Independent research on the U.S. markets, Baptista Research

Baptista Research

Independent research on the U.S. markets

Baptista Research is an independent financial research house focused on the U.S. markets. We provide equity research as well as credit research reports on the top-listed U.S. companies with most of our focus on technology, consumer goods and services, automobiles, industrials, oil and gas, pharma, and healthcare. Our research has served more than 3000 institutional investors including mutual funds, hedge funds, banks, family offices, and various buy-side firms. We operate a research subscription service where institutions, as well as retail investors, can have priority access to all our research. We also have a wide distribution of our research reports across some of the top global financial platforms. Apart from equity research and credit research, we also provide advisory services with respect to mergers & acquisitions (M&A), private equity/ venture capital fundraising, valuation reports, and investment management services for corporates.
Baptista Research is owned and managed by Ishan Majumdar, an ex-Venture Capitalist/ Investment Banker, a Chartered Accountant, and a Masters’ degree holder in Management from HEC Paris. Ishan has nearly a decade of experience in Mergers and Acquisitions, Leveraged Buyouts (LBOs), Venture Capital Investing, Corporate Strategy, and Valuation in front-office roles at the likes of BNP Paribas CIB, Credit Agricole CIB, Groupe Danone, and TIW Private Equity. He has worked on and closed multiple acquisition deals, leveraged buyouts, and start-up investment transactions.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>The NetEase Q4 earnings revealed several strengths and weaknesses in the company.</li><li>On the positives, NetEase reported a 7% increase in total net revenue for 2023 to RMB 103.5 billion (USD 14.6 billion), driven by momentum across its businesses.</li><li>The revenue growth was attributed mainly to increased revenue contribution from the launch of new games such as Justice Mobile, and sustainably developed titles like Egg Party.</li></ul>

The NetEase Q4 earnings revealed several strengths and weaknesses in the company.On the positives, NetEase reported a 7% increase in total net revenue for 2023 to RMB 103.5 billion (USD 14.6 billion), driven by momentum across its businesses.The revenue growth was attributed mainly to increased revenue contribution from the launch of new games such as Justice Mobile, and sustainably developed titles like Egg Party.

NetEase Inc.: How The Company Has Built A Robust Gaming Ecosystem! - Major Drivers

Blue Lotus Non US Internet research, Blue Lotus Research Institute

Ying Pan

Blue Lotus Non US Internet research

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

<ul>
<li>NetEase reported C4Q23 top line, GAAP operating profit and GAAP net income (4.8%), (16%) and (9.0%) vs. our estimates, and (3.6%), (12%) and (6.8%) vs. consensus， mainly due to..</li>
<li>The positive, however, is the acceleration of launch of &lt;Naraka Mobile&gt; by 1-2 quarters. Our estimate of the gross billing remains the same;</li>
<li>We remain optimistic about the upcoming pipeline, and we raise our TP to US$122. Our new TP implies 15.4X PE, which is 12% above current price.</li>
</ul>


NetEase reported C4Q23 top line, GAAP operating profit and GAAP net income (4.8%), (16%) and (9.0%) vs. our estimates, and (3.6%), (12%) and (6.8%) vs. consensus， mainly due to..
The positive, however, is the acceleration of launch of &lt;Naraka Mobile&gt; by 1-2 quarters. Our estimate of the gross billing remains the same;
We remain optimistic about the upcoming pipeline, and we raise our TP to US$122. Our new TP implies 15.4X PE, which is 12% above current price.


[NetEase, Inc. (NTES US, BUY, TP US$122) TP Change]: Strong Games Pipelines Offering More Potentials

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

<ul><li>NetEase reported 4Q23 financial results on 29 Feb: total revenue grew by 7% YoY to RMB27.1bn, below our/consensus estimate of RMB28.8/28.2bn.</li><li>NonGAAP net income was up by 53% YoY to RMB7.4bn, but 7% shy of consensus estimate, mainly due to the higher-than-expected marketing expenses (+24% YoY).</li><li>Full-year total revenue/non-GAAP net income grew by 7%/43% YoY in FY23 respectively. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

NetEase reported 4Q23 financial results on 29 Feb: total revenue grew by 7% YoY to RMB27.1bn, below our/consensus estimate of RMB28.8/28.2bn.NonGAAP net income was up by 53% YoY to RMB7.4bn, but 7% shy of consensus estimate, mainly due to the higher-than-expected marketing expenses (+24% YoY).Full-year total revenue/non-GAAP net income grew by 7%/43% YoY in FY23 respectively. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Netease (NTES US) - Solid Pipeline to Fuel FY24 Revenue Growth

