Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Maeil Business Daily reported that Alibaba Group Holding (9988 HK) is considering on acquiring a controlling stake in 11st, which is a leading e-commerce platform owned by SK Square</li>
<li>In 2018, 11st was valued at 2.7 trillion won by financial investors. However, the current valuation of 11st is estimated to have declined to about 1 trillion won (US$760 million).</li>
<li>We estimate that the probability of Alibaba acquiring 11st is about 60-70%. </li>
</ul>


Maeil Business Daily reported that Alibaba Group Holding (9988 HK) is considering on acquiring a controlling stake in 11st, which is a leading e-commerce platform owned by SK Square
In 2018, 11st was valued at 2.7 trillion won by financial investors. However, the current valuation of 11st is estimated to have declined to about 1 trillion won (US$760 million).
We estimate that the probability of Alibaba acquiring 11st is about 60-70%. 


Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

<ul>
<li>The review period for the September rebalance ends on 31 July, the changes will be announced towards end August and implemented at the close of trading on 7 September.</li>
<li>There is one change currently for each of the Secondary Battery, Bio and Game indices. Then there are a couple of changes for the Internet and BBIG indices.</li>
<li>There are four stocks that will have over 2 days of ADV to trade from passive trackers and these stocks could move around announcement of the changes.</li>
</ul>


The review period for the September rebalance ends on 31 July, the changes will be announced towards end August and implemented at the close of trading on 7 September.
There is one change currently for each of the Secondary Battery, Bio and Game indices. Then there are a couple of changes for the Internet and BBIG indices.
There are four stocks that will have over 2 days of ADV to trade from passive trackers and these stocks could move around announcement of the changes.


KRX New Deal Index Rebalance Preview: Review Period Nearly Complete

Global Emerging Market Equities, Propitious Research

Wium Malan, CFA

Global Emerging Market Equities

Independent, Fundamental Quantitative Research

Propitious Research

Fully independent, fundamental and quantitative equity research, focused on companies in the Telecommunication, Media, Technology, Internet and Healthcare sectors in the Global Emerging Markets. Idea generation focused on Quality stocks, trading below their intrinsic Value, with sound Corporate Governance.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>An overview (and output) of our machine learning-driven GEM screening model, which seeks to find the best medium-term long ideas within the top 100 stocks in the MSCI GEM Index.</li>
<li>The model is based on 1) a quantitative multifactor screening model, enhanced by two AI Technology-based approaches; 2) a Deep Neural Network model, and 3) a Recurrent Neural Network model.</li>
<li>Developed over roughly 4 years and implemented in its current state for over 3 years, the model has a solid real-world alpha-generating performance track record, discussed in detail below.</li>
</ul>


An overview (and output) of our machine learning-driven GEM screening model, which seeks to find the best medium-term long ideas within the top 100 stocks in the MSCI GEM Index.
The model is based on 1) a quantitative multifactor screening model, enhanced by two AI Technology-based approaches; 2) a Deep Neural Network model, and 3) a Recurrent Neural Network model.
Developed over roughly 4 years and implemented in its current state for over 3 years, the model has a solid real-world alpha-generating performance track record, discussed in detail below.


<ul>
<li>On 17 August, Celltrion Inc announced that it will merge with Celltrion Healthcare. The merger ratio is 0.449262 Celltrion Inc share for each share of Celltrion Healthcare.</li>
<li>There was a negative surprise which was that Celltrion Pharm will not be included as part of the three companies merger which has been promised in the past several years. </li>
<li>Overall, we believe that this merger will have a positive impact on Celltrion Inc and Celltrion Healthcare's share prices. </li>
</ul>


On 17 August, Celltrion Inc announced that it will merge with Celltrion Healthcare. The merger ratio is 0.449262 Celltrion Inc share for each share of Celltrion Healthcare.
There was a negative surprise which was that Celltrion Pharm will not be included as part of the three companies merger which has been promised in the past several years. 
Overall, we believe that this merger will have a positive impact on Celltrion Inc and Celltrion Healthcare's share prices. 


Merger Between Celltrion Inc and Celltrion Healthcare (Phase I First)

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Naver Corp (035420 KS) is planning to complete an IPO of Naver Webtoon on NASDAQ in 2024.</li>
<li>Naver Webtoon generated sales of 548.9 billion won (up 54.5% YoY) and net profit of 68.6 billion won (up 17.1% YoY) in 2022.</li>
<li>Naver Corp's Contents unit which includes the Naver Webtoon business posted solid revenue growth of 40.1% YoY to reach 420.4 billion won in 2Q 2023.</li>
</ul>


Naver Corp (035420 KS) is planning to complete an IPO of Naver Webtoon on NASDAQ in 2024.
Naver Webtoon generated sales of 548.9 billion won (up 54.5% YoY) and net profit of 68.6 billion won (up 17.1% YoY) in 2022.
Naver Corp's Contents unit which includes the Naver Webtoon business posted solid revenue growth of 40.1% YoY to reach 420.4 billion won in 2Q 2023.


South Korea

Naver Corp. provides Internet site with web portal services, such as search engine, online game and content development.  The Company also offers marketing service through text and banner advertisement.

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Naver Corp (035420 KS)

SK Square: Will Alibaba Acquire 11st?

Maeil Business Daily reported that Alibaba Group Holding (9988 HK) is considering on acquiring a controlling stake in 11st, which is a leading e...

Douglas Kim

KRX New Deal Index Rebalance Preview: Review Period Nearly Complete

The changes to the index were announced post market close on Friday and will be implemented at the close on Thursday. Given that the changes are...

Brian Freitas

Screening for GEMs: September 2023

This insight provides an overview of our, machine learning-driven, proprietary GEM screening model, based on a Multifactor model, a Deep Neural...

Wium Malan, CFA

Merger Between Celltrion Inc and Celltrion Healthcare (Phase I First)

The merger of Celltrion Inc and Celltrion Healthcare will have a positive impact on Celltrion Inc and Celltrion Healthcare's shares as it will...

Douglas Kim

Naver Webtoon to List on NASDAQ in 2024

Naver is planning to complete an IPO of Naver Webtoon on NASDAQ in 2024. Naver Webtoon currently generates about half of its transactions in Japan,...

Douglas Kim

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