Overseas Chinese Equities, Aequitas Research

Ming Lu

Overseas Chinese Equities

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>In 4Q23, Tencent experienced a one-digit growth, but its margin improved significantly.</li>
<li>We believe Tencent’s social networks will stop shrinking after the company sold movie assets to China Literature.</li>
<li>We believe the stock will have an upside of 37.5% and a price target of HK$397 for year end 2024. Buy.</li>
</ul>


In 4Q23, Tencent experienced a one-digit growth, but its margin improved significantly.
We believe Tencent’s social networks will stop shrinking after the company sold movie assets to China Literature.
We believe the stock will have an upside of 37.5% and a price target of HK$397 for year end 2024. Buy.


Tencent (700 HK): 4Q23, Slower Growth, But Higher Margin, 37% Upside

Blue Lotus Non US Internet research, Blue Lotus Research Institute

Ying Pan

Blue Lotus Non US Internet research

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>NTES: &lt;Identity V&gt; Has Reached a New High In Download Rankings In The Past 12 Months (+)</li>
<li>ZTO/1519 HK/BABA/PDD: Parcel volume last week grew 21% yoy (+)</li>
<li>BABA/SHEIN: AliExpress launches new subsidies to attract woman’s apparel merchants (+/-)  </li>
</ul>


NTES: &lt;Identity V&gt; Has Reached a New High In Download Rankings In The Past 12 Months (+)
ZTO/1519 HK/BABA/PDD: Parcel volume last week grew 21% yoy (+)
BABA/SHEIN: AliExpress launches new subsidies to attract woman’s apparel merchants (+/-)  


[Blue Lotus Daily - TMT Update]:NTES/ZTO/1519 HK/BABA/PDD/3690 HK/SHEIN

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

<ul><li>Based on NBS data, 2M24 online retail sales GMV/online physical goods GMV reached RMB2.2tn/1.8tn, up 15.3/14.4% YoY, which implied a two-year CAGR of 10.7/9.8%.</li><li>The growth of total online retail sales GMV continued to outpace that of online physical goods GMV, which was likely due to the robust growth in online travel bookings during the CNY holiday.</li><li>Leading e-commerce platforms are prioritizing GMV and revenue growth over margin improvement in 2024, and guided to reinvest incremental operating profit generated to drive further business growth, which likely indicates more intensified industry competition. </li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

Based on NBS data, 2M24 online retail sales GMV/online physical goods GMV reached RMB2.2tn/1.8tn, up 15.3/14.4% YoY, which implied a two-year CAGR of 10.7/9.8%.The growth of total online retail sales GMV continued to outpace that of online physical goods GMV, which was likely due to the robust growth in online travel bookings during the CNY holiday.Leading e-commerce platforms are prioritizing GMV and revenue growth over margin improvement in 2024, and guided to reinvest incremental operating profit generated to drive further business growth, which likely indicates more intensified industry competition. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Internet - 2M24 online retail sales recap

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Mar 8th.</li>
<li>Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period. </li>
<li>We highlight short changes in Zijin Mining, Techtronic Ind, CNOOC, Kuaishou, HSBC, Trip.Com.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Mar 8th.
Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period. 
We highlight short changes in Zijin Mining, Techtronic Ind, CNOOC, Kuaishou, HSBC, Trip.Com.


HK Short Interest Weekly: Zijin Mining, Techtronic Ind, CNOOC, Kuaishou, HSBC, Trip.Com

<ul>
<li>We believe total revenue will grow by 11% in 4Q23 and 2024.</li>
<li>We also believe the operating margin will improve slightly in 4Q23 and the following two years.</li>
<li>Tencent sold weak business to China Literature in December 2024.</li>
</ul>


We believe total revenue will grow by 11% in 4Q23 and 2024.
We also believe the operating margin will improve slightly in 4Q23 and the following two years.
Tencent sold weak business to China Literature in December 2024.


Tencent (700 HK) 4Q23 Earnings Preview: Stable Growth and Margin Improvement Will Continue

China

NetEase, Inc. operates as an leading internet technology company providing online services including content, community, communication, and commerce. The Company develops and operates online games, electronic commerce, internet media, innovative business, and other businesses. NetEase expands its businesses to Japan, North American, and other other international markets.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

NetEase (9999 HK)

Tencent (700 HK): 4Q23, Slower Growth, But Higher Margin, 37% Upside

Tencent experienced a one-digit growth, but its margin improved significantly in 4Q23. We believe Tencent’s social networks will stop shrinking...

Ming Lu

[Blue Lotus Daily - TMT Update]:NTES/ZTO/1519 HK/BABA/PDD/3690 HK/SHEIN

has reached a new high in download rankings, ZTO/1519 HK/BABA/PDD saw a 21% yoy growth in parcel volume, and AliExpress is offering subsidies to...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Internet - 2M24 online retail sales recap

Based on NBS data, 2M24 online retail sales GMV/online physical goods GMV reached RMB2.2tn/1.8tn, up 15.3/14.4% YoY, which implied a two-year CAGR...

CMB International

HK Short Interest Weekly: Zijin Mining, Techtronic Ind, CNOOC, Kuaishou, HSBC, Trip.Com

We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Mar 8th and highlight short interest changes in Zijin Mining, Techtronic...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Tencent (700 HK) 4Q23 Earnings Preview: Stable Growth and Margin Improvement Will Continue

We believe total revenue will grow by 11% in 4Q23 and 2024. Tencent sold a weak business to China Literature in December 2024.

Ming Lu

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Tencent (700 HK): 4Q23, Slower Growth, But Higher Margin, 37% Upside

Tencent experienced a one-digit growth, but its margin improved significantly in 4Q23. We believe Tencent’s social networks will stop shrinking...

Ming Lu

[Blue Lotus Daily - TMT Update]:NTES/ZTO/1519 HK/BABA/PDD/3690 HK/SHEIN

​ has reached a new high in download rankings, ZTO/1519 HK/BABA/PDD saw a 21% yoy growth in parcel volume, and AliExpress is offering subsidies to...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Internet - 2M24 online retail sales recap

Based on NBS data, 2M24 online retail sales GMV/online physical goods GMV reached RMB2.2tn/1.8tn, up 15.3/14.4% YoY, which implied a two-year CAGR...

CMB International

HK Short Interest Weekly: Zijin Mining, Techtronic Ind, CNOOC, Kuaishou, HSBC, Trip.Com

We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Mar 8th and highlight short interest changes in Zijin Mining, Techtronic...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Tencent (700 HK) 4Q23 Earnings Preview: Stable Growth and Margin Improvement Will Continue

We believe total revenue will grow by 11% in 4Q23 and 2024. Tencent sold a weak business to China Literature in December 2024.

Ming Lu

has reached a new high in download rankings, ZTO/1519 HK/BABA/PDD saw a 21% yoy growth in parcel volume, and AliExpress is offering subsidies to...