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

<ul>
<li>China announced game approval for the Feb batch. The number of games approved remained at a higher level than 2023.</li>
<li>The pace of China game approval appears to be accelerating, to the same level as pre-tightening.</li>
<li>Netease gets one game approved but we don't see that the acceleration of game approval benefits big names proportionally.</li>
</ul>


China announced game approval for the Feb batch. The number of games approved remained at a higher level than 2023.
The pace of China game approval appears to be accelerating, to the same level as pre-tightening.
Netease gets one game approved but we don't see that the acceleration of game approval benefits big names proportionally.


Tencent/Netease: Approval Rotation to Netease in Feb

<ul>
<li>We expect NetEase to report C4Q23 revenue, GAAP op. profit and GAAP net income 4.9%, 5.7% and 8.5% vs. consensus.</li>
<li>The robust topline growth was mainly contributed by revenue recognition of &lt;Justice Mobile&gt; in the peak summer season. </li>
<li>The grossing of legacy titles like &lt;FWWJ&gt; is also growing steadily due to the low-price strategy. We raise our TP to US$118 to reflect the rich and diversified pipeline...</li>
</ul>


We expect NetEase to report C4Q23 revenue, GAAP op. profit and GAAP net income 4.9%, 5.7% and 8.5% vs. consensus.
The robust topline growth was mainly contributed by revenue recognition of &lt;Justice Mobile&gt; in the peak summer season. 
The grossing of legacy titles like &lt;FWWJ&gt; is also growing steadily due to the low-price strategy. We raise our TP to US$118 to reflect the rich and diversified pipeline...


[NetEase, Inc. (NTES US, BUY, TP US$118) TP Change]: Strong In-House Game Performance Drives Margins

China

Kunlun Tech Co., Ltd. offers comprehensive Internet value-added services. The Company focuses on social network interactive and online game fields. Kunlun Tech also provides localized translation outsourcing and agency advertising services.

Bilibili Inc. provides online entertainment services. The Company offers a platform that covers a wide array of genres and media formats, including videos, live broadcasting, mobile games, animation, and comics. Bilibili serves customers in China.

China Ruyi Holdings Limited operates as a holding company. The Company, through its subsidiaries, focuses on online streaming video and internet community businesses. China Ruyi Holdings also manufactures and sells photographic, electronic, and multimedia accessories.

37 Interactive Entertainment Network Technology Group Co.,Ltd designs, develops, and operates mobile games and web games. The Company also provides game promotion, customer service, top-up payment, and other services. 37 Interactive Entertainment Network Technology Group conducts its businesses in China.

37 Interactive Entertainment N (002555 CH)

Zhejiang Huace Film & TV Co., Ltd. specializes in entertainment media production. The Company's products include Mandarin films, TV programs and advertisements.

Zhejiang Huace Film & Televisi (300133 CH)

Shandong Publishing & Media Co., Ltd offers publishing services. The Company publishes and sells books, textbooks, magazines, audio visuals, and other products. Shandong Publishing & Media also manufactures and sells papers.

China Telecom Corporation Limited, through its subsidiaries, provides wireline telephone, data, and Internet, as well as leased line services in China.

Creative China Holdings Limited is program production company. The Company develops programs for television and online broadcasting, and event organization in PRC.

China United Network Communications Limited provides a variety of telecommunication services, including GSM and CDMA wireless telecommunication services, international and domestic long distance communication services, data communication and Internet services, as well as paging services.

Hello Group Inc. operates as a mobile-based social networking platform. The Company enables users to establish and expand social relationships based on location and interests. Hello Group operates out of the Peoples Republic of China.

Nintendo Co., Ltd. globally develops, manufactures and sells home-use video game hardware and software in home entertainment business.  The company also produces home-game products including cards.

Sea Limited offers information technology services. The Company provides online personal computer and mobile digital content, e-commerce, and payment platforms. Sea serves customers worldwide.

World Wrestling Entertainment, Inc. operates as a media and entertainment company. The Company offers live wrestling events, television programming, music publishing, advertising, licensing, and home video streaming services. World Wrestling distributes its programs worldwide in various languages.

