Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Autohome Inc (Adr) / Equity Capital Markets

<p>Autohome plans to raise around US$1bn in its secondary listing in Hong Kong. The company is said to have filed confidentially in Jan 2021 and won approval from HKEX last week.</p><div><p>Including Baba, so far ten companies have undertaken a secondary listing in Hong Kong, raising a total of US$28bn with a range of US$0.5-11.4bn. Along with covering all of the past listings, we have also looked at the drivers for the secondary listings in our earlier notes, links to which are below: </p></div><div>
<ul style="list-style-type: disc;">
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/china-adrs-secondary-listing-deep-dive-yin-and-yang" target="_blank" rel="noopener">China ADRs Secondary Listing Deep-Dive: Yin and Yang,</a> published in Feb 2020,  we looked at the background and rules around undertaking a secondary listing in Hong Kong and then came up with a short-list of companies that might undertake a secondary listing. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/china-adrs-secondary-listing-covid-19-has-increased-the-tension-but-narrowed-the-short-list" target="_blank" rel="noopener">In China ADRs Secondary Listing: COVID-19 Has Increased the Tension but Narrowed the Short List</a> published in May 2020, we looked at the recent developments and provided an revised short-list</li>
<li>In <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/china-adrs-secondary-listing-holding-foreign-companies-accountable-act-i-m-coming-home" target="_blank" rel="noopener">China ADRs Secondary Listing - Holding Foreign Companies Accountable Act - I’m Coming Home</a>, published in May 2020, we spoke about the implication of the act which had made its way through the senate.</li>
<li>In <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/china-adrs-secondary-listing-pipeline-looks-rich-have-three-years-to-move" target="_blank" rel="noopener">China ADRs Secondary Listing - Pipeline looks rich, have three years to move</a>, published in Feb 2021, we looked at the recent updates from the Holding Foreign Companies Accountable Act and Hong Kong Exchanges changes to corporate weighted average voting rights. In this note, we’ll take an early look at the deal and talk about likely timing and impact of the raising.</li>
</ul>
<p>In this note, we’ll take a look at the deal and talk about the likely impact of the raising.</p>
</div>

Autohome plans to raise around US$1bn in its secondary listing in Hong Kong. The company is said to have filed confidentially in Jan 2021 and won approval from HKEX last week.Including Baba, so far ten companies have undertaken a secondary listing in Hong Kong, raising a total of US$28bn with a range of US$0.5-11.4bn. Along with covering all of the past listings, we have also looked at the drivers for the secondary listings in our earlier notes, links to which are below: 


China ADRs Secondary Listing Deep-Dive: Yin and Yang, published in Feb 2020,  we looked at the background and rules around undertaking a secondary listing in Hong Kong and then came up with a short-list of companies that might undertake a secondary listing. 

In China ADRs Secondary Listing: COVID-19 Has Increased the Tension but Narrowed the Short List published in May 2020, we looked at the recent developments and provided an revised short-list
In China ADRs Secondary Listing - Holding Foreign Companies Accountable Act - I’m Coming Home, published in May 2020, we spoke about the implication of the act which had made its way through the senate.
In China ADRs Secondary Listing - Pipeline looks rich, have three years to move, published in Feb 2021, we looked at the recent updates from the Holding Foreign Companies Accountable Act and Hong Kong Exchanges changes to corporate weighted average voting rights. In this note, we’ll take an early look at the deal and talk about likely timing and impact of the raising.

In this note, we’ll take a look at the deal and talk about the likely impact of the raising.


