IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/elematec-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2866:1" rel="noopener">Elematec Corp (2715 JP)</a> has recommended a tender offer from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/toyota-tsusho-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13826:1" rel="noopener">Toyota Tsusho (8015 JP)</a> at JPY2,400, 41.4% premium to the undisturbed price of JPY1,697 (28 October).</li>
<li>The tender offer runs from 30 October to 11 December (30 business days), with payment commencing from 18 December. The offer represents an all-time high.</li>
<li>While the offer is below the midpoint IFA DCF range and implies a discount to peer multiples, it is attractive vs historical trading ranges. This is a done deal.</li>
</ul>



Elematec Corp (2715 JP) has recommended a tender offer from Toyota Tsusho (8015 JP) at JPY2,400, 41.4% premium to the undisturbed price of JPY1,697 (28 October).
The tender offer runs from 30 October to 11 December (30 business days), with payment commencing from 18 December. The offer represents an all-time high.
While the offer is below the midpoint IFA DCF range and implies a discount to peer multiples, it is attractive vs historical trading ranges. This is a done deal.


Elematec (2715 JP): Toyota Tsusho (8015 JP)’s JPY2,400 Tender Offer

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Nec Networks & System Integr / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Today, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nec-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17084:1" rel="noopener">NEC Corp (6701 JP)</a> announced a long-expected and "arbitraged" takeover of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nec-networks-system-integr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16396:1" rel="noopener">Nec Networks &amp; System Integr (1973 JP)</a> after the latter reported a delay in earnings and great numbers.</li>
<li>The premium is a bit light, and the internal mechanics to NEC are highly favourable. This was always going to happen this way. It's a pity it took so long.</li>
<li>This gets done easily as active foreign owners, arbs, and crossholders will sell into it, and only 15.3% is needed to get this over the hump.</li>
</ul>


Today, NEC Corp (6701 JP) announced a long-expected and "arbitraged" takeover of Nec Networks &amp; System Integr (1973 JP) after the latter reported a delay in earnings and great numbers.
The premium is a bit light, and the internal mechanics to NEC are highly favourable. This was always going to happen this way. It's a pity it took so long.
This gets done easily as active foreign owners, arbs, and crossholders will sell into it, and only 15.3% is needed to get this over the hump.


NEC Parent Tender Offer for NEC Network & SysInt (1973 JP) - Long Expected, Low Premium (¥3250)

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nec-networks-system-integr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16396:1" rel="noopener">Nec Networks &amp; System Integr (1973 JP)</a> has recommended a tender offer from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nec-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17084:1" rel="noopener">NEC Corp (6701 JP)</a> at JPY3,250, 21.5% premium to the undisturbed price of JPY2,675 (28 October).</li>
<li>The tender offer runs from 30 October to 11 December (30 business days), with payment commencing from 18 December. The offer represents an all-time high. </li>
<li>While below the midpoint IFA DCF range, the offer is attractive vs peer multiples and historical trading ranges. This is a done deal. </li>
</ul>



Nec Networks &amp; System Integr (1973 JP) has recommended a tender offer from NEC Corp (6701 JP) at JPY3,250, 21.5% premium to the undisturbed price of JPY2,675 (28 October).
The tender offer runs from 30 October to 11 December (30 business days), with payment commencing from 18 December. The offer represents an all-time high. 
While below the midpoint IFA DCF range, the offer is attractive vs peer multiples and historical trading ranges. This is a done deal. 


NESIC (1973 JP): NEC (6701 JP)’s JPY3,250 Tender Offer

Japanese Equity Specialist, Ortus Advisors

Andrew Jackson

Japanese Equity Specialist

Ortus Advisors

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Server related names higher after some big sales numbers and new product launches from SMCI should be a positive for Nidec</li>
<li>Watch for P&amp;C weakness in Japan following losses for peers overnight as Hurricane Milton intensifies as it approaches the Florida coast line</li>
<li>Oil back above $80 will continue to push related names higher; possible refiner pair with 4 days of TPX FFW selling for recent outperformer Idemitsu</li>
</ul>


