IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/beijing-capital-grand-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18241:1" rel="noopener">Beijing Capital Grand (1329 HK)</a>’s IFA opines that <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/beijing-capital-land-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4543:1" rel="noopener">Beijing Capital Land Ltd H (2868 HK)</a>’s HK$0.85 privatisation offer is fair and reasonable. The vote is on 10 January. </li>
<li>Key conditions include approval by at least 75% of independent shareholders (&lt;10% of independent shareholders rejection). The offer price is final.</li>
<li>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sino-ocean-group-holding-limited" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Sino-Ocean Group (3377 HK)</a> receivers, which hold a blocking stake, should support the transaction. At the last close and for the 6 February payment, the gross/annualised spread was 3.7%/22.2%.</li>
</ul>



Beijing Capital Grand (1329 HK)’s IFA opines that Beijing Capital Land Ltd H (2868 HK)’s HK$0.85 privatisation offer is fair and reasonable. The vote is on 10 January. 
Key conditions include approval by at least 75% of independent shareholders (&lt;10% of independent shareholders rejection). The offer price is final.
The Sino-Ocean Group (3377 HK) receivers, which hold a blocking stake, should support the transaction. At the last close and for the 6 February payment, the gross/annualised spread was 3.7%/22.2%.


Beijing Capital Grand (1329 HK): Scheme Vote on 10 January

Langham Hospitality Inv Ss / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/langham-hospitality-inv-ss" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:760:1" rel="noopener">Langham Hospitality Inv Ss (1270 HK)</a> received a notice from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/great-eagle-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:758:1" rel="noopener">Great Eagle Holdings (41 HK)</a>, the largest unitholder, that it intends to present a detailed proposal for scheme privatisation.</li>
<li>The privatisation interest is unsurprising, as the unit price has declined by 43% over the last twelve months. A tough 2023 did not help the declining sentiment.</li>
<li>Our methodology for triangulating the potential offer price results in a range of HK$0.63-1.76. Our best guess is an offer of around HK$0.85, a 47% premium to the last close.</li>
</ul>



Langham Hospitality Inv Ss (1270 HK) received a notice from Great Eagle Holdings (41 HK), the largest unitholder, that it intends to present a detailed proposal for scheme privatisation.
The privatisation interest is unsurprising, as the unit price has declined by 43% over the last twelve months. A tough 2023 did not help the declining sentiment.
Our methodology for triangulating the potential offer price results in a range of HK$0.63-1.76. Our best guess is an offer of around HK$0.85, a 47% premium to the last close.


Langham Hospitality Investments (1270 HK): Great Eagle (41 HK)’s Possible Scheme Privatisation

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Our bullish outlook on global equities (MSCI ACWI) remains intact with ACWI-US and the S&amp;P 500 firmly trending higher. Our recommendation since mid-October to use any pre-election pullback in..</li>
<li>... the ACWI or the SPX as an opportunity to add exposure continues to pay off, and there is not much left to do except ride the trend higher.</li>
<li>Additionally, we still see a high probability of significant upside going into year-end and the early part of 2025 -- and likely beyond</li>
</ul>


Our bullish outlook on global equities (MSCI ACWI) remains intact with ACWI-US and the S&amp;P 500 firmly trending higher. Our recommendation since mid-October to use any pre-election pullback in..
... the ACWI or the SPX as an opportunity to add exposure continues to pay off, and there is not much left to do except ride the trend higher.
Additionally, we still see a high probability of significant upside going into year-end and the early part of 2025 -- and likely beyond


Ride the Trend Higher in MSCI ACWI and S&P 500; Buy/Stay Long Global Discretionary, Services, Tech

