Equity Analyst, LightStream Research

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

Equity Analyst

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

Forensic Accounting

<ul>
<li>Nio Inc. was targeted by Grizzly Research and accused of likely using an unconsolidated related party to exaggerate revenue and profitability. This unconsolidated related party was named as Wuhan Weineng.</li>
<li>As per the report, Weineng had helped Nio inflate revenue and net income by approx. 10% and 95% respectively in 9M2021, and FY2021 earnings beat by at least 60%.</li>
<li>In this insight, we take a look some of the allegations and have assessed the merits of the claims by Grizzly Research.</li>
</ul>


Nio Inc. was targeted by Grizzly Research and accused of likely using an unconsolidated related party to exaggerate revenue and profitability. This unconsolidated related party was named as Wuhan Weineng.
As per the report, Weineng had helped Nio inflate revenue and net income by approx. 10% and 95% respectively in 9M2021, and FY2021 earnings beat by at least 60%.
In this insight, we take a look some of the allegations and have assessed the merits of the claims by Grizzly Research.


Nio: Difficult to Refute Most of Grizzly’s Allegations

Global Automotive Stocks/EV Focus/Event Driven, SC Capital

SC Capital

Global Automotive Stocks/EV Focus/Event Driven

Over 22 years covering Japanese equities on both the sell side and the buy side. 

Bottom-up Japan Equities Research

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Tesla faces stiffer competition in 2H 2022 as chip supplies at rivals recover faster than expected. This will put pricing pressure on Tesla amid rising costs. </li>
<li>Cash could be tight in 2H 2022 as Tesla ramps up 2 new factories. There is a distinct possibility of Tesla resorting to equity financing.</li>
<li>If the drop in Q2 earnings doesn't return to high growth again from Q3, Tesla could finally see its valuation fall down to earth. Its premium has already shrunk.  </li>
</ul>


Tesla faces stiffer competition in 2H 2022 as chip supplies at rivals recover faster than expected. This will put pricing pressure on Tesla amid rising costs. 
Cash could be tight in 2H 2022 as Tesla ramps up 2 new factories. There is a distinct possibility of Tesla resorting to equity financing.
If the drop in Q2 earnings doesn't return to high growth again from Q3, Tesla could finally see its valuation fall down to earth. Its premium has already shrunk.  


Tesla May Struggle as Rivals Rebuild Inventory

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/li-auto-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28812:1" rel="noopener">Li Auto Inc. (LI US)</a> has announced an ATM offering to sell US$2.0 billion of ADS. The offering appears to be timed to take advantage of the share price rally.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/li-auto-inc-3dbe6187-544f-40dd-b9f9-72fba9c0110e" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33811:1" rel="noopener">Li Auto (2015 HK)</a>'s strong balance sheet and cash generation do not necessitate the need for the offering. The impending launch of the Li L9 underpins its prospects. </li>
<li>However, with the recent rally, the shares are at best fully valued at the last close. We prefer remaining on the sidelines for now. </li>
</ul>



Li Auto Inc. (LI US) has announced an ATM offering to sell US$2.0 billion of ADS. The offering appears to be timed to take advantage of the share price rally.

Li Auto (2015 HK)'s strong balance sheet and cash generation do not necessitate the need for the offering. The impending launch of the Li L9 underpins its prospects. 
However, with the recent rally, the shares are at best fully valued at the last close. We prefer remaining on the sidelines for now. 


Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

<ul>
<li>Tianqi Lithium (TL) is looking to raise up to US$1.5bn via its H-shares listing. It undertakes mining of lithium ore and manufacturing of lithium concentrate, lithium compounds and derivatives.</li>
<li>TL was the largest producer of mined lithium globally in terms of output and ranked third in terms of revenue generated from lithium in 2020, according to Wood Mackenzie .</li>
<li>In this note, we take a closer look at valuations and where peers are trading in terms of A/H premium.</li>
</ul>


Tianqi Lithium (TL) is looking to raise up to US$1.5bn via its H-shares listing. It undertakes mining of lithium ore and manufacturing of lithium concentrate, lithium compounds and derivatives.
TL was the largest producer of mined lithium globally in terms of output and ranked third in terms of revenue generated from lithium in 2020, according to Wood Mackenzie .
In this note, we take a closer look at valuations and where peers are trading in terms of A/H premium.


Tianqi Lithium A/H Listing - PHIP Updates and a Closer Look at Valuations

Sona Blw Precision Forgings Lt / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Sona Comstar (Sona) raised around US$761m in its Indian IPO in Jun 2021. </li>
<li>The shares are now trading well above the IPO price and its largest PE investor, Blackstone, will be released from its lockup soon.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the lock-up dynamics and updates since our last note.</li>
</ul>


Sona Comstar (Sona) raised around US$761m in its Indian IPO in Jun 2021. 
The shares are now trading well above the IPO price and its largest PE investor, Blackstone, will be released from its lockup soon.
In this note, we will talk about the lock-up dynamics and updates since our last note.


Sona Comstar Lock-Up - Blackstone up 17x, Sold Half in the IPO with over US$1bn Left

China

NIO Inc. manufactures and sells automobiles. The Company offers electric vehicles and parts, as well as provides battery charging services. NIO serves customers worldwide.

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NIO (NIO US)

Nio: Difficult to Refute Most of Grizzly’s Allegations

Nio was targeted by Grizzly and accused of using an unconsolidated related party to exaggerate revenue and profitability. We take a look some of...

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

Tesla May Struggle as Rivals Rebuild Inventory

A faster than expected recovery in automotive chip supply may put pressure on Tesla's profits as rivals will lower prices. This comes as Tesla...

SC Capital

Li Auto’s US$2 Billion ATM Offering

The offering appears to be timed to take advantage of the share price rally. The shares are at best fully valued at the last close. We prefer...

Arun George

Tianqi Lithium A/H Listing - PHIP Updates and a Closer Look at Valuations

Tianqi Lithium (TL) is looking to raise up to US$1.5bn via its H-shares listing. In this note, we look at A/H valuations.

Sumeet Singh

Sona Comstar Lock-Up - Blackstone up 17x, Sold Half in the IPO with over US$1bn Left

Sona Comstar (Sona) raised around US$761m in its Indian IPO in Jun 2021. The shares are trading well above the IPO price. Blackstone still owns...

Sumeet Singh

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