Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

Japan Petroleum Exploration / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Japanese companies are buying back more stock than ever before, and recent moves by the TSE and METI are effectively pushing for more.</li>
<li>The new goal is to lift PBR and ROE. The easiest way to lift ROE is reduce E. Low-PBR Cos with excess assets and cross-holdings (outbound and inbound) are targets.</li>
<li>In this insight I look at several possible rankings for potential large buyback targets.</li>
</ul>


Japanese companies are buying back more stock than ever before, and recent moves by the TSE and METI are effectively pushing for more.
The new goal is to lift PBR and ROE. The easiest way to lift ROE is reduce E. Low-PBR Cos with excess assets and cross-holdings (outbound and inbound) are targets.
In this insight I look at several possible rankings for potential large buyback targets.


JAPAN GOVERNANCE CHANGES II - Who Could Surprise on Buybacks? Quant Rankings

Asian Hedge Fund Manager, Long Short Equity, Macro

David Mudd

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>On January 1st, we created the Asian Alpha Hedge Fund (AAHF), which returned 31.66% in the first quarter of 2025. AAHF is a simulated (paper-traded) long/short equity Asian hedge fund.</li>
<li>The fund's outperformance was attributed to high alpha generation and country allocation/positioning.  The portfolio gained from its long positions in Hong Kong and shorts in Japan.</li>
<li>On 3/31/25, we reduced long positions in HK tech and covered short positions in Japanese steel companies. At 3/31/25 AAHF had a gross position of 172% and net exposure +5.89%. </li>
</ul>


On January 1st, we created the Asian Alpha Hedge Fund (AAHF), which returned 31.66% in the first quarter of 2025. AAHF is a simulated (paper-traded) long/short equity Asian hedge fund.
The fund's outperformance was attributed to high alpha generation and country allocation/positioning.  The portfolio gained from its long positions in Hong Kong and shorts in Japan.
On 3/31/25, we reduced long positions in HK tech and covered short positions in Japanese steel companies. At 3/31/25 AAHF had a gross position of 172% and net exposure +5.89%. 


Asian Alpha Hedge Fund (AAHF): INTRODUCTION

Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Zero One

Founded in 2015, Zero One produces independent investment research and provides corporate finance advisory services with a focus on both listed and private technology companies. Founder Vincent Fernando has over 20 years of experience in US and Asia capital markets.

Independent Investment Research

Equity Bottom-Up

Hon Hai Precision Industry / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Mitsubishi Motors plans to outsource EV production to Foxconn, signaling the most significant commercial validation of Foxconn’s MIH EV platform to date.</li>
<li>While Foxconn’s AI server manufacturing is currently the company’s strongest growth driver, its EV strategy is increasingly gaining credibility as a second long-term pillar.</li>
<li>Foxconn -- Structural Long. We see depressed share price as buying opportunity. Mitsubishi contract win increases the probability for additional major OEM production partnership wins this year for Foxconn.</li>
</ul>


Mitsubishi Motors plans to outsource EV production to Foxconn, signaling the most significant commercial validation of Foxconn’s MIH EV platform to date.
While Foxconn’s AI server manufacturing is currently the company’s strongest growth driver, its EV strategy is increasingly gaining credibility as a second long-term pillar.
Foxconn -- Structural Long. We see depressed share price as buying opportunity. Mitsubishi contract win increases the probability for additional major OEM production partnership wins this year for Foxconn.


Foxconn's Huge EV Bet Pays Off: Key Mitsubishi Win Could Spark Additional Automaker Deals to Come

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/byd-co-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20962:1" rel="noopener">BYD (1211 HK)</a> is looking to raise around US$5.2bn via selling 4% additional shares.</li>
<li>The company has undertaken a few deals before and they have ended up performing well.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the placement and run the deal through our ECM framework.</li>
</ul>



BYD (1211 HK) is looking to raise around US$5.2bn via selling 4% additional shares.
The company has undertaken a few deals before and they have ended up performing well.
In this note, we will talk about the placement and run the deal through our ECM framework.


