Blue Lotus China New Economy Research, Blue Lotus Research Institute

Eric Wen

Blue Lotus China New Economy Research

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>1810 HK/981 HK/AAPL US: Xiaomi’s Africa smartphone sales outgrow market in 2Q24 (+/+/-)</li>
<li>XPEV US:Xpeng Motors' revenue in the second quarter was in line with our expectations, and its losses were greater than our expectations(/)</li>
<li>1211 HK/1810 HK/XPEV US/NIO US/LI US:In the 33rd week of 2024, the delivery of new energy vehicles by Xiaomi fluctuated, Leapmotor and Li were strong, and NIO remained weak  (/////////)</li>
</ul>


1810 HK/981 HK/AAPL US: Xiaomi’s Africa smartphone sales outgrow market in 2Q24 (+/+/-)
XPEV US:Xpeng Motors' revenue in the second quarter was in line with our expectations, and its losses were greater than our expectations(/)
1211 HK/1810 HK/XPEV US/NIO US/LI US:In the 33rd week of 2024, the delivery of new energy vehicles by Xiaomi fluctuated, Leapmotor and Li were strong, and NIO remained weak  (/////////)


[Blue Lotus Daily]:1810 HK/981 HK/AAPL US/XPEV US/1211 HK/NIO US/LI US/LKNCY US/002352 CH/2618 HK

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/robosense-technology-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:39903:1" rel="noopener">Robosense Technology (2498 HK)</a> raised around US$126m in its Hong Kong IPO in Jan 2024. The lockup on its shareholders will expire soon.</li>
<li>The company provides LiDAR and perception solutions to its customers. As of March 2024, it had design wins for mass production of LiDAR products with 22 automotive OEMs and suppliers.</li>
<li>In this note, we talk about the upcoming lock-up expiry and possible deal dynamics.</li>
</ul>



Robosense Technology (2498 HK) raised around US$126m in its Hong Kong IPO in Jan 2024. The lockup on its shareholders will expire soon.
The company provides LiDAR and perception solutions to its customers. As of March 2024, it had design wins for mass production of LiDAR products with 22 automotive OEMs and suppliers.
In this note, we talk about the upcoming lock-up expiry and possible deal dynamics.


Robosense IPO Lock-Up Expiry - US$2.8bn Lockup Expiry for 99% of the Stock, CCASS Movement

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Douyu International Holdings / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>In a particularly altruistic move, live-streaming game platform play <strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/douyu-international-hold-adr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28045:1" rel="noopener">Douyu International Holdings (DOYU US)</a>  </strong><a href="https://ir.douyu.com/2024-07-03-DouYu-International-Holdings-Limited-Announces-Special-Cash-Dividend" target="_blank" rel="noopener">announced</a> a special cash dividend of US$9.76/share, vs. a last price of US$12.59.</li>
<li>The cash outlay is roughly US$308mn, and Douyu had cash (as at 1Q24) of <a href="https://ir.douyu.com/2024-06-05-DouYu-International-Holdings-Limited-Reports-First-Quarter-2024-Unaudited-Financial-Results" target="_blank" rel="noopener">US$936.6mn</a>. And no debt.  Founder/chairman/CEO Shaojie Chen (17.2% shareholder) will pocket a tidy ~US$53mn.</li>
<li>An outlier; or should we expect more of the same for other cash-rich US-listed China plays?</li>
</ul>


In a particularly altruistic move, live-streaming game platform play Douyu International Holdings (DOYU US)  announced a special cash dividend of US$9.76/share, vs. a last price of US$12.59.
The cash outlay is roughly US$308mn, and Douyu had cash (as at 1Q24) of US$936.6mn. And no debt.  Founder/chairman/CEO Shaojie Chen (17.2% shareholder) will pocket a tidy ~US$53mn.
An outlier; or should we expect more of the same for other cash-rich US-listed China plays?


<ul>
<li>With <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/toyota-motor-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:73:1" rel="noopener">Toyota (7203 JP)</a> having sold some of its stake in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/denso-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18703:1" rel="noopener">Denso</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kddi-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:639:1" rel="noopener">KDDI</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/harmonic-drive-systems-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10238:1" rel="noopener">Harmonic Drive</a> this year, it has firmly set the ball rolling for unwinding some of its cross-shareholding.</li>
<li>Toyota has a shareholding in around 60 listed companies, with its combined disposable stake worth over US$26bn.</li>
<li>In this note, we take a look at its stakes in various companies to see which ones could possibly be candidates for further selldowns.</li>
</ul>


With Toyota (7203 JP) having sold some of its stake in Denso, KDDI and Harmonic Drive this year, it has firmly set the ball rolling for unwinding some of its cross-shareholding.
Toyota has a shareholding in around 60 listed companies, with its combined disposable stake worth over US$26bn.
In this note, we take a look at its stakes in various companies to see which ones could possibly be candidates for further selldowns.


