Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>As expected, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/xpeng-inc-4cc65854-d10c-4d20-bf7e-ca0e016715ff" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33772:1" rel="noopener">XPeng (9868 HK)</a> replaces <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-feihe-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24413:1" rel="noopener">China Feihe (6186 HK)</a> in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-china-enterprises-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22900:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng China Enterprises Index (HSCEI INDEX)</a> at the close on 10 March.</li>
<li>Using prices from the close on 24 February, estimated one-way turnover is 3.28% and will result in a one-way trade of HK$2,162m at the close on 10 March.</li>
<li>Short interest on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/xpeng-inc-4cc65854-d10c-4d20-bf7e-ca0e016715ff" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33772:1" rel="noopener">XPeng (9868 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/li-auto-inc-3dbe6187-544f-40dd-b9f9-72fba9c0110e" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33811:1" rel="noopener">Li Auto (2015 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-feihe-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24413:1" rel="noopener">China Feihe (6186 HK)</a> is quite high in terms of days of ADV to cover and in terms of float.</li>
</ul>


As expected, XPeng (9868 HK) replaces China Feihe (6186 HK) in the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index (HSCEI INDEX) at the close on 10 March.
Using prices from the close on 24 February, estimated one-way turnover is 3.28% and will result in a one-way trade of HK$2,162m at the close on 10 March.
Short interest on XPeng (9868 HK), Li Auto (2015 HK), China Feihe (6186 HK) is quite high in terms of days of ADV to cover and in terms of float.


HSCEI Index Rebalance: Xpeng (9868) Replaces China Feihe (6186); Li Auto (2015) Biggest Gainer

Global Emerging Market Equities, Propitious Research

Wium Malan, CFA

Global Emerging Market Equities

Independent, Fundamental Quantitative Research

Propitious Research

Fully independent, fundamental and quantitative equity research, focused on companies in the Telecommunication, Media, Technology, Internet and Healthcare sectors in the Global Emerging Markets. Idea generation focused on Quality stocks, trading below their intrinsic Value, with sound Corporate Governance.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>The Global Emerging Markets weekly provides a summary of the key news and related developments impacting the largest countries and constituents of the Global Emerging Markets equity indices.</li>
<li>
 Macro data points: South Korean exports, imports, PPI, and policy rates.</li>
<li>
 Companies mentioned:<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pinduoduo-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27250:1" rel="noopener">Pinduoduo (PDD US)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jd-com-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29043:1" rel="noopener">JD.com Inc. (9618 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nio-inc-2d526675-c878-4104-840f-87fed1735e85" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35652:1" rel="noopener">NIO Inc (9866 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/taiwan-semiconductor-manufacturing-company" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11230:1" rel="noopener">Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) (2330 TT)</a>
</li>
</ul>


The Global Emerging Markets weekly provides a summary of the key news and related developments impacting the largest countries and constituents of the Global Emerging Markets equity indices.

 Macro data points: South Korean exports, imports, PPI, and policy rates.

 Companies mentioned:Pinduoduo (PDD US), JD.com Inc. (9618 HK), NIO Inc (9866 HK), Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) (2330 TT)



GEM Weekly (24 Feb 2023): South Korean Rates; Pinduoduo, JD.com, NIO, TSMC

Articles from Caixin Global, Caixin Global

Caixin Global

Articles from Caixin Global

Caixin is a media group dedicated to providing financial and business news through periodicals, online content, mobile apps, conferences, books and TV/video programs. Caixin aims to blaze a trail that helps traditional media prosper in the new media age through integrated multimedia platforms.

News from Caixin

Equity Bottom-Up

Contemporary Amperex Technology (CATL) / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Contemporary Amperex Technology Co. Ltd. (CATL), the world’s largest electric-vehicle (EV) battery-maker, is in talks to offer automakers steeply discounted prices in exchange for sourcing the vast bulk of their power cells from the company in a bid to stave off growing competition from smaller rivals, Caixin has learned.</li><li>If the plan goes ahead, CATL will sell the strategic clients EV batteries made from self-manufactured lithium carbonate at a low price.</li><li>In return, they will be required to sign a contract committing them to buy 80% of their EV batteries from CATL over the next three years, a person close to the company told Caixin on Sunday.</li></ul>

Contemporary Amperex Technology Co. Ltd. (CATL), the world’s largest electric-vehicle (EV) battery-maker, is in talks to offer automakers steeply discounted prices in exchange for sourcing the vast bulk of their power cells from the company in a bid to stave off growing competition from smaller rivals, Caixin has learned.If the plan goes ahead, CATL will sell the strategic clients EV batteries made from self-manufactured lithium carbonate at a low price.In return, they will be required to sign a contract committing them to buy 80% of their EV batteries from CATL over the next three years, a person close to the company told Caixin on Sunday.

