverage’s margins are inferior compared to peer <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nongfu-spring-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28955:1" rel="noopener">Nongfu Spring (9633 HK)</a> who has diversified into other beverage products from drinking water to grow its financials.</li>
</ul>


The Chinese drinking water and beverage maker, China Resources Beverage (CRB HK) has filed for an IPO on the HKEx to raise around US$1.0bn.
The company’s operations are heavily concentrated towards drinking water products where the market competition is intensifying leading into a price war.
CR Beverage’s margins are inferior compared to peer Nongfu Spring (9633 HK) who has diversified into other beverage products from drinking water to grow its financials.


CR Beverage IPO: Less Diversification, Falling Growth Rates and Inferior Margins Compared to Peers

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Sep 20th.</li>
<li>Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period. </li>
<li>We highlight short changes in AIA, Angelalign, Kuaishou, China Mobile.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Sep 20th.
Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period. 
We highlight short changes in AIA, Angelalign, Kuaishou, China Mobile.


HK Short Interest Weekly: AIA, Angelalign, Kuaishou, China Mobile

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-resources-beverage" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:41984:1" rel="noopener">China Resources Beverage (CRB HK)</a>, China's largest purified drinking water company, has received HK listing approval for a US$1 billion IPO.    </li>
<li>CR Beverage has a product portfolio of 13 brands, including C’estbon, Zhi Ben Qing Run, Mi Shui Series, Holiday Series and Zuo Wei Cha Shi, comprising 56 SKUs.</li>
<li>The bull case rests on a large TAM, a core business in good health, beverages providing the second growth leg, profitability, and strong cash conversion.</li>
</ul>



China Resources Beverage (CRB HK), China's largest purified drinking water company, has received HK listing approval for a US$1 billion IPO.    
CR Beverage has a product portfolio of 13 brands, including C’estbon, Zhi Ben Qing Run, Mi Shui Series, Holiday Series and Zuo Wei Cha Shi, comprising 56 SKUs.
The bull case rests on a large TAM, a core business in good health, beverages providing the second growth leg, profitability, and strong cash conversion.


Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-resources-beverage" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:41984:1" rel="noopener">China Resources Beverage</a> is looking to raise US$1bn in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO.</li>
<li>China Resources Beverage manufactures and sells packaged drinking water and RTD soft beverages in China.</li>
<li>In our earlier notes, we talked about the company’s past performance and undertook a peer comparison. In this note, we will look at valuations.</li>
</ul>



China Resources Beverage is looking to raise US$1bn in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO.
China Resources Beverage manufactures and sells packaged drinking water and RTD soft beverages in China.
In our earlier notes, we talked about the company’s past performance and undertook a peer comparison. In this note, we will look at valuations.


China Resources Beverage Pre-IPO - Thoughts on Valuation

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-resources-beverage" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:41984:1" rel="noopener">China Resources Beverage (CRB HK)</a>, China's largest purified drinking water company, has received HK listing approval for a US$1 billion IPO.</li>
<li>In <em><strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/cr-beverage-ipo-the-bull-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:157572" rel="noopener">CR Beverage IPO: The Bull Case</a>,</strong></em> we highlighted the key elements of the bull case. In this note, we outline the bear case.</li>
<li>The bear case rests on core business' pricing pressure, a slow pace of revenue diversification, a sizeable pre-IPO dividend, and margin and FCF generation below its key peer. </li>
</ul>



China Resources Beverage (CRB HK), China's largest purified drinking water company, has received HK listing approval for a US$1 billion IPO.
In CR Beverage IPO: The Bull Case, we highlighted the key elements of the bull case. In this note, we outline the bear case.
The bear case rests on core business' pricing pressure, a slow pace of revenue diversification, a sizeable pre-IPO dividend, and margin and FCF generation below its key peer. 


China

Nongfu Spring Co. Ltd. supplies soft drinks. The Company develops, produces, and sells bottled mineral water, fruit juice, sports drinks, and tea drinks. Nongfu Spring also offers barreled mineral water door-to-door services.

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Nongfu Spring (9633 HK)

CR Beverage IPO: Less Diversification, Falling Growth Rates and Inferior Margins Compared to Peers

CR Beverage's operations are heavily concentrated towards drinking water products where the market competition is intensifying leading into a price...

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

HK Short Interest Weekly: AIA, Angelalign, Kuaishou, China Mobile

We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Sep 20th and highlight short interest changes in AIA, Angelalign, Kuaishou,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

CR Beverage IPO: The Bull Case

CR Beverage, which will begin pre-marketing its IPO to raise up to US$1 billion, has filed its PHIP. CR Beverage aims to complete the deal before...

Arun George

China Resources Beverage Pre-IPO - Thoughts on Valuation

China Resources Beverage has now filed its PHIP and will begin pre-marketing soon. We will have a look at its latest filing and revise our...

Sumeet Singh

CR Beverage IPO: The Bear Case

The bear case rests on core business' pricing pressure, a slow pace of revenue diversification, a sizeable pre-IPO dividend, and margin and FCF...

Arun George

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