Autohome Secondary Listing - Doesn’t Need the Cash at All

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Quantitative Analysis

<div><p>The Asia Short Interest weekly looks at moves in market wide short interest and highlights movements in stock specific short interest across Hong Kong, Japan, Korea and Taiwan using the last available data published by the relevant authorities.</p></div><div><p>Hong Kong saw shorts rise on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ping-an-insurance-grp-co-of-china-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12880:1" rel="noopener">Ping An Insurance (H) (2318 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/beijing-kuaishou-technology-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29725:1" rel="noopener">Kuaishou Technology (1024 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/byd-co-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20962:1" rel="noopener">BYD (1211 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-merchants-bank-co-ltd-3388a037-4214-4997-b45d-520518cfdb57" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10987:1" rel="noopener">China Merchants Bank H (3968 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lenovo-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13359:1" rel="noopener">Lenovo (992 HK)</a> while there was short covering on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tencent-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26:1" rel="noopener">Tencent Holdings (700 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/netease" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29030:1" rel="noopener">NetEase (9999 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/meituan-dianping" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26970:1" rel="noopener">Meituan (3690 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/aia-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14895:1" rel="noopener">AIA Group Ltd (1299 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/galaxy-entertainment-group-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:806:1" rel="noopener">Galaxy Entertainment Group (27 HK)</a>. Shorts increased on Financials, Information Technology and Real Estate, while decreasing on Communication Services, Consumer Discretionary and Health Care.</p></div><div><p>In Japan, stocks that saw the most shorts were <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pan-pacific-international-holdings-corporation" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13475:1" rel="noopener">Pan Pacific International Holdings (7532 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sharp-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:391:1" rel="noopener">Sharp Corp (6753 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/resona-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6841:1" rel="noopener">Resona Holdings (8308 JP)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/toyo-tire-corporation" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15064:1" rel="noopener">Toyo Tire Corporation (5105 JP)</a> while shorts decreased on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/itochu-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18448:1" rel="noopener">Itochu Corp (8001 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/casio-computer-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18338:1" rel="noopener">Casio Computer (6952 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/toshiba-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:637:1" rel="noopener">Toshiba Corp (6502 JP)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/monex-group-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14211:1" rel="noopener">Monex Group Inc (8698 JP)</a>. Sectorally, shorts increased marginally in Consumer Discretionary, Financials and Materials, and decreased in Industrials.</p></div><div><p>In Korea, short increased on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hyundai-motor-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:155:1" rel="noopener">Hyundai Motor Co (005380 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/celltrion-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:991:1" rel="noopener">Celltrion Inc (068270 KS)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hanmi-pharm-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12476:1" rel="noopener">Hanmi Pharm (128940 KS)</a> while shorts decreased on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/samsung-electronics-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:191:1" rel="noopener">Samsung Electronics (005930 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sk-hynix-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16955:1" rel="noopener">SK Hynix (000660 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/naver-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16029:1" rel="noopener">Naver Corp (035420 KS)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hana-tour-service-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4852:1" rel="noopener">Hana Tour Service (039130 KS)</a>. </p></div><div><p>Stocks in Taiwan that saw the highest increase in shorts were <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pegatron-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12852:1" rel="noopener">Pegatron Corp (4938 TT)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/yageo-corporation" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13212:1" rel="noopener">Yageo Corporation (2327 TT)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/largan-precision-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9126:1" rel="noopener">Largan Precision (3008 TT)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/united-microelectronics-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6450:1" rel="noopener">United Microelectronics Corp (2303 TT)</a> while shorts were covered on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/unimicron-technology-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18778:1" rel="noopener">Unimicron Technology (3037 TT)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/taiwan-semiconductor-manufacturing-company" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11230:1" rel="noopener">TSMC (2330 TT)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alchip-technologies-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20219:1" rel="noopener">Alchip Technologies (3661 TT)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/winbond-electronics-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9177:1" rel="noopener">Winbond Electronics (2344 TT)</a>.</p></div>

The Asia Short Interest weekly looks at moves in market wide short interest and highlights movements in stock specific short interest across Hong Kong, Japan, Korea and Taiwan using the last available data published by the relevant authorities.Hong Kong saw shorts rise on Ping An Insurance (H) (2318 HK), Kuaishou Technology (1024 HK), BYD (1211 HK), China Merchants Bank H (3968 HK) and Lenovo (992 HK) while there was short covering on Tencent Holdings (700 HK), NetEase (9999 HK), Meituan (3690 HK), AIA Group Ltd (1299 HK) and Galaxy Entertainment Group (27 HK). Shorts increased on Financials, Information Technology and Real Estate, while decreasing on Communication Services, Consumer Discretionary and Health Care.In Japan, stocks that saw the most shorts were Pan Pacific International Holdings (7532 JP), Sharp Corp (6753 JP), Resona Holdings (8308 JP) and Toyo Tire Corporation (5105 JP) while shorts decreased on Itochu Corp (8001 JP), Casio Computer (6952 JP), Toshiba Corp (6502 JP) and Monex Group Inc (8698 JP). Sectorally, shorts increased marginally in Consumer Discretionary, Financials and Materials, and decreased in Industrials.In Korea, short increased on Hyundai Motor Co (005380 KS), Celltrion Inc (068270 KS) and Hanmi Pharm (128940 KS) while shorts decreased on Samsung Electronics (005930 KS), SK Hynix (000660 KS), Naver Corp (035420 KS) and Hana Tour Service (039130 KS). Stocks in Taiwan that saw the highest increase in shorts were Pegatron Corp (4938 TT), Yageo Corporation (2327 TT), Largan Precision (3008 TT) and United Microelectronics Corp (2303 TT) while shorts were covered on Unimicron Technology (3037 TT), TSMC (2330 TT), Alchip Technologies (3661 TT) and Winbond Electronics (2344 TT).