CATL Offering Steep Discounts to Automakers in Quid Pro Quo Deal, Source Says

China/Asia TMT

Shawn Yang

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

<ul>
<li>We expect NIO to report 4Q22 top line of RMB 16.7bn and GPM of 13.2%, missing consensus by (4%)/(0.8ppt), primarily due to COVID-related supply-chain issues and lower ASP. </li>
<li>We cut TP to US$ 13, due to weak momentum and the ongoing margin pressure in 1H23. We maintain BUY, as 1) intact model cycle starting from 2H23;</li>
<li>2) the upcoming ET5 station wagon in 2H23 and the mass-market/low-end brands in 2024 will expand its scale economy, which in turn will justify the sustainability of its business model.</li>
</ul>


We expect NIO to report 4Q22 top line of RMB 16.7bn and GPM of 13.2%, missing consensus by (4%)/(0.8ppt), primarily due to COVID-related supply-chain issues and lower ASP. 
We cut TP to US$ 13, due to weak momentum and the ongoing margin pressure in 1H23. We maintain BUY, as 1) intact model cycle starting from 2H23;
2) the upcoming ET5 station wagon in 2H23 and the mass-market/low-end brands in 2024 will expand its scale economy, which in turn will justify the sustainability of its business model.


[NIO (NIO US, BUY, TP US$13) Target Price Change]: Late Delivery of Key Models Hurts 1H23 Momentum

Research from Quam Securities, Quam Securities

Quam Securities Research

Research from Quam Securities

Quam Securities

Since its inception in 1986, Quam Securities Limited (Quam Securities) has grown to become one of the few mid-tier securities brokerages in Hong Kong with global execution capabilities for both private and institutional clients. It boasts a well-established network in Greater China including Taiwan and in major world markets through the Global Alliance Partners (GAP). Quam Securities is well-positioned not only to harness and drive business within the China Tonghai International Financial Limited but also between China and the world markets.

<ul><li>European Parliament has approved the law to effectively ban the sale of new petrol and diesel cars and vans in EU from 2035, aiming to speed up the switch to EV and combat climate change.</li><li>The law has been drafted and agreed by EU countries last October and finally legislated on 14 Feb 2022.</li><li>EU targets to reduce 100% CO2 emission produced by new cars and vans in 2035 with an intermediate goal of 55% for cars and 50% for vans in 2030.</li></ul>

European Parliament has approved the law to effectively ban the sale of new petrol and diesel cars and vans in EU from 2035, aiming to speed up the switch to EV and combat climate change.The law has been drafted and agreed by EU countries last October and finally legislated on 14 Feb 2022.EU targets to reduce 100% CO2 emission produced by new cars and vans in 2035 with an intermediate goal of 55% for cars and 50% for vans in 2030.

China

NIO Inc. manufactures and sells automobiles. The Company offers electric vehicles and parts, as well as provides battery charging services. NIO serves customers worldwide.

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NIO (9866 HK)

HSCEI Index Rebalance: Xpeng (9868) Replaces China Feihe (6186); Li Auto (2015) Biggest Gainer

Xpeng replaces China Feihe in the HSCEI at the close on 10 March. Li Auto is the biggest gainer following a change in index handling for dual...

Brian Freitas

GEM Weekly (24 Feb 2023): South Korean Rates; Pinduoduo, JD.com, NIO, TSMC

The Global Emerging Markets weekly provides a summary of the key news and related developments impacting the largest countries and constituents of...

Wium Malan, CFA

CATL Offering Steep Discounts to Automakers in Quid Pro Quo Deal, Source Says

Contemporary Amperex Technology Co. Ltd. (CATL), the world’s largest electric-vehicle (EV) battery-maker, is in talks to offer automakers steeply...

Caixin Global

[NIO (NIO US, BUY, TP US$13) Target Price Change]: Late Delivery of Key Models Hurts 1H23 Momentum

We expect NIO to report 4Q22 top line of RMB 16.7bn and GPM of 13.2%, missing consensus by (4%)/(0.8ppt), primarily due to COVID-related...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Tactical Trade Idea – Auto Sector

EU zero-emission target by 2035 may place Chinese carmakers on the fast track. The law has been drafted and agreed by EU countries last October and...

Quam Securities

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