Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning, Copley Fund Research

Steven Holden

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning

Copley Fund Research

Copley Fund Research provide research and data on asset allocation among Global and Emerging Market equity funds.  The analysis details absolute and relative positioning across countries, sectors and industries together with highly granular data on single stock and single fund allocations.  The data is updated monthly with time series going back to January 2011.

Global Research - Analysis of 165 prominent Global equity funds, combined AUM $335bn
GEM Research - Analysis of 127 prominent global EM equity funds, combined AUM $250bn

Asset Allocation - Global and GEM Equity

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>Global Active Funds make tentative moves back in to Japanese equities after a 5-year decline.</li>
<li>Buying seen in Daiichi Sankyo, Keyence Corp and Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group, with Japan capturing $1.3bn of new fund investment since September 2022.</li>
<li>Ownership levels still near record lows, with clear potential for further ownership growth from here.</li>
</ul>


Global Active Funds make tentative moves back in to Japanese equities after a 5-year decline.
Buying seen in Daiichi Sankyo, Keyence Corp and Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group, with Japan capturing $1.3bn of new fund investment since September 2022.
Ownership levels still near record lows, with clear potential for further ownership growth from here.


Japan: Early Signs of a Potential Re-Weight

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

NTT (Nippon Telegraph & Telephone) / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nippon-telegraph-telephone-corporation" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:623:1" rel="noopener">NTT (Nippon Telegraph &amp; Telephone) (9432 JP)</a> is splitting its stock 25:1 on record date 30 June 2023. That means it goes ex- at the new price on 29 June.</li>
<li>The day before, the stock is up nearly 5% on heavy volume. This is likely punters buying before it splits so one round lot will be &lt;¥20,000 vs ~¥420,000 yesterday.</li>
<li>But there is a new attraction for retail, somewhat un-noticed. </li>
</ul>



NTT (Nippon Telegraph &amp; Telephone) (9432 JP) is splitting its stock 25:1 on record date 30 June 2023. That means it goes ex- at the new price on 29 June.
The day before, the stock is up nearly 5% on heavy volume. This is likely punters buying before it splits so one round lot will be &lt;¥20,000 vs ~¥420,000 yesterday.
But there is a new attraction for retail, somewhat un-noticed. 


NTT's Really Big/Weird Stock Split Goes Ex- 29 June 2023. Now With D-Points!

Equity Analyst, LightStream Research

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

Equity Analyst

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

Equity Bottom-Up

NTT (Nippon Telegraph & Telephone) / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Nikkei reported last week that <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nippon-telegraph-telephone-corporation" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:623:1" rel="noopener">NTT (Nippon Telegraph &amp; Telephone) (9432 JP)</a> is developing a generative AI and plans to offer services to the company’s corporate clients by Next March.</li>
<li>Over the recent years, NTT has been extensively investing on AI, robotics and other data-driven products and services to boost its top line growth as its core business is saturating.</li>
<li>AI and semiconductors are two key policy areas of Japanese government for development as the country is dealing with population and other demographic changes.</li>
</ul>


Nikkei reported last week that NTT (Nippon Telegraph &amp; Telephone) (9432 JP) is developing a generative AI and plans to offer services to the company’s corporate clients by Next March.
Over the recent years, NTT has been extensively investing on AI, robotics and other data-driven products and services to boost its top line growth as its core business is saturating.
AI and semiconductors are two key policy areas of Japanese government for development as the country is dealing with population and other demographic changes.


NTT: Developing Industry-Specific AI Offerings as AI Becomes One of Government's Key Focus Areas

Japan Specialist

Mark Chadwick

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>OVERSEAS. SPX Closed +0.1% on Friday/WoW +0.4% confirming Bull Market; Fed Decision this week - Market See Pause; TESLA +4.1% Seals Deal with GM on its Super Chargers</li>
<li>JAPAN. NKY Futs flat vs Cash;  Japan Continues to focus on AGMs; Record number Proposals submitted to 90 companies; Buybacks to hit record in 2023 say SMBC Nikko</li>
<li>NUGGET. Kyocera: ISS  recommended AGM vote doomed but there is good news...</li>
</ul>


OVERSEAS. SPX Closed +0.1% on Friday/WoW +0.4% confirming Bull Market; Fed Decision this week - Market See Pause; TESLA +4.1% Seals Deal with GM on its Super Chargers
JAPAN. NKY Futs flat vs Cash;  Japan Continues to focus on AGMs; Record number Proposals submitted to 90 companies; Buybacks to hit record in 2023 say SMBC Nikko
NUGGET. Kyocera: ISS  recommended AGM vote doomed but there is good news...


Ohayo Japan|SPX Up Again; Fed Pause/Hike? NUGGET: Kyocera ISS Recommended Vote Doomed, But...

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

iShares MSCI ACWI ETF / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>There continues to be little traction above $93 on MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US), which remains the top-end of our anticipated 2023 trading range. Important downside targets are $86, $84, and $75-77.</li>
<li>Additionally, the EURO STOXX 50 remains below 2-year resistance at 4400-4415.</li>
<li>We remain overweight Europe, Japan, and India, and we prefer to only add exposure on a pullback -- especially in Japan where indexes are bullish yet extended.</li>
</ul>


There continues to be little traction above $93 on MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US), which remains the top-end of our anticipated 2023 trading range. Important downside targets are $86, $84, and $75-77.
Additionally, the EURO STOXX 50 remains below 2-year resistance at 4400-4415.
We remain overweight Europe, Japan, and India, and we prefer to only add exposure on a pullback -- especially in Japan where indexes are bullish yet extended.