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/beijing-capital-grand-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18241:1" rel="noopener">Beijing Capital Grand (1329 HK)</a> disclosed a Cayman scheme privatisation offer from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/beijing-capital-land-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4543:1" rel="noopener">Beijing Capital Land Ltd H (2868 HK)</a> at HK$0.85 per share, a 46.6% premium to the undisturbed price. </li>
<li>The key condition will be approval by at least 75% of disinterested shareholders (&lt;10% of all disinterested shareholders rejection). The offer price is final.</li>
<li>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sino-ocean-group-holding-limited" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Sino-Ocean Group (3377 HK)</a> receivers, which hold a blocking stake, will support a liquidity event to exit, particularly as the offer is reasonable compared to historical trading ranges.  </li>
</ul>



Beijing Capital Grand (1329 HK) disclosed a Cayman scheme privatisation offer from Beijing Capital Land Ltd H (2868 HK) at HK$0.85 per share, a 46.6% premium to the undisturbed price. 
The key condition will be approval by at least 75% of disinterested shareholders (&lt;10% of all disinterested shareholders rejection). The offer price is final.
The Sino-Ocean Group (3377 HK) receivers, which hold a blocking stake, will support a liquidity event to exit, particularly as the offer is reasonable compared to historical trading ranges.  


Beijing Capital Grand (1329 HK): Capital Group’s Scheme Privatisation at HK$0.85

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/beijing-capital-grand-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18241:1" rel="noopener">Beijing Capital Grand (1329 HK)</a> entered a trading halt based on the Hong Kong Code on Takeovers and Mergers. </li>
<li>It is likely that <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/beijing-capital-land-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4543:1" rel="noopener">Beijing Capital Land Ltd H (2868 HK)</a>, the largest shareholder, is launching an offer primarily to acquire the stake from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sino-ocean-group-holding-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8898:1" rel="noopener">Sino-Ocean Group (3377 HK)</a> receivers. </li>
<li>As this is a forced sale, an offer of around HK$0.70-0.75, a 20%- 30% premium to the last close, would be sufficient to gain an irrevocable from the receivers. </li>
</ul>



Beijing Capital Grand (1329 HK) entered a trading halt based on the Hong Kong Code on Takeovers and Mergers. 
It is likely that Beijing Capital Land Ltd H (2868 HK), the largest shareholder, is launching an offer primarily to acquire the stake from Sino-Ocean Group (3377 HK) receivers. 
As this is a forced sale, an offer of around HK$0.70-0.75, a 20%- 30% premium to the last close, would be sufficient to gain an irrevocable from the receivers. 


Beijing Capital Grand (1329 HK): An Offer from Beijing Capital Land?

Hong Kong

New World China Land Limited, through its subsidiaries, develops and invests in properties in China.  The projects include a wide range of residential, office and commercial developments, mass residential community housing projects.  The Company also operates hotels.

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New World China Land (917 HK)

Beijing Capital Grand (1329 HK): Scheme Vote on 10 January

The Sino-Ocean Group receivers (Smart Win), which hold a blocking stake, has provided an irrevocable to vote in favour of the offer. This is a done...

Arun George

Langham Hospitality Investments (1270 HK): Great Eagle (41 HK)’s Possible Scheme Privatisation

Our methodology for triangulating the potential offer price results in a range of HK$0.63-1.76. Our best guess is an offer of around HK$0.85, a 47%...

Arun George

Ride the Trend Higher in MSCI ACWI and S&P 500; Buy/Stay Long Global Discretionary, Services, Tech

Ride the Trend Higher in MSCI $ACWI and $SPX; We are still bullish as Risk-On Signals Dominate. Ideas to buy/stay long in global Discretionary,...

Vermilion Research

Beijing Capital Grand (1329 HK): Capital Group’s Scheme Privatisation at HK$0.85

Shareholders with blocking stakes are likely to be supportive, mainly as the offer is reasonable compared to historical trading ranges. At the...

Arun George

Beijing Capital Grand (1329 HK): An Offer from Beijing Capital Land?

It is likely that Beijing Capital Land, the largest shareholder, is launching an offer primarily to acquire the stake from Sino-Ocean Group receivers.

Arun George

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