Junior Finance Analyst, Steno Research

Ulrik Simmelholt

Junior Finance Analyst

Macro and Geopolitical Research House

Steno Research

Steno Research is a new macro and geopolitical research house. We are based out of Copenhagen, Denmark, but have an international team and a strong network of sources and partners around the world. The team is lead by Andreas Steno, previous global head of strategy at Nordea Bank, and Mikkel Rosenvold, former chief consultant in the Danish Ministry of Finance.

Macroeconomics

<ul>
<li>Are we starting to see the early signs of a 2022 dynamic in LNG?</li>
<li>The below chart describes the scenario we saw late summer last year here in Europe when policymakers all the sudden scrambled to secure natural gas.</li>
<li><span style="font-weight: 400;">For the cycle to truly have the chance of playing out we need natural gas demand to increase and the USD to strengthen as a product of the increase in demand.</span></li>
</ul>


Are we starting to see the early signs of a 2022 dynamic in LNG?
The below chart describes the scenario we saw late summer last year here in Europe when policymakers all the sudden scrambled to secure natural gas.
For the cycle to truly have the chance of playing out we need natural gas demand to increase and the USD to strengthen as a product of the increase in demand.


The Energy Cable #34 – Double Top… Now What?

Data-Driven Commodity Research, The Commodity Report

The Commodity Report

Data-Driven Commodity Research

A unique newsletter about commodities and macro analysis in a weekly format.

Commodities

<ul><li>Orange juice futures hit an all-time high last week as citrus crops all across the US have been hammered by a series of hurricanes and the spread of citrus greening, an incurable disease spread by insects.</li><li>The vast majority of oranges produced in the US come from Florida, which has been hobbled by hurricanes and a cold snap, massively hampering supply.</li><li>Such headwinds are responsible for the supply shortage in oranges, which has driven up prices that will eventually filter through to consumers.</li></ul>

Orange juice futures hit an all-time high last week as citrus crops all across the US have been hammered by a series of hurricanes and the spread of citrus greening, an incurable disease spread by insects.The vast majority of oranges produced in the US come from Florida, which has been hobbled by hurricanes and a cold snap, massively hampering supply.Such headwinds are responsible for the supply shortage in oranges, which has driven up prices that will eventually filter through to consumers.

Traders Remain Neutral Commodities // Copper Loses as China Falls Apart

<ul><li>Steno Research: Stubbornness despite Chinese demand woes As China’s economic woes deepen with the housing market slumps, we note that the demand side in the energy space looks just as fragile as the supply side.</li><li>Sure, China might be taking advantage of the Russian discount, but the Ruble is down some 30% against the CNY year-to-date so it is not catching a bid that one would otherwise expect.</li><li>With Country Garden (potentially) defaulting on fixed-income payments expect more weakness to show up in CNY pairs, which in turn adds even weaker commodity demand from China.</li></ul>

Steno Research: Stubbornness despite Chinese demand woes As China’s economic woes deepen with the housing market slumps, we note that the demand side in the energy space looks just as fragile as the supply side.Sure, China might be taking advantage of the Russian discount, but the Ruble is down some 30% against the CNY year-to-date so it is not catching a bid that one would otherwise expect.With Country Garden (potentially) defaulting on fixed-income payments expect more weakness to show up in CNY pairs, which in turn adds even weaker commodity demand from China.

The Energy Cable #33 – The handoff – From positioning to fundamentals

<ul><li>Cocoa Market Started Collapsing Run-ups in commodity markets tend to be slow but steady but meltdowns on the other hand fast and sharp - a bit comparable with equity markets but definitely more volatile.</li><li>Especially Parabolic advances, like the one in cocoa futures, often end with a sweeping reversal.</li><li>Fortunately, the soybean complex is one we covered intensively during this year.</li></ul>

Cocoa Market Started Collapsing Run-ups in commodity markets tend to be slow but steady but meltdowns on the other hand fast and sharp - a bit comparable with equity markets but definitely more volatile.Especially Parabolic advances, like the one in cocoa futures, often end with a sweeping reversal.Fortunately, the soybean complex is one we covered intensively during this year.

Cocoa Market Started Collapsing // Soybean Spreads crash down

Head of Research and Global Chief Strategist, Steno Research

Andreas Steno

Head of Research and Global Chief Strategist

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul><li>Hope you’re enjoying the weekend out there! Weekends provide the perfect opportunity to review the market’s performance over the past week – and this week has again been full of volatility with the CPI report released this Thursday along with bonds remaining indecisive about the future market direction.</li><li>The overall sentiment this week again has optimism written all over it with equity sentiment still hovering at 2021 highs on some of the short-term indicators, and GBP and EUR are continuing their positioning resilience, while commodity markets are starting to signal weaker demand again after a couple of weeks of strength.</li><li>Follow along as we dissect market sentiment and positioning data below.</li></ul>

Hope you’re enjoying the weekend out there! Weekends provide the perfect opportunity to review the market’s performance over the past week – and this week has again been full of volatility with the CPI report released this Thursday along with bonds remaining indecisive about the future market direction.The overall sentiment this week again has optimism written all over it with equity sentiment still hovering at 2021 highs on some of the short-term indicators, and GBP and EUR are continuing their positioning resilience, while commodity markets are starting to signal weaker demand again after a couple of weeks of strength.Follow along as we dissect market sentiment and positioning data below.

Positioning Watch – The Chinese Disappointment Is Written All over the Latest Positioning

United States

Natural gas is a naturally occurring hydrocarbon gas mixture consisting primarily of methane, but commonly including varying amounts of other higher alkanes, and sometimes a small percentage of carbon dioxide, nitrogen, hydrogen sulfide, or helium. It is formed when layers of decomposing plant and animal matter are exposed to intense heat and pressure supplied by existing under the surface of the Earth over millions of years. The energy that the plants originally obtained from the sun is stored in the form of chemical bonds in the gas.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Natural Gas (NATURAL GAS COMDTY)

The Energy Cable #34 – Double Top… Now What?

Are we starting to see the early signs of a 2022 dynamic in LNG? The below chart describes the scenario we saw late summer last...

Steno Research

Traders Remain Neutral Commodities // Copper Loses as China Falls Apart

The vast majority of oranges produced in the US come from Florida, which has been hobbled by hurricanes and a cold snap, massively hampering supply.

The Commodity Report

The Energy Cable #33 – The handoff – From positioning to fundamentals

Steno Research: Stubbornness despite Chinese demand woes As China’s economic woes deepen with the housing market slumps, we note that the demand...

Steno Research

Cocoa Market Started Collapsing // Soybean Spreads crash down

Cocoa Market Started Collapsing Run-ups in commodity markets tend to be slow but steady but meltdowns on the other hand fast and sharp

The Commodity Report

Positioning Watch – The Chinese Disappointment Is Written All over the Latest Positioning

Weekends provide the perfect opportunity to review the market’s performance over the past week – and this week has again been full of volatility...

Steno Research

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)