Server related names higher after some big sales numbers and new product launches from SMCI should be a positive for Nidec
Watch for P&amp;C weakness in Japan following losses for peers overnight as Hurricane Milton intensifies as it approaches the Florida coast line
Oil back above $80 will continue to push related names higher; possible refiner pair with 4 days of TPX FFW selling for recent outperformer Idemitsu


Japan Morning Connection: Oil Through $80 While P&C Take a Hit on Hurricane Milton

<ul>
<li>Further PM Ishiba flip-flopping on his previously hawkish rates policy, set to catch markets wrong footed today.</li>
<li>Homebuilders may face a bigger fallout than expected from hurricane Helene given the potential to squeeze margins as materials and workers are prioritized for emergency efforts.</li>
<li>Exporters including autos, R/E and tourism related names should see renewed interest on the weak yen.</li>
</ul>


Further PM Ishiba flip-flopping on his previously hawkish rates policy, set to catch markets wrong footed today.
Homebuilders may face a bigger fallout than expected from hurricane Helene given the potential to squeeze margins as materials and workers are prioritized for emergency efforts.
Exporters including autos, R/E and tourism related names should see renewed interest on the weak yen.


Japan Morning Connection: Exporters to Jump on the Weak Yen

Japan

NEC Corporation manufactures and markets computers, telecommunication equipment, electronic devices, semiconductors, and software.  The Company's products include printers, modems, cellular phones, plasma display panels (PDP), network systems, memory, integrated circuits (IC), thin film transistor-liquid crystal display (TFT-LCD), and printed circuit boards (PCB). NEC operates worldwide.

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NEC Corp (6701 JP)

Elematec (2715 JP): Toyota Tsusho (8015 JP)’s JPY2,400 Tender Offer

While the offer is below the midpoint IFA DCF range and implies a discount to peer multiples, it is attractive vs historical trading ranges (it...

Arun George

NEC Parent Tender Offer for NEC Network & SysInt (1973 JP) - Long Expected, Low Premium (¥3250)

NEC buys out minorities in NEC Network and SysInt. The process is inadequate, the price is light, and doesn't get to the midway on the DCF and...

Travis Lundy

NESIC (1973 JP): NEC (6701 JP)’s JPY3,250 Tender Offer

While below the midpoint IFA DCF range, the offer is attractive vs peer multiples and historical trading ranges. This is a done deal.

Arun George

Japan Morning Connection: Oil Through $80 While P&C Take a Hit on Hurricane Milton

Positive sales numbers and new product launches from SMCI could benefit Nidec; P&C weakness expected due to Hurricane Milton; Oil above $80...

Andrew Jackson

Japan Morning Connection: Exporters to Jump on the Weak Yen

PM Ishiba's policy shift could surprise markets, hurricane Helene may impact homebuilders more than expected, and exporters such as autos and...

Andrew Jackson

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Elematec (2715 JP): Toyota Tsusho (8015 JP)’s JPY2,400 Tender Offer

While the offer is below the midpoint IFA DCF range and implies a discount to peer multiples, it is attractive vs historical trading ranges (it...

Arun George

NEC Parent Tender Offer for NEC Network & SysInt (1973 JP) - Long Expected, Low Premium (¥3250)

NEC buys out minorities in NEC Network and SysInt. The process is inadequate, the price is light, and doesn't get to the midway on the DCF and...

Travis Lundy

NESIC (1973 JP): NEC (6701 JP)’s JPY3,250 Tender Offer

While below the midpoint IFA DCF range, the offer is attractive vs peer multiples and historical trading ranges. This is a done deal.

Arun George

Japan Morning Connection: Oil Through $80 While P&C Take a Hit on Hurricane Milton

​Positive sales numbers and new product launches from SMCI could benefit Nidec; P&C weakness expected due to Hurricane Milton; Oil above $80...

Andrew Jackson

Japan Morning Connection: Exporters to Jump on the Weak Yen

​PM Ishiba's policy shift could surprise markets, hurricane Helene may impact homebuilders more than expected, and exporters such as autos and...

Andrew Jackson

Positive sales numbers and new product launches from SMCI could benefit Nidec; P&C weakness expected due to Hurricane Milton; Oil above $80...

PM Ishiba's policy shift could surprise markets, hurricane Helene may impact homebuilders more than expected, and exporters such as autos and...