No Traction Above $93 on ACWI-US or 4400-4415 on EURO STOXX 50. Buys in Defensives/Japan/EM

Japan

USEN-NEXT HOLDINGS Co.,Ltd. provides network information services. The Company provides video contents distribution, music contents distribution, and other services. USEN-NEXT HOLDINGS also provides internet agency, mobile communication, and other services.

SoftBank Group Corp. provides telecommunication services. The Company also operates ADSL (Asymmetric Digital Subscriber Line) and fiber optic high-speed Internet connection, e-Commerce businesses, and Internet based advertising and auction businesses.

KDDI CORPORATION provides mobile communication services and sells mobile devices.  The Company also is a broadband provider.

Softbank Corporation provides mobile phone telecommunication and networking services. The Company offers mobile communication opening, short messaging function opening, video function opening, and other services. Softbank also provides mobile phones.

ARTERIA Networks Corporation provides telecommunication services. The Company offers internet connection, virtual private network construction, colocation, mobile connection, mobile device management, optical fiber network construction, and other services.

Vision Inc. provides a variety of telecommunication services, including fixed-line telecom, wireless telecom and wifi services. The company also provides distribution and lease service of office equipments and communications equipments.

FreeBit Co., Ltd. provides Internet connectivity outsourcing services for Internet service providers.  The Company also offers ubiquitous networking environment.  FreeBit provides consulting services for Internet related businesses as well.

Broadmedia Corporation provides broadband service, CDN (contents delivery network), and media contents belonging to Softbank broadcasting. Broadmedia also markets game on demand service.

Nintendo Co., Ltd. globally develops, manufactures and sells home-use video game hardware and software in home entertainment business.  The company also produces home-game products including cards.

OKINAWA CELLULAR TELEPHONE COMPANY provides cellular and car phone services in Okinawa Prefecture.  The Company also sells cellular phones and accessories.

China Telecom Corporation Limited, through its subsidiaries, provides wireline telephone, data, and Internet, as well as leased line services in China.

Deutsche Telekom AG offers telecommunications services.  The Company offers a full range of fixed-line telephone services, mobile communications services, Internet access, and combined information technology and telecommunications services for businesses.

Singapore Telecommunications Limited wireless telecommunication services. The Company offers diverse range of services including fixed, mobile, data, internet, TV,  and digital solutions. Singapore Telecommunications serves customers worldwide.

Telstra Corporation Limited is a full service domestic and international telecommunications provider for Australia.  The Company provides telephone exchange lines to homes and businesses, supplying local, long distance and international telephone calls and supplying mobile telecommunications services. Telstra also provides data, internet, on-line services and directory services.

AT&T Inc. is a communications holding company. The Company, through its subsidiaries and affiliates, provides local and long-distance phone service, wireless and data communications, Internet access and messaging, IP-based and satellite television, security services, telecommunications equipment, and directory advertising and publishing.

China Unicom (Hong Kong) Limited, through its subsidiaries, provides telecommunications services in the People's Republic of China.  The Company's services include cellular, paging, long distance, data, and Internet services.

Chunghwa Telecom Co., Ltd. provides local, domestic, and international long distance services. The Company also offers wireless telecommunication, paging, and Internet services.

Cellnex Telecom S.A.U. is an independent operator of wireless telecommunications infrastructure and broadcast infrastructure. The Company's sites are located in Spain and Italy.

Telefonica S.A. provides telecommunications services mainly to countries in Europe and Latin America.  The Company offers fixed-line and mobile telephone, Internet, and data transmission services to residential and corporate customers.

Orange SA provides telecommunications services to residential, professional, and large business customers. The Company offers public fixed-line telephone, leased lines and data transmission, mobile telecommunications, cable television, Internet and wireless applications, and broadcasting services, and telecommunications equipment sales and rentals.

Nippon Telegraph and Telephone Corporation provides a variety of telecommunication services, including telephone, telegraph, leased circuits, data communication, terminal equipment sales, and related services. The Company provides both local and long distance telephone services within Japan.

NTT (Nippon Telegraph & Telephone) (9432 JP)

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NTT (Nippon Telegraph & Telephone) (9432 JP)

Japan: Early Signs of a Potential Re-Weight

Global Equity Funds make tentative moves back in to Japan after a 5-year decline. Ownership levels remain near record lows, so potential for...

Steven Holden

NTT's Really Big/Weird Stock Split Goes Ex- 29 June 2023. Now With D-Points!

NTT 's 25:1 share split is ex- 29 Jun, a round lot will be < ¥20k. Surprisingly, the split does not affect the D-Points shareholder loyalty...

Travis Lundy

NTT: Developing Industry-Specific AI Offerings as AI Becomes One of Government's Key Focus Areas

NTT is developing a generative AI to offer to corporate clients. AI and semiconductors are two key focus areas of the govt which should benefit NTT...

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

Ohayo Japan|SPX Up Again; Fed Pause/Hike? NUGGET: Kyocera ISS Recommended Vote Doomed, But...

SPX Bull mkt continues ahed of US CPI and Fed; NKY Futs flat vs Cash; Japan Continues to focus on AGMs; Record number of Proposals to 90 companies

Mark Chadwick

No Traction Above $93 on ACWI-US or 4400-4415 on EURO STOXX 50. Buys in Defensives/Japan/EM

No Traction Above $93 on MSCI $ACWI or 4400-4415 on EURO #STOXX 50. Continues to reinforce our view from early-January that $93 on ACWI caps upside...

Vermilion Research

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