BYD US$5.2bn Placement - Large Only in Absolute Size, past Deals Have Done Well

Tracking developments across tech supply chains, Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Tracking developments across tech supply chains

<ul><li>Honda-Nissan merger and Renault-Geely alliance shake up auto industry landscape, causing speculation and uncertainty.</li><li>AI technology leading to increased demand for edge computing and device upgrades due to affordable costs and improved efficiency.</li><li>Liquid-cooled fast charging technology set to revolutionize EV charging by 2025, allowing for ultrafast charging speeds. Tesla's India factory plans criticized by Trump. Grok 3 drives spike in AI server demand.</li></ul>

Honda-Nissan merger and Renault-Geely alliance shake up auto industry landscape, causing speculation and uncertainty.AI technology leading to increased demand for edge computing and device upgrades due to affordable costs and improved efficiency.Liquid-cooled fast charging technology set to revolutionize EV charging by 2025, allowing for ultrafast charging speeds. Tesla's India factory plans criticized by Trump. Grok 3 drives spike in AI server demand.

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (21-Feb-2025): Honda-Nissan merger drama as Renault strengthens ties.

Japan

NISSAN MOTOR CO., LTD. manufactures and distributes automobiles and related parts. It also provides financing services. Nissan delivers a comprehensive range of products under various brands. The Company manufactures in Japan, the United States, Mexico, the United Kingdom and many other countries.

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Nissan Motor (7201 JP)

JAPAN GOVERNANCE CHANGES II - Who Could Surprise on Buybacks? Quant Rankings

JAPAN GOVERNANCE: There is a buyback story coming. It will be big. Bigger than the past year or two, and it will continue. What to buy?

Travis Lundy

Asian Alpha Hedge Fund (AAHF): INTRODUCTION

Asian Alpha Hedge Fund (AAHF) returned 32% in the first quarter of 2025. The fund outperformed the MSCI All Country Asia Pacific index by 28%. ...

David Mudd

Foxconn's Huge EV Bet Pays Off: Key Mitsubishi Win Could Spark Additional Automaker Deals to Come

Mitsubishi Motors to outsource EV production to Foxconn, boosting credibility of Foxconn's EV strategy and potential for more OEM partnerships.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

BYD US$5.2bn Placement - Large Only in Absolute Size, past Deals Have Done Well

BYD (1211 HK) is looking to raise around US$5.2bn via selling 4% additional shares. In this note, we run the deal through our ECM framework.

Sumeet Singh

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (21-Feb-2025): Honda-Nissan merger drama as Renault strengthens ties.

The auto industry is in flux with the Honda-Nissan merger drama, Renault-Geely alliance, and Trump's criticism of Tesla, while AI, edge computing,...

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

JAPAN GOVERNANCE CHANGES II - Who Could Surprise on Buybacks? Quant Rankings

JAPAN GOVERNANCE: There is a buyback story coming. It will be big. Bigger than the past year or two, and it will continue. What to buy?

Travis Lundy

Asian Alpha Hedge Fund (AAHF): INTRODUCTION

Asian Alpha Hedge Fund (AAHF) returned 32% in the first quarter of 2025. The fund outperformed the MSCI All Country Asia Pacific index by 28%. ...

David Mudd

Foxconn's Huge EV Bet Pays Off: Key Mitsubishi Win Could Spark Additional Automaker Deals to Come

​Mitsubishi Motors to outsource EV production to Foxconn, boosting credibility of Foxconn's EV strategy and potential for more OEM partnerships.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

BYD US$5.2bn Placement - Large Only in Absolute Size, past Deals Have Done Well

BYD (1211 HK) is looking to raise around US$5.2bn via selling 4% additional shares. In this note, we run the deal through our ECM framework.

Sumeet Singh

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (21-Feb-2025): Honda-Nissan merger drama as Renault strengthens ties.

The auto industry is in flux with the Honda-Nissan merger drama, Renault-Geely alliance, and Trump's criticism of Tesla, while AI, edge computing,...

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Mitsubishi Motors to outsource EV production to Foxconn, boosting credibility of Foxconn's EV strategy and potential for more OEM partnerships.