Asia Short Interest: Kuaishou, BYD, Galaxy, Sharp, Resona, Toshiba, Celltrion, Naver, Pegatron, TSMC

Overseas Chinese Equities, Aequitas Research

Ming Lu

Overseas Chinese Equities

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>The growth rate of total revenue rose to 24% in 2020 from 16% in 2019.</li>
<li>The growth rate of game accelerated to 18% in 2020 from 16% in 2019 and 11% in 2018. </li>
<li>The gross margin of game had been stable throughout 2020, but minor businesses erased part of profit.</li>
<li>The stock will have an upside of 29%.</li>
</ul>


The growth rate of total revenue rose to 24% in 2020 from 16% in 2019.
The growth rate of game accelerated to 18% in 2020 from 16% in 2019 and 11% in 2018. 
The gross margin of game had been stable throughout 2020, but minor businesses erased part of profit.
The stock will have an upside of 29%.


NetEase (NTES): Total and Game Revenue Growth Rates Accelerated in 2020, 29% Upside

<div>
<p>Bilibili plans to raise around US$3bn in its secondary listing in Hong Kong, as per media reports. The company is said to have filed confidentially in Jan 2021 and is aiming for a listing in March 2021.</p>
<p>We have covered the background of the deal in our earlier note, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/bilibili-secondary-listing-early-look-will-probably-be-more-like-jd-and-netease" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Bilibili Secondary Listing Early Look - Will Probably Be More like JD and NetEase</a>.</p>
<p>Bilibili reported its 4Q20 results today morning. As these are likely to be the last set of results before the company goes in for its secondary listing, in this note we take a quick look at the results. </p>
</div>


Bilibili plans to raise around US$3bn in its secondary listing in Hong Kong, as per media reports. The company is said to have filed confidentially in Jan 2021 and is aiming for a listing in March 2021.
We have covered the background of the deal in our earlier note, Bilibili Secondary Listing Early Look - Will Probably Be More like JD and NetEase.
Bilibili reported its 4Q20 results today morning. As these are likely to be the last set of results before the company goes in for its secondary listing, in this note we take a quick look at the results. 


Bilibili Secondary Listing Early Look - 4Q20 Results Quick Note

ASEAN Insight Provider, CrossASEAN Research

Angus Mackintosh

ASEAN Insight Provider

CrossASEAN Research

At CrossASEAN Research we strive to produce unbiased and differentiated on the ground insights on companies across South East Asia. Our Research is produced for the most part after face to face meetings and conversations with company management to dig deep into the long term vision and strategy of the companies we cover. We seek to deliver investable and actionable themes on sectors and markets across SE Asia, often in collaboration with other Insight Providers across the region, pooling the vast experience of the analysts within the Smartkarma Ecosystem. We also offer bespoke work and tailor made trips for our clients. 