Toyota Cross-Shareholding - To Say a Whole Lot Is Left Would Be a US$26bn Understatement

Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Zero One

Founded in 2015, Zero One produces independent investment research and provides corporate finance advisory services with a focus on both listed and private technology companies. Founder Vincent Fernando has over 20 years of experience in US and Asia capital markets.

Independent Investment Research

Equity Bottom-Up

Himax Technologies Inc Adr / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>We hosted a conference call recently with Himax management, the global leader in automotive touch display controllers; the company is experiencing a uniquely stronger automotive supply/demand environment than some peers.</li>
<li>Discussed in detail how larger or more sophisticated interior displays can drive higher dollar content of display controllers per vehicle. We examine trending new car designs with much larger displays.</li>
<li>We forecast an exponential jump-up in display controller content value per vehicle as beautiful display designs are becoming key USP for auto brands; Maintain our Structural Long rating for Himax.</li>
</ul>


We hosted a conference call recently with Himax management, the global leader in automotive touch display controllers; the company is experiencing a uniquely stronger automotive supply/demand environment than some peers.
Discussed in detail how larger or more sophisticated interior displays can drive higher dollar content of display controllers per vehicle. We examine trending new car designs with much larger displays.
We forecast an exponential jump-up in display controller content value per vehicle as beautiful display designs are becoming key USP for auto brands; Maintain our Structural Long rating for Himax.


TechChain Insights: Call with Himax, How New In-Car Displays Can Quadruple Chip Content Per Vehicle

China

NIO Inc. manufactures and sells automobiles. The Company offers electric vehicles and parts, as well as provides battery charging services. NIO serves customers worldwide.

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NIO (NIO US)

[Blue Lotus Daily]:1810 HK/981 HK/AAPL US/XPEV US/1211 HK/NIO US/LI US/LKNCY US/002352 CH/2618 HK

Xiaomi's smartphone sales in Africa outperform market, Xpeng Motors' Q2 revenue meets but losses exceed expectations, new energy vehicle...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Robosense IPO Lock-Up Expiry - US$2.8bn Lockup Expiry for 99% of the Stock, CCASS Movement

The pre-IPO shareholders came out of lockup today, leading to a 67% drop in the share price with an accompanying spike in volumes.

Sumeet Singh

Screening For The Next Douyu (DOYU US)

In an altruistic move, Douyu announced a special dividend of US$9.76/share, vs. a last price of US$12.59. An outlier; or should we expect more of...

David Blennerhassett

Toyota Cross-Shareholding - To Say a Whole Lot Is Left Would Be a US$26bn Understatement

Toyota, Toyota Industries and Denso are tag teaming to unwind some of their stake in Aisin, in a deal worth over US$1bn. While the timing of the...

Sumeet Singh

TechChain Insights: Call with Himax, How New In-Car Displays Can Quadruple Chip Content Per Vehicle

We discussed in depth the company's latest insights in how larger interior displays in autos are driving higher dollar content of display...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

[Blue Lotus Daily]:1810 HK/981 HK/AAPL US/XPEV US/1211 HK/NIO US/LI US/LKNCY US/002352 CH/2618 HK

​Xiaomi's smartphone sales in Africa outperform market, Xpeng Motors' Q2 revenue meets but losses exceed expectations, new energy vehicle...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Robosense IPO Lock-Up Expiry - US$2.8bn Lockup Expiry for 99% of the Stock, CCASS Movement

The pre-IPO shareholders came out of lockup today, leading to a 67% drop in the share price with an accompanying spike in volumes.

Sumeet Singh

Screening For The Next Douyu (DOYU US)

In an altruistic move, Douyu announced a special dividend of US$9.76/share, vs. a last price of US$12.59. An outlier; or should we expect more of...

David Blennerhassett

Toyota Cross-Shareholding - To Say a Whole Lot Is Left Would Be a US$26bn Understatement

Toyota, Toyota Industries and Denso are tag teaming to unwind some of their stake in Aisin, in a deal worth over US$1bn. While the timing of the...

Sumeet Singh

TechChain Insights: Call with Himax, How New In-Car Displays Can Quadruple Chip Content Per Vehicle

We discussed in depth the company's latest insights in how larger interior displays in autos are driving higher dollar content of display...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Xiaomi's smartphone sales in Africa outperform market, Xpeng Motors' Q2 revenue meets but losses exceed expectations, new energy vehicle...