Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The Hang Seng Tech Index is more widely-followed than many think, and it is reasonably concentrated, so outperformance and underperformance by big names means capping and re-capping.</li>
<li>This time, those flows are worth about 8% of the index in terms of one-way flows. Meituan, Xiaomi, JD.com, Tencent and Kuaishou Tech DOWN. Li Auto back up. </li>
<li>Those who have pre-positioned on the big buy have recently gotten hurt. There are some FAF changes which are less predictable and may be interesting.</li>
</ul>


The Hang Seng Tech Index is more widely-followed than many think, and it is reasonably concentrated, so outperformance and underperformance by big names means capping and re-capping.
This time, those flows are worth about 8% of the index in terms of one-way flows. Meituan, Xiaomi, JD.com, Tencent and Kuaishou Tech DOWN. Li Auto back up. 
Those who have pre-positioned on the big buy have recently gotten hurt. There are some FAF changes which are less predictable and may be interesting.


HSTECH June 2024 Rebal - No Changes But Big Capping Flows, As Expected; 8% US$1.6bn One-Way

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zeekr-intelligent-technology-holding" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36785:1" rel="noopener">ZEEKR (ZK US)</a>, a premium EV brand by Geely, raised around US$440m in its US listing, after the deal was upsized and priced at the top.</li>
<li>Zeekr was formed in Mar 2021 as a JV between Geely and its founder. Its first model was launched in Apr 21 with deliveries starting in Oct 21.</li>
<li>We have looked at the company’s past performance and provided our thoughts on valuations in our earlier notes. In this note, we talk about the trading dynamics.</li>
</ul>



ZEEKR (ZK US), a premium EV brand by Geely, raised around US$440m in its US listing, after the deal was upsized and priced at the top.
Zeekr was formed in Mar 2021 as a JV between Geely and its founder. Its first model was launched in Apr 21 with deliveries starting in Oct 21.
We have looked at the company’s past performance and provided our thoughts on valuations in our earlier notes. In this note, we talk about the trading dynamics.


Zeekr IPO Trading - Not as Cheap as It Looks but Float Is Tiny

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zeekr-intelligent-technology-holding" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36785:1" rel="noopener">ZEEKR (ZK US)</a>, a premium EV brand by <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/geely-automobile-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:127:1" rel="noopener">Geely Auto (175 HK)</a>, aims to raise around US$370m in its US listing.</li>
<li>Zeekr was formed in Mar 2021 as a JV between Geely and its founder. Its first model was launched in Apr 21 with deliveries starting in Oct 21.</li>
<li>We have looked at the company’s past performance in our earlier notes. In this note, we talk about the updates from its recent filings and have a relook at valuations.</li>
</ul>



ZEEKR (ZK US), a premium EV brand by Geely Auto (175 HK), aims to raise around US$370m in its US listing.
Zeekr was formed in Mar 2021 as a JV between Geely and its founder. Its first model was launched in Apr 21 with deliveries starting in Oct 21.
We have looked at the company’s past performance in our earlier notes. In this note, we talk about the updates from its recent filings and have a relook at valuations.


Zeekr IPO - Missed Targets and Related Party Deals - We Would Stick to the Bottom-End

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Chinese automakers including BYD, NIO, Xpeng, Li Auto, Zeekr, Aion, Deepal, Neta, Leap, Xiaomi etc reported their Apr 2024 sales volumes on 1 May 2024.</li><li>Total sales volume combined rose 43% YoY (ranging from -31% to +546%) and 2% MoM (ranging from -14% to +32%).</li><li>Li Auto, Xpeng miss, NIO beat. It appears to us that the weak sales of the Mega has spread into Li Auto’s other models.</li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

Chinese automakers including BYD, NIO, Xpeng, Li Auto, Zeekr, Aion, Deepal, Neta, Leap, Xiaomi etc reported their Apr 2024 sales volumes on 1 May 2024.Total sales volume combined rose 43% YoY (ranging from -31% to +546%) and 2% MoM (ranging from -14% to +32%).Li Auto, Xpeng miss, NIO beat. It appears to us that the weak sales of the Mega has spread into Li Auto’s other models.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Auto - Apr NEV sales beat; Price war continues

Horizon Robotics / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/horizon-robotics-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35637:1" rel="noopener">Horizon Robotics</a> is looking to raise US$500m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO. The bookrunners on the deal are GS, MS and China Securities.</li>
<li>Horizon Robotics (HR) is a provider of advanced driver assistance systems (ADAS) and autonomous driving (AD) solutions for passenger vehicles, empowered by its proprietary software and hardware technologies.</li>
<li>In this note, we talk about the not-so-positive aspects of the deal.</li>
</ul>



Horizon Robotics is looking to raise US$500m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO. The bookrunners on the deal are GS, MS and China Securities.
Horizon Robotics (HR) is a provider of advanced driver assistance systems (ADAS) and autonomous driving (AD) solutions for passenger vehicles, empowered by its proprietary software and hardware technologies.
In this note, we talk about the not-so-positive aspects of the deal.


Horizon Robotics Pre-IPO - The Negatives - Large Part of the Growth Stems from Its JV

China

NIO Inc. manufactures and sells automobiles. The Company offers electric vehicles and parts, as well as provides battery charging services. NIO serves customers worldwide.

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NIO (9866 HK)

HSTECH June 2024 Rebal - No Changes But Big Capping Flows, As Expected; 8% US$1.6bn One-Way

Quiddity did not expect any name changes to the HSTECH index in June 2024 but we expected big flows because of significant capping impact, mostly...

Travis Lundy

Zeekr IPO Trading - Not as Cheap as It Looks but Float Is Tiny

ZEEKR (ZK US), a premium EV brand by Geely, raised around US$440m in its US listing, after the deal was upsized and priced at the top. In this...

Sumeet Singh

Auto - Apr NEV sales beat; Price war continues

Chinese automakers including BYD, NIO, Xpeng, Li Auto, Zeekr, Aion, Deepal, Neta, Leap, Xiaomi etc reported their Apr 2024 sales volumes on 1 May...

CMB International

Horizon Robotics Pre-IPO - The Negatives - Large Part of the Growth Stems from Its JV

Horizon Robotics is looking to raise US$500m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO. In this note, we talk about the not-so-positive aspects of the deal.

Sumeet Singh

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

HSTECH June 2024 Rebal - No Changes But Big Capping Flows, As Expected; 8% US$1.6bn One-Way

Quiddity did not expect any name changes to the HSTECH index in June 2024 but we expected big flows because of significant capping impact, mostly...

Travis Lundy

Zeekr IPO Trading - Not as Cheap as It Looks but Float Is Tiny

ZEEKR (ZK US), a premium EV brand by Geely, raised around US$440m in its US listing, after the deal was upsized and priced at the top. In this...

Sumeet Singh

Zeekr IPO - Missed Targets and Related Party Deals - We Would Stick to the Bottom-End

ZEEKR (ZK US), a premium EV brand by Geely Auto (175 HK), aims to raise around US$370m in its US listing. In this note, we look at the recent...

Sumeet Singh

Auto - Apr NEV sales beat; Price war continues

Chinese automakers including BYD, NIO, Xpeng, Li Auto, Zeekr, Aion, Deepal, Neta, Leap, Xiaomi etc reported their Apr 2024 sales volumes on 1 May...

CMB International

Horizon Robotics Pre-IPO - The Negatives - Large Part of the Growth Stems from Its JV

Horizon Robotics is looking to raise US$500m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO. In this note, we talk about the not-so-positive aspects of the deal.

Sumeet Singh