Insights across South East Asia

<p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sea-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8509:1" rel="noopener">Sea Ltd (SE US)</a> has launched the Shopee App for Mexico to offer online sales in what would be its second foray in the Americas after a pilot initiative in 2019 in Brazil, which has been scaling up operations.</p>
<p>The expansion to Mexico, Latin America's second-largest economy, could mark a major new growth opportunity in cross-border sales but it will also mean more cash burn and a longer runway to profitability.</p>
<div>
<div id="sda-INARTICLE">Shopee will offer free shipping throughout Mexico, offering items including electronics, clothes, toys, and home goods, which would suggest immediate cash burn. The features will be similar to its South East Asia Shopee App, which has been a huge success. </div>
<div></div>
</div>
<div>The company has already had huge success with its gaming business in Latin America through Garena but its e-commerce business has more moving parts and has yet to be tested in a big way in Latin America, which does introduce an element of uncertainty to this latest move. </div>
<div></div>
<div>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sea-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8509:1" rel="noopener">Sea Ltd (SE US)</a> faces the challenge of facing off against <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mercadolibre-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27954:1" rel="noopener">MercadoLibre Inc (MELI US)</a>, which is a formidable adversary that has seen off <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/amazon-com-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:409:1" rel="noopener">Amazon.com Inc (AMZN US)</a> on its doorstep already. </div>
<div></div>
<div>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sea-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8509:1" rel="noopener">Sea Ltd (SE US)</a> does have a track record of winning share quickly seemingly "against all odds" in unseating <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tokopedia-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24239:1" rel="noopener">Tokopedia PT (1087142D IJ)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lazada-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26148:1" rel="noopener">Lazada Group (LAZADA SP)</a> in Indonesia. </div>
<div></div>
<div>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sea-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8509:1" rel="noopener">Sea Ltd (SE US)</a> trades on a lofty 15.5x FY21E EV/sales and 11.1x FY22E EV/Sales with forecast sales growth of +56% and +30.3% for FY21E and FY22E respectively but is not expected to breakeven until 2023 under current estimates. We continue to like <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sea-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8509:1" rel="noopener">Sea Ltd (SE US)</a> over the long-term for its leading position and rapid growth in gaming and e-commerce in South East Asia but this recent move may provide further leg to its long term growth. We would look to buy on any further weakness.</div>

Sea Ltd (SE US) has launched the Shopee App for Mexico to offer online sales in what would be its second foray in the Americas after a pilot initiative in 2019 in Brazil, which has been scaling up operations.
The expansion to Mexico, Latin America's second-largest economy, could mark a major new growth opportunity in cross-border sales but it will also mean more cash burn and a longer runway to profitability.

Shopee will offer free shipping throughout Mexico, offering items including electronics, clothes, toys, and home goods, which would suggest immediate cash burn. The features will be similar to its South East Asia Shopee App, which has been a huge success. 


The company has already had huge success with its gaming business in Latin America through Garena but its e-commerce business has more moving parts and has yet to be tested in a big way in Latin America, which does introduce an element of uncertainty to this latest move. 


Sea Ltd (SE US) faces the challenge of facing off against MercadoLibre Inc (MELI US), which is a formidable adversary that has seen off Amazon.com Inc (AMZN US) on its doorstep already. 


Sea Ltd (SE US) does have a track record of winning share quickly seemingly "against all odds" in unseating Tokopedia PT (1087142D IJ) and Lazada Group (LAZADA SP) in Indonesia. 


Sea Ltd (SE US) trades on a lofty 15.5x FY21E EV/sales and 11.1x FY22E EV/Sales with forecast sales growth of +56% and +30.3% for FY21E and FY22E respectively but is not expected to breakeven until 2023 under current estimates. We continue to like Sea Ltd (SE US) over the long-term for its leading position and rapid growth in gaming and e-commerce in South East Asia but this recent move may provide further leg to its long term growth. We would look to buy on any further weakness.

Sea Ltd (SE US) - Extending the Runway for a Bigger Plane?

China

NetEase, Inc. operates as an leading internet technology company providing online services including content, community, communication, and commerce. The Company develops and operates online games, electronic commerce, internet media, innovative business, and other businesses. NetEase expands its businesses to Japan, North American, and other other international markets.

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NetEase (9999 HK)

Autohome Secondary Listing - Doesn’t Need the Cash at All

Autohome plans to raise around US$1bn in its secondary listing in Hong Kong. The company is said to have filed confidentially in Jan 2021 and won...

Sumeet Singh

Asia Short Interest: Kuaishou, BYD, Galaxy, Sharp, Resona, Toshiba, Celltrion, Naver, Pegatron, TSMC

The Insight looks at large short interest movements across HK, Japan, Korea and Taiwan stocks and highlights large increases/decreases in shorts to...

Brian Freitas

NetEase (NTES): Total and Game Revenue Growth Rates Accelerated in 2020, 29% Upside

The growth rate of total revenue rose to 24% in 2020 from 16% in 2019. The growth rate of game accelerated to 18% in 2020 from 16% in 2019 and 11%...

Ming Lu

Bilibili Secondary Listing Early Look - 4Q20 Results Quick Note

Bilibili plans to raise around US$3bn in its secondary listing in HK, as per media reports. The company is said to have filed confidentially in Jan...

Sumeet Singh

Sea Ltd (SE US) - Extending the Runway for a Bigger Plane?

Sea Ltd (SE US) remains the listed key proxy for the explosive growth in e-commerce in South East Asia, fuelled by growing revenues from its gaming...

Angus Mackintosh

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