IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

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<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/genetron-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28435:1" rel="noopener">Genetron Holdings Ltd (GTH US)</a> shareholders will vote on the consortium’s US$4.08 per ADS offer on 21 February. The offer is light in comparison to historical trading ranges.</li>
<li>Completion is conditional on shareholder approval, dissenting shareholders representing less than 15% of outstanding shares and regulatory approvals (NDRC, MoC and SAFE). </li>
<li>Despite the light offer, the completion conditions should be met. At the last close price and end of March completion, the gross and annualised spread is 7.7% and 45.5%, respectively.</li>
</ul>



Genetron Holdings Ltd (GTH US) shareholders will vote on the consortium’s US$4.08 per ADS offer on 21 February. The offer is light in comparison to historical trading ranges.
Completion is conditional on shareholder approval, dissenting shareholders representing less than 15% of outstanding shares and regulatory approvals (NDRC, MoC and SAFE). 
Despite the light offer, the completion conditions should be met. At the last close price and end of March completion, the gross and annualised spread is 7.7% and 45.5%, respectively.


Genetron (GTH US): Wide Spread Ahead of the 21 February Vote

Global Healthcare Analyst

Tina Banerjee

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ec-healthcare" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22630:1" rel="noopener">EC Healthcare (2138 HK)</a> reported record high revenue of HK$3.9B in FY23 and started FY24 on a strong note, with Q1FY24 revenue increasing 23% YoY, driven by medical services segment.</li>
<li>Cost pressure is negatively impacting the bottom line. The company is reporting decelerating EBITDA and net profit margins since FY20. ROE deteriorated to 4.5% in FY23 from 33% in FY19.</li>
<li>The company is well-positioned to see turnaround in profitability with the resumption of Mainland China visitors in Hong Kong providing impetus to high margin earning aesthetic business and cost optimization.</li>
</ul>



EC Healthcare (2138 HK) reported record high revenue of HK$3.9B in FY23 and started FY24 on a strong note, with Q1FY24 revenue increasing 23% YoY, driven by medical services segment.
Cost pressure is negatively impacting the bottom line. The company is reporting decelerating EBITDA and net profit margins since FY20. ROE deteriorated to 4.5% in FY23 from 33% in FY19.
The company is well-positioned to see turnaround in profitability with the resumption of Mainland China visitors in Hong Kong providing impetus to high margin earning aesthetic business and cost optimization.


EC Healthcare (2138 HK): Surging Revenue; Poised for Profitability Improvement; Future Looks Bright

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the monthly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine.</li>
<li>We tabulate the top stocks by inflows, outflows, and holding by mainland investors.</li>
<li>We highlight inflows into Meituan, CCB, China Mobile, CNOOC, HKEX.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the monthly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine.
We tabulate the top stocks by inflows, outflows, and holding by mainland investors.
We highlight inflows into Meituan, CCB, China Mobile, CNOOC, HKEX.


Hong Kong Connect Flows (August): $8.8bn Outflows

HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Although Mirxes has already commercialized its products, its total revenue fluctuated greatly. When the market demand for COVID-19 testing kits sharply declined, the Company’s financial position deteriorated immediately.</li>
<li>With the highest incidence rate of gastric cancer worldwide, PRC market is important to Mirxes. How to gain recognition from doctors and enter hospital market is a challenge for GASTROClear.</li>
<li>Mirxes is facing survival problem and eager for an IPO. Before Mirxes establishes a clear/visible path to commercialization and a successful profit model in post-COVID era, we would remain cautious. </li>
</ul>


Although Mirxes has already commercialized its products, its total revenue fluctuated greatly. When the market demand for COVID-19 testing kits sharply declined, the Company’s financial position deteriorated immediately.
With the highest incidence rate of gastric cancer worldwide, PRC market is important to Mirxes. How to gain recognition from doctors and enter hospital market is a challenge for GASTROClear.
Mirxes is facing survival problem and eager for an IPO. Before Mirxes establishes a clear/visible path to commercialization and a successful profit model in post-COVID era, we would remain cautious. 


Pre-IPO Mirxes Holding Company - The Profit Model in the Post Pandemic Era Needs to Be Verified

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of July 28th.</li>
<li>The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.</li>
<li>We estimate the outflows to be USD 65.0 million and highlight flows for Kuaishou Technology, Tencent, HSBC.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of July 28th.
The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.
We estimate the outflows to be USD 65.0 million and highlight flows for Kuaishou Technology, Tencent, HSBC.


Hong Kong Connect Flows (Jul 28th): Kuaishou Technology, Tencent, HSBC

China

New Horizon Health Limited operates cancer screening technology development business. The Company develops and sells colorectal cancer screening test products, gastric cancer screening test products, and other products. New Horizon Health markets its products throughout China.

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New Horizon Health (6606 HK)

Genetron (GTH US): Wide Spread Ahead of the 21 February Vote

Shareholders overwhelmingly approve the privatisation proposal. Turnout was at 75.4% of outstanding shares. Among these shareholders, 99.9% voted...

Arun George

EC Healthcare (2138 HK): Surging Revenue; Poised for Profitability Improvement; Future Looks Bright

Despite consistent revenue growth, EC Healthcare is seeing declining profitability due to cost pressure. Turnaround is expected with the return of...

Tina Banerjee

Hong Kong Connect Flows (August): $8.8bn Outflows

We analyzed the Hong Kong Connect Scheme for the month of August and highlight flows for Meituan, CCB, China Mobile, CNOOC, HKEX.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Pre-IPO Mirxes Holding Company - The Profit Model in the Post Pandemic Era Needs to Be Verified

After the dividend period of COVID, the deterioration of Mirxes's financial position may not be easily reversed, with survival pressure. Challenges...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Hong Kong Connect Flows (Jul 28th): Kuaishou Technology, Tencent, HSBC

We analyzed southbound Hong Kong connect flows in the past week and highlight flows for Kuaishou Technology, Tencent, HSBC.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Genetron (GTH US): Wide Spread Ahead of the 21 February Vote

Shareholders overwhelmingly approve the privatisation proposal. Turnout was at 75.4% of outstanding shares. Among these shareholders, 99.9% voted...

Arun George

EC Healthcare (2138 HK): Surging Revenue; Poised for Profitability Improvement; Future Looks Bright

Despite consistent revenue growth, ​EC Healthcare is seeing declining profitability due to cost pressure. Turnaround is expected with the return of...

Tina Banerjee

Hong Kong Connect Flows (August): $8.8bn Outflows

We analyzed the Hong Kong Connect Scheme for the month of August and highlight flows for Meituan, CCB, China Mobile, CNOOC, HKEX.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Pre-IPO Mirxes Holding Company - The Profit Model in the Post Pandemic Era Needs to Be Verified

After the dividend period of COVID, the deterioration of Mirxes's financial position may not be easily reversed, with survival pressure. Challenges...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Hong Kong Connect Flows (Jul 28th): Kuaishou Technology, Tencent, HSBC

We analyzed southbound Hong Kong connect flows in the past week and highlight flows for Kuaishou Technology, Tencent, HSBC.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Despite consistent revenue growth, EC Healthcare is seeing declining profitability due to cost pressure. Turnaround is expected with the return of...