Blue Lotus Non US Internet research, Blue Lotus Research Institute

Ying Pan

Blue Lotus Non US Internet research

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>NetEase reported revenue/non-GAAP operating profit/GAAP net income inline/5.24%/16.2% vs. our estimation.</li>
<li>The bottom-line beats were primarily attributed to the operational efficiency achieved through the usage of AIGC tools, and reduced S&amp;M expenses resulting from organic traffic generated by high-quality game content.</li>
<li>We maintain our BUY rating and raised TP to $138 for future game releases, implying 19x PE, and it is currently trading at 17x PE in 2024</li>
</ul>


NetEase reported revenue/non-GAAP operating profit/GAAP net income inline/5.24%/16.2% vs. our estimation.
The bottom-line beats were primarily attributed to the operational efficiency achieved through the usage of AIGC tools, and reduced S&amp;M expenses resulting from organic traffic generated by high-quality game content.
We maintain our BUY rating and raised TP to $138 for future game releases, implying 19x PE, and it is currently trading at 17x PE in 2024


[NetEase, Inc.(NTES US,BUY,TP US$138)TP Change]: Raise TP for Upcoming and Highly Anticipated Titles

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Nov 10th.</li>
<li>Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period. </li>
<li>We highlight short changes in Kuaishou, Yum China, Hkex, Petrochina.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Nov 10th.
Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period. 
We highlight short changes in Kuaishou, Yum China, Hkex, Petrochina.


HK Short Interest Weekly: Kuaishou, Yum China, Hkex, Petrochina

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

<ul><li>NetEase announced 3Q23 financial results on 16 Nov: total revenue increased by 12% YoY to RMB27.3bn, largely in line with our/consensus estimate of RMB28.2/27.3bn; operating income grew by 59% YoY to RMB7.6bn, beating our/consensus estimate by 9/4%, mainly due to enhanced games GPM (+4.0ppt YoY) on optimized channel costs and favourable revenue mix shift.</li><li>Looking ahead, we expect total revenue growth to further accelerate in 4Q23, underpinned by the strong performance of new game titles.</li><li>NetEase’s quality game pipeline, with several highly-anticipated titles to be launched by 2Q24E, will also support its healthy revenue growth in 2024E, in our view. </li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

NetEase announced 3Q23 financial results on 16 Nov: total revenue increased by 12% YoY to RMB27.3bn, largely in line with our/consensus estimate of RMB28.2/27.3bn; operating income grew by 59% YoY to RMB7.6bn, beating our/consensus estimate by 9/4%, mainly due to enhanced games GPM (+4.0ppt YoY) on optimized channel costs and favourable revenue mix shift.Looking ahead, we expect total revenue growth to further accelerate in 4Q23, underpinned by the strong performance of new game titles.NetEase’s quality game pipeline, with several highly-anticipated titles to be launched by 2Q24E, will also support its healthy revenue growth in 2024E, in our view. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

NetEase (NTES US) – Games Revenue Growth Accelerated with Solid Margin Expansion

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Nov 3rd.</li>
<li>Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period. </li>
<li>We highlight short changes in HSBC, Haidilao and China Mobile.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Nov 3rd.
Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period. 
We highlight short changes in HSBC, Haidilao and China Mobile.


HK Short Interest Weekly: HSBC, Haidilao, China Mobile

Blue Lotus China New Economy Research, Blue Lotus Research Institute

Eric Wen

Blue Lotus China New Economy Research

<ul>
<li>We expect that Tencent’s C3Q23’s revenue/non-IFRS operating profit/IFRS net income to be 2.3%/3.3%/4.2% above consensus.</li>
<li>We raised estimates of Tencent’s international game growth to 12% YoY to reflect the success. We also expect Tencent's advertising business to benefit from e-commerce advertisers’ competition.</li>
<li>We raised the Target Price to HK$425, which implies 22.4X PE in 2024.</li>
</ul>


We expect that Tencent’s C3Q23’s revenue/non-IFRS operating profit/IFRS net income to be 2.3%/3.3%/4.2% above consensus.
We raised estimates of Tencent’s international game growth to 12% YoY to reflect the success. We also expect Tencent's advertising business to benefit from e-commerce advertisers’ competition.
We raised the Target Price to HK$425, which implies 22.4X PE in 2024.


[Tencent(700 HK,BUY,TP HK$425)Target Price Change]: International Game and Advertising Drove Results

China

NetEase, Inc. operates as an leading internet technology company providing online services including content, community, communication, and commerce. The Company develops and operates online games, electronic commerce, internet media, innovative business, and other businesses. NetEase expands its businesses to Japan, North American, and other other international markets.

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NetEase (9999 HK)

[NetEase, Inc.(NTES US,BUY,TP US$138)TP Change]: Raise TP for Upcoming and Highly Anticipated Titles

NetEase beats revenue and profit estimates, thanks to operational efficiency and reduced expenses. BUY rating maintained with raised target price...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

HK Short Interest Weekly: Kuaishou, Yum China, Hkex, Petrochina

We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Nov 10th and highlight short interest changes in Kuaishou, Yum China, Hkex,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

NetEase (NTES US) – Games Revenue Growth Accelerated with Solid Margin Expansion

NetEase’s quality game pipeline, with several highly-anticipated titles to be launched by 2Q24E, will also support its healthy revenue growth in...

CMB International

HK Short Interest Weekly: HSBC, Haidilao, China Mobile

We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Nov 3rd and highlight short interest changes in HSBC, Haidilao, China Mobile.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

[Tencent(700 HK,BUY,TP HK$425)Target Price Change]: International Game and Advertising Drove Results

Tencent's Q3 results are expected to exceed consensus, with increased estimates for international game growth and advertising business benefiting...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

[NetEase, Inc.(NTES US,BUY,TP US$138)TP Change]: Raise TP for Upcoming and Highly Anticipated Titles

​NetEase beats revenue and profit estimates, thanks to operational efficiency and reduced expenses. BUY rating maintained with raised target price...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

HK Short Interest Weekly: Kuaishou, Yum China, Hkex, Petrochina

We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Nov 10th and highlight short interest changes in Kuaishou, Yum China, Hkex,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

NetEase (NTES US) – Games Revenue Growth Accelerated with Solid Margin Expansion

NetEase’s quality game pipeline, with several highly-anticipated titles to be launched by 2Q24E, will also support its healthy revenue growth in...

CMB International

HK Short Interest Weekly: HSBC, Haidilao, China Mobile

We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Nov 3rd and highlight short interest changes in HSBC, Haidilao, China Mobile.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

[Tencent(700 HK,BUY,TP HK$425)Target Price Change]: International Game and Advertising Drove Results

​Tencent's Q3 results are expected to exceed consensus, with increased estimates for international game growth and advertising business benefiting...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

NetEase beats revenue and profit estimates, thanks to operational efficiency and reduced expenses. BUY rating maintained with raised target price...

Tencent's Q3 results are expected to exceed consensus, with increased estimates for international game growth and advertising business benefiting...