Endeavor Group Holdings, Inc. operates as a holding company. The Company, through its subsidiaries, offers entertainment content, as well as specializes in marketing and licensing, representation, and event management. Endeavor Group Holdings serves customers worldwide.

Roku, Inc. designs and manufactures consumer electronic products. The Company offers wireless enabled devices that stream audio and video content from the internet to home entertainment systems. Roku serves customers globally.

HYBE Co., Ltd. operates as an entertainment company. The Company provides music production, album distribution, entertainers management, publicity, planning, training, and other services. HYBE also makes television shows.

Netmarble Corporation develops and publishes mobile games. The Company develops and publishes casual games, action, sports games, strategy, simulation games, and social casino games. Netmarble offers services worldwide.

Lions Gate Entertainment Corporation develops and distributes film entertainment contents. The Company produces motion pictures, television programming, animation, and digital media. Lions Gate Entertainment serves customers worldwide.

Pearl Abyss Corp. operates as a computer games making company. The Company offers games development, games exporting, and other services. Pearl Abyss serves customers worldwide.

AMC Entertainment Holdings, Inc. operates as a holding company. The Company, through its subsidiaries, provides theatrical exhibition, movie screening, food distribution, online ticket booking, and other related services. AMC Entertainment offers movie theaters worldwide.

NetEase, Inc. operates as an leading internet technology company providing online services including content, community, communication, and commerce. The Company develops and operates online games, electronic commerce, internet media, innovative business, and other businesses. NetEase expands its businesses to Japan, North American, and other other international markets.

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NetEase (9999 HK)

NetEase Inc.: How The Company Has Built A Robust Gaming Ecosystem! - Major Drivers

The NetEase Q4 earnings revealed several strengths and weaknesses in the company. On the positives, NetEase reported a 7% increase in total net...

Baptista Research

[NetEase, Inc. (NTES US, BUY, TP US$122) TP Change]: Strong Games Pipelines Offering More Potentials

NetEase reports mixed Q4 results, but positive outlook with accelerated launch of Naraka Mobile and raised price target to US$122.

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Netease (NTES US) - Solid Pipeline to Fuel FY24 Revenue Growth

NetEase reported 4Q23 financial results on 29 Feb: total revenue grew by 7% YoY to RMB27.1bn, below our/consensus estimate of RMB28.8/28.2bn.

CMB International

Tencent/Netease: Approval Rotation to Netease in Feb

China's game approval process is picking up pace, with more games approved in February compared to monthly average last year, we also observed...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

[NetEase, Inc. (NTES US, BUY, TP US$118) TP Change]: Strong In-House Game Performance Drives Margins

NetEase's strong revenue growth in C4Q23 driven by <em>Justice Mobile</em> and low-price strategy for legacy titles, leading to increased target...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

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NetEase Inc.: How The Company Has Built A Robust Gaming Ecosystem! - Major Drivers

The NetEase Q4 earnings revealed several strengths and weaknesses in the company. On the positives, NetEase reported a 7% increase in total net...

Baptista Research

[NetEase, Inc. (NTES US, BUY, TP US$122) TP Change]: Strong Games Pipelines Offering More Potentials

​NetEase reports mixed Q4 results, but positive outlook with accelerated launch of Naraka Mobile and raised price target to US$122.

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Netease (NTES US) - Solid Pipeline to Fuel FY24 Revenue Growth

NetEase reported 4Q23 financial results on 29 Feb: total revenue grew by 7% YoY to RMB27.1bn, below our/consensus estimate of RMB28.8/28.2bn.

CMB International

Tencent/Netease: Approval Rotation to Netease in Feb

​China's game approval process is picking up pace, with more games approved in February compared to monthly average last year, we also observed...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

[NetEase, Inc. (NTES US, BUY, TP US$118) TP Change]: Strong In-House Game Performance Drives Margins

​NetEase's strong revenue growth in C4Q23 driven by <em>Justice Mobile</em> and low-price strategy for legacy titles, leading to increased target...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

NetEase reports mixed Q4 results, but positive outlook with accelerated launch of Naraka Mobile and raised price target to US$122.

China's game approval process is picking up pace, with more games approved in February compared to monthly average last year, we also observed...

NetEase's strong revenue growth in C4Q23 driven by <em>Justice Mobile</em> and low-price strategy for legacy titles